Jump to content

Speculation and discussion on Bills final roster cuts


Simon

Recommended Posts

1 minute ago, BillsFanForever19 said:

 

Siran Neal is not going anywhere. He's the only backup Nickel CB, our only "big nickel", and a core Special Teams player. They value him and that's why he makes what he makes. Fans constantly want to move on from him, but it's not even a thought to the decision makers.

Neal is horrible in coverage. I get his value on ST but with the rules making the return game lesser and lesser (see KO fair catch rule) I don't think ST coverage guys should stick around more then 4 years if don't contribute elsewhere.

  • Disagree 2
  • Agree 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, BillsFanForever19 said:

 

Siran Neal is not going anywhere. He's the only backup Nickel CB, our only "big nickel", and a core Special Teams player. They value him and that's why he makes what he makes. Fans constantly want to move on from him, but it's not even a thought to the decision makers.

Not to nitpick, but Cam is also fully capable of playing nickel.  In fact listed as #2 on depth chart.  I really think that's Neal's role though, in addition to S/T.

 

Neal is not really a "big nickel", unless I'm thinking of that incorrectly.  Thought that's typically a 3rd safety, I view Neal as a corner at this point. He's never been used in our defense as a safety.  I'd say Rapp is our big nickel.

 

But I'm all for going more  traditional "dime" looks this season, on obvious passing downs. 4-1-6, take our MLB off the field and bring in Neal.  Adds more speed, and frees up Milanos responsibilities.

  • Like (+1) 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, The Jokeman said:

11 DBs feels too much, Siran Neal and Cam Lewis would be the two I'd move on from.

 

As you can see Siran Neal is untouchable.  Both are NCB backups on the Bills Depth Chart.

Actually, Cam is 2nd string.  That might be trade bait stuff.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

12 minutes ago, ColoradoBills said:

 

As you can see Siran Neal is untouchable.  Both are NCB backups on the Bills Depth Chart.

Actually, Cam is 2nd string.  That might be trade bait stuff.

In defence of Siran, he did play really well in the last two preseason games.

  • Like (+1) 2
  • Agree 5
Link to comment
Share on other sites

32 minutes ago, BillsFanForever19 said:

So yeah, for us to bring back another LB or WR, we'll have to make a cut or two. 

 

So I still think Anderson is not long for this roster after the Ifedi signing. But again, we will see.

 

Dropping Anderson for a recycled backup is the kind of mistake an also-ran franchise make and that the Bills made for the entirety of the 21st century prior to this regime. I don't believe they kept him through the initial 53 just to cut him now. He'll never clear waivers with the tape he laid down this preseason and some team will get a 10-year player for even less than the Browns got Teller for.

1 hour ago, BillsFanForever19 said:

 

Poona has experience and good game film for what they're looking for. Too often we put too much stake in Pre-Season play. The plays we see during the Pre-Season are not even a sniff of the actual playbook.

 

Ankou has been with the team for about 2 years longer than Poona. I don't the playbook is the problem. Ankou ranged from disruptive to dominant in a large percentage of his reps, Poona was the weak link for most of his. Unless what they looking for from Poona is getting blocked easily by a guard?

Edited by Ralonzo
  • Agree 3
  • Thank you (+1) 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

15 minutes ago, Yantha said:

I'd drop Siran Neal for Desmond King, cut by Houston.

 

This is a great "film study" video of King talking with Baldinger (watch on youtube).  Smart kid who knows the game.

 

Move on from Siran Neal please....

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, The Jokeman said:

Shorter's size makes him a red zone threat. Harris offers that as well. I agree Evans showed some things and wouldn't mind him on the PS.

In all honesty, how many red zone targets would you expect Shorter to get? I don’t think he’s reliable enough. 

4 minutes ago, Yantha said:

 

This is a great "film study" video of King talking with Baldinger (watch on youtube).  Smart kid who knows the game.

 

Move on from Siran Neal please....

 

 

Siran Neal is not going anywhere. 

