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Beck Water

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Everything posted by Beck Water

  1. Did Hart wipe his face and bag it up for DNA evidence?
  2. I think this is the opposite of what's correct. If the lineman is engaged as a blocker, he's allowed to be downfield. If he's running downfield looking for something to do, he's "ineligible receiver downfield". If Brown reported in as an eligible receiver, he would still not be eligible to catch a pass because he would be "covered" by a receiver lined up to his R https://www.the-sun.com/sport/nfl/6020900/ineligible-receiver-ineligible-man-downfield-nfl/ If he were NOT engaged as a blocker, then I believe he gets a yard in the NFL (3 in college) though I'm hazy on this point. If he's continuously engaged as a blocker then he can go further downfield. Nope, no miss, he snuck out and ran across. It's a good question whether he was >1 yd past the line of scrimmage or not, and whether the "screen pass exception" exists in the NFL (apparently it does not)
  3. DingDingDing I believe you are correct Edit: although another source I consulted says that's an NCAA only exception.
  4. Now that can't be, since I read on that Phins fan blog that the Dolphins are better 'cuz W-L record of opponent
  5. Can't speak for everyone, but I put a lot of stock in BangedupBills, and that's what he said - apparently based on the kind of injury it is and what he knows about their general time course to resolve.
  6. Then maybe he'll live in the training room and tear up the zero-gravity treadmill and manage to play It's a pretty good guess that his hammy may be mild, since he was seen walking around Poyer's sneaker opening without a gimp
  7. It's cuz they hadn't posted their injury report yet. If you click again it's got the phins I hadn't noticed before that Milano was FP, that's good news
  8. I thought he made some good anticipatory short throws to guys who were NFL covered. Oh, for sure. I would like to see time to release stats, but yes the Dolphins were playing the "get the ball out fast" game.
  9. I don't think Jackson will be ready to go. I think he will be wanting to go, but wiser heads will prevail on a short week. As Banged-up points out, it's essentially akin to a whiplash injury, and it's probably gonna take a week for the swelling to subside to where he can just physically turn his head. And that's with all the stuff they do, without that 2 weeks or more.
  10. So Kyle Trimble has a summary/prediction up including a couple players injured during the game. https://bangedupbills.com/2022/09/21/buffalo-bills-vs-tennessee-titans-week-2-injury-recap/ Ed Oliver - ankle (predicts his return due to type of injury/timeline) Gabe Davis - ankle (predicts his return due to type of injury/timeline) Tim Settle - calf (says he's possible, but not certain due to type of injury/timeline) Mitch Morse - elbow (since he returned to the game, predicts he's likely to play) Dane Jackson - neck (likely to miss 1 or more games, needs to "get right") Micah Hyde - neck (predicts he is likely to play) Matt Milano - stinger (predicts he is likely to play) Jordan Phillips - hamstring (predicts he is likely out, due to Bills historical management of hammys) Two other additions: Dawson Knox - foot (had it taped and returned to the game, likely to play) Reggie Gilliam - L elbow/forearm (seen wearing a brace in the 2nd half)
  11. Did I miss this upthread? https://bangedupbills.com/2022/09/21/buffalo-bills-vs-tennessee-titans-week-2-injury-recap/
  12. LOL I'm taking Fitzy's word for it. Note carefully that Fitz did not say Tue DOES excel at decision making and throwing with anticipation. He said he COULD excel at those things. But give the guy some credit. He's not completing 71% of his passes because he's inaccurate, holding onto the ball, and making bad decisions, either.
  13. The thing that has me rolling my eyes there about the Tua/Mahomes comparison that Schrags keeps saying he's not makiing - and again, not wanting to take away from Tua having a clutch 4Q performance - but what was notable about Mahomes in 2018 was that he came out the gate firing and he fired all over the field. He scored points in the 1st and 2nd Q, he threw to 5 or 6 different receivers, he did not throw a pick for the first 4 weeks of the season. So sure, I agree with his point that right now, was the win over the Ravens 4Q heroics against a poor defense that put their party hats on prematurely after going into halftime 28-7 and answering back 35-14 in the 3Q? Or does it mean Tua has genuinely taken a big step as a QB? And that beating the Bills would be a strong argument for the latter. But I think they need to just STOP with the Mahomes comparisons, because as of right now, Tua hasn't shown he's fit to hold Mahomes left cleat.
  14. Do you remember when in the game it was? Because it's pretty impressive that Josh had that much extra energy. I think in prep for the draft, Josh was just starting to work with the top athletic training technicians. He kept it up after the draft, and since. I don't know the real name of the guy he works with but in his interview with Chris Simms, Josh referred to him as "Flare (Flehr? Flahr?) Bear", and in one of his post-draft interviews someone said it was the same guy Deshaun Watson trains with for speed/explosiveness. So just as guys like Epenesa and Rousseau have gotten stronger and more explosive, so has Josh.
