DJB Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 18 minutes ago, YoloinOhio said: No one will bet the other way for obvious reasons If the line was Baltimore favoured betters would smash money down on the Bills This is the only way Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGORDO Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 OMG, this thread is ground breaking. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rc2catch Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 2 minutes ago, Adamb412 said: Maybe that's what I'm missing. What injuries do the ravens have? I’m not sure they are that injured. Stanley the LT I think is still out. Lot of injured guys coming back with Dobbins and Humphrey and Peters. They lost some other guys but I don’t know they were big contributors Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanC883 Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 19 minutes ago, Adamb412 said: But Baltimore is playing well too and they are home 412 in user name area code? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
billybrew1 Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 27 minutes ago, Adamb412 said: I don't get it.... We just lost to Miami, we have a ton of injuries, we are both 2 and 1, the game is in Baltimore. Baltimore going to have revenge on their minds since the last time we saw them was the division game during covid.... What am I missing? We have the best player in the NFL. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boyst Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 18 minutes ago, Dr.Sack said: Allen vs Jackson is a prime time matchup. Only wish the Bills were at 80% to make it a fair fight. Our PS secondary might get dismantled. Make Jackson read and think he will stink. Let Jackson shuck and chuck and we will get *****. The dude doesn't read defenses. Doesn't see coverage zones. He can pass when the target is exploiting a zone seam because it's obvious. Short of that he can finesse the small ball into the window to get minimal gains until he decides to run. We run a very disciplined zone coverage with 2 safeties that are very smart. Having poyer back will be critical. I am not at all worried bout Jackson even though he is playing the position better than ever IMO. He has something to prove. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roundybout Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 You think our defense is down some players? Baltimore is incredibly injured right now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4merper4mer Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 24 minutes ago, Adamb412 said: I'm not even factoring doom and gloom. Even if we won in Miami I see this game as a pickem Have you seen Baltimore’s defense? Our offense? How does that mix look to you? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buffblue Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 3 minutes ago, Roundybout said: You think our defense is down some players? Baltimore is incredibly injured right now. Did anyone miss the Patriots game besides Stanley? They were more beat up against the Dolphins a week earlier Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boatdrinks Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 Jackson has had a couple of his lowest output games vs Bills. We’ll see if McD , Frazier and Co can do it again. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppy Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 my answer to why the Bills are favored? Their names are Diggs and Allen. ELITE COMBO people. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Turk Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 32 minutes ago, Adamb412 said: I don't get it.... We just lost to Miami, we have a ton of injuries, we are both 2 and 1, the game is in Baltimore. Baltimore going to have revenge on their minds since the last time we saw them was the division game during covid.... What am I missing? We are a better team? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warcodered Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 10 minutes ago, SlimShady'sSpaceForce said: https://www.baltimoreravens.com/team/injury-report/ Pretty long list too. Jesus the combined list is going to look like the credits to a movie. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RiotAct Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 35 minutes ago, BuffaloBaumer said: It will change as soon as the injury reports lists 10 players 10? That’s it? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
billsfanmd07 Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 (edited) Ive seen most Ravens games. It seems Lamar bails them out every week with miracle plays. If you stop him they are below average. Several players on IR and a young secondary, avg OL and up and down DL. You have to take away his TE and top WR. New issue is weather. It could be non stop rain sat-sun. Edited September 27, 2022 by billsfanmd07 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Generic_Bills_Fan Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 32 minutes ago, Adamb412 said: But Baltimore is playing well too and they are home Their defense isn’t Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
