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How did the Patriots maintain a top team for 17 years?


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1 hour ago, Gregg said:

Brady the GOAT, Belichick the GOAT. Built a solid roster around #12. The Bills, Dolphins, Jets = Three stooges. Division was a joke as NE would usually have it clinched by late Oct/ early Nov. Because of it they usually had the #1 or #2 seed so they rarely had to play on WC weekend.

Sounds like KC's road lately. I thought the AFC West was going to be tough, but its 2nd worst in the AFC.  Both AFC/NFC South was a joke. 

Edited by TampaBillsJunkie
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1 hour ago, corta765 said:

1. Brady

2. Coaching BB as a coach is great

3. Smart FA signing at the right time. Moss & Welker 07, Gilmore 17, Corey Dillon 2004, etc.. when NE went to the FA for a star caliber player it fit their scheme to a T normally and gave great dividends

4. Took advantage of extra draft picks before other teams started doing so which allowed a greater hit rate on players outside of the 1st round

5. AFC East was garbage

6. Secured the #1 seed an insane number of times which allowed a far easier path to the SB.  They only lost once at home in the AFC title game (BAL 2012), by comparison on the road they were 3-3.

 

  Well their road record was due to not having any ability to jam the opponents helmet communication with their players.  They have all they need at Foxborough to mess with the radio signals so it disrupts the game for opponents.

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2 minutes ago, TampaBillsJunkie said:

Sounds like KC's road lately. I thought the AFC West was going to be tough, but its 2nd worst in the AFC.  Both AFC/NFC South was a joke. 

 

I also thought the AFCW would be tough. The Chargers always seem to give them a tough time, but they almost always lose.

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1 hour ago, Buffalo Boy said:

   I would take Montana over him every single time.

    Let little Tommy take the hits JM was subject to…..and see how it turns out. Oh, that’s right, we saw that with the Giants and Eagles😜

Well, being you’re just a boy, I understand your behavior.

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Like most things, this too isn’t complicated. Before Brady they’re a decent but floundering franchise….nothing special or feared. Then, with Tom Brady as their quarterback they’re in, or winning, championships. And finally when Brady leaves, they’re right back to nothing special or feared…again. 
Period! 

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2 hours ago, Success said:

I thought it might be interesting to put our loathing aside and really analyze how they pulled it off.  What they did is what I want the Bills to do - dominate for many years, and as long as they have Allen at QB.

 

They didn't have the ebb & flow that a team normally has, even w/ a top QB.  Their window was wide open for most of those 17 years. They made 9 SB's, and probably should have made 1-2 more.  My own thoughts:

 

1) Obviously, Brady took less pay so the team could afford better players.  I still don't see that being as impactful as it's made out to be - he was still paid a lot.

2) Aging vet stars took pay cuts just to play w/ Brady. Will we see that w/ Allen?

3) The Patriots made very few investments in bigtime skill players.  Moss was the exception, not the rule.

4) One of the hallmarks of Belichick was letting players walk before they started to decline.  Almost exactly what we're looking at w/ Poyer.

5) Their biggest priority, year after year, was making sure the O-line was strong.  That's just what you do when you have a top QB.

 

Still, the run is somewhat mystifying.  Belichick was not a great drafter, which is usually needed once a QB gets past the rookie contract.  Superior coaching clearly played a part. I think BB got the best out of his players (which is something we aren't doing right now - we see players leave the Bills and perform better than they did here).

 

Thoughts?

Belichick never hesitated to trade guys for maximum value.  Chandler Jones was one that comes to mind.  Great player, they weren’t going to be able to pay him so they dealt him for a first. Our staff seems so loyal to guys that’ll they hold on to them instead of letting young guys get reps and getting something in return.  
 

also Brady always had a top tier slot guy and good tight ends his whole career.  Welker, Edelman, Amandola, Troy Brown etc.  

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16 minutes ago, BADOLBILZ said:

 

 

I'd add that for most of their run there weren't as many talented QB's in the NFL as there are today.    And certainly not as diversely skilled both in terms of passing and running...........the latter of which has always been an achilles heel of Belichicks' defenses.

