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folz

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  1. Seven year vet. originally a 4th rounder to Philly. 6' 4" and 221 lbs. Big kid. 30 years old. Has played for Philly, Miami, Las Vegas, and then Atlanta last year. Career: 131 receptions for 1,691 yards and 10 TDs. Best year was in Vegas two years ago when he had 690 yards and 4 TDs on 57 receptions. Special Teams Ace. Was a special teams captain for the Falcons last year
  2. The average number of touchdowns for the last 10 MVPs is 44 TDs in their MVP season. Lamar had 29 total TDs this year. Josh had 44 TDs this year. I don't care about race (it's more the bias against Josh than race being a factor for Lamar), and I understand why people voted for Lamar. But, I can also disagree with their decision. Let's face it, there was no clear-cut MVP this season. Josh was doomed by his interceptions and the irrational media bias against him, even though the TDs sooooo outweigh the interceptions. And with only 29 TDs on the year, it shows that the Baltimore's defense was more of the MVP than Lamar was. The MVP is an individual award, not a team award. Josh had 628 yards more passing than Lamar, while Lamar had 287 more rushing yards than Josh. So, Josh still had 341 more yards from scrimmage than Lamar and 15 more touchdowns. Their team's were only 2 games apart in the final standings, and Josh had a slightly better record against playoff teams than Lamar. As far as total turnovers, Lamar had 13 and Josh had 22. But, there is always an element of luck to turnovers. For instance, Lamar fumbled 11 times...but only lost 6. Plus, how many near picks did he have this year that didn't get caught or whatever, where it seemed every freak batted-ball for Josh this year, some defender made an incredible play to make the INT. Still, we are talking about a 9-turnover difference between the two. Even if every one of Josh's turnovers turned into a TD for the other team (which they didn't, not by a long shot), that would equate to 63 points. The difference between their TD totals is 105 points. Plus, none of Josh's turnovers occurred in the 4th quarter. He wasn't losing games due to his INTs. In fact, most games that he had an INT, he also had his team in the lead in the 4th quarter (all but the Jets game). So, again, the INTs didn't hurt the team as much as they might appear to have. Lamar had three games with zero TDs and eight more games with only one TD. That's 11 games, or 69% of the season. So, for almost 70% of the season, Lamar had only one or zero TDs per game. Is that really an MVP? The Ravens only scored 32 points more than the Bills this season. Across 17 games that equates to 1.8 points more per game (not a huge difference---if you are trying to use point totals for games as a plus for Lamar). Lamar accounted for 42.9% of his team's points. Josh accounted for 68.3% of his team's points. As I said, there was no clear-cut MVP choice this year, but still, imo, Lamar was the wrong choice.
  3. Pros: He still had 1,395 yards from scrimmage this year, with a 4.2/rush average, and 12 TDs. He has been an absolute beast over the last 6 years, averaging almost 1,576 yards from scrimmage and 14 TDs per season. He's been durable. Other than missing the back half of the 2021 season with a broken foot, he has only missed 3 games over the other seven years of his career. Cons: He's 30 years old. He has 2,030 rushes over his career. He has averaged 306 carries/year over the last 5 years. That's a lot of mileage on those tires. He may still cost a pretty penny.
  4. Dude, you call this TRUTH? Once again, it is more of the same from Dunne. No intelligent discourse, just opinions and name-calling---supposedly backed by a few disgruntled, former employees. If this passes for truth in today's media, then we all need to turn off our computers and televisions. Geesh! I don't have a problem with people wanting to move on from McDermott and explaining their reasons why, but whatever you think of him as a coach, he is a good man, and this is not the way you go about criticizing the job he is doing. It is obviously personal for Dunne. I mean, "a simpleton"? Someone may not make a great NFL coach, but you aren't getting to that position in the first place if you are a simpleton. Come on.
