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DraftKings Sportsbook has set the Buffalo Bills’ win total for the 2023 NFL season 10.5 wins


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NFL free agency is now two weeks old and the 2023 NFL Draft is just weeks away, with the first round taking place the night of April 27. While there’s much to happen before the Buffalo Bills take the field for organized team activities (OTAs), and months to go before the team reconvenes at St. John Fisher University, now seems like a perfect opportunity to set expectations for upcoming season.

 

https://www.buffalorumblings.com/2023/3/26/23657190/poll-will-the-buffalo-bills-beat-their-2023-nfl-vegas-win-total-super-bowl-playoffs

 

 

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The over is -140.  Basically, Vegas thinks they’re an 11-6 team which seems exactly right to me.  The interesting part IMO is that they don’t think the Bills win the division.

Edited by Billl
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34 minutes ago, Success said:

It's a tough schedule. Still think we're a top 3 team - but around 11-12 wins sounds about right, given the opponents.

 


yes I felt slighted by 10.5 at first, but the schedule is just ridiculous. We play every single conference semifinalist from 2022 plus the Chargers, the Jets twice and Miami twice. 

Edited by Charles Romes
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16 minutes ago, Billsflyer12 said:

The schedule is insane, one of hardest I’ve ever seen.  As of now I had them at 9 or 10, so 10.5 seems about right.

seems pretty hard right now.. but then again, the Rams and Packers games seemed tough when the 2022 schedule came out last May.

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They see what’s going on, even if some fans want to ignore it.

 

- Miami has gotten a lot better this off-season. Fangio alone was a huge get. Add in Ramsey, who even if overrated is better than what they had, and Long who a good downhill thumping LB, and it’s gotten harder to beat them.

 

- The Jets beat us with that 18 year old they have at QB. Their defense is incredible. Not fake incredible like Mcd/Frazier’s. But actually incredible. They add Rodgers and things get real sticky. Rodgers would could put up only 20ppg and they would still likely make the playoffs. 

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8 minutes ago, Einstein said:

They see what’s going on, even if some fans want to ignore it.

 

- Miami has gotten a lot better this off-season. Fangio alone was a huge get. Add in Ramsey, who even if overrated is better than what they had, and Long who a good downhill thumping LB, and it’s gotten harder to beat them.

 

- The Jets beat us with that 18 year old they have at QB. Their defense is incredible. Not fake incredible like Mcd/Frazier’s. But actually incredible. They add Rodgers and things get real sticky. Rodgers would could put up only 20ppg and they would still likely make the playoffs. 

Both have concerns as any team does:

MIA does Tua stay healthy?

NYJ can their D replicate, A lot of new parts - do they mesh, when will Rodgers fall off a cliff?

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1 hour ago, Billl said:

The over is -140.  Basically, Vegas thinks they’re an 11-6 team which seems exactly right to me.  The interesting part IMO is that they don’t think the Bills win the division.

Which Sportsbook has the Bills as the "non favorite" to win the Afc east?

 

DraftKings has Buffalo +135, Jets next at +240, then Miami +300.

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1 hour ago, Einstein said:

They see what’s going on, even if some fans want to ignore it.

 

- Miami has gotten a lot better this off-season. Fangio alone was a huge get. Add in Ramsey, who even if overrated is better than what they had, and Long who a good downhill thumping LB, and it’s gotten harder to beat them.

 

- The Jets beat us with that 18 year old they have at QB. Their defense is incredible. Not fake incredible like Mcd/Frazier’s. But actually incredible. They add Rodgers and things get real sticky. Rodgers would could put up only 20ppg and they would still likely make the playoffs. 

Have to agree. I wouldn't be surprised if the Bills don't win the division. 

 

On paper, the Dolphins are better than the Bills except at QB. 

 

Adding Rodgers to the Jets clearly puts them right there vs Buffalo. 

 

Both of this teams have no fear or intimation vs Buffalo.  After last year, I believe they are confident they can beat the Bills. Not sure they felt that way in several years.  A belief in winning and taking the next step is crucial for the chasing teams. 

Edited by newcam2012
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It's interesting thinking about heading into last season.  I thought both the Broncos & Colts would be formidable, and if someone told me we'd have 3 losses, I doubt I would have guessed "Jets, Phins, Vikings."  

 

In a way, we seem to play better against the top teams.  Hopefully, the tough schedule and tough division will forge them into a championship team by the end.

 

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8 hours ago, Beck Water said:

Questions:

 

What were the pre-season predictions for the Bills from this outfit last year at this time?

And what was the consensus here?

I believe the board was predicting pretty much 13-14 wins but nobody predicted 1 game would not be played  

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9 hours ago, MasterStrategist said:

Which Sportsbook has the Bills as the "non favorite" to win the Afc east?

 

DraftKings has Buffalo +135, Jets next at +240, then Miami +300.

Buffalo is the favorite, but they all pay more than even odds.  The books think they’re the most likely to win, but they’ve got less than a 50% chance of winning.

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12 hours ago, HOUSE said:

Seems low to me, 12 would be my guess

I would be in the 12 camp too, until I looked at the schedule. It’s a tough schedule. Nothing wrong with a 10 win battle tested team. I’d prefer that to the golden boys next year. Golden boys, refers to odds on favorite to win SB. I like coming in under the radar.

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Just now, HOUSE said:

The Dolphins will go with Tua and f*** it all up

 

I can't see Tua staying healthy. He had 2 confirmed concussions last year (CIN/GB) and probably suffered one against the Bills as well. If the Dolphins find a decent QB then they will be in the mix for the division. If not, it will come down to the Bills and Jets assuming they get Rodgers.

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