stevestojan Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 Not sure the last time I saw the Bills favored by more than two TDs, but I’ll take it. 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atlbillsfan1975 Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 Good lord that’s a lot. This will be a good test for the Bills, how to they react to success. Bills have shown little ability to separate from teams. Might be a good bet to take the Phins. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Over 29 years of fanhood Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 The way this bills team plays, I’m guessing the bills win by 2 pts. I have total faith in a win but I wouldn’t touch that spread 13 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rochesterfan Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 (edited) 1 hour ago, Over 29 years of fanhood said: The way this bills team plays, I’m guessing the bills win by 2 pts. I have total faith in a win but I wouldn’t touch that spread Not sure I get these responses. The Bills have covered in 4 out of 5 games and won 2 outright as an underdog. Cincinnati is the only game they did not cover and it was by 2 points in a game they had covered for 3/4 ths of the game. They were not expected to blow anyone out until now. Vegas thought they would be close games and they were. Edited October 10, 2019 by Rochesterfan 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vincec Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 So, rest their starters another week? ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doc Brown Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 I'd pry put a small wager on the moneyline for the Fins which would pry be around plus 700 or so (still kicking myself for not betting the moneyline against the Vikings last year). A small consolation if the Bills blow it. Fins have been close to the Cowboys and Chargers in the first half of their last two games. It's the NFL so any given Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CSBill Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 (edited) Lines are simply to create action. Apparently they had to go that high to get activity on this game. Not sure we're that much better, the fins are bad this year, but they have been playing better the past two games. Edited October 10, 2019 by CSBill Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xwnyer Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 Yikes don’t like that line at all hoping we don’t come out flat and overly confident but I would this Coach will keep them from overlooking fins 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gugny Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 I don't care how much of a dumpster fire the Dolphins are ... it's sweet as hell to see the Bills giving this many points. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BruceVilanch Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 That line will be down close to 10 by next week, lots of money will hit on the fins to cover. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed_Formerly_of_Roch Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 I'd take the Fish at 15, Bills can't score so far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drunken Pygmy Goat Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 (edited) Initially I wasnt sure how to react to that line. Not because I'm not used to the Bills being favored by so much, but because the Bills have had some trouble scoring. Then, common sense took over. The Dolphins are very bad, only gaining around 11 first downs pg, terrible in ypp, and teams often gain first downs against them before getting to third down. They average 40 ppg against...Bills at home, coming off the bye. 30-10 Bills Edited October 10, 2019 by Drunken Pygmy Goat 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 ONLY -15.5 What an outrage, What disrespect!!! (those are NE* type odds) ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillsFanSD Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 (edited) 46 minutes ago, Ed_Formerly_of_Roch said: I'd take the Fish at 15, Bills can't score so far. Any reason to think the Dolphins can crack double digits? I could easily imagine this game being something like 28-3 by the end. Does anybody actually know the last time we were favored by this much? I remember one of the SB-era teams blowing a game to the Raiders where they were favored by about two TDs, but I don't recall what the line actually was. Edited October 10, 2019 by BillsFanSD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 (edited) 4 hours ago, Ed_Formerly_of_Roch said: I'd take the Fish at 15, Bills can't score so far. ??? So far? NYETS 17 pts - # 25th in PPG, # 4 in Defense (total yards) (with a gazillion Bills turnovers) GI Ants 28 pts - # 24th in PPG, #31 in Defense (total yards) BeenGals 21 pts - # 27th in PPG, #32 in Defense (total yards) NE** ** 10 pts - # 1st in PPG, # 2 in Defense (total yards) (with half a gazillion Bills turnovers) Tenny 14 pts - # 6th in PPG, # 11 in Defense (total yards) 18 PPG For Buffalo's offense . Considering the Bills played 3 of the NFL's top 10(ish) defenses. Edited October 10, 2019 by SlimShady'sGhost 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Turk Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 Wow... 50 minutes ago, Ed_Formerly_of_Roch said: I'd take the Fish at 15, Bills can't score so far. Yeah, but they might score 0, so if the Bills score 16 they cover. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dablitzkrieg Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 Take them to cover. This game is going to be a bloodbath Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buffaloboyinATL Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 (edited) We are pretty good at covering the spread, but we will definitely be getting the best effort possible from Josh Rosen in this game. He will do anything in his power to take the shine off of Allen and the Bills, and we are going to find out if his best is good enough. That being said, I am holding on to the Bills Defense in my fantasy league during the bye week, as opposed to streaming them, because I think they will have a HUGE day against Rosen and the Fins. It is worth sacrificing a roster spot for that. Edited October 10, 2019 by buffaloboyinATL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillsFan17 Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 I mean, its entirely possible we steam roll them. Also possible that these winless teams sneak up on a couple people, based solely on the fact that they will be taken to lightly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albwan Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 1 hour ago, Drunken Pygmy Goat said: Initially I wasnt sure how to react to that line. Not because I'm not used to the Bills being favored by so much, but because the Bills have had some trouble scoring. Then, common sense took over. The Dolphins are very bad, only gaining around 11 first downs pg, terrible in ypp, and teams often gain first downs against them before getting to third down. They average 40 ppg against...Bills at home, coming off the bye. 30-10 Bills .....maybe if the D scores 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CLTbills Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 yikes... the Bills are good against the spread. But that's a big line. I hope we win by 30. But I don't know. Then again, our defense should pitch a shut out against them as long as Josh doesnt give them any short fields. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Wiz Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 Well they declared Rosen the starter for the remainder of the season (or at least until he gets hurt) so I kind of like the idea of them covering. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whites Bay Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 (edited) Two thoughts: 1) I just don't see this coaching staff letting the team lose focus on the opponent at hand. And that's not something I could say about the Rex Ryan era AT ALL. McDermott is NOT going to let Miami sneak up on them. Will they run up the score? I doubt it, but... 2) Related thought - I could TOTALLY see this Defense pitching a shut out next weekend. It wouldn't surprise me if they're already talking about this among themselves. Edited October 10, 2019 by Whites Bay Chronology Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bookie Man Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 What's the over/under? I'm guessing around 39 or 40. Vegas might be thinking a 28-12 type score, which I could definitely see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Don Otreply Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 Remember fellow fans this line stuff is there to separated people from their money, the teams that are playing the game outright ignore the grade school level game of gambling lines. It’s a con job to take your money, the house is gonna come out on top. Hope some of you win some money, but the majority will lose. Go Bills!!! 1 minute ago, NC Book said: What's the over/under? I'm guessing around 39 or 40. Vegas might be thinking a 28-12 type score, which I could definitely see. Do you really think Miami can score that many points against the Buffalo D ? Go Bills!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Putin Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 5 hours ago, atlbillsfan1975 said: Good lord that’s a lot. This will be a good test for the Bills, how to they react to success. Bills have shown little ability to separate from teams. Might be a good bet to take the Phins. Yes putting $5000 is the way to go now !!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerJ Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 Miami has scored and average of 6.5 points per game through their first 4 games of the season while giving up an average of over 40 points per game. They have had their bye. Buffalo has scored an average of 18 points per game and giving up an average of 14. The Patriots were a common opponent for the two teams. The Patriots beat Miami 43-0 in Miami. They beat Buffalo by 16-10. As a home game for Buffalo, a 15.5 spread seems about right. As bad as Miami is defensively, I could easily see Buffalo having an offensive explosion, while Miami is going to have a tough time scoring at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drunken Pygmy Goat Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 1 hour ago, Albwan said: .....maybe if the D scores 14 Not necessary my friend. Fins and Skins will help the Bills jump in offensive statistics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nedboy7 Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 The best part is we can argue this for another 12 days. Sweet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seasons1992 Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 "Better watch yo AZZZZ, Mr. Postman." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RoyBatty is alive Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 3 hours ago, BruceVilanch said: That line will be down close to 10 by next week, lots of money will hit on the fins to cover. No way the line moves that much unless there is a serious injury to the Bills Lines dont move 5.5 pts without something material happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HOUSE Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 ITS A TRAP, don't fall for it! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