  5. May God bless you and your family with the love and strength to get through this difficult time. ♥️
  6. -Only 9 of Josh's interceptions came in the 6 Bills' losses. So, he threw an average of 1.5 INTs in the Bills' losses (none in the 4th quarter). -Nine of Josh's INTs came in wins (so, they obviously didn't affect the outcome of those games). -Only in three of the Bills' losses did Josh throw more than 1 pick (2 in each of those three games). Having one pick in a game isn't usually the deciding factor, unless it is at the wrong point in the game (which it wasn't for Josh). So, at best, you could say Josh's interceptions affected 3 games this year. But again, outside of the Jets game on opening day, Josh still had the team in position to win those games (the defense just didn't hold). In Baltimore's three losses, Jackson has thrown three interceptions. So, 1 per game (not that different than 1.5). And since you brought up former MVP stats (INTs in your post), let's look at MVP TDs. Here are the TD totals for the last 10 MVPs Year Player Total TDs 2022 Mahomes 45 2021 Rodgers 40 2020 Rodgers 51 2019 Jackson 43 2018 Mahomes 52 2017 Brady 32 2016 Ryan 38 2015 Newton 45 2014 Rodgers 40 2013 Manning 56 2023 Jackson 29 2023 Allen 44 So, you can say no MVP has had as many INTs as Josh in the last 10 years, but you can also say that no MVP had as low of a touchdown total as Jackson in the last 10 years. Why are Josh's INTs an issue, but Lamar's low TD total isn't? Especially when TDs are 7 points each time, while INTs may turn into 7 points, but maybe only 3 points, or zero points if the defense holds. So, TDs still outweigh INTs. Brady in 2017 is the only one close to Lamar's low TD total, but he had 900 more passing yards in 2017 than Jackson did this year. Even if you add in rushing, Brady still had more than 110 yards more than Lamar, 3 more TDs, and one less INT. Every other MVP had anywhere from 9 to 27 more TDs than 2023 Lamar. Do you know what the average TD total is for the last 10 MVPs? It is 44.2 TDs. Right where Josh is at (44) and 15 more TDs than Jackson this year. Even in Jackson's 2019 MVP season, he had 14 more TDs than he has this year.
  7. My post was in response to someone who said Lamar crushed playoff teams (as his argument for why Lamar over Josh for MVP). So, that is why I pointed out their records vs. playoff teams, to show that Lamar doesn't have that as something over Josh. Josh did very well (actually better) against playoff teams---even if it's a team stat really. Of course, losing to bad teams does not look good. But, as the OP's video pointed out (we are talking for individual MVP, not team here), all but the Jets opening day loss, Josh put the team ahead in the 4th quarter, but the defense was unable to stop the opposing team from scoring and taking the game. So, you can't really pin those losses on Josh from an individual standpoint. And Josh never blew a game in the 4th quarter with a turnover and has the lowest negative/bad play impact of any QB in the league (despite the turnovers). And of course, wins and losses are a team stat. But, why do the Lamar supporters get to hold up his team's record as a reason he should be MVP (when his defense carried many of those wins), but with Josh, if I bring up wins against playoff teams, all of a sudden wins are a team stat and can't be used in Josh's defense? Again, are two more regular season wins for Jackson (and his defense) the deciding factor here? If wins are a team stat, then those two wins more than Josh shouldn't be the deciding factor, right? As far as consistency, I will grant you that Baltimore as a team was more consistent than the Bills as a team this year. But Lamar? Jackson had 3 games with 0 TDs (rushing or passing), and 5 games with only 1 TD (rush or pass). So, 8 games with 1 or 0 TDs. That's almost half the season. Are those MVP worthy stats? Lamar had 7 games with fewer than 200 yards passing. [To include rushing] Lamar had 5 games under 250 yards from scrimmage Lamar had 10 games under 300 yards from scrimmage Josh had 1 game with only one TD (he did not have any zero TD games). Josh had 4 games with fewer than 200 yards passing. [Below are same number of games as Lamar] Josh had 5 games under 250 yards from scrimmage. Josh had 10 games with under 300 yards from scrimmage. People also bring up that the Ravens were blowing people out, so the Ravens took their foot off the gas in those games leading to lower stats for Lamar. Well, Baltimore had 9 blowout wins (2 TDs or more). The Bills, despite their inconsistency, had 6 blowout wins. So, that's only maybe 3-5 quarters of football all year more than Josh that Lamar "didn't need to do much." Keep them coming fellas. Convince me where Lamar's season was far superior.
