How much $ is Trubusky going to sign for in FA?

[Estro]

Tony Pauline @ ProfootballNetwork had an article stating the Steelers are set to make a run at Tribusky, but that they may have competition from the Giants. He reported it could take big money to sign him. 

 

A month ago I was of the mind that Tribusky would get a $6-8M deal for a chance to compete, but after this chatter that he may be in demand, I'm wondering if he might not go for a lot more. You look back and there has been some crazy contracts handed out to marginal QBs in the last decade:

 

Foles

Dalton

Glennon

 

Is it possible Tribusky finds $13-16M? I think it's rich, but I'm starting to think itll be closer to that than my original projection.

 

I'm going to set the over/under @ $12M per year. I can easily see him finding a 2 year $26M deal.

 

Obviously if he signs for anything north of $10M the Bills will net a 4th round compensatory pick for him. If he signs for $15M + we'd be in line for a 3rd rounder (in 2023). Come on Steelers and Giants get that bidding war going!

Edited March 6, 2022 by Estro

[gonzo1105]

I think 8-10 million is about right for a bridge QB. If it’s the Steelers you sign Trubisky , draft a QB and develop while Trubisky gets a year or whatever 

[Miyagi-Do Karate]

Trubisky in Pittsburgh is an ideal fit. I don’t get why he would go to NYG, where I think Jones would still be the presumptive starter.

[billsbackto81]

1 minute ago, Miyagi-Do Karate said:

Trubisky in Pittsburgh is an ideal fit. I don’t get why he would go to NYG, where I think Jones would still be the presumptive starter.

I don't know, they seem pretty even to me but I'd give the edge to Trubisky on experience and familiarity with Daboll albeit just a year. 

[bubba2018]

I think him getting upwards of 14mil is likely. He is going to play decent football.

[ROCBillsBeliever]

8 minutes ago, billsbackto81 said:

I don't know, they seem pretty even to me but I'd give the edge to Trubisky on experience and familiarity with Daboll albeit just a year. 

 

@billsbackto81 & @Miyagi-Do Karate I was going to say that if Daboll believes Trubisky will be an upgrade to Jones, then that's good news for us. Bring on the bidding war!

[First Round Bust]

likely a lot more than 10M per season which is what Andy Freaking Dalton got from the Bears last season; once the trades happen  or more than likely don't (Wilson, Watson, Rogers, or a cut - Wentz, Darnold ?) other teams thinking win now and all we need is a qb to get to the next level - Steelers, Commies, Broncos, Saints - are likely landing spots

[Florida Bills Fanatic]

I believe someone will pay much more than they should.  QB's in the draft are underwhelming.  I don't see Rodgers or Wilson going anywhere.  Steelers, Broncos, Washington, Tampa, and Saints are in QB trouble and have decent rosters otherwise.  I expect one of them to pay.  I don't think a contract above $15M per season is out of the question.  The losers of the Jimmy G. sweepstakes will probably push up the price for Mitch.  The ones not willing to pay the price will be left to scramble for the likes of Mariota, Winston, Dalton, etc.. 

 

It's great that the Bills don't have to deal with any of this.

[Manther]

I think he get $15 million a year for two years.  $30 M total, $20 M guaranteed.

[Hebert19]

10M plus incentives...

[eSJayDee]

I don't think there's a reason to think he can't be a top 15 QB.  How much does a Ryan Tannehill make?  I'd think he'd sign somewhere in the neighborhood of $10m SB, low 2022 salary then $20m+ (maybe w/ additional incentives for 2023). So let's say 2 yrs $40m ttl.

[BuffaloBills1998]

Depends how desperate whatever team signs him. Personally I think he might be staying in Buffalo. 

[Punching Bag]

It depends on what Raiders can trade Carr for.

If Raiders are able to trade Carr I think he is a player front office can sell to fans and players as someone young and athletic enough to last for a while but not so expensive that they can afford to upgrade the supporting players.  Tribusky gets to play indoors most of season so if he plays well he will get a 3rd starter contract,

He seems to be a player who Josh McDaniels could build team around.

[Don Otreply]

9 minutes ago, Manther said:

I think he get $15 million a year for two years.  $30 M total, $20 M guaranteed.

I could see this happening in this league,  look at Murray, he is gonna get way way more than he’s worth… like 10 million a year more. 

[Sammy Watkins' Rib]

If non top 5 QBs are looking for $40+ million per year then $15 million or so for a guy like Trubisky doesn't seem too crazy. Steelers would probably be an ideal spot for Trubisky in terms of winning the starting job and landing with a stable organization. Giants I think would be 50/50 to beat out Daniel Jones. Either spot is good for him but I think he has the inside track to the job if the Steelers sign him. And really, around $15 million would be fair because he'd be signing as the starting QB essentially. Probably just a 1 or 2 year deal though.

