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Predict your final 7 for the playoffs.

Sammy Watkins' Rib

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Sammy Watkins' Rib Veteran

Sammy Watkins' Rib

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Before this weekend's games which includes three pivotal Saturday games, give me your 7 playoff teams in the AFC and their seedings.

 

Here is what I came up with using the ESPN Playoff Machine

 

1. Ravens 13-4 ( Finish 3-1 Beat Jags, Dolphins, Steelers. Lose to the 49ers)

2. Chiefs 11-6 (Finish 3-1 Beat Patriots, Raiders, Chargers. Lose to the Bengals)

3. Jaguars 11-6 (Finish 3-1 Beat the Bucs, Panthers, Titans. Lose to the Ravens)

4. Bills 10-7 (Finish 3-1 Beat the Chargers, Patriots, Dolphins. Lose to the Cowboys)

5. Broncos 11-6 (Finish 4-0 Beat Lions, Patriots, Raiders, Chargers)

6. Bengals 11-6 (Finish 4-0 Beat Vikings, Steelers, Chiefs, Browns)

7. Browns 10-7 (Finish 2-2 Beat the Bears, Jets. Lose to the Texans and Bengals)

 

Missing Out

Colts 9-8 (Finish 2-2. Lose to the Steelers and Texans. Beat the Raiders and Falcons)

Steelers 8-9 (Finish 1-3. Lose to the Benglas, Seahawks, Ravens. Beat the Colts)

Texans 10-7 (Finish 3-1. Lose to the Titans (Road). Beat the Browns, Titans (Home), Colts)

Dolphins 10-7 (Finish 1-3. Lose to the Ravens, Cowboys, Bills. Beat the Jets)

 

Initial thoughts.

 

1. Seems unlikely both the Bengals and Broncos will win out. I do think the Broncos have a good shot of winning out. For the Bengals, probably more realistic to have them finish 3-1 with a loss to the Chiefs or even 2-2 with losses to the Chiefs and Browns. In either scenario if I plug those results in and leave everything else the same Miami takes the 7th seed and the Bengals miss the playoffs. 

 

2. If I leave everything the same but have the Bills beat the Cowboys but lose to the Dolphins, then the Bills miss the playoffs.

 

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chongli Veteran

chongli

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26 minutes ago, Sammy Watkins' Rib said:

Before this weekend's games which includes three pivotal Saturday games, give me your 7 playoff teams in the AFC and their seedings.

 

Here is what I came up with using the ESPN Playoff Machine

 

1. Ravens 13-4 ( Finish 3-1 Beat Jags, Dolphins, Steelers. Lose to the 49ers)

2. Chiefs 11-6 (Finish 3-1 Beat Patriots, Raiders, Chargers. Lose to the Bengals)

3. Jaguars 11-6 (Finish 3-1 Beat the Bucs, Panthers, Titans. Lose to the Ravens)

4. Bills 10-7 (Finish 3-1 Beat the Chargers, Patriots, Dolphins. Lose to the Cowboys)

5. Broncos 11-6 (Finish 4-0 Beat Lions, Patriots, Raiders, Chargers)

6. Bengals 11-6 (Finish 4-0 Beat Vikings, Steelers, Chiefs, Browns)

7. Browns 10-7 (Finish 2-2 Beat the Bears, Jets. Lose to the Texans and Bengals)

 

 

 

I can take that. In your scenario, there would be two WC rematches: Broncos at Bills and Bengals at Jaguars.

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JoshAllin RFA

JoshAllin

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1 hour ago, Sammy Watkins' Rib said:

 

5. Broncos 11-6 (Finish 4-0 Beat Lions, Patriots, Raiders, Chargers)

6. Bengals 11-6 (Finish 4-0 Beat Vikings, Steelers, Chiefs, Browns)

 

 

Looks good but don't think lions are losing and hopefully raiders stay hot and in the race for a bit. Bengals could also easily go 2-2

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Doc Brown Hall of Famer

Doc Brown

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I think the Chiefs win out because of their soft schedule/defense and the Jaguars surprisingly beat the Ravens this Sunday night at home.  I see Jacksonville blowing it against the Titans because they're so darn inconsistent (like us).  Bengals, Steelers, Colts, and Texans falter down the stretch,

 

I'll go...