  • Agree 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, NeverOutNick said:

Sure hope it’s not Anderson on the outs. Maybe it’s one of the 25 DBs we have or the no reason he should be on the squad Matakavich 


it should be one of the 6 LBs

 

 

Nicely done Beane. A halfway decent former 1st round OT to backup Spencer. Reasonable chance he gets a bunch of games.

 

 

Edited by Warriorspikes51
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, balln said:

That’s only way THIS roster does it. Allen and Kincaid. OuR D is going to be trash

 

What on Earth makes you think that? 

 

Last year, the Bills defense was 1st in yards against, 2nd in points against, and 5th in takeaways, despite all of the injuries. The only loss of any significance this year is Tremaine Edmunds (and now Boogie if you can even count him).

 

Additions: Leonard Flyod, Poona Ford, Dorian Williams, Taylor Rapp.

 

Plus you could include Micah Hyde as an addition from last year (since he only played 2 games last season), Von Miller and Jordan Philips both missed 8 games last year, Tredavious didn't play until weeks 11/12 and still wasn't fully back from his knee injury yet, Poyer was playing through multiple severe injuries all year.

 

And our 3 young corners have another year under their belts now (for 11 games last year we were starting Dane and one of the rookies...now we only need 1 of these three guys to be starting at any time).

 

And McDermott looks to call a more aggressive defense than Frasier did.

 

Do you really think losing Tremaine Edmunds brings us from being a top 2 defense to trash? Especially with everything else mentioned above? I think you'd have a hard time convincing me that we won't actually be a better defense this year than we were last season. Besides, I don't think they wanted a Tremaine replacement anyhow. They are obviously going in a different direction with that position (they didn't just forget it). 

  • Like (+1) 3
  • Thank you (+1) 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, BillsFanForever19 said:

Siran Neal is not going anywhere. He's the only backup Nickel CB, our only "big nickel", and a core Special Teams player. They value him and that's why he makes what he makes. Fans constantly want to move on from him, but it's not even a thought to the decision makers.

 

I think it was a "thought", especially with some pretty strong competition in the form of Taylor Rapp (who can play nickel), Cam Lewis (who they have developed as a nickel) and then Zayne Anderson on ST and a couple of talented young corners.  He's no longer the only backup nickel CB or "big nickel".

 

But from everything that was reported, Neal played like his ass was on fire and tackling would put it out through preseason.  He earned his shot.

 

1 hour ago, BillsFanForever19 said:

Core Special Teams is integral to this regime and he is our Special Teams captain. He's not going anywhere. Pretty sure his contract is in such a way that he'd be more expensive to cut than keep as well.

 

It would raise his cap hit, since he's got a void year for 2024 that would move into this year if cut.  Matakevich contract is also fully guaranteed $2.5M

 

 

28 minutes ago, folz said:

Do you really think losing Tremaine Edmunds brings us from being a top 2 defense to trash? Especially with everything else mentioned above? I think you'd have a hard time convincing me that we won't actually be a better defense this year than we were last season. Besides, I don't think they wanted a Tremaine replacement anyhow. They are obviously going in a different direction with that position (they didn't just forget it). 

 

Let's put it this way.  McDermott and Frazier managed a defense that was just below average (#18) in 2017 and 2018 with lesser talent at LB - well, pretty much anywhere except safety, actually. 

 

I don't expect the defense to be #2 overall this season.  I think there will be mistakes, and we'll be gashed from time to time.  But I think it will be good enough to win with most of the time.  I don't think it will be trash.

 

And I could always be pleasantly surprised.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, MasterStrategist said:

Not to nitpick, but Cam is also fully capable of playing nickel.  In fact listed as #2 on depth chart.  I really think that's Neal's role though, in addition to S/T.

 

Neal is not really a "big nickel", unless I'm thinking of that incorrectly.  Thought that's typically a 3rd safety, I view Neal as a corner at this point. He's never been used in our defense as a safety.  I'd say Rapp is our big nickel.

 

But I'm all for going more  traditional "dime" looks this season, on obvious passing downs. 4-1-6, take our MLB off the field and bring in Neal.  Adds more speed, and frees up Milanos responsibilities.