  8. While the Ravens did have a harder overall schedule (according to wins and losses by opponents), Josh (the Bills) had a better record against playoff teams. Josh/Bills were 5-1 against playoff teams, with the only loss being to Philly in OT, a game that the refs stole from Buffalo (and should have been a win). Lamar/Ravens were 6-3 against playoff teams---you could subtract one loss due to Baltimore sitting Jackson and others in week 18, to make a 6-2 record vs. playoff teams for Lamar. So, Josh won 83.33% of games vs. playoff teams (as I said, it should have been 100%), and Lamar won 75% of games vs. playoff teams (not counting week 18).
  9. I guess you didn't actually watch the video. The video shows pretty clearly that the bold statement in your post is incorrect. You can really only put one game on Josh, the Jets on opening day. Also noted in the video... Do you think Mahomes shouldn't have won the MVP in 2018? Because Pat had 21 turnovers that season, yet was still the unanimous MVP. Josh had 22 turnovers in 2023. I'm not saying Josh should absolutely win it, but I don't understand the people that think Allen shouldn't even be in the race with Jackson. It's amazing to me how many people (fans/media) still seem to have a bias against Allen. Josh accounted for 308 points this season. Lamar accounted for 203 points this season. That's basically one more touchdown for Josh in every game this year. Josh Lamar Total Yards 4,830 4,499 Passing Yards 4,306 3,678 Rushing Yards 524 821 Total TDs 44 29 Passing TDs 29 24 Rushing TDs 15 5 Completion % 66.5% 67.2% Total Turnovers 22 13 Yes, Lamar played one less game than Josh, but if you added one game at his season averages, he would still be 50 yards behind Josh and still way behind Josh's TD totals. You could also argue that Lamar had 9 less turnovers than Josh. But, even if each of those extra turnovers turned into a TD (which they didn't), that would only be a 63-point differential---while Josh's extra TDs (over Lamar's number) equates to 105 points. The difference in completion percentage is negligible. They are the #1 and #2 seeds in the AFC. So, is it simply because the Ravens have two more wins? Does that make an MVP? Otherwise, I'm having a hard time seeing why Lamar is the clear-cut leader. What makes his case so superior to Josh's case?
  10. I hear you... -though there is no way the Jax game can be called a home game for the Bills (no matter what the NFL called it). The Bills were not at home, they had to travel/deal with time change; while the Jags play in London every year, had already been there for two weeks (no time change issue/no travel, days before the game), and had just played a game in that stadium the week before. Even though the Jags weren't home either, they definitely had a home field advantage, as it were. And ok, down the stretch: The Bills have played six games since the start of December and are 6-0, with 101 points scored against (16.8/game), and a +53 point differential KC has played seven games since the start of December and are 4-3, with 120 points scored against (17.1/game), and a +21 point differential The teams had two common opponents over that stretch (The Dolphins and the Pats) Bills were 2-0 with a +13 point differential Chiefs were 2-0 with a +29 point differential Current Injuries to starters or role players (and I'm not counting players like Tre and Matt Milano because their injuries were too long ago to be discussed as far as who the teams are now or who they have been down the stretch): [snap counts in parentheses] Bills: Benford (76.87%), Davis (82.99%), Rapp (39.27%) [OUT]; Bernard (93.19%), Douglas (46.92%), Johnson (89.29%) [QUESTIONABLE] Chiefs: Wanya Morris (30.01%), Derrick Nnadi (45.77%), Skyy Moore (43.81%) [OUT]; Justin Ross (12.04%), Kadarius Toney (20.35%) [QUESTIONABLE] No question, we are missing more KEY guys (more snaps) than the Chiefs. But, if Bernard, Douglas, and Johnson can go (and aren't hampered too much), then I think we are in pretty good shape. I think Dane and Kaair can fill in fine for Benford against Kansas City's wide receiver corps (which is also a little banged up), and we can get by without Davis and Rapp, as the team has already proven to be able to do (though it would be nice to have them---Davis in the run game (not just as a receiver), and Rapp to help with Kelce and to lay some lumber). But, if we are also missing any or all of the other three, it will be a tougher go, no doubt. I think we are the better overall team (and have been down the stretch of the season), but we are dealing with more significant injuries than the Chiefs are. Make of that what you will.