 

6 of the 7 teams that made the AFC playoffs this year did so largely because they had MVP or even HOF type talent at QB.........injury kept one of them out(Jackson)..........Miami with Tua is the only exception and he was outperforming all of them at one point in the season.

 

During most of Brady's career there were only 3-5 extraordinary QB's at any given time in the entire league.    He basically just had to beat Manning and/or Roethlisberger to get to a SB.  

 

I'm certainly not complaining because if it didn't get easier to find a QB the bumbling Bills franchise that traded Mahomes away would probably not have gotten one........but it's not as easy to get thru the AFC now as it was for a long time prior, IMO.   

I think you could make a case that there were more elite QBs then than now.  Brady, Manning, Ben, Favre/Rodgers, Mahomes, Brees, Rivers, etc.

 

There are 3 right now.

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All that writing and the answer is Tom Brady. Belicheck blows, they haven't drafted well ever, Brady was just that good. 

2 hours ago, Gregg said:

Brady the GOAT, Belichick the GOAT. Built a solid roster around #12. The Bills, Dolphins, Jets = Three stooges. Division was a joke as NE would usually have it clinched by late Oct/ early Nov. Because of it they usually had the #1 or #2 seed so they rarely had to play on WC weekend.

Belichik rode the TB12 coat tails. He's a garbage executive who didn't supplement the offense around Brady except for 1 year, but Brady was simply that good.

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15 minutes ago, SACTOBILLSFAN said:

All that writing and the answer is Tom Brady. Belicheck blows, they haven't drafted well ever, Brady was just that good. 

Belichik rode the TB12 coat tails. He's a garbage executive who didn't supplement the offense around Brady except for 1 year, but Brady was simply that good.

This Bills team wins a super bowl last year with Belichick at HC.

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28 minutes ago, Billl said:

I think you could make a case that there were more elite QBs then than now.  Brady, Manning, Ben, Favre/Rodgers, Mahomes, Brees, Rivers, etc.

 

There are 3 right now.

 

The QB situation in the AFC is WAY better now.  Brady basically had to get past Manning to get to the SB.  Rivers never had the teams to compete, and wasn't close to Brady/Manning level. Big Ben was never in the top tier, imo.

 

The AFC is completely stacked right now.  Maybe there are only 3 at the "elite" level, but there are 3-4 more knocking on that door.  The QB play is so much better today than it was 10 years ago.

 

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2 hours ago, Gregg said:

Brady the GOAT, Belichick the GOAT. Built a solid roster around #12. The Bills, Dolphins, Jets = Three stooges. Division was a joke as NE would usually have it clinched by late Oct/ early Nov. Because of it they usually had the #1 or #2 seed so they rarely had to play on WC weekend.

This is true! What is also true is Brady ALWAYS took less than fair market value on his contracts. So they always had more money to spend on other positions. I truly fed Rogers as great as he was kept his team from winning because of his insane contracts, I also think the Colts would have won more if they spent a little bit on D. 

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9 minutes ago, Billl said:

I think you could make a case that there were more elite QBs then than now.  Brady, Manning, Ben, Favre/Rodgers, Mahomes, Brees, Rivers, etc.

 

There are 3 right now.

 

There were about 11 elite QB's in the NFL for varying lengths of time in the 2 decades prior to when Mahomes/Watson entered the league and started a several year run of multi-talented QB's entering the NFL.

 

And it was pretty well split evenly between conferences during that period that began with Manning, Warner and Brady all arriving as star players between 1998-2001.

 

But there is more depth/talent in the AFC now than there has ever been and the athleticism is off the charts as well.

 

Whether they are elite or not at the moment is debatable..........for instance I'm sure you don't think Herbert is in there but his stats say otherwise.

 

And not all of the players you listed were elite all throughout their careers or at the same time either........Favre and Rodgers were elite at the same time for 1 season, for instance.   Same with Ben and Mahomes.   Rivers was inconsistent for the last 10 years of his career etc..