I always think of Neal as a S when I see him because of how much he sucks as a corner. Everytime I see this guy I’m like, why is he on the team still? Then I remember we are the 1 team left in the league that doesn’t realize STs has been basically phased out. The last team standing that thinks it’s still important. As if the guys that play real positions couldn’t handle STs…

  • Eyeroll 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

33 minutes ago, Beck Water said:

 

I think it was a "thought", especially with some pretty strong competition in the form of Taylor Rapp (who can play nickel), Cam Lewis (who they have developed as a nickel) and then Zayne Anderson on ST and a couple of talented young corners.  He's no longer the only backup nickel CB or "big nickel".

 

But from everything that was reported, Neal played like his ass was on fire and tackling would put it out through preseason.  He earned his shot.

 

 

It would raise his cap hit, since he's got a void year for 2024 that would move into this year if cut.  Matakevich contract is also fully guaranteed $2.5M

 

 

 

Let's put it this way.  McDermott and Frazier managed a defense that was just below average (#18) in 2017 and 2018 with lesser talent at LB - well, pretty much anywhere except safety, actually. 

 

I don't expect the defense to be #2 overall this season.  I think there will be mistakes, and we'll be gashed from time to time.  But I think it will be good enough to win with most of the time.  I don't think it will be trash.

 

And I could always be pleasantly surprised.

 

Spagnulo's and Anarumo's defenses are always somewhere in the middle of the pack and it's enough to get them to the Super Bowl or the AFC title game year after year. We shouldn't need the best defense in the league to get to and win a Super Bowl.

  • Agree 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

18 minutes ago, Beck Water said:

Let's put it this way.  McDermott and Frazier managed a defense that was just below average (#18) in 2017 and 2018 with lesser talent at LB - well, pretty much anywhere except safety, actually. 

 

I don't expect the defense to be #2 overall this season.  I think there will be mistakes, and we'll be gashed from time to time.  But I think it will be good enough to win with most of the time.  I don't think it will be trash.

 

And I could always be pleasantly surprised.

 

I agree that we may not reach the #2 rank again (so much goes into that, strength of opponents, etc.), but I do think we will be a better overall defense than we were last year...provided we stay relatively healthy. I think Tremaine was a better player than some of his detractors give him credit for, but he was by no means a special player. His height made it more difficult for QBs to throw deep middle/seam routes, but otherwise, he did not stand out in any other area (including that MLB type of aggression and attitude---no players feared him). He was not great in the run game or in coverage, and he didn't make many key/important or splash plays. 

 

Over his 5 years with the Bills, Tremaine averaged per year: 113 tackles, 1.3 sacks, 1 interception, 0.4 forced fumbles. So, fewer than 1.5 sacks and 1.5 turnovers per season...that's it. The tackle totals don't look bad, I guess, until you realize that 51 players had more tackles than Tremaine last year (of course that includes safeties too, not just LBs).

 

Even if we had to start Dodson all year, I just don't think it is going to be that big of a drop off (compared to what we've gained or got back in other areas). Do you not think Dodson could get 102 tackles, 1 sack, 1 INT if he started all year? That's all he'd need to match Tremaine's 2022 stats. But I think the real plan is to have the smaller, faster backers, who are all good in coverage and can all tackle well (Milano, Bernard, Williams, Spector) play more (and you can probably include Siran/Rapp 😁 in that equation too) ...and then your Dodsons and Kleins (if he's signed back) are there for more obvious run-heavy teams or game situations. We need to finally be able to stop those quick slants and screens of KC, Miami, Cinci. Height over the middle doesn't help if they can just complete the passes in front of you and you can't corral those guys.

 

I think we need to stop thinking about the position as some traditional middle linebacker spot (we aren't a traditional 4-3 or 3-4 defense). We need to see it more like LB left and LB right. I think they were hoping that Bernard would grab the spot, maybe with Williams to add in more as the season wore on. But Williams is best served behind Milano right now, and Bernard's injury pushed Dodson forward for the time being (obviously Spector wasn't ready for a promotion).