  11. The Chiefs played 9 games at home and 8 games on the road this season. At home, they allowed 148 points to teams with a combined record of 82-71 (9 games). An average of 16.44 points per game. On the road, they have allowed 149 points to teams with a combined record of 57-79 (8 games). An average of 18.63 points per game. So, there is a small difference between home and road for the Chiefs, but considering the teams they played at home were better than the teams they faced on the road, that does increase the gap a bit (as far as them being better at home than on the road). Quaterbacks the Chiefs faced this year (KC's outcome in parens): Jared Goff (loss), Trevor Lawrence (win), Justin Fields (win), Zach Wilson (win), Kirk Cousins (win), Russell Wilson twice (win & loss), Justin Herbert (win), Tua T (win), Jalen Hurts (loss), Aidan O'Connell twice (win & loss), Jordan Love (loss), Josh Allen (loss), Bailey Zappe (win), Jake Browning (win), Blaine Gabbert (win). For comparison, the Bills played 8 games at home and 9 games on the road this year. At home, the Bills allowed 118 points to teams with a combined record of 65-71. An average of 14.75 points per game. On the road, the Bills allowed 193 points to teams with a combined record of 71-82. An average of 21.44 points per game. So, the Bills' defense definitely seems to be better at home, though their home opponents did have 6 less wins than their away opponents. Quarterbacks the Bills faced this year (Bills outcome in parens): Zach Wilson (loss), Jimmy Garapollo (win), Sam Howell (win), Tua T twice (two wins), Trevor Lawrence (loss), Tyrod Taylor (win), Mac Jones (loss), Baker Mayfield (win), Joe Burrow (loss), Russell Wilson (loss), Zach Wilson/Tim Boyle (win), Jalen Hurts (loss), Patrick Mahomes (win), Dak Prescott (win), Easton Stick (win), Bailey Zappe (win). -Only 11 points separate the two defenses (Bills/Chiefs) over 17 games. So, the Chiefs allowed 0.64 points less per game than the Bills. -As far as opponent win percentage, the Chiefs opponents were a combined 139-150, while the Bills' opponents were a combined 136-153...so only 3 games different. -The level of QB play that each team faced is about equal (no clear advantage to either team, imo). -The Bills and Chiefs shared nine common opponents this season, with their records against those teams as follows: Chiefs 8-3 Bills 6-6 -Both, overall, ended the season at 11-6 -The Bills did score 80 more points on offense than the Chiefs did this season, leading to a better Net Point differential (Bills 140/Chiefs 77). Everything stacks up pretty evenly. The Chiefs have a bit of an advantage in common opponent record and the Bills have an advantage in net points. So, yes, it may just come down to home field advantage and Bills Mafia, as the Chiefs are slightly worse on the road and the Bills are a bit better at home.