1.) Chiefs

2.) Ravens

3.) Jaguars

4.)  Bills

5.)  Browns (I see them winning  3 of 4)

6.)  Broncos

7.)  Dolphins

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Drew21PA RFA

Drew21PA

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Playoff machine gave me this

 

ravens

chiefs

jags

bills

Browns

dolphins

broncos

 

picked gsmes as I thought they would win.  I keep seeing how everyone saying we wouldn’t get in in most scenarios with bills losing this week but whatever I digress - I don’t want to debate.  Just gonna take it one game at a time

 

Go Bills

4 hours ago, motorj said:

Looks good but don't think lions are losing and hopefully raiders stay hot and in the race for a bit. Bengals could also easily go 2-2

Watching last night gave me hope that maybe the raiders at home against the broncos we could get help

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Scott7975 Hall of Famer

Scott7975

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Just so close this year it can go a million ways.  My choices were covered above.  I'll pick two teams I don't want to face in the Playoffs.  Bengals and Jags.  They just seem to matchup poorly with those two teams and those teams seem to have our number.

 

11 minutes ago, Drew21PA said:

picked gsmes as I thought they would win.  I keep seeing how everyone saying we wouldn’t get in in most scenarios with bills losing this week but whatever I digress - I don’t want to debate.  Just gonna take it one game at a time

This was based on if we lost the division and had to fight for a wildcard.  Obviously Miami opened that back up by losing to the Titans and gives us a better chance to win it.

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dollars 2 donuts All Pro

dollars 2 donuts

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Posted (edited)
7 hours ago, Sammy Watkins' Rib said:

Before this weekend's games which includes three pivotal Saturday games, give me your 7 playoff teams in the AFC and their seedings.

 

Here is what I came up with using the ESPN Playoff Machine

 

1. Ravens 13-4 ( Finish 3-1 Beat Jags, Dolphins, Steelers. Lose to the 49ers)

2. Chiefs 11-6 (Finish 3-1 Beat Patriots, Raiders, Chargers. Lose to the Bengals)

3. Jaguars 11-6 (Finish 3-1 Beat the Bucs, Panthers, Titans. Lose to the Ravens)

4. Bills 10-7 (Finish 3-1 Beat the Chargers, Patriots, Dolphins. Lose to the Cowboys)

5. Broncos 11-6 (Finish 4-0 Beat Lions, Patriots, Raiders, Chargers)

6. Bengals 11-6 (Finish 4-0 Beat Vikings, Steelers, Chiefs, Browns)

7. Browns 10-7 (Finish 2-2 Beat the Bears, Jets. Lose to the Texans and Bengals)

 

Missing Out

Colts 9-8 (Finish 2-2. Lose to the Steelers and Texans. Beat the Raiders and Falcons)

Steelers 8-9 (Finish 1-3. Lose to the Benglas, Seahawks, Ravens. Beat the Colts)

Texans 10-7 (Finish 3-1. Lose to the Titans (Road). Beat the Browns, Titans (Home), Colts)

Dolphins 10-7 (Finish 1-3. Lose to the Ravens, Cowboys, Bills. Beat the Jets)

 

Initial thoughts.

 

1. Seems unlikely both the Bengals and Broncos will win out. I do think the Broncos have a good shot of winning out. For the Bengals, probably more realistic to have them finish 3-1 with a loss to the Chiefs or even 2-2 with losses to the Chiefs and Browns. In either scenario if I plug those results in and leave everything else the same Miami takes the 7th seed and the Bengals miss the playoffs. 

 

2. If I leave everything the same but have the Bills beat the Cowboys but lose to the Dolphins, then the Bills miss the playoffs.

 

 

 

Thank you for the effort, Sammy, and I think there is a lot of good stuff in the above.