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

40 minutes ago, uninja said:

 

Spagnulo's and Anarumo's defenses are always somewhere in the middle of the pack and it's enough to get them to the Super Bowl or the AFC title game year after year. We shouldn't need the best defense in the league to get to and win a Super Bowl.

 

Bengals D #5 last year.  Eagles #8.
True that Spags/Chiefs #16 last season, but they were top-10 the 3 previous years, #7 the previous Chiefs SB win.  

 

I think you don't need a top-3 D to win the Superbowl but top-10 with the ability to step up in big games, for sure helps.

 

But, as you point out, it's been done with worse.

  • Like (+1) 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, uninja said:

 

Spagnulo's and Anarumo's defenses are always somewhere in the middle of the pack and it's enough to get them to the Super Bowl or the AFC title game year after year. We shouldn't need the best defense in the league to get to and win a Super Bowl.

They always seem to show up in huge moments in the playoffs though…the regular season ranking doesn’t always tell the whole story. 
 

And even so, cincy was 6th in points allowed per game last year in the regular season and kc is usually hovering around the top 10. 2022 they were 8th and 2021 they were 11th.  
 

The rams are the only other Super Bowl winner with a defense outside the top 10 in points allowed per game in the last 10 years.  Both those rams and chiefs Super Bowl teams got huge sacks when they needed them though, chiefs were second in sacks in 2023 and the rams were third in 2022.  

Breakdown of scoring defenses for Super Bowl winners is:

Chiefs    16th

rams      16th

Bucs      8th

Chiefs    8th

Pats       7th

Eagles   4th

Pats       1st

Broncos 1st

Pats       8th(should’ve been Seahawks 1st lol)

Seahawks 1st

 

Of the four teams that made it to the conference finals last year, three of them were top 10 scoring defenses.  6 of the top 7 made the playoffs…only one that didn’t was the jets 


defensive football is still very much alive, but things are starting to shift to who can come up with those big sacks to get a clutch stop when they need one the last few years.  That’s really the only way to slow down the Allen/hurts/mahomes/burrow’s of the league.  The bills just haven’t been making that one big defensive play against the bengals or chiefs in the playoffs.  

 

 

Edited by Generic_Bills_Fan
  • Like (+1) 4
  • Thank you (+1) 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, folz said:

 

What on Earth makes you think that? 

 

Last year, the Bills defense was 1st in yards against, 2nd in points against, and 5th in takeaways, despite all of the injuries. The only loss of any significance this year is Tremaine Edmunds (and now Boogie if you can even count him).

 

Additions: Leonard Flyod, Poona Ford, Dorian Williams, Taylor Rapp.

 

Plus you could include Micah Hyde as an addition from last year (since he only played 2 games last season), Von Miller and Jordan Philips both missed 8 games last year, Tredavious didn't play until weeks 11/12 and still wasn't fully back from his knee injury yet, Poyer was playing through multiple severe injuries all year.

 

And our 3 young corners have another year under their belts now (for 11 games last year we were starting Dane and one of the rookies...now we only need 1 of these three guys to be starting at any time).

 

And McDermott looks to call a more aggressive defense than Frasier did.

 

Do you really think losing Tremaine Edmunds brings us from being a top 2 defense to trash? Especially with everything else mentioned above? I think you'd have a hard time convincing me that we won't actually be a better defense this year than we were last season. Besides, I don't think they wanted a Tremaine replacement anyhow. They are obviously going in a different direction with that position (they didn't just forget it). 

6th in yards

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 hours ago, Ethan in Cleveland said:

No real surprise cuts this year. 

Most on this board probably predicted 50 of the 53.

Most thought either Basham or AJE would get traded. 

I think many had Q making it as a backup OT especially after Doyle went down again. 

Ponna Ford not getting cut is a surprise to me.

  • Like (+1) 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 hours ago, Generic_Bills_Fan said:

They always seem to show up in huge moments in the playoffs though…the regular season ranking doesn’t always tell the whole story. 
 