 

    

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3 hours ago, Success said:

I thought it might be interesting to put our loathing aside and really analyze how they pulled it off.  What they did is what I want the Bills to do - dominate for many years, and as long as they have Allen at QB.

 

They didn't have the ebb & flow that a team normally has, even w/ a top QB.  Their window was wide open for most of those 17 years. They made 9 SB's, and probably should have made 1-2 more.  My own thoughts:

 

1) Obviously, Brady took less pay so the team could afford better players.  I still don't see that being as impactful as it's made out to be - he was still paid a lot.

2) Aging vet stars took pay cuts just to play w/ Brady. Will we see that w/ Allen?

3) The Patriots made very few investments in bigtime skill players.  Moss was the exception, not the rule.

4) One of the hallmarks of Belichick was letting players walk before they started to decline.  Almost exactly what we're looking at w/ Poyer.

5) Their biggest priority, year after year, was making sure the O-line was strong.  That's just what you do when you have a top QB.

 

Still, the run is somewhat mystifying.  Belichick was not a great drafter, which is usually needed once a QB gets past the rookie contract.  Superior coaching clearly played a part. I think BB got the best out of his players (which is something we aren't doing right now - we see players leave the Bills and perform better than they did here).

 

Thoughts?

They paid off the refs….

 

they had staff steal signals and calls….

 

in general…if you can go 5-2 in your division you have a >95% chance of making the playoffs.  Since the 8 division format, only snout 4-5 teams missed it after going 5-1. Detroit this year was the latest.  This percentage could have been higher if they didn’t do the final game be divisional game where team might be 4-1 in division, locked in their seed, so they rest everyone.

 

you need to make the right personnel decisions on who to sign/ keep and who goes.

 

if you are a very good team, many vets will sign for less to get to the super bowl

 

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2 hours ago, MJS said:

You can divide their years into three different buckets:

 

Early dominance: 2001 to 2004. They won 3 superbowls in 4 years.

 

Middle Less Dominant: 2005 to 2013. No superbowl wins. They were somewhat like our Bills today, not getting over the hump in the playoffs. They were even one-and-done in the playoffs two times during this stretch. They did get there twice, but lost to the Giants both times.

 

Late Dominance: 2014 to 2020. Everything clicked again for a few years. They won 4 more superbowls during this stretch.

 

Tom Brady is the big reason they won so much. He is the GOAT. He also took a discount for much of those years. They also had successful schemes and knew how to bring in role players to fit specific roles in the offense. They didn't always draft particularly well, but they were good at bringing in value free agents and made trades or signed big time players at the right time to help get over the hump (Wes Welker, Randy Moss, Stephon Gilmore, etc.)

2014 to 2020 they won 3 super bowls 

1 hour ago, Pbomb said:

Don’t forget cheating 

They didn't cheat

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42 minutes ago, Success said:

 

The QB situation in the AFC is WAY better now.  Brady basically had to get past Manning to get to the SB.  Rivers never had the teams to compete, and wasn't close to Brady/Manning level. Big Ben was never in the top tier, imo.

 

The AFC is completely stacked right now.  Maybe there are only 3 at the "elite" level, but there are 3-4 more knocking on that door.  The QB play is so much better today than it was 10 years ago.

 

 

If you look back at the Pats dynasty. There were 4 teams that were challenging them in the AFC. During the 1st half of the run, it was the Colts and Ravens. With Indy you had Brady vs Manning. With the Ravens it was the Brady vs the Lewis led D. Then when Manning went to Denver it was the Pats vs Broncos. The Steelers also played them in big games as it was Brady vs Ben. The Colts, Ravens, Broncos, Steelers were bigger rivals to the Pats then anyone currently in the AFCE. Even the Giants frustrated NE more than the Bills, Dolphins, Jets ever did during their dynasty run.

Edited by Gregg
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2 hours ago, Success said:

 

That is very true. The Pats always played great defense during that run.

 

Over 17 years, that's kind of amazing.  I have to wonder how much of that was coaching over personnel.

