Sammy Watkins' Rib

Correct. Next year he is top 3. Like i said, wasn't sure. His cap hits the next four season starting in 2025 are 3rd, 7th, 6th and 5th highest among QB's. So he'll average a top 5 cap hit in the 2025-2028 seasons as it stands now. Of course there will be restructures and extensions between all the QB's. Jalen Hurts cap hits the next four years are 18th, 18th, 14th and 8th highest in the league. That is how they are currently affording two highly paid WR's for the next few seasons.

It's more about cap hit. Allen's cap hit the next couple of seasons may in fact be top 5 for the position, not sure. Eagles have paid to WR's because Hurts contract hasn't kicked in yet in terms of big cap hits. Once those other QB's who signed big deals last year have their big cap hits come due, the Bills will be in a better spot. For a year or so anyway until Allen signs a new contract for the highest paid QB again before his current deal is up.

Yards Per Target (YPT) is a good barometer IMO. You want a guy with a YPT over 8.5 at least (the higher the better but anything over 10 is elite) while eating up a lot of targets. Unfortunately, Diggs ate up a lot of targets, 160 or so, and had a YPT of like 7.5, but even worse, that was his YPT for the season. He was far worse down the stretch of the regular season with a YPT in the 5's. And in the two post season games his YPT was below 5. Now, in both 2020 and 2022 Diggs had a YPT over 9 for the season. What would have been your opinion of Diggs this last year as a #1 WR? He certainly looked the part in terms of both volume and production the first half of the season. But the second half of the season he was simply a guy getting a more targets than everyone else but not producing.

The team went on like a six game winning streak when we "phased out" Diggs and Davis from the game plan. The offense was hardly abysmal. The offense was different, more running game and ball control but they won games. And that included scoring 27.5 ppg in the playoffs which was higher than their regular season average. If I would have done my homework and knew that Coleman returned punts for FSU at 6'3" and 210lbs I would have had this guy as a top 5 WR in this years draft. Beyond athletic ability returning punts requires football instincts and vision, especially so when you body is a 6'3" 210lb target that doesn't have sub 4.45 speed. Imagine Gabe Davis returning punts. Yikes!

For a guy that wanted to win so badly he sure did disappear often in the playoffs. And what was his deal in the second half of each of the last two seasons? Dude fell off a cliff in both seasons. But he "wants to win". Imagine how much better the Bills could have been last season when Shakir and Kincaid started to emerge in the second half of the season if Diggs had not disappeared down the stretch. What's exciting is that we don't have a WR that is going to expect/demand 160+ targets from the QB. We should have great balance this year with 4 or more receivers including Kincaid all around the 80-120 target range.

What ability would you call a 6’3” 210lb guy returner punts? It’s definitely a unique trait for someone of that size.

there is no Diggs replacement for the offense imo. And there won’t be one. The offense is changing as a whole. It’s why Diggs was phased out the second half of the season. It’s why Shakir emerged as the leading yardage and reception receiver on the team to close the season.

Kelce was pretty bad by his standards last year in the regular season. he balled out in the post season. But there is a legit chance he regresses even more this regular season which would be really bad news for KC. His days could really be numbered.

We need to remember how much Diggs was being phased out of the offense when Brady took over. I really don't see us missing Diggs targets and receptions from the last half of the season and playoffs. Shakir was our leading reception and yardage receiver for the last half of the season. I was at the Chargers game, okay a game the offense struggled but that had more to do with three really bad turnovers two of which were fumbles by Cook and Harty. But it was amazing to be how many times Diggs was on the sideline for multiple plays in a row and some crucial third downs as well. Despite the phase out of Diggs the Bills won like 6 games in a row towards the end of the season. The big question is whether or not the presence of Diggs on the field, when he wasn't being phased out completely on the sideline, helped the other receivers get open. And will we miss that? That is hard to gauge.

Might have that already in Shakir? Shakir has alligator arms but led the team in receiving yards and receptions the back half of the season. Receivers with such short arms are not supposed to be successful. But if you separate and get open it doesn't matter if you have short arms.

I have not idea what you are referring to or what your point is NoSaint.😕 Put back a punt catcher?

We have our #1 WR. It's Dalton Kincaid. You don't trade up for a TE in the first round and not expect him to take over as your #1 targeted receiver by year 2. Coleman is easily a Davis replacement but with much higher upside than Davis. Shakir showed quite a bit of promise last year. Led our team in receptions and yards I believe the second half of the season and playoffs. Samuel is a 90+ target receiver in each of the last four years he was healthy.

You don't get put in as punt returner if you don't have some natural athletic ability. The fact that he returned punts for FSU at his body size is a good sign IMO. This guy has football quickness and IQ.

One of my sneaky favorite things about Coleman is that at 6'3" and 210+ lbs FSU decided to make him their punt returner. That's crazy to me. How many punt returners at the collegiate and NFL level are over 6'2" and 200lbs +? I don't envision the Bills asking Coleman to return punts but just the fact that he has and did do it I think shows the guy has some natural athletic ability beyond just being a tall and big bodied WR.

??? I mean, would you have posted this no matter what position and player the Bills drafted? It's common sense that you move out when you have multiple, I would guess at least 3-4 minimum, guys all ranked equally. Coleman was a guy in that group. He wasn't THE GUY so to speak. Bills were certainly willing to risk someone else picking him and isntead taking McConkey, DeJean or whoever else. It's certainly possible Worthy and Legett were also in that tight group that the Beane valued as the same.

Davis replacement. Love his size.

No bueno for me. With a daughter who is in competitive swimming, Presidents weekend is Championship weekend for the winter swim season.

DeJean, McConkey or Franklin I will be happy with any of the three. Dream come true if we somehow land two out of the three in the second round.

How concerned should we be with Franklin's weight? He's 176 and three inches taller than Xavier Worthy.

Find a way to end day two with two out of the three guys above as Bills and this draft will be a home run. Maybe the best I can recall after day 2. Few would have batted an eye if either of the three were taken at #28 or #32. They are all still available when we start round 2.

Not sure how you can come to this conclusion already when we haven't made a pick yet and there are still like 4-5 WR's that we could have picked anywhere from #28 to #40 and we wouldn't have been surprised. Franklin, McConkey, Coleman, AD Mitchell etc. I'm guessing Beane has about 4-5 WR's all with the same grade and that is why he moved down. Even if 2 of them are now gone, that still leaves 2 or 3 on his board at least.

I think we would all be thrilled to land Franklin anywhere in the second round.

I looked up the last 20 drafts and was somewhat surprised to see a team has trading down from the first pick of the second round only twice. It happened in 2015 and 2007. https://www.prosportstransactions.com/football/DraftTrades/Years/2007.htm You would think with nearly 24hrs to take trade calls it would happen more often. Now, the Bills are in a somewhat rare spot where they have traded down twice starting late in the first round to end up at #33. They seem to be a much more willing team to move the #33 pick then perhaps many of the teams that have held the first pick of the 2nd round in previous drafts.

Both are day two QB's IMO. What is weird about this draft and maybe it is a new trend, it's like teams don't want to take QB's in rounds 2 or 3 anymore. Will there be a single QB selected today? GM's either want to be all in on a QB by committing to them in round 1 or take them on day 3 to set the expectations very low.

Vikings area loser for me because they drafted JJ McCarthy. The athletic Mac Jones. It was a smart pick by them for I think. I like Maye. He is Josh Allen lite.