And even so, cincy was 6th in points allowed per game last year in the regular season and kc is usually hovering around the top 10. 2022 they were 8th and 2021 they were 11th.  
 

The rams are the only other Super Bowl winner with a defense outside the top 10 in points allowed per game in the last 10 years.  Both those rams and chiefs Super Bowl teams got huge sacks when they needed them though, chiefs were second in sacks in 2023 and the rams were third in 2022.  

Breakdown of scoring defenses for Super Bowl winners is:

Chiefs    16th

rams      16th

Bucs      8th

Chiefs    8th

Pats       7th

Eagles   4th

Pats       1st

Broncos 1st

Pats       8th(should’ve been Seahawks 1st lol)

Seahawks 1st

 

Of the four teams that made it to the conference finals last year, three of them were top 10 scoring defenses.  6 of the top 7 made the playoffs…only one that didn’t was the jets 


defensive football is still very much alive, but things are starting to shift to who can come up with those big sacks to get a clutch stop when they need one the last few years.  That’s really the only way to slow down the Allen/hurts/mahomes/burrow’s of the league.  The bills just haven’t been making that one big defensive play against the bengals or chiefs in the playoffs.  

 

 

 

That's exactly right, you don't need the best defense but it has to show up when it matters. Chiefs and Bengals may have not had the best defense but when they needed a play to keep their hopes alive someone on that defense stepped up.

 

You can have the best defense in the league, but it means nothing if it turns into a pumpkin in the biggest moments.

  • Like (+1) 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 hours ago, Generic_Bills_Fan said:

They always seem to show up in huge moments in the playoffs though…the regular season ranking doesn’t always tell the whole story. 
 

And even so, cincy was 6th in points allowed per game last year in the regular season and kc is usually hovering around the top 10. 2022 they were 8th and 2021 they were 11th.  
 

The rams are the only other Super Bowl winner with a defense outside the top 10 in points allowed per game in the last 10 years.  Both those rams and chiefs Super Bowl teams got huge sacks when they needed them though, chiefs were second in sacks in 2023 and the rams were third in 2022.  

Breakdown of scoring defenses for Super Bowl winners is:

Chiefs    16th

rams      16th

Bucs      8th

Chiefs    8th

Pats       7th

Eagles   4th

Pats       1st

Broncos 1st

Pats       8th(should’ve been Seahawks 1st lol)

Seahawks 1st

 

Of the four teams that made it to the conference finals last year, three of them were top 10 scoring defenses.  6 of the top 7 made the playoffs…only one that didn’t was the jets 


defensive football is still very much alive, but things are starting to shift to who can come up with those big sacks to get a clutch stop when they need one the last few years.  That’s really the only way to slow down the Allen/hurts/mahomes/burrow’s of the league.  The bills just haven’t been making that one big defensive play against the bengals or chiefs in the playoffs.  

 

 

Not to knit pick. No way was that Bengal game one big defensive play away from winning the game. More like 50. 

  • Eyeroll 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, ScottLaw said:

The defense was a tire fire the last two years to end their seasons. 

Last year by the end of the season, Miller and Hyde were on IR.  Poyer was nicked up all year, and Milano at times.  I think any defense who is has missing/diminished stars will struggle.

  • Like (+1) 1
  • Thank you (+1) 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, ScottLaw said:

Agree, but what’s the excuse the year before? And the year before that? 
 

Coaching perhaps?

 

It should be noted in the Chiefs 13 second game, Tre White was on IR, does the Hill TD happen if he's available?

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

9 hours ago, folz said:

Even if we had to start Dodson all year, I just don't think it is going to be that big of a drop off (compared to what we've gained or got back in other areas). Do you not think Dodson could get 102 tackles, 1 sack, 1 INT if he started all year? That's all he'd need to match Tremaine's 2022 stats. But I think the real plan is to have the smaller, faster backers, who are all good in coverage and can all tackle well (Milano, Bernard, Williams, Spector) play more (and you can probably include Siran/Rapp 😁 in that equation too) ...and then your Dodsons and Kleins (if he's signed back) are there for more obvious run-heavy teams or game situations. We need to finally be able to stop those quick slants and screens of KC, Miami, Cinci. Height over the middle doesn't help if they can just complete the passes in front of you and you can't corral those guys.

