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Where does the 10th win come from?


letsgoteam

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We were gift wrapped a ridiculously easy schedule and our 6-3 record is better than this team is. We are not a 10 win team, even with the easy schedule. I say 9-7, maybe we make the playoffs. I doubt we'll have a chance if we get in. I can't see us beating the Texans, Ravens or chiefs on the road in the playoffs. I stay positive longer than a lot, but all the scraping by trash teams and today we got beat by a trash team, I really think I've been kidding myself. This team is not a playoff caliber team.

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2 hours ago, MAJBobby said:


I am more worried by were the 7th win is coming from. 

 

Brudda by Another Mutha

1 hour ago, HurlyBurly51 said:

Does it matter?

 

This, really.  If we can not beat a quality opponent, we’re not going anywhere in the playoffs so, what would be the point, really?

 

I just want to see quality football on both sides of the ball.  I saw flashes on both sides, but not consistency.

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2 hours ago, letsgoteam said:

Such a frustrating game, with the Bills blowing this one, where does  the 10th win come? Assuming we beat the Dolphins, Broncos, Jets. Do they even get 10? 

 

Unfortunately, I am starting to feel that 9 wins is not going to capture a playoff spot with Pitt and Oakland doing their thing.

No, 9 will be the most possible. Our flaws are out and exposed. These last 4 games have validated that. Two unimpressive wins v Mia and Wash. And losing 2 games to teams with losing records. We're not blowing anyone out this year with this offense. 

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Honestly, if we let the Pats sweep us again, I don't even care about the playoffs.

 

I hate that we chalk that up as a loss every year.  If the Bills can't beat 'em, what's the point?  I think all of the remaining games are on the table.  Why should we concede games like Dallas and Pittsburgh?  Those teams both have plenty of issues of their own.  

 

We might finish 11-5 or even 12-4.  Who knows.

 

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4 hours ago, Big Blitz said:

Can we just worry about Denver?  

And skip the Dolphins game?

2 hours ago, BuffaloBaumer said:

No chance in hell can this offense do anything vs Pittsburgh D. New England, yeah right, Ravens, nope, Dallas offense will shred this D.

 

I highly doubt they beat Denver but it's possible....9-7 and some luck is their only hope.

The Jets beat the Cowboys. Lots not pretend like they are some amazing team. We might lose, but it's not because the Cowboys are good.

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If we don’t beat the Dolphins it doesn’t matter.
 

But I’ll take the bait...

@ Miami - W (7-3)

H Denver - W (8-3)

@ Dallas - L (8-4)

H Baltimore - W (9-4)

@ Pittsburgh - W (10-4)

@ New England - L (10-5)

H NYJ - W (11-5) 

 

 

 

 

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9 hours ago, letsgoteam said:

Such a frustrating game, with the Bills blowing this one, where does  the 10th win come? Assuming we beat the Dolphins, Broncos, Jets. Do they even get 10? 

 

Unfortunately, I am starting to feel that 9 wins is not going to capture a playoff spot with Pitt and Oakland doing their thing.

Where is win 7,8 and 9 coming from?  Can’t get to,10without them and I see a loss against a resurgent dolphins team this coming weekend, Denver maybe, ravens and Dallas will kill us,  

1 hour ago, Dr.Sack said:

If we don’t beat the Dolphins it doesn’t matter.
 

But I’ll take the bait...

@ Miami - W (7-3)

H Denver - W (8-3)

@ Dallas - L (8-4)

H Baltimore - W (9-4)

@ Pittsburgh - W (10-4)

@ New England - L (10-5)

H NYJ - W (11-5) 

 

 

 

 

Have you wathched the Ravens? No way we can contain Lamar

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12 hours ago, letsgoteam said:

Such a frustrating game, with the Bills blowing this one, where does  the 10th win come? Assuming we beat the Dolphins, Broncos, Jets. Do they even get 10? 

 

Unfortunately, I am starting to feel that 9 wins is not going to capture a playoff spot with Pitt and Oakland doing their thing.

Gonna lose them all and go 6-10 then fire everybody on black monday.

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It's not coming.

 

The Bills might not get to 9 wins.

 

Miami is over their crap and just played us hard. Everyone there is no longer thinking they'll get traded and is now in on putting together good film in case they move on next year. Two wins in a row.

 

Denver has a solid defense. Hard to see us scoring 20 points against them which makes that an iffy game.

 

Dallas is significantly better than us.

 

Baltimore should destroy us.

 

Pittsburgh is peaking. Their D is playing really well, gets pressure and forces mistakes. Again, where do the points come from on the road?

 

New England will be playing for home field.

 

The Jets will be playing spoiler. 

 

This thing feels like it's about to go south in a hurry. The offense is a mess, we can't pass the ball, we can't score points, and we need the defense and special teams to play perfect football to win games. The QB and OC are major problems and our HCs situational awareness on how to use timeouts and work the clock is simply horrible. 