 

Let's all be clear, though, on how razor thin this is, because I believe if only one game in the Dolphins schedule is different, let's say they upset the Ravens, then the Bills go from division champion to all the way out of the playoffs.

 

We need to stack wins, and we need pretty much all of them, just in case.

 

 

Edited by dollars 2 donuts
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Sammy Watkins' Rib Veteran

Sammy Watkins' Rib

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5 hours ago, Doc Brown said:

I think the Chiefs win out because of their soft schedule/defense a

 

Given who the Chiefs have shown themselves to be over the course of the first 14 weeks of the season, I think it is reasonable to expect the Chiefs to finish 3-1 down the stretch. They have not shown themselves to be a 4-0 quality team of late. 

 

On the flipside, I don't love that I have both the Broncos and Bengals finishing 4-0. It is certainly possible each could finish 3-1. Broncos could lose to Detroit this week and Bengals could lose to the Chiefs. I believe such a scenario keeps the Broncos in the playoffs but swaps out the Bengals for the Dolphins. 

 

Not having faith that the Chiefs can finish 4-0 I had to give them a loss somewhere. Bengals seemed most likely. But this week against the Pats on the road is a sneaky spot as well. 

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Generic_Bills_Fan Veteran

Generic_Bills_Fan

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41 minutes ago, Scott7975 said:

Just so close this year it can go a million ways.  My choices were covered above.  I'll pick two teams I don't want to face in the Playoffs.  Bengals and Jags.  They just seem to matchup poorly with those two teams and those teams seem to have our number.

 

This was based on if we lost the division and had to fight for a wildcard.  Obviously Miami opened that back up by losing to the Titans and gives us a better chance to win it.

I’d love to get the jags again…if we didn’t lose most of our starting defense in that game I think that would’ve been a relatively easy win but you never know 😂

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Scott7975 Hall of Famer

Scott7975

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1 hour ago, Generic_Bills_Fan said:

I’d love to get the jags again…if we didn’t lose most of our starting defense in that game I think that would’ve been a relatively easy win but you never know 😂

 

Yeah true. We can beat them for sure.  Just weird that they have had our number both times in London.

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Virgil All Pro

Virgil

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9 hours ago, Sammy Watkins' Rib said:

Before this weekend's games which includes three pivotal Saturday games, give me your 7 playoff teams in the AFC and their seedings.

 

Here is what I came up with using the ESPN Playoff Machine

 

1. Ravens 13-4 ( Finish 3-1 Beat Jags, Dolphins, Steelers. Lose to the 49ers)

2. Chiefs 11-6 (Finish 3-1 Beat Patriots, Raiders, Chargers. Lose to the Bengals)

3. Jaguars 11-6 (Finish 3-1 Beat the Bucs, Panthers, Titans. Lose to the Ravens)

4. Bills 10-7 (Finish 3-1 Beat the Chargers, Patriots, Dolphins. Lose to the Cowboys)

5. Broncos 11-6 (Finish 4-0 Beat Lions, Patriots, Raiders, Chargers)

6. Bengals 11-6 (Finish 4-0 Beat Vikings, Steelers, Chiefs, Browns)

7. Browns 10-7 (Finish 2-2 Beat the Bears, Jets. Lose to the Texans and Bengals)

 

Missing Out

Colts 9-8 (Finish 2-2. Lose to the Steelers and Texans. Beat the Raiders and Falcons)

Steelers 8-9 (Finish 1-3. Lose to the Benglas, Seahawks, Ravens. Beat the Colts)

Texans 10-7 (Finish 3-1. Lose to the Titans (Road). Beat the Browns, Titans (Home), Colts)

Dolphins 10-7 (Finish 1-3. Lose to the Ravens, Cowboys, Bills. Beat the Jets)

 

Initial thoughts.

 

1. Seems unlikely both the Bengals and Broncos will win out. I do think the Broncos have a good shot of winning out. For the Bengals, probably more realistic to have them finish 3-1 with a loss to the Chiefs or even 2-2 with losses to the Chiefs and Browns. In either scenario if I plug those results in and leave everything else the same Miami takes the 7th seed and the Bengals miss the playoffs. 