 

I think we need to stop thinking about the position as some traditional middle linebacker spot (we aren't a traditional 4-3 or 3-4 defense). We need to see it more like LB left and LB right. I think they were hoping that Bernard would grab the spot, maybe with Williams to add in more as the season wore on. But Williams is best served behind Milano right now, and Bernard's injury pushed Dodson forward for the time being (obviously Spector wasn't ready for a promotion).

 

 

I agree with your last paragraph.  I agree that the plan is to have smaller backers who are good in coverage and can tackle well.  I just don't think we have a good execution strategy for that plan.

 

I think the problem is when you include Bernard, Williams, and Spector in that description.  I don't think Williams and Spector are good in coverage - maybe they'll develop.  Bernard may understand coverage, but so far he seems slow to get there, and he doesn't thump when tackling so he gets dragged 5 yds.  Dodson is poor in pass coverage and while he can read the run and thump, he can also get sucked in by play action.

 

I think there's going to be a significant drop off.

 

Just my opinion.

22 minutes ago, BearNorth said:

Last year by the end of the season, Miller and Hyde were on IR.  Poyer was nicked up all year, and Milano at times.  I think any defense who is has missing/diminished stars will struggle.

 

Milano was pretty healthy.  But you're missing Daquan Jones (calf, missed Bengals playoff game), Oliver (shoulder, wearing brace) Phillilps (shoulder, wearing brace) and Settle (calf injury early in season, reportedly hampered him all year).  Rousseau was out for 3 games mid-season, and didn't look the same afterwards. 

 

Then of course there's the obvious, that Hamlin was our 2nd string safety and he went out for the last 5 games, so we were on our 3rd string at safety.

  • Like (+1) 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

44 minutes ago, SoonerBillsFan said:

I would sit Phillips just like Von for the first 4 games. We need both 100% from November through the Superbowl.

I'd be fine if Ford and Phillips rotated from game to game to figure out who is playing better and keep them fresh for the playoffs.

 

I hope they give Johnathan a real shot to beat out Lawson or Epenesa in the four games while Miller is on PUP.  If they don't dress him they should have just cut him and gone with an extra interior OL or WR.

  • Like (+1) 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, uninja said:

 

That's exactly right, you don't need the best defense but it has to show up when it matters. Chiefs and Bengals may have not had the best defense but when they needed a play to keep their hopes alive someone on that defense stepped up.

 

You can have the best defense in the league, but it means nothing if it turns into a pumpkin in the biggest moments.

I agree. Defensively in the playoffs we just haven't gotten that key sack or int in crunch time.  Other than Taron's pic6 it's been basically crickets playoff time.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 minutes ago, LABILLBACKER said:

I agree. Defensively in the playoffs we just haven't gotten that key sack or int in crunch time.  Other than Taron's pic6 it's been basically crickets playoff time.

To me the nail in the coffin was that the Bengals were starting 3 backups or backups-of-backups on the O-line still bullied our line and Burrow dices us up. It wasnt even a stalemate, we had nothing. And then the Chiefs, who were statistically a worse defense, handled them. It doesnt matter about regular season stats its about handling the team in the moment and having individual game wreckers.

  • Like (+1) 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, jletha said:

To me the nail in the coffin was that the Bengals were starting 3 backups or backups-of-backups on the O-line still bullied our line and Burrow dices us up. It wasnt even a stalemate, we had nothing. And then the Chiefs, who were statistically a worse defense, handled them. It doesnt matter about regular season stats its about handling the team in the moment and having individual game wreckers.

 

Chiefs DL didn't handle them.  Chris Jones handled them.  He was a gamewrecker, and without him, the Chiefs DL would've looked a lot like ours.

 

....especially if they inexplicably played off coverage all game. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

This topic is OLD. A NEW topic should be started unless there is a very specific reason to revive this one.

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Restore formatting

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
×
×
  • Create New...