The Bills might win 2-3 of their remaining games. Their offense is simply not good enough to expect to win more than that. 

Edited by jrober38
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On paper Pittsburgh looks like the best bet, but ... the Bills haven't won in Pittsburgh since 1975, when the Juice ran for 227 yards.

1 hour ago, jrober38 said:

It's not coming.

 

The Bills might not get to 9 wins.

 

Miami is over their crap and just played us hard. Everyone there is no longer thinking they'll get traded and is now in on putting together good film in case they move on next year. Two wins in a row.

 

Denver has a solid defense. Hard to see us scoring 20 points against them which makes that an iffy game.

 

Dallas is significantly better than us.

 

Baltimore should destroy us.

 

Pittsburgh is peaking. Their D is playing really well, gets pressure and forces mistakes. Again, where do the points come from on the road?

 

New England will be playing for home field.

 

The Jets will be playing spoiler. 

 

This thing feels like it's about to go south in a hurry. The offense is a mess, we can't pass the ball, we can't score points, and we need the defense and special teams to play perfect football to win games. The QB and OC are major problems and our HCs situational awareness on how to use timeouts and work the clock is simply horrible. 


The Bills might win 2-3 of their remaining games. Their offense is simply not good enough to expect to win more than that. 

The Bills will beat Miami, Denver, and the Jets. One slip up by either Pitt, Baltimore, or Dallas (turnovers, special teams flukes, etc.) and the Bills get to 10. They will not win at NE.

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Sadly, IMO, it doesn't.

 

I used to think Pittsburgh, but not anymore.   They're 4-0 in the last month and their next six games come aganst teams with a combined 17-37-1 record.     They look very tough on defense right now, which is not good news for a struggling Bills offense...

 

 

 

 

Edited by Lurker
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It looks to me that the rest of the season is going to play out with the Bills just being on the outside of the playoffs.  The rest of our schedule looks like this:

 

WIN        at Miami (2-7)
WIN        vs. Denver (3-6)
LOSS     at Dallas on Thanksgiving (5-4)
LOSS     vs. Baltimore (7-2)
????      at Pittsburgh (5-4)
LOSS    at New England (8-1)
WIN      vs. New York Jets (2-7)

 

We are at 6 and 3.     The above shows three wins and three losses, which puts us at 9 and 6, without adding in the Pittsburgh game.

 

 

Pittsburgh is at 5-4 but has an easier schedule.  They also have won 4 straight.

 

WIN     at Cleveland (3-6)
WIN     at Cincinnati (0-9)
WIN     vs. Cleveland (3-6)
WIN     at Arizona (3-6-1)
?????    vs. Buffalo (6-3)
WIN    at New York Jets (2-7)
LOSS  at Baltimore (7-2)

 

The Steelers are at 5 and 4.     The above shows five wins and one loss, which puts them at 10 and 4, without adding in the Buffalo game.

 

 

Quote

 

To Break A Tie For The Wild-Card Team

If it is necessary to break ties to determine the two Wild-Card clubs from each conference, the following steps will be taken.

  1. If the tied clubs are from the same division, apply division tie breaker.
  2. If the tied clubs are from different divisions, apply the following steps.

Two Clubs

  1. Head-to-head, if applicable.
  2. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.
  3. Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games, minimum of four.
  4. Strength of victory.
  5. Strength of schedule.
  6. Best combined ranking among conference teams in points scored and points allowed.
  7. Best combined ranking among all teams in points scored and points allowed.
  8. Best net points in conference games.
  9. Best net points in all games.
  10. Best net touchdowns in all games.
  11. Coin toss.

https://www.nfl.com/standings/tiebreakingprocedures

 

 

 

This may be the game that decides whether we have a post season.

 

Edited by maryland-bills-fan
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I would say so.  Maybe,  (takes several gulps from near empty bottle of Jaeger),  they are tanking the season to get draft picks in the top 16 of each round.  So they give Allen a forced learning experience and have him make passing mistakes to learn and get experience in reading coverages, going thu progresssions and make the right decisions.  If he is handing the ball off all the time, he doesn't learn.  Yeah, that it.  Where did I leave that case of beer?

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1 minute ago, Nextmanup said:

Question: If we miss the playoffs this year does McDermott get fired?

 

 


 I sure hope not.

 

As for the OP, I agree.  Nice breakdown.  There’s a very good chance that whichever team wins that game gets a WC and the other stays home. 

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1 minute ago, BarleyNY said:


 I sure hope not.

 

As for the OP, I agree.  Nice breakdown.  There’s a very good chance that whichever team wins that game gets a WC and the other stays home. 

Please elaborate.

 

 

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All this fuss about the playoffs.  We are just going to get bounced in the wild card round anyway.  Instead of stressing the playoffs so much, we should be stressing be a threat to win it all.  What's the point of getting in the playoffs when you don't have a realistic shot. Right now we don't.  Our offense cannot score like a playoff team should

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