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This Bills over/under seems like stealing money


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4 minutes ago, 78thealltimegreat said:

The Bills at a minimum are a 11-12 win team this seems like stealing money…and how can you take the 49ers being over when they barely have a quarterback 

 

The 49er system doesn't really require a top notch QB especially in the regular season. Their defense is elite and they have an innovative offensive minded coach. 

 

 

The Bills are no lock to win 11 or 12 games. Their division competition is obviously very tough. Not a lot of separation between the Jets and Miami. NE seems to be lagging behind quite a bit. 

 

Also, the Bills schedule looks pretty tough on paper. 

 

I'm staying away from betting over or under. I think Vegas has it just about right. 

1 minute ago, Big Blitz said:

Actually the Lions are easy money.  

I think the Chiefs win 12 games so long as Mahomes is healthy. 

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15 minutes ago, 78thealltimegreat said:

The Bills at a minimum are a 11-12 win team this seems like stealing money…and how can you take the 49ers being over when they barely have a quarterback 

 


I think you underestimate just how strong our schedule is.  I’m optimistic we will win 11-13 games still, but it’s not the lock you think it is.

 

AFCE is much tougher with Rodgers in it.  But we also play the AFC West, NFC East which has both Super Bowl teams in them, and we play Cincy who we didn’t look competitive against in the shortened game or playoff game.

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Just now, Alphadawg7 said:


I think you underestimate just how strong our schedule is.  I’m optimistic we will win 11-13 games still, but it’s not the lock you think it is.

 

AFCE is much tougher with Rodgers in it.  But we also play the AFC West, NFC East which has both Super Bowl teams in them, and we play Cincy who we didn’t look competitive against in the shortened game or playoff game.

 

Agreed. I was just about to post essentially this. 

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16 minutes ago, Alphadawg7 said:


I think you underestimate just how strong our schedule is.  I’m optimistic we will win 11-13 games still, but it’s not the lock you think it is.

 

AFCE is much tougher with Rodgers in it.  But we also play the AFC West, NFC East which has both Super Bowl teams in them, and we play Cincy who we didn’t look competitive against in the shortened game or playoff game.

I can’t see this team doubling their loss total they are just too good 

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10 minutes ago, Einstein said:

I wouldn’t touch this with a ten foot pole.

 

The Bills schedule is incredibly tough (at least based on last years teams). Our division alone is capable of handing us 3 or 4 losses.


Unlike you to be pessimistic..

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I think it's a fair betting line. Our road schedule looks to be a beast. KC, Cincy and Philly all on the road...with a game each at Miami and the Jets. We may not lose them all...but we may drop a game at home or two as well.  10-7 is possible. 13-3 is as well.

 

Factor in if Josh misses a game or two...other injury piling up. 

 

In short, as a betting line it seems fair. If all goes to plan, we should beat it. But it is a long season and things don't always go to plan.

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21 minutes ago, D. L. Hot-Flamethrower said:

Eagles number at 10.5 is the easy money 

First thing that jumped out to me. The NFC is pathetic. I don't see any scenario other than an injury to Hurts where they win less than 12 games

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51 minutes ago, 78thealltimegreat said:

The Bills at a minimum are a 11-12 win team this seems like stealing money…and how can you take the 49ers being over when they barely have a quarterback 

 

Math does not add up….look at summtotal for each division.  To get say chiefs/ bengals high they need a lower team in their division thst what I see.

 

 

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44 minutes ago, Alphadawg7 said:


I think you underestimate just how strong our schedule is.  I’m optimistic we will win 11-13 games still, but it’s not the lock you think it is.

 

AFCE is much tougher with Rodgers in it.  But we also play the AFC West, NFC East which has both Super Bowl teams in them, and we play Cincy who we didn’t look competitive against in the shortened game or playoff game.

 

THIS. The oddsmakers are thinking that we will be -1 game from last season vs. the Jets (we will lose both matchups) and with the out of division schedule we have, there is no way the over is a lock.

Edited by EasternOHBillsFan
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1 hour ago, 78thealltimegreat said:

The Bills at a minimum are a 11-12 win team this seems like stealing money…and how can you take the 49ers being over when they barely have a quarterback 

 

I've never understood the .5. You can't play half a game

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Injuries can greatly affect any of these over/under predictions for teams. And some of these teams will go under due to injury.  Let’s hope Buffalo is much healthier this season than last. A lot less maneuvering room it would seem for  the Bills this year.
 

Bills were 11.5 over/under before last season. I took the over and made out decently with $1500. I’m not touching their over/under this year. Last years huge injury bug has me gun shy this time around. 

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3 hours ago, 17islongenough said:

Jags will win at least 10 games.  The division is a joke and they ended the year pretty good

Jags and Texans show most value. 

4 hours ago, D. L. Hot-Flamethrower said:

Eagles number at 10.5 is the easy money 

How are niners 11.5 and eagles 10.5 .. even w NFC east improvements they will be very tough. SB favorites imho. 

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6 hours ago, Big Blitz said:

Actually the Lions are easy money.  

Can't tell if this is a Lions still suck post, or they finally got it together and have a comfy over????

6 hours ago, 78thealltimegreat said:

I can’t see this team doubling their loss total they are just too good 

Improving a few guys pm Josh's line isn't 

1 + 1 + 1 = 3

 

Compounding interest/synergy on those investments 

1+1+1 = 28

 

Josh is winning Mvp and obliterating everyone and everything. Tds, yards, SB. It's the year!!!

Edited by BillsShredder83
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8 hours ago, 78thealltimegreat said:

The Bills at a minimum are a 11-12 win team this seems like stealing money…and how can you take the 49ers being over when they barely have a quarterback 

 

They only won 11 games the year before last. Don't forget that week 10-13 yearly lull we endure

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36 minutes ago, uticaclub said:

They only won 11 games the year before last. Don't forget that week 10-13 yearly lull we endure

We were also 0-5 in one score games that year and still hit the over.  Bet the Bills at 10.5.  Losing seven games seems highly unlikely barring an Allen injury.  Also, the Steelers are my favorite over by far.

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10 hours ago, 2020 Our Year For Sure said:

Browns under 9.5?

It all depends on Watson. The Browns are a very complete and talented team. They should have had 10 wins last season with Brissett and a rusty Watson but their DC (Woods) was hot garbage. Now Jim Schwartz has that role and they have added talent at WR and DT. their biggest problem is that the AFC North is going to be as tough as the AFC East. They do have the advantage of playing a fourth place schedule though. 

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