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stevestojan

Early Week 7 Line: Bills -15.5 over Dolphins

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Good lord that’s a lot. This will be a good test for the Bills, how to they react to success. Bills have shown little ability to separate from teams. Might be a good bet to take the Phins.  

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1 hour ago, Over 29 years of fanhood said:

The way this bills team plays, I’m guessing the bills win by 2 pts. 

 

I have total faith in a win but I wouldn’t touch that spread 


Not sure I get these responses.
 

The Bills have covered in 4 out of 5 games and won 2 outright as an underdog.

 

Cincinnati is the only game they did not cover and it was by 2 points in a game they had covered for 3/4 ths of the game.

 

They were not expected to blow anyone out until now.  Vegas thought they would be close games and they were.  

Edited by Rochesterfan
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I'd pry put a small wager on the moneyline for the Fins which would pry be around plus 700 or so (still kicking myself for not betting the moneyline against the Vikings last year).  A small consolation if the Bills blow it.  Fins have been close to the Cowboys and Chargers in the first half of their last two games.  It's the NFL so any given Sunday.

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Lines are simply to create action. Apparently they had to go that high to get activity on this game. Not sure we're that much better, the fins are bad this year, but they have been playing better the past two games.

Edited by CSBill

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Yikes don’t like that line at all hoping we don’t come out flat and overly confident but I would this Coach will keep them from overlooking fins

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I don't care how much of a dumpster fire the Dolphins are ... it's sweet as hell to see the Bills giving this many points.

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Initially I wasnt sure how to react to that line. Not because I'm not used to the Bills being favored by so much, but because the Bills have had some trouble scoring. 

 

Then, common sense took over. The Dolphins are very bad, only gaining around 11 first downs pg, terrible in ypp, and teams often gain first downs against them before getting to third down. They average 40 ppg against...Bills at home, coming off the bye.

 

30-10 Bills

Edited by Drunken Pygmy Goat
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46 minutes ago, Ed_Formerly_of_Roch said:

I'd take the Fish at 15, Bills can't score so far.

 

Any reason to think the Dolphins can crack double digits?  I could easily imagine this game being something like 28-3 by the end.

 

Does anybody actually know the last time we were favored by this much?  I remember one of the SB-era teams blowing a game to the Raiders where they were favored by about two TDs, but I don't recall what the line actually was.

Edited by BillsFanSD

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4 hours ago, Ed_Formerly_of_Roch said:

I'd take the Fish at 15, Bills can't score so far.

???

 

So far? 

NYETS   17 pts -   # 25th in PPG,     # 4  in Defense (total yards)  (with a gazillion Bills turnovers) 

GI Ants  28 pts -   # 24th in PPG,     #31 in Defense (total yards) 

BeenGals 21 pts - # 27th in PPG,    #32 in Defense (total yards) 

NE** **  10  pts -  # 1st in PPG,      # 2  in Defense (total yards)  (with half a gazillion Bills turnovers) 

Tenny   14  pts -    # 6th in PPG,      # 11  in Defense (total yards) 

 

18 PPG    For Buffalo's offense .   Considering the Bills played 3 of the NFL's top 10(ish) defenses. 

 

Edited by SlimShady'sGhost
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Wow...

50 minutes ago, Ed_Formerly_of_Roch said:

I'd take the Fish at 15, Bills can't score so far.

Yeah, but they might score 0, so if the Bills score 16 they cover.

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We are pretty good at covering the spread, but we will definitely be getting the best effort possible from Josh Rosen in this game. He will do anything in his power to take the shine off of Allen and the Bills, and we are going to find out if his best is good enough.

 

That being said, I am holding on to the Bills Defense in my fantasy league during the bye week, as opposed to streaming them, because I think they will have a HUGE day against Rosen and the Fins. It is worth sacrificing a roster spot for that.

Edited by buffaloboyinATL

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I mean, its entirely possible we steam roll them. Also possible that these winless teams sneak up on a couple people, based solely on the fact that they will be taken to lightly.

 

 

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1 hour ago, Drunken Pygmy Goat said:

Initially I wasnt sure how to react to that line. Not because I'm not used to the Bills being favored by so much, but because the Bills have had some trouble scoring. 

 

Then, common sense took over. The Dolphins are very bad, only gaining around 11 first downs pg, terrible in ypp, and teams often gain first downs against them before getting to third down. They average 40 ppg against...Bills at home, coming off the bye.

 

30-10 Bills

.....maybe if the D scores 14

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yikes... the Bills are good against the spread. But that's a big line. I hope we win by 30. But I don't know. 

 

Then again, our defense should pitch a shut out against them as long as Josh doesnt give them any short fields. 

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Well they declared Rosen the starter for the remainder of the season (or at least until he gets hurt) so I kind of like the idea of them covering.

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Two thoughts:

 

1) I just don't see this coaching staff letting the team lose focus on the opponent at hand.  And that's not something I could say about the Rex Ryan era AT ALL.  McDermott is NOT going to let Miami sneak up on them.  Will they run up the score?  I doubt it, but...

 

2) Related thought - I could TOTALLY see this Defense pitching a shut out next weekend.  It wouldn't surprise me if they're already talking about this among themselves.

Edited by Whites Bay
Chronology

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What's the over/under? I'm guessing around 39 or 40. Vegas might be thinking a 28-12 type score, which I could definitely see. 

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Remember fellow fans this line stuff is there to separated people from their money, the teams that are playing the game outright ignore the grade school level game of gambling lines. It’s a con job to take your money, the house is gonna come out on top.  Hope some of you win some money, but the majority will lose. 

 

Go Bills!!!

1 minute ago, NC Book said:

What's the over/under? I'm guessing around 39 or 40. Vegas might be thinking a 28-12 type score, which I could definitely see. 

Do you really think Miami can score that many points against the Buffalo D ? 

 

Go Bills!!!

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