  12. You did see the two TE TDs in the Wild Card game didn't you? Both wide open. Knox himself said he couldn't believe he was so wide open (by play design vs. what the defense was showing), and Kincaid said they practiced his TD all week and AJ Klein told him how cool it was to see that play translate from practice to the game. Yes, we know that the offense struggled at times this year and WR separation was a bit of an issue, but the offense seems to be hitting its stride now. In the last two games, Josh has averaged 281 yards, 2.5 passing TDs, and 75% completion percentage. That's tough to do if your receivers aren't getting any separation. You guys are way too hung up on #2 receiver. Do I expect the team to address the WR position in the off season? Yes. But you are too focused on who is catching the ball and what their supposed position is. In Week 18, three players had more than 84 yards (Diggs, Shakir, Kincaid) and Josh connected with 8 different players. In the Wild Card game, Josh connected with 7 different players, and 4 players had over 30 yards. Does it really matter if, behind Stefon, it is Kincaid, Knox, Harty, Cook, Davis, or Sherfield catching the ball? It's the same number of yards whether the player is considered WR #2, WR #3, WR #4, TE #1, TE #2, etc. No, we don't have a Chase/Higgins or Hill/Waddle duo (frankly, very few teams do), but we have plenty of skill players that can get the job done. Look at Kansas City. Is it a problem that TE Kelce has been their #1 or #2 receiving target for the last 6-7 years instead of a true #2 receiver? Over the last 3 games, Kincaid has averaged 77 yards per game, with one TD. Shakir has averaged over 58 yards/game over the last three, with one TD. And that is with our #2 receiver Gabe Davis out the last two games. I honestly don't care that much if my #2 WR on paper doesn't have a great stat line, if my next two targets are averaging 135 yards and 1 TD per game (combined). Add in Stef's yards and whatever Knox, Harty, and Cook add in and we are fine. Again, what does it matter who is catching the ball, or what their perceived position is, if Josh is still lighting it up and we are winning? Save worrying about the #2 WR for the offseason.
  13. This thread reminds me of the thread about Dalton Kincaid not being used properly, posted immediately after he had a 4 for 87 yard day with a 50-yard reception. -We got an early lead, so we didn't have to pass as much this game. -We did also have 179 yards rushing. -We were milking the clock for much of the 2nd half. And yet, Josh still connected with seven different receivers on the day, went 21 of 30 (70% completion), and had three passing TDs on top of his rushing TD. We scored 31 points (with 2 missed field goals) against a good defense. In Week 18, Josh threw for 359 yards, connecting with 8 different receivers, went 30 of 38 (78.9 completion %), and had 2 passing TDs (along with his two picks). So, remind me again, what is the complaint?
  14. I honestly think the Bills are the best team left (even with the injuries). The injuries hurt , but we have Josh Allen, a deep roster, lots of playmakers, and they are more battle-tested than any other team at this point. The Bills are 6-1 against playoff teams this year (should be 7-0, if the refs didn't steal the Philly game from us). Baltimore, I don't know, they still just don't scare me that much for some reason. They are 6-3 vs. playoff teams, which is good. They lost to Pittsburgh twice (though week 18 they obviously rested players). And I know they are a better team this year, but the last two times the teams met, McD was able to have an answer for Jackson. The Niners are a very good team and I like Brock, but I don't think he is a QB that can really put a team on his back at this point (which I think you need to go on serious run for the Lombardi). I may have the Chiefs a bit low, and you can never count Mahomes out, but I feel like their lack of playmakers on the offense really hurts them. Bills Baltimore Niners Lions Chiefs Houston Green Bay Bucs
  15. You obviously don't watch much Bills football and Josh Allen. See if you can find a highlight reel of Josh's runs, you will see that was a run all the way (on the TD), Josh didn't think about sliding or fake sliding there, he was thinking more yards. Everyone who watches Josh on a regular basis knew that he was just trying to avoid the defender (juke him) by slowing down. Josh's jukes don't look like a running back's jukes (quick turn on a dime or quick shimmy), they are more changing angle with a shoulder shake, or stopping and starting, or attacking the defender. And the later slide was an obvious slide and not late. We could debate on whether the refs should have thrown the flag (was the hit late/was it too bang-bang to throw the flag), but that's not on Josh. And of course the player who gets hit is always going to feel that it was late (that's human nature)---ergo Josh calling for the flag to be thrown. As others have said, it is funny for a Chiefs fan to be coming to a Bills board to complain about something that his own QB does all of the time. So, it's ok for Mahomes to do that stuff whenever, but Josh (when he doesn't even do anything wrong) is some sort of crybaby or favored by the league or some garbage? I really can't understand people's continuous need to try and tear Josh down.
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