 

In an ideal world for us he stays with the Bills for one more year on a cheaper back up deal. This would only happen though if teams like the Steelers and Giants pass and Mitch doesn't like the other possible options. 

[beerme1]

$22 million + x four year deal.

[Orlando Tim]

I would bet it is the $12 million base and a lot of escalators if he starts to get it over 20 million if he starts all 17. Also 2 year deal only 

[0017]

3 years 40 million, just my guess. 

[Returntoglory]

Mitch is a very good QB. Head scratcher really why he was not  picked up as a starter last year. I wish him well. 

[Ethan in Cleveland]

The more the better. Could land a 3rd round comp pick if Beane doesn't screw it up by signing too many guys.  Wallace will probably net them a 4th rounder too.

[LABILLBACKER]

59 minutes ago, Ethan in Portland said:

The more the better. Could land a 3rd round comp pick if Beane doesn't screw it up by signing too many guys.  Wallace will probably net them a 4th rounder too.

Exactly....wish him the best but I could care less where he goes or what he makes as long as we land that 3rd round pick.

[Mike in Horseheads]

@Estro... you should have added a poll to this with your o/u at 12m per. FWIW, I'd say over

 

[HOUSE]

There are desperate teams out there, nothing would surprise me now days.

[Magox]

He will be in high demand, the QB class is weak this year which puts an added premium with FA QB’s and Trubisky is viewed as one of the more attractive options.  He will probably get a deal around the $15m a year with escalators to have it go up to as high of around $18m depending on performance.

 

Lots of upside, mobile, good arm, young with starting and playoff experience.  I would suspect that a year sitting with Daboll and Allen did him good.

[BuffaloBillyG]

If Dalton got $10M last year in a down year for salary cap, I think Trubisky will see something in the range of a 2 year $28M deal as a baseline.

 

I could see it going up from there based on the QB trade market drying up, nothing spectacular in FA or the draft it QB and the amount of QB needy teams this year. I expect a nice comp pick (round 4ish) out of it pending on Beane's FA spending (which should be on the low end this year with the cash we have available).

[njbuff]

Will the Bills get a comp pick?

[KCNC]

17 minutes ago, njbuff said:

Will the Bills get a comp pick?

more than likely depending on what the Bills do in FA

[BarleyNY]

11 hours ago, eSJayDee said:

I don't think there's a reason to think he can't be a top 15 QB.  How much does a Ryan Tannehill make?  I'd think he'd sign somewhere in the neighborhood of $10m SB, low 2022 salary then $20m+ (maybe w/ additional incentives for 2023). So let's say 2 yrs $40m ttl.

Do you mean no reason other than his performance while in Chicago?

[ngbills]

I find this talk funny. What did he do to be in high demand this offseason vs last offseason? But I wouldn’t be shocked to see him get a raise. But $15m? 

[MiltonWaddams]

2 minutes ago, ngbills said:

I find this talk funny. What did he do to be in high demand this offseason vs last offseason? But I wouldn’t be shocked to see him get a raise. But $15m? 

He somehow made people forget his tape from the previous season and watched from afar while his former coach was proven inept and consequently fired. He also played on a team with the best-development story at QB in a long time, possibly ever. He was a the top QB pick in a strong QB draft for something that Chicago saw, and teams in need of a QB see a young, athletic, strong-armed, intelligent and team-first player with upside. He’ll get paid north of $10million annually and there are sufficient signs pointing to that being a possible strong value for the right team.

[Doc]

He should get a decent deal.  Who else is out there who has a winning record, won't cost you a draft pick and who appeared to be hamstrung by an inept HC/OC in his previous stint?  Who is available in the draft that is clearly better?

[boater]

What is the allure of comp picks? 4th rounders.  (3rd round if Leslie didn't choke the pooch in KC and got hired as HC)

 

I'd rather Beane do what needs to be done in FA, instead of signing fewer people in order to get the precious 4th rounder.

 

Regarding Trubisky: someone will overpay him 12 mil plus an incentive laden contract.

[MJS]

2 minutes ago, boater said:

What is the allure of comp picks? 4th rounders.  (3rd round if Leslie didn't choke the pooch in KC and got hired as HC)

 

I'd rather Beane do what needs to be done in FA, instead of signing fewer people in order to get the precious 4th rounder.

 

Regarding Trubisky: someone will overpay him 12 mil plus an incentive laden contract.

The Bills should be doing whatever they possibly can to win now, and that means bringing in whatever free agents you need to make that happen.