machine gun kelly Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 37 minutes ago, Adamb412 said: I don't get it.... We just lost to Miami, we have a ton of injuries, we are both 2 and 1, the game is in Baltimore. Baltimore going to have revenge on their minds since the last time we saw them was the division game during covid.... What am I missing? Adam, I don’t have time to recite everything, but please just google NFL team offense and defense. Then break it down to yards, passing, rushing, and points. Compare the two teams and you have you’re abundantly clear answer. Don’t get wrapped around the axle bud on one pain in the ars loss to a team us 50 yr olds hate from the 70’s. Dont forget to look at baltimores opponents for the Ravens and us. Our first two teams were the world champs and the AFC #1 seed. Who was the Ravens? Look at this stuff and you’ll answer you’re question. Im on a work trip so I don’t have the time to transpose, but I promise you look at the data, and you would’ve had the answer to you’re question before you started this thread. You’re a newbee, so welcome brother. If you’re a real Bills guy, you’re going to get a very warm welcome as you continue to post. It was a good question. Hopefully, some of the guys gave you fruit Ville answers. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strive_for_five_guy Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 11 minutes ago, Boatdrinks said: Jackson has had a couple of his lowest output games vs Bills. We’ll see if McD , Frazier and Co can do it again. The Bills’ shell defense is Jackson’s kryptonite. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Billever76 Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 31 minutes ago, Adamb412 said: A healthy bills team I agree. But not this injury riddled team Baltimore is just as injured 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uninja Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 37 minutes ago, Warcodered said: Josh Allen is ***** terrifying. The way I see it so far, Josh Allen’s worst day in the office so far this year was 67% completed passed for 400 yards and 2TDs. Oh, and tack on 47 rushing yards as well. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chongli Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 (edited) 1 hour ago, Adamb412 said: But Baltimore is playing well too and they are home And Baltimore lost at home last week. Edited September 27, 2022 by chongli Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WyoAZBillfan Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 Josh effing Allen Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternOHBillsFan Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 1 hour ago, machine gun kelly said: Because the guys in the desert like to make $, and we are the better team. What’s up with the hot take when we don’t know injuries or anything else for that matter in a team that lost half their starters do the 22, yet advanced 500 yards to Miami’s 220 ish and we were based. Dude, we lose one game and the sky is falling. Rookie move. Have you ANY IDEA how many injuries this team has sustained in a week?!?!! Are you under the delusion that we won't have 10+ players on the injury report? Evidently not. The sky isn't falling, but key players are FALLING OUT and if you're too blind to see that then no one can help you. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
par73 Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 I figured the line would be the other way around-- and that is before I heard Benford is definitely out. OL is banged up, as well. Jackson has been on fire. I'm thinking the Bills will likely be 2-2, then get some players back and reset. One thing we know-- Bills will not win if it is decided by one score or less . 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SCBills Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 Just now, EasternOHBillsFan said: Have you ANY IDEA how many injuries this team has sustained in a week?!?!! Are you under the delusion that we won't have 10+ players on the injury report? Evidently not. The sky isn't falling, but key players are FALLING OUT and if you're too blind to see that then no one can help you. I’ll take a shot at who plays: Allen Dawkins-Saffold-Morse-??-Brown Singletary-Moss-Cook Gilliam Knox-Morris Diggs-Davis-McKenzie-Crowder-Shakir Von-Rousseau-AJ-Boogie-Shaq Jones-Oliver-Settle-Bryant Edmunds-Milano Johnson Elam-Ingram Johnson-Poyer That means we have a noticeable downgrade likely at CB and RG, assuming Jackson and Bates can’t go. Who’s roster would you take on Sunday? Both Offenses are ultra-dependent on the QB and don’t have much of a traditional running game. Both have some legit weapons in the passing game. Would you rather have Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson? Would you rather have that Bills Defense or the Ravens Defense? I think most would choose Josh Allen and the Bills Defense. That’s why they’re favored. 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QCity Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 1 hour ago, Adamb412 said: But on paper Baltimore has a slight advantage IMO I don't want this to come off the wrong way, but there can be a big difference between one's individual opinion and that of the sportsbook community that is backing up their claims with money. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John from Riverside Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 I would not consider us the favorites given all of our injuries if we were even halfway healthy I would call this a win Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Wonderful Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 34 minutes ago, WyoAZBillfan said: Josh effing Allen Still can't get over that 4th quarter bounce pass to an open McKenzie with the game on the line. Have to make that throw! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Old Coot Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 I have a foolproof system for making a small fortune on sports betting. First, start with a large fortune. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewEra Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 2 hours ago, Adamb412 said: I don't get it.... We just lost to Miami, we have a ton of injuries, we are both 2 and 1, the game is in Baltimore. Baltimore going to have revenge on their minds since the last time we saw them was the division game during covid.... What am I missing? 17. Get it Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aussie Joe Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 4 minutes ago, Old Coot said: I have a foolproof system for making a small fortune on sports betting. First, start with a large fortune. Should we bet it on the Bills? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJS Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 Because we have a better team than them and they don't overreact like Bills fans do after a loss. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Airseven Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 That line has got to change by the weekend. Bills are absolutely the dog in this one. Could get ugly. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACTOBILLSFAN Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 2 hours ago, Adamb412 said: I'm not even factoring doom and gloom. Even if we won in Miami I see this game as a pickem Give me the Bills -110 for $1100, then. The Ravens defense is atrocious. I make it Bills -5.5 with the guys we know are definitely out next week. 8 minutes ago, Airseven said: That line has got to change by the weekend. Bills are absolutely the dog in this one. Could get ugly. Lol no. This is how they build those big fancy buildings in the desert, when casuals completely overreact to a single data point. The Bills might lose but the look ahead line was Bills -4, so this is a half point move with the performance and almost entirely due to injuries. You should bet your house at Ravens +3.5 if you believe the Bills are actually underdogs. 49 minutes ago, John from Riverside said: I would not consider us the favorites given all of our injuries if we were even halfway healthy I would call this a win Bet the house then. You're getting a home team you believe is better on the plus side of the biggest key number in NFL betting. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACTOBILLSFAN Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 1 hour ago, par73 said: I figured the line would be the other way around-- and that is before I heard Benford is definitely out. OL is banged up, as well. Jackson has been on fire. I'm thinking the Bills will likely be 2-2, then get some players back and reset. One thing we know-- Bills will not win if it is decided by one score or less . Do you know what a truly elite CB is worth to a point spread? It's around 0.75 points and I'm talking a dude like Jaire Alexander. The cluster injuries are a concern, of course, but over valuing a player when it comes to overall team performance is why the public gets absolutely smoked betting NFL games. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nelius Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 (edited) You're missing the fact that Baltimore has given up the most passing yards through 3 weeks, which works for the best QB in the league. Their defense has been awful. Granted that's inflated by the Miami game, but as we just saw, Josh is worth at least two Tuas. But even if you dismiss their Miami game as an outlier, they also just gave up 26 to the Pats (lol). They also gave up the most passing yards per game last year. I personally think Baltimore has some serious issues and am surprised by how many still rank them as one of the very top AFC teams. I've even seen them in some Super Bowl picks. I don't even think they take their division. Edited September 27, 2022 by Nelius 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cotton Fitzsimmons Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 3 hours ago, Adamb412 said: What am I missing? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LOVEMESOMEBILLS Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 Lets see, not only is Allen the best player in the game he leads the league in passing, Diggs leads in receiving, the offense is 2nd in ypg and 3rd in points per game. The defense leads the league in yards allowed per game and is 4th in points per game giving up an average of 12.7. We are also the deepest team in the league. There's a list of reasons why we are favored. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ArtVandalay Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 (edited) Because Josh Allen and this team are that good. Baltimore lost to Miami as well. Coaching staff needs to get the house in order because this team has the potential win every game. Obviously you won't and players have good and bad days, good and bad game plans. Miami was a sloppy sloppy game. We're on to Baltimore. Edited September 27, 2022 by ArtVandalay 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cwater10 Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 (edited) Because the oddsmakers do not give a rat's a** who the better team is and are in no way trying to make a statement or an assertion regarding who they think is better or by how much. They operate by trying to balance where the money comes in. If they think that the betting public will place more money on Buffalo, then the line will favor Buffalo. The more money that comes in during the week on Buffalo, then the more that line will increase to entice bettors to go the other way, thus ensuring the sports book a profit regardless of outcome. Edited September 27, 2022 by cwater10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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