 

Belichick's formula for winning was strong defense and in the end be down less than one score and count on Brady (and good kicking) to win games in the end with a drive to win it, you can see it in their first two Super Bowl wins played to a T yet over the years Brady became a better QB and was scoring more earlier and didn't always need to make the drive or in the case of losing to the Giants, Eli did them one better by winning with late heroics because the Giants D help the Pats O in check. 

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2 hours ago, Success said:

I thought it might be interesting to put our loathing aside and really analyze how they pulled it off.  What they did is what I want the Bills to do - dominate for many years, and as long as they have Allen at QB.

 

They didn't have the ebb & flow that a team normally has, even w/ a top QB.  Their window was wide open for most of those 17 years. They made 9 SB's, and probably should have made 1-2 more.  My own thoughts:

 

1) Obviously, Brady took less pay so the team could afford better players.  I still don't see that being as impactful as it's made out to be - he was still paid a lot.

2) Aging vet stars took pay cuts just to play w/ Brady. Will we see that w/ Allen?

3) The Patriots made very few investments in bigtime skill players.  Moss was the exception, not the rule.

4) One of the hallmarks of Belichick was letting players walk before they started to decline.  Almost exactly what we're looking at w/ Poyer.

5) Their biggest priority, year after year, was making sure the O-line was strong.  That's just what you do when you have a top QB.

 

Still, the run is somewhat mystifying.  Belichick was not a great drafter, which is usually needed once a QB gets past the rookie contract.  Superior coaching clearly played a part. I think BB got the best out of his players (which is something we aren't doing right now - we see players leave the Bills and perform better than they did here).

 

Thoughts?


Don’t be foole…just like Josh Allen it’s mostly Brady’s ability to help cover up weakness.  To his credit, Brady did it more with his mind as a cerebral passer but he was able to elevate the players around him.    

 

Outside from Gronk and Moss for a few season he never really had a elite weapons, but he’s always find a way to elevate the weapons he had like Edleman, Chris Hogan, Danny Amendola, Brandin Cooks etc…

 

It also didn’t hurt that their offensive line was always very good.  I’d say this is mostly a reflection of Belichick and Dante Scarneccia.
 

On defense, Belichick was always very good at finding undervalued players that became stars in his defense.  Besides Judon the last few years, NE never really a top pass rusher but they always pressured QBs.  They also always had a good secondary.   You can argue he still is good at this today.  

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3 hours ago, Success said:

I thought it might be interesting to put our loathing aside and really analyze how they pulled it off.  What they did is what I want the Bills to do - dominate for many years, and as long as they have Allen at QB.

 

They didn't have the ebb & flow that a team normally has, even w/ a top QB.  Their window was wide open for most of those 17 years. They made 9 SB's, and probably should have made 1-2 more.  My own thoughts:

 

1) Obviously, Brady took less pay so the team could afford better players.  I still don't see that being as impactful as it's made out to be - he was still paid a lot.

2) Aging vet stars took pay cuts just to play w/ Brady. Will we see that w/ Allen?

3) The Patriots made very few investments in bigtime skill players.  Moss was the exception, not the rule.

4) One of the hallmarks of Belichick was letting players walk before they started to decline.  Almost exactly what we're looking at w/ Poyer.

5) Their biggest priority, year after year, was making sure the O-line was strong.  That's just what you do when you have a top QB.

 

Still, the run is somewhat mystifying.  Belichick was not a great drafter, which is usually needed once a QB gets past the rookie contract.  Superior coaching clearly played a part. I think BB got the best out of his players (which is something we aren't doing right now - we see players leave the Bills and perform better than they did here).

 

Thoughts?

You take the long term continuity with the best QB in NFL history, willing to take a major discount, and the best coaching staff in the NFL, sprinkle in some questionable tactics to exploit the rules to gain a competitive advantage and finally fold in a commissioner that’s in your owners pockets and you got yourself a recipe for long term success in the NFL.  

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8 minutes ago, TheWeatherMan said:

You take the long term continuity with the best QB in NFL history, willing to take a major discount, and the best coaching staff in the NFL, sprinkle in some questionable tactics to exploit the rules to gain a competitive advantage and finally fold in a commissioner that’s in your owners pockets and you got yourself a recipe for long term success in the NFL.  

