
Sammy Watkins' Rib
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The Jets have given the Bills fits dating back to both games last year. Even if Allen had zero turnovers in that game the Bills are probably looking at a 20 to 13 type of low scoring and low offensive output type of win. It's just a personnel and match up thing that favors the Jets D over the Bills O. Meanwhile, the Bills offense has owned the Dolphins defense in three straight games dating back to last year. Against the Dolphins, the Bills have demonstrated that they can turn the ball over three times and still score 34 points and rack up 450 yards of offense. Sure, the Dolphins have superior talent than the Pats. But can you say they have superior talent across the board compared to the Bills? I don't think so. And even with that large talent gap over the Pats the Dolphins won by one score and were possibly a fat man gaining an extra half yard away from going into OT against the Pats.
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The last three games against the Jets the Bills offense has been well below average. That really wasn't a surprise. Expect a well below average offensive output again when we play the Jets later this season at home. The last three games against the Dolphins the Bills offense has moved the ball with ease. Last three games against the Dolphins: Record 2-1 Game 1: 500 yards 31 first downs 19 points 1 Turnover Game 2: 450 yards 29 first downs 32 points 1 Turnover Game 3: 425 yards 25 first downs 34 points 3 Turnovers Last three games against the Jets: Record 1-2 Game 1: 320 yards 19 first downs 17 points 2 Turnovers Game 2: 232 yards 14 first downs 20 points 0 Turnovers Game 3: 315 yards 19 first downs 16 points 4 Turnovers It's been a night and day difference in offensive output going against the Dolphins defense vs. the Jets defense. Haha! I was going to say Chiefs Planet is the absolute worst of humanity.
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Random talking head says something about the Bills
Sammy Watkins' Rib replied to Simon's topic in The Stadium Wall
LOL. Yeah people have forgotten about Allen but they just love Joe Burrow still? He's really lighting it up this year. His regular season play is now matching his below average postseason averages. No QB has benefited more in recent years than Burrow has with a defense that has played its best football at the right time of the year. -
Gabe is fine if we get a more consistently targeted #2 receiver. The long-term plan is for that player to be Dalton Kincaid. Would be great if Kincaid could become that heavily targeted receiver this year but he's going to have to eventually start running routes deeper than 3 yards down the field. So far this year, Gabe's target shar percentage is actually down 3% year over year. I think that is good. We want the offense to target Gabe at the right times. However, Diggs target share is up 2% year over year. Diggs is a great player but I'm not sure we need him getting nearly 1 out of every 3 targets. Ultimately what the offense needs is for the TE's to average more than 6.5 ypr. Both Knox and Kincaid have 12 targets each on the season which i think is good number to be at but 6.5 ypr is dreadful. Got to get that up at least into the 8.5 range. We could have. But the Bills have invested in Kincaid. He showed well in the preseason. So far in the regular season he has showed good hands. But they have him running 3-5 yard routes.
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Week 4, Bills favored by 3 over Dolphins
Sammy Watkins' Rib replied to Chaos's topic in The Stadium Wall
Dolphins are going to try and run it all over us first and foremost. Run D continues to be our weakness. This year they have looked really good for stretches but they still consistently give up huge chunk plays in the running game. -
Week 4 AFC Power Rankings
Sammy Watkins' Rib replied to Giuseppe Tognarelli's topic in The Stadium Wall
The logic is sound. It’s about the bills playing a top five team this weekend. To this point neither to the chiefs or bills have played a top five team. The bills can jump the Chiefs and the dolphins this weekend. -
Week 4, Bills favored by 3 over Dolphins
Sammy Watkins' Rib replied to Chaos's topic in The Stadium Wall
Will we get the Miami that scored 24 @ NE or the Miami that scored 70 vs. Denver? I look at this game as basically zero percent chance the Bills could lose by more than a TD but about a 10% chance the Bills could really put it on Miami and win by 2+ scores. The goal should be to hold Miami well under 30 points just as NE did. The difference is our offense is very much capable of putting up 30+ if needed. The last three between these teams have been decided by 2, 3 and 3 points. Bills winning 2 of the last three. Bills -3 see like a perfect line. -
Week 4 AFC Power Rankings
Sammy Watkins' Rib replied to Giuseppe Tognarelli's topic in The Stadium Wall
Yep. And the Bills are favored by 3 this Sunday over the team that most people in the sports world have as the "best team in the league" and that team is coming off a 70 point performance. We will know soon enough which team is the best in the league. Bills or Dolphins. Chiefs have the Jets and 49ers have the Cardinals. Won't learn anything good about either of those two contenders. -
Week 4, Bills favored by 3 over Dolphins
Sammy Watkins' Rib replied to Chaos's topic in The Stadium Wall
I can’t really see the bills being blown out to be honest. As great as the Dolphins are, there is a slim chance we could blow them out if Tua somehow has a game like he did last year against the chargers. Or if he gets knocked out, of course. But even then, with Mike White being the back up their offense should be OK.