r00tabaga Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 3 hours ago, Ed_Formerly_of_Roch said: I'd take the Fish at 15, Bills can't score so far. Dolphins are allowing teams to score on 73% of drives. So there's that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drunken Pygmy Goat Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 2 hours ago, Don Otreply said: Remember fellow fans this line stuff is there to separated people from their money, the teams that are playing the game outright ignore the grade school level game of gambling lines. It’s a con job to take your money, the house is gonna come out on top. Hope some of you win some money, but the majority will lose. Go Bills!!! Do you really think Miami can score that many points against the Buffalo D ? Go Bills!!! I don't gamble, but pick games/lines each week. So far this year, I'm 85%. I should gamble... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RiotAct Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 4 hours ago, Ed_Formerly_of_Roch said: I'd take the Fish at 15, Bills can't score so far. we’re going to drop a forty-burger on their sorry asses 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pine Barrens Mafia Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 1 hour ago, Seasons1992 said: "Better watch yo AZZZZ, Mr. Postman." he got rocked there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed_Formerly_of_Roch Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 4 hours ago, SlimShady'sGhost said: ??? So far? NYETS 17 pts - # 25th in PPG, # 4 in Defense (total yards) (with a gazillion Bills turnovers) GI Ants 28 pts - # 24th in PPG, #31 in Defense (total yards) BeenGals 21 pts - # 27th in PPG, #32 in Defense (total yards) NE** ** 10 pts - # 1st in PPG, # 2 in Defense (total yards) (with half a gazillion Bills turnovers) Tenny 14 pts - # 6th in PPG, # 11 in Defense (total yards) 18 PPG For Buffalo's offense . Considering the Bills played 3 of the NFL's top 10(ish) defenses. 4 hours ago, matter2003 said: Wow... Yeah, but they might score 0, so if the Bills score 16 they cover. That's the problem I have, hard to give 15 points when you're only averaging 18. Agree was against some good defenses, but even against the two worst defenses, it only went up to around 24 pt average. I think they'd have a better chance of covering if late in the game they are up something like 21-3, then it's still a close game, where as if they did score 30, then often you give up some scores in garbage time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 (edited) 7 minutes ago, Ed_Formerly_of_Roch said: That's the problem I have, hard to give 15 points when you're only averaging 18. Agree was against some good defenses, but even against the two worst defenses, it only went up to around 24 pt average. I think they'd have a better chance of covering if late in the game they are up something like 21-3, then it's still a close game, where as if they did score 30, then often you give up some scores in garbage time. If the Bills score 21 Then they are covered. Offensively Miami 6.5 points per game!!! JETS 9.8 points per game!!! (including Darnold) Defensively Miami given up 40.8 points per game!!! The JETS 25.3 points per game!!! They play Washington Sunday ..... I expect more points on O and less on D [for both teams ) Edited October 10, 2019 by SlimShady'sGhost Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLFan Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 I no longer bet on football, but I would stay away from any spread this large in the NFL no matter who it is. We will see what happens to the spread after this week when, as I expect, the Dolphins get their first win. The Skins are truly a horrible team. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pokebball Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 12 hours ago, Rochesterfan said: Not sure I get these responses. The Bills have covered in 4 out of 5 games and won 2 outright as an underdog. Cincinnati is the only game they did not cover and it was by 2 points in a game they had covered for 3/4 ths of the game. They were not expected to blow anyone out until now. Vegas thought they would be close games and they were. We get up by 10 our play calling gets very, very conservative. The only way I see getting from a 10pt lead to a 17pt lead is a pick six by the defense. 7 hours ago, RoyBatty is alive said: No way the line moves that much unless there is a serious injury to the Bills Lines dont move 5.5 pts without something material happening. This will require a boat load of money put on the Dolphins. I don't see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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