I agreed with everything till you said the commissioner in Krafts pocket. Ya the harshest punishment TWICE in NFL history with the second one being open for discussion with how the NFL did it. (commissioner lying, using a hack lab, lying about getting the data from Brady phone). I don’t consider that being on the pocket, but I do believe the NFL exaggerated everything to make the Patriots the villain of the NFL to pump up watch numbers.

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2 hours ago, Gugny said:

 

The six "gimme" wins/season obviously helped them with getting into the playoffs and vying for postseason byes.  

 

But ... as our beloved Bills have shown us over the past few years, getting into the tournament is one thing; winning in the tournament is another.

 

I agree with your overall point but the Patriots never won the super bowl when they had to play in the wild card round.  They only won when they had a first round bye.  Now that the #1 team is the only one to get a bye, it is even more difficult.  In previous years, that bye would have been a tremendous help to this year's Bills team.  In fact 2 of the 3 years under the new format, the Bills would have had a bye.  Who knows how beneficial that could have been.

 

Here are some I haven't seen mentioned:

 

1. Ernie Adams - he was the voodoo master.  I have mentioned before but he was someone who broke down film each week.  I believe he was obsessive and searched until he found tendencies that could be exploited.  The weird thing is, it was never really revealed what he did.

2. Dante Scarnecchi (sp?) - possibly the best OL coach of all time.  Retired for a year or 2 and the line performed noticeably worse.  Returned and the OL returned to form.

3. Gronk - love him or hate him he is in the top 5 at the very least greatest TEs of all time. 

4. BBs ability to adapt.  He was always ahead of the game seemingly and willing to zig when others zagged.  

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One of the all time great QB'S and elite coaching created a dynasty.  They adjusted their offensive and defensive game plan based on the personnel on each year's team.

 

We don't adjust and it's why we fail.  We have made adjustments at half time and such but they had a year by year plan and got the players to execute. 

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13 minutes ago, section122 said:

 

I agree with your overall point but the Patriots never won the super bowl when they had to play in the wild card round.  They only won when they had a first round bye.  Now that the #1 team is the only one to get a bye, it is even more difficult.  In previous years, that bye would have been a tremendous help to this year's Bills team.  In fact 2 of the 3 years under the new format, the Bills would have had a bye.  Who knows how beneficial that could have been.

 

Here are some I haven't seen mentioned:

 

1. Ernie Adams - he was the voodoo master.  I have mentioned before but he was someone who broke down film each week.  I believe he was obsessive and searched until he found tendencies that could be exploited.  The weird thing is, it was never really revealed what he did.

2. Dante Scarnecchi (sp?) - possibly the best OL coach of all time.  Retired for a year or 2 and the line performed noticeably worse.  Returned and the OL returned to form.

3. Gronk - love him or hate him he is in the top 5 at the very least greatest TEs of all time. 

4. BBs ability to adapt.  He was always ahead of the game seemingly and willing to zig when others zagged.  

I dare say Scar was by far the most important. When he retired the first time was when the Pats lost by 2 to Denver and Brady was hit like a piñata that game  I always thought of Scar had been here that year the Ats have 7 SB wins and not 6.  Out O line been Meh ever since he retired the man was a o line genius! 

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4 hours ago, PBF81 said:

The rest of your points are valid, but I think that this one is paramount.  I'll list the QBs in our division on the Jets, Fins, and us during Brady's years in NE before Brady left, and not including Allen's first couple of seasons where he wasn't good.  Look at the number of different starting QBs in that 19-year stretch.  

 

Bills:  Van Pelt, Bledsoe, Holcomb, Losman, Edwards, Fitzpatrick, Manuel, Orton, and Taylor 

Fins:  Fiedler, Feeley, Frerotte, Harrington, Lemon, Pennington, Henne, Moore, Tannehill, Cutler, and Fitzpatrick 

Jets:  Testeverde (old), Pennington, Bollinger, Favre (old), Sanchez, Smith, Fitzpatrick, McCown, and Darnold  

 

None of 'em were any good when they were on those teams.  