  15. So the thing is, right now the Miami offense looks custom-built to favor the traits Tua can excel at: decision making and throwing with accuracy and anticipation. That's kind of a Mike Shanahan offense, right? Wide zone runs seeking a vertical seam, high percentage intermediate throws set up by run misdirection, speedy WR who are both fast enough to get to a spot in the short/intermediate game before a pass rush can get home and break free for huge YAC and to burn the defense on deep routes. And the thing is, most of the Shanahan disciples have had good success with this - McVay, Kyle Shanahan, etc. What they need are the raw ingredients - a savvy QB who can make the reads and get the ball out with anticipation and accuracy, a running back or 2 who are fast enough to get to the edge and stretch the defense horizontally, and a couple of fast WR who are both dangerous after the catch in the short/intermediate passing game, and able to run the deep routes quickly. Joe Montana could aptly have been described as a plucky, lucky, kinda limp armed little guy at one point. He developed himself past that description, of course. But anyway, Kyle Shanahan went to a SB and a conference championship with Jimmy Garappolo and McVay has a SB loss with Goff and a win with Stafford. All these guys have their own wrinkles, of course, and we don't have a lot of data yet on what McVay's wrinkles will be, but that's it at the core: it's an offense designed to help a plucky, lucky, relatively limp armed QB take advantage of (or slaughter) a defense and succeed. A couple notable factors from the limited stats we have, in no particular order: 1) Mia RB are 30 year od vet Raheem Mostert and 26 year old vet Chas Edmonds. Despite the historical roots of the Shanahan wide zone, the Fins have not been particularly successful in the run game. Neither back has more than 100 yds, and the Fins have 65 and 86 yds rushing in their 2 games. Hill, Waddle, and another WR also have runs. This suggests to me (without breaking down their games on film) they are using a short passing game to the perimeter as part of their run game and to spread the field horizontally 2) If you look at the charts for Tua's passing, you confirm this: https://nextgenstats.nfl.com/charts/player/season/tua-tagovailoa/TAG620344/2022/1/pass Patriots: all but 6 passes were within 15 yds of the LOS, and of those 6, 4 were incomplete. But the completed passes are spread very evenly across the field, with completions somewhat favoring the L side. 5 passes at or behind the LOS. https://nextgenstats.nfl.com/charts/player/2022/tua-tagovailoa/TAG620344/2022/2/pass Superficially this chart looks different with laser-light passing TDs all over the place, but underneath, it's similar: 8 passes beyond 15 yards. Of those 8, 3 were incomplete (1 INT). Passes spread very evenly across the field. 8 passes behind the LOS. 3) Currently, 46% of Tua's passing yards are YAC. Point is, you got fast WR who can make guys miss, you can run an effective passing game. Shall we say "torched by his noodley appendage?" 4) It's kind of interesting to compare to Matt Stafford's week 1 chart https://nextgenstats.nfl.com/charts/player/2022/matthew-stafford/STA134157/2022/1/pass We see that all but 6 of Staffords 41 pass attempts were within 15 yds of the LOS (7th very close, a TD) and that 4 of those 6 (or 7) were incomplete with 1 INT. Here's Tannehill, just for completeness: https://nextgenstats.nfl.com/charts/player/2022/ryan-tannehill/TAN298716/2022/2/pass Bottom line, make no mistake that McDaniel is very likely running a variant of the Shanahan/McVay "wide zone" offense, and that teams can win with this offense. And yeah, if you fall asleep he can throw deep and burn you. But it can be shut down and limited too. There's a reason the Rams have lost 7 of 11 games to the 49ers since 2017. Shanahan takes one look at McVay's offense and says "I See You, and mine's better" Oh, and BTW - Cover1 and others have pointed out that the Bills are having some success in the run game importing Shanahan/49ers run concepts. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PlWqsOvCwco It's just possible McDaniel is well suited to recognize these concepts and shut them down. PS without taking away from Tua, who played good games and did what he was asked to do - I think it remains to be determined if Tua has the mental and psychological makeup to be that Garappolo/Goff "we can win with him" guy. It has to be emphasized again, that the Baltimore defense was #32 against the pass and #19 on points last season, and it isn't looking so far as though parting from Wink Martindale improved it.
  16. That alone reveals them to have the football acumen of a Starfruit https://buffalonews.com/news/local/why-the-buffalo-bills-wanted-marv-levy-right-here-right-now/article_0ff75adc-391c-11ed-98b4-f3a447d236aa.html That's all them "Fin Fans" need to know about the longeivity of our fan-wagon The Bills are a good football team with aspirations of greatness. Losing to a great football team doesn't make you a pretender.
  17. So one thing Belicheck is known for is disguise, no? Disguised coverage, disguised pressure?
  18. There are two problems with this strategy. One is named Jordan Phillips. The other is named Ed Oliver. They're both likely to show up on injury report this week.
  19. Thinking a bit further...I guess he is summing the opponents total W-L record, including the game played against us. It's just a strange way of thinking about it at this point in the season when every team started out 0-0 and there's a lot of random chance in who a team's first 2 opponents were. It amounts to arguing that the Dolphins are a better team because the G-men snuck out a win when Tenn's FG kicker missed a 47 yarder, while the Pats snuck by Pittsburgh 17-14. Maybe when the dust settles NE will be a better team than Tennessee this year, but it's too early to tell.
  20. Thanks @Simon Speaking of C, has anyone taken up a collection yet to upgrade the Bills backup C situation? Thank God Allen has sure hands for the ball and great reflexes because Van Roten did NOT impress.
  21. I'm impressed by your fortitude. I couldn't get past the Record of Opponants (sic): Josh....1-3 Tua.....2-2 How can opponents have a 4 game record (1-3 or 2-2) when.....wait for it....we've only played 2 games?
  22. Agreed I'm frankly a bit surprised Hart is still on the team. He needs to Megan Trainor that ***** after the game. Oh wow, where did you hear that? Hart actually played about 25% of the snaps in the game.
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