 

But, the Bills aren't loaded with cap space, so they will not be able to sign a bunch of guys unless they are depth pieces.

 

I agree that comp picks should not be a primary factor to consider. Bring in the guys to help win.

[No_Matter_What]

OP, seriously, is it that hard to show some respect to the Bills player and write his name correctly? He is Trubisky, not Tribusky.

[eSJayDee]

1 hour ago, BarleyNY said:

Do you mean no reason other than his performance while in Chicago?

I would equate his performance there w/ that of Tannehill's in MIA.  Also, they were both highly regarded draft choices that disappointed.  But, he wasn't bad.  And they both seemed to be in poor situations.  Given that, if anything, I think his CHI performance is indicative that he's got potential.  Frankly, I was shocked when he signed for us for only $2.5m.  I can only assume that he thought he actually needed the training.

[berg1029]

1 hour ago, ngbills said:

I find this talk funny. What did he do to be in high demand this offseason vs last offseason? But I wouldn’t be shocked to see him get a raise. But $15m? 

 

58 minutes ago, MiltonWaddams said:

He somehow made people forget his tape from the previous season and watched from afar while his former coach was proven inept and consequently fired. He also played on a team with the best-development story at QB in a long time, possibly ever. He was a the top QB pick in a strong QB draft for something that Chicago saw, and teams in need of a QB see a young, athletic, strong-armed, intelligent and team-first player with upside. He’ll get paid north of $10million annually and there are sufficient signs pointing to that being a possible strong value for the right team.

 

The most telling thing is that the Giants are after him.  Daboll was the one observing him in practice.  If Daboll is interested and thinks the Giants should be trying to to sign him potentially at a starter price... that speaks volumes

[Turbo44]

34 minutes ago, boater said:

What is the allure of comp picks? 4th rounders.  (3rd round if Leslie didn't choke the pooch in KC and got hired as HC)

 

I'd rather Beane do what needs to be done in FA, instead of signing fewer people in order to get the precious 4th rounder.

 

Regarding Trubisky: someone will overpay him 12 mil plus an incentive laden contract.

Gabe Davis and Tauron Johnson were 4th round picks ……

[Albany,n.y.]

There's no talk in the NY media about Trubisky.  Meanwhile the talk is centered around getting an experienced BACKUP for Jones who can come in & win games if he's out, not a replacement.  The Trubisky to Giants is just speculation by some guy who needs to put something out there to get paid with no idea what he's talking about.  

If Trubisky is going to get over $10 million, it will be from a team where he would immediately be #1 on their depth chart.  Teams like Pittsburgh, New Orleans, Denver, Tampa Bay & Carolina make a lot more sense than the NYG.  Unless the Giants new management has reviewed all the film & decided it's time for Jones to go, they are not signing Mitch.  

[Doc]

3 minutes ago, Albany,n.y. said:

There's no talk in the NY media about Trubisky.  Meanwhile the talk is centered around getting an experienced BACKUP for Jones who can come in & win games if he's out, not a replacement.  The Trubisky to Giants is just speculation by some guy who needs to put something out there to get paid with no idea what he's talking about.  

If Trubisky is going to get over $10 million, it will be from a team where he would immediately be #1 on their depth chart.  Teams like Pittsburgh, New Orleans, Denver, Tampa Bay & Carolina make a lot more sense than the NYG.  Unless the Giants new management has reviewed all the film & decided it's time for Jones to go, they are not signing Mitch.  

 

Yeah, the idea is to fix Jones and signing Trubisky to start doesn't help there, and being a highly-paid backup doesn't make sense.

[BarleyNY]

40 minutes ago, eSJayDee said:

I would equate his performance there w/ that of Tannehill's in MIA.  Also, they were both highly regarded draft choices that disappointed.  But, he wasn't bad.  And they both seemed to be in poor situations.  Given that, if anything, I think his CHI performance is indicative that he's got potential.  Frankly, I was shocked when he signed for us for only $2.5m.  I can only assume that he thought he actually needed the training.

I was surprised when he signed with us for $2.5M too.  But his issues in Chicago seemed to be of the “neck up” variety.  Could that have a lot to do with poor coaching?  Sure.  But even if that was the case (and it almost certainly was), that doesn’t mean he can play if he gets good coaching.  That said, I don’t blame a QB needy team for taking a crack at him.  I would.  It’s a poor QB draft and very poor QB FA class.  What’s worse is that - other than Trubisky - we know who every other FA QB is.  He’s the only one that has a real possibility of upside.  But let’s keep in mind that his stock rose in a year when he didn’t played a meaningful snap.  It didn’t do so well the years he was.