 

2. If I leave everything the same but have the Bills beat the Cowboys but lose to the Dolphins, then the Bills miss the playoffs.

 

 

Can you imagine if the Dolphins missed the playoffs after being in 2nd place with 4 weeks to go?.  That would be amazing

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Whites Bay RFA

Whites Bay

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2 hours ago, Sammy Watkins' Rib said:

On the flipside, I don't love that I have both the Broncos and Bengals finishing 4-0. It is certainly possible each could finish 3-1. Broncos could lose to Detroit this week and Bengals could lose to the Chiefs. I believe such a scenario keeps the Broncos in the playoffs but swaps out the Bengals for the Dolphins. 

 

I was thinking this when I read the OP.  I don't see Detroit losing to Denver at home after getting embarrassed by Chicago last week.  Doesn't really change things a lot, other than I don't see Denver going 4-0 down the stretch.

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skibum RFA

skibum

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Love the playoff machine!

 

I got:

1. KC

2. Jacksonville

3. Baltimore

4. Buffalo

5. Houston

6.Cleveland

7. Miami

 

Can't remember which games I may have picked as upsets, etc. I must have picked the Texans to win out, and based on their schedule and QB I think it's possible. But I do think those are the 7 best teams in the AFC this year, with the possible exception of Cleveland. Indy, Denver, and Pittsburgh are not for real to me, and Cincy can't do it without Burrow. 

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Sammy Watkins' Rib Veteran

Sammy Watkins' Rib

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1 hour ago, Whites Bay said:

I was thinking this when I read the OP.  I don't see Detroit losing to Denver at home after getting embarrassed by Chicago last week.  Doesn't really change things a lot, other than I don't see Denver going 4-0 down the stretch.


I do like Denver quite a bit this week against Detroit. But reality is it is far more likely both Denver and Cincinnati go 3-1 rather than 4-0

 

i’m thinking it’s an adjustment I should make in my prediction. I believe it ends up being good for the Dolphins bad for the Bengals, and not having much of an impact for the Broncos.

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FilthyBeast Veteran

FilthyBeast

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Not sure about seeding but gut feeling right now tells me:

 

Division Winners:

Chiefs

Dolphins

Ravens

Jaguars

 

Wild Cards

Bills

Broncos

Bengals/Browns - this to me is a coin flip and the matchup at the final week of season is essentially a 'play in' game IMO.

 

Also think that somehow, someway the Bills and Chiefs are going to play again in the playoffs with unfortunately the same result as 2020/2021 since KC will get homefield once again and have a chip on their shoulder after what happened last week.

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zow2 All Pro

zow2

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The Raiders are gonna do us a solid... they have their swag back and the light went on for the rookie QB.  I think they will beat Indy and Denver..and will not lay down like dogs for Kansas City.  That will a fun game for the Silver and Black on Christmas Day.

 

 

 

8 minutes ago, FilthyBeast said:

Also think that somehow, someway the Bills and Chiefs are going to play again in the playoffs with unfortunately the same result as 2020/2021 since KC will get homefield once again and have a chip on their shoulder after what happened last week.

 

I hear you...but the emotional playoff losses to KC have left a Larger chip on the Bills' shoulders.  So that will more than counteract the Kansas City regular season loss revenge angle.  Outside the 1st Qtr, I don't think the Bills played all that well last Sunday.  We all know they can play much better than that. 

Edited by zow2
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Jrb1979 RFA

Jrb1979

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23 minutes ago, zow2 said:

The Raiders are gonna do us a solid... they have their swag back and the light went on for the rookie QB.  I think they will beat Indy and Denver..and will not lay down like dogs for Kansas City.  That will a fun game for the Silver and Black on Christmas Day.

 

 

 

 

I hear you...but the emotional playoff losses to KC have left a Larger chip on the Bills' shoulders.  So that will more than counteract the Kansas City regular season loss revenge angle.  Outside the 1st Qtr, I don't think the Bills played all that well last Sunday.  We all know they can play much better than that. 

I don't think they beat Indy. Raiders aren't good on the road. 

