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Billl

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  1. The problem is that you can’t simply extrapolate stats as target share increases. Shakir’s 2024 season compared to 2023 is a prime example of that. Shakir had 120% more targets in 2024 but only 34% more yards. His catch rate dropped by 12%, and his yards per target dropped by 40%. Adding 15% more targets, as you suggest, would only further degrade his efficiency. Shakir is best suited for what he was in 2023, a guy who works within 5 yards of the LOS, primarily between the 20s. When the field shrinks and defenders play closer to the LOS, so does his usefulness (as evidenced by the fact that he has 7 career TDs). He’s a bit of a niche player. He’s fantastic at that niche, but it’s unlikely that he’ll ever become a guy who stretches the field, makes contested catches, or pressures defenses in the red zone. That’s why they drafted Coleman and traded for Cooper last year.
  2. It’s not so much of a “road” thing as it is that the home team is (theoretically) the better team as well. As far as the defense goes, what do you consider healthy to mean? The AFCCG is the 19th or 20th game of the season. Nobody’s going to have all 22 of their starters healthy and available. There’s a 100% chance that you’re going to be missing multiple starters in the postseason.
  3. So you think he’s “getting the book thrown at him” over this? I guess we’ll see. I said 4 game suspension originally. That’s probably about right. I’d be very surprised if it’s more than 6.
  4. Well I’m just glad that Chiefs fans are immune to that. 😀
  5. Yep. Not exactly sure why 90sBills seems surprised that when Mecole Hardman (the guy at the bottom of the WR depth chart) went down that he was replaced by a player from the practice squad. I assume he’s just trying to find ways to validate letting the Chiefs draft Worthy by pretending that Andy Reid is terrified of exposing Worthy to injury risk. Meanwhile, guys like Rashee Rice, Hollywood Brown, Juju, Mecole Hardman, Keon Coleman, Curtis Samuel, Dalton Kincaid, and Amari Cooper were all injured to varying degrees last season while Worthy played over 900 injury-free snaps. Coming into the draft, I had no interest in Xavier Worthy, but I’ve learned that you don’t get rich by betting against Kansas City’s front office when it comes to identifying talent. I’d be lying if I said I had no concerns surrounding his durability, but that’s a risk worth taking for a guy who impacts the entire defensive game plan.
  6. He’s not the team’s top WR. Rashee Rice is WR1. Hollywood Brown is WR2. If those guys get injured again, Worthy won’t be returning punts. This isn’t that complicated.
  7. Yeah, I’m sure Andy Reid was losing sleep over who was going to return punts for his 10-1 team when Mecole Hardman went down. You realize that Brandon Codrington returned punts for the Bills, right? Teams don’t tend to send their top WRs out to play special teams, particularly when they’re still learning the offense. Again, he played over 900 snaps on offense last season and they’re talking about sending him out to return punts this year. Literally nothing about that indicates that they’re trying to limit his use in order to shield him from injuries. In fact, he played more snaps than any other rookie WR last year.
  8. When did they really need a punt returner? That’s much more of a luxury role than a need. All I ask of a punt returner is that he not fumble. Any return yards are just gravy. That practice squad guy came in and averaged 10 yards a return, so there was certainly no reason to pile more onto a 21 year old rookie’s plate who was thrust into the WR1 role unexpectedly.
  9. Probably because he was a rookie learning the playbook and was thrown into a much larger role than anticipated after Rashee and Hollywood and Juju got hurt. He played 70% of the regular season snaps (week 18 excluded) and 85% of the postseason snaps. For the sake of comparison, that’s 200 more snaps than Shakir saw. No way they were going to have him split time practicing with special teams while learning Andy Reid’s playbook and building chemistry with Mahomes. It certainly had nothing to do with fear of protecting him from injury.
  10. Not sure I follow. He played over 900 snaps last season, and now they’re talking about having him return punts as well. Nothing about that strikes me as a team being afraid to use him. What am I missing?
  11. He led the SEC in punt returns, yards per return, and TDs and led the country in total punt returns yards his last season at Texas. Why draft a player if you’re too afraid of getting him injured to use him? Everyone said he was going to get injured last year, but it was Coleman who ended up missing time. Injuries are part of the game.
  12. I never said that Mahomes was the only reason. It’s obviously not. What I did say is that Mahomes hits that throw, and you know that to be true which is why you chose to argue against something I didn’t say instead of what I did. Buffalo’s coaching dialed up a play that got two WRs open and a huge pocket from which to throw. The rest was up to Josh. Look at the picture. It was right there. The question I was asked wasn’t whether or not Josh is a great QB. He is, and I’ve said before that if he retired today I think he deserves to be in the HOF. The question is whether I thought Mahomes would have won that game, and you’d be crazy to think otherwise. He’s won 17 straight one-score games and made it to at least the AFCCG every season he’s been the starter. You don’t do that by accident. Even Bills fans have repeatedly said that, even if Josh hits that throw, the Chiefs would have driven down to score. They’re probably right. Meanwhile Josh has had the ball in his hands with the season on the line two years in a row and has come away with 0 points. So to answer the question of who I think wins the game, give me the guy who has been to 5 Super Bowls over the guy who has never been. Give me the guy who scored with 13 seconds left and then ripped down the field for a TD in OT. Give me the guy who is 4-0 head to head when it matters over the guy who is 0-4. You’re welcome to disagree, but he asked me a question and I answered it.
  13. Mahomes, and there’s no question. There’s a reason the Chiefs have won 17 straight one-score games. It’s because he doesn’t miss this throw. The man is a killer.
  14. The last 2 times the Chiefs have played the Bills in the playoffs there have been a total of 9 fumbles. The Bills got the ball all 9 times. If the Chiefs had come away with the ball all 9 times, they’d have won by a combined 50 points. Instead, the Chiefs defense didn’t force a single turnover in either game yet Mahomes found a way to win both of them.
  15. In his defense, those guys have more time to work out in the offseason that he does.
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