Bleeding Bills Blue

I'm not concerned about his targets being dispersed, its more who he's looking to on a crucial 3rd down.

Shakir out - Samuel invisible - Hollins Hollinsing - MVS MVSing... If there were a time for a breakout, its this game.

Sounds like he's been in the slot a fair amount so... potentially cam lewis.

28 tight ends have more than 10 targets this year, he is just outside the top 10 in total targets with 18. There's only like 20 TE's with even 100 yards receiving this season through 4 games. The position is a gaping hole in fantasy because of the lack of production, and considering he's only played about 62% of the snaps this year - he's been an impact player, even without a major breakout game.

Season just started but the Hollins and MVS catch rates are atrocious. Both sub 40 percent, and Hollins already has 11 targets. I just don't know how sustainable it is to keep using Hollins, when the 3 players you listed have fewer snaps (i know there's been some wonky 2nd half splits because of blowouts). Just play the best players! I don't know why this is so difficult at times. Not sure if Samuels hurt or what, but he needs to get up to speed quickly because its absolutely stupid that he's being considerably out snapped by Hollins and MVS.

Samuel shouldn't have pitched it imo. Just felt like the lineman hit the mesh point where the pitch or handoff is supposed to occur, so keep or pitch he's following the ball, and pitching just exposes you to a turnover which happened.

Timelines kind of important. Kincaid was not a member of the team at the time of the extension. He's 13th in the NFL AAV at the position. He's closer in pay to Noah Grey and Josh oliver than he is to kelce kittle and andrews. He also re-worked his deal going into this season, and there are now incentives for playing time, receptions, yards, and TDs - as well as base salary guarantees. Knox had a good year in 2022. 3rd on team in yards and targets, and had more yards than the running backs on fewer targets. He was coming off a season where he had 9 TDs, and it made sense at the time to give a player with a growing role a raise - also signaled that davis was fully on the outs. Kincaid fell to the point that buffalo wanted to snag him, and buffalo liked the idea of a move TE to pair with an inline guy. He spent most of last year either playing hurt or on IR, so not really his best season and its year 1 of when the extension actually kicked in. End of the day... He's overpaid in the sense that a lot of the role he was paid to occupy is now falling to kincaid. He's still playing more than half of snaps, he's still blocking, just not seeing a ton of targets. And thats fine. He's depth if kincaid were to miss time, he's still a good red zone weapon, he's a physical player with the ball in his hands, and he blocks well (which is literally like half the position). Guy has scored 28 TDs in his career here and everyone wants to write him off as trash because of kincaid. His original role was taken, he has a new role regardless of his paycheck and he's likely here at least 1 more season after this one.

He's 28, and if he's a fit next to bishop you can afford to pay him since bishop is on a rookie deal for 3 more years.

So the issue is samuels cap hit rises even if he's traded because he has a prorated signing bonus of 6.9M. You cannot trade a signing bonus, and it all gets moved up to the current season when hes on the roster. Elam would go down a little, but he still has another signing bonus that would need to be fronted as well. Adams has a 16.8M salary that you'd acquire, and you can only lower it by adding void years. He has 2 years and 70M left so you can probably lower the salary this year to accommodate void years, but there isn't anything you can do with Elam or Samuel, and buffalo is tight against the cap. A 2nd for a rental is steep too. I know thats what we got for diggs, but offseason and deadline trades are different. Only way i move a 2nd is if i consider him the piece to put the team over the top. We'd still have a need at WR next season, CB, S, DE, etc. They need a lot of picks and financial flexibility.

I'm definitely in the "break in case of emergency" scenario with Hyde. Hamlin hasn't been oppresively bad, but with Rapp potentially out we'll see how he looks with the rookie. I assume we find a spot on the PS and give him some time to get game ready, then just promote to the active roster.

It was a well timed trap play more than an alignment issue. Oliver is up field - thus his gap becomes unoccupied. Williams shot his gap at the LOS so he wasn't in position to replace him. Groot has outside contain. They basically played to our tendencies, and called a play that creates a bunch of 1x1 blocks, and they nailed every one.

He still can do this, and has done it. But if teams are playing off coverage on a bunch, you have leverage - its basically like an outside run. I don't need to diagnose man vs. zone, 2 high vs. 1 high, pressure, whatever. I just call an alert and throw it over to the bunch and its 2 blocking 2 and kincaid has the ball to create some YAC. Teams will start trying to find ways to stop this, but if you can get 5-10 yards basically on a handoff to shakir or kincaid, why wouldn't you?

I don't know that there was an angle there for hamlin. He's headed sideways as henry is getting speed going straight up. The key isn't tackling him 40 yards down field, its slowing him down before he gets there. To me that is a trio of misses by rapp, williams, and spector. The play design takes out oliver, but 3 on 3 and not one of those guys got a hand on him.

At least he's good at football?

He appears to have the outside gap. As 89 moves up to block rapp, he maintains his outside gap before trying to creep inside for cleanup. He was late, but no one got a hand on henry so he has a full head of steam while he's working his way back. Rousseau also was setting the edge on that side. They trapped oliver up field with Ricard (play tendency that is often used against penetrating DTs), Williams tries to shoot the A gap and gets trapped by the center, Jones doesn't get enough of the LG, and gets pinned by the RG, and spector is too slow to react and ends up late as well.