 

I just did the playoff machine and here is my final standings

 

 Bal 

KC

Miami

Jacksonville

Indy

Cleveland

Cincinnati 

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Gregg Veteran

Gregg

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2 hours ago, FilthyBeast said:

Not sure about seeding but gut feeling right now tells me:

 

Division Winners:

Chiefs

Dolphins

Ravens

Jaguars

 

Wild Cards

Bills

Broncos

Bengals/Browns - this to me is a coin flip and the matchup at the final week of season is essentially a 'play in' game IMO.

 

Also think that somehow, someway the Bills and Chiefs are going to play again in the playoffs with unfortunately the same result as 2020/2021 since KC will get homefield once again and have a chip on their shoulder after what happened last week.

 

Because of their poor conference record, it would be hard for the Bills to get a WC. It feels like division or bust this year for their playoff hopes.

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Straight Hucklebuck Veteran

Straight Hucklebuck

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In my mind it’s always been Kansas City and Dallas as a package deal.

 

The loser of Steelers v Colts drops out this week, and Stroud is a long shot to make it back in time for Tennessee, but because the Bills don’t have the tie breakers on the Broncos or Bengals, they need the game.

 

Broncos only hard one left is this weekend against Detroit. Otherwise they look like they’ll go 3-1.

 

Bengals have at Chiefs, but again, other than that one game, they face Vikings, Steelers and Browns at home, and the Browns have out 8 starters this week from their opening day roster. 
 

Edited by Straight Hucklebuck
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Governor Veteran

Governor

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25 minutes ago, TFBillsfan said:

Wow. If we get in and can’t beat the Bengals with a backup QB we’ve got bigger issues. IMO, just get in and the Bills can play with anyone. 

Both coaches dominate McD. We want to avoid that. Both teams shut down our offense with relative ease. 

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Starr-Bills UDFA

Starr-Bills

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Baltimore 

Kansas City

Jacksonville 

Buffalo 

 

Cleveland

Houston

Miami 

https://www.espn.com/nfl/playoffs/machine/_/results/401547604~1~401547607~1~401547606~1~401547594~1~401547595~1~401547598~1~401547599~1~401547601~2~401547602~2~401547600~1~401547597~1~401547596~2~401547608~2~401547605~1~401547603~2~401547609~1~401547610~2~401547611~2~401547612~1~401547613~1~401547614~2~401547616~1~401547617~2~401547622~2~401547241~1~401547351~1~401547621~1~401547620~2~401547619~2~401547615~2~401547618~2~401547624~1~401547623~1~401547625~1~401547626~1~401547627~1~401547628~1~401547629~1~401547631~1~401547637~1~401547630~1~401547235~1~401547636~1~401547635~2~401547634~1~401547633~1~401547632~2~401547638~2~401547639~1~401547640~2~401547641~1~401547642~2~401547643~1~401547644~2~401547645~2~401547653~2~401547652~2~401547651~1~401547650~2~401547649~2~401547648~2~401547647~2~401547646~29

  

https://www.espn.com/nfl/playoffs/machine/_/results/401547604~1~401547607~1~401547606~1~401547594~1~401547595~1~401547598~1~401547599~1~401547601~2~401547602~2~401547600~1~401547597~1~401547596~2~401547608~2~401547605~1~401547603~2~401547609~1~401547610~2~401547611~2~401547612~1~401547613~1~401547614~2~401547616~1~401547617~2~401547622~2~401547241~1~401547351~1~401547621~1~401547620~2~401547619~2~401547615~2~401547618~2~401547624~1~401547623~1~401547625~1~401547626~1~401547627~1~401547628~1~401547629~1~401547631~1~401547637~1~401547630~1~401547235~1~401547636~1~401547635~2~401547634~1~401547633~1~401547632~2~401547638~2~401547639~1~401547640~2~401547641~1~401547642~2~401547643~1~401547644~2~401547645~2~401547653~2~401547652~2~401547651~1~401547650~2~401547649~2~401547648~2~401547647~2~401547646~29

 

Edited by Starr-Bills
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