 

That's an easy 6-games/season that are typically "tough division games" that weren't tough for NE.  

 

The AFC East was an absolutely HUGE reason.

None of the other teams had a franchise QB (much less an elite one) during the entire length of the Patriots championship run.  They pretty much had a guaranteed Division title every single season.  And with 5-6 easy wins, it was much easier for them to get a bye in the first round (back when they had two).  New England rarely ran into another elite QB (Peyton Manning, Ben Roethlisberger, Phillip Rivers) until the Championship round.  

 

While most teams fell into the salary cap and age issue, the Patriots purposely built their roster to get around that pitfall.

 

The playmakers on New England were generally the Tight End and Slot Receiver... two of the lowest paid positions in the NFL.  O-Line was always a priority in the draft.  They drafted LOTS of running backs and cycled through them constantly, so they never had to pay one big bucks.  Outside of Randy Moss, they never really splurged on a flashy outside receiver either.  

 

On defense, Bill Belichick looked for bargains and often let his stars walk.  Then he would build a defense AROUND the talents/skills he had on the roster, instead of splurging on free agents to fit his scheme.

 

Mix all that with a Hall of Fame QB who seemingly never aged, and was willing to accept a contract well below market value.

Edited by mjt328
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They spent nothing on weapons for many of the years, letting Brady handle the O alone. BB always assembled a capable running back by committee so no RB built up stats that had to be paid for.  The quick passing game was a central ingredient. Helped Brady stay healthy and make due with lower funding. 

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1 hour ago, Chaos said:

Superb game day coaching and clock management.  I am hard pressed to think of a patriots game during the Brady era that the coaches blundered away.  Certainly not the most important part of the run. But also not trivial. 

Trust me Chaos it's more important than you think. After your QB, coaching,  game management and strategy are probably your 2nd most important area. Establishing a dominant OL to protect your #1 investment is 3rd.  We got the first one right but have failed in the next two.

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The patriots/Brady, never lost site of the need to move the chains by taking what an opposing defenses gave them for every one of those seasons. Something Dorsey and Allen should take to heart…, 

 

GO BILLS!!!

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5 hours ago, GreggTX said:

Brady's top priority was winning, not money.

 

and he dumped off alot of passes to likes of Welker, Gronk, Eleman(sp) and other bit characters they also stayed balanced with running the ball making Brady an very effective play action passer.   Add in the cheating and headsets not working or not going off at the 15 second mark

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4 hours ago, Gregg said:

 

Brady also had Giselle who made more money then he did. I don't know what Allen's GF does for a living if she does anything at all. 

 

People have made this argument for a long time but Brady signed at least his first contract extension before marrying Giselle. 

 

Brady just cared more about winning than he did being the richest player. 

 

Gotta admire that.

4 hours ago, Mango said:

 

Just as a percentage of cap, his highest year with the Pats was about 17%. Which is Josh's "onboarding" year into his big deal, and relatively low. A lot of years Brady gave the team another 10% of the entire cap back. 

That's right. 10% of the entire salary cap, not his pay cut. That would be $22.5M per year in today's terms.

His discount is a very important piece to his story. 

 

Yep.

 

Brady was incredibly generous to the Patriots.

 

It would be awesome if Allen did the same, but again, I don't blame him. 

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1 hour ago, mjt328 said:

 

The AFC East was an absolutely HUGE reason.

 

I don't agree.

 

If I did my maths properly, Belichick is 100-41 (70.9 win %) against the AFC East and 189-76 (71.3 win %) against the rest of the NFL (including the postseason).

 

He dominated everyone, and he dominated teams outside the AFC East moreso than the teams inside it.

 

 

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8 minutes ago, Xwnyer said:

and he dumped off alot of passes to likes of Welker, Gronk, Eleman(sp) and other bit characters they also stayed balanced with running the ball making Brady an very effective play action passer.   Add in the cheating and headsets not working or not going off at the 15 second mark

^This, combined with a solid OL, they were frequently in position to win games.  Gronk was especially a key ingredient for the middle and later stages of their run.

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