Steptide Posted October 20, 2021 Share Posted October 20, 2021 This seems to be one of the things I hear talked about the most on local radio and here between Bill's fans. Call me ignorant, but why is it so important? Even if we played the afc championship in buffalo last year, I don't think the outcome would've been any different. Don't get me wrong, if we were to get a 1st round bye and home field advantage in the playoffs, that's not a bad thing, but at the end of the day, the 2 best teams are gonna end up in the superbowl. I'm all for getting the 1 seed , but just don't understand why it's such a huge focus . Is there statistical proof that a 1 seed has a better chance to win the superbowl? 3 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Augie Posted October 20, 2021 Share Posted October 20, 2021 Only if we get it. If not, we put on a brave face and go to battle! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allen2D̶i̶g̶g̶s̶TBD Posted October 20, 2021 Share Posted October 20, 2021 I think it's even more important this year with a longer season. We have an early bye week and it would give is an extra week of rest when we need it the most. One more week to heal up and one less week of injury risk. If we don't get it, I just hope we get multiple home playoff games. 3 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orlando Tim Posted October 20, 2021 Share Posted October 20, 2021 I think the rest is more important than the home field advantage. I think with a week off we could run through any team that had to play the previous week. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicken Boo Posted October 20, 2021 Share Posted October 20, 2021 More important is the team peaking at the right time. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShakAttack Posted October 20, 2021 Share Posted October 20, 2021 (edited) I just have to say, after YEARS of just hoping to get IN to the playoffs, it’s kinda cool to discuss where we will seed instead of How and when we are going to clinch a playoff berth (and for many years that was a miserable repeating pattern of holding on to the slightest shred of hope all the way up until the moment we were officially eliminated). Threads like this remind me how far we’ve come… Edited October 20, 2021 by BobBelcher 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dma0034 Posted October 20, 2021 Share Posted October 20, 2021 Yes. Extremely important. Just in the last 5 Superbowls only one team made without having a bye in the first round. 10 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShakAttack Posted October 20, 2021 Share Posted October 20, 2021 Just now, dma0034 said: Yes. Extremely important. Just in the last 5 Superbowls only one team made without having a bye in the first round. but how much of that is just the result of the top seed simply being a much better team than everyone else in their conference? I can say from the AFC, KC was easily the best team in the past 2-3 seasons already, and they would’ve made the super bowl even with an extra game IMO Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloBillyG Posted October 20, 2021 Share Posted October 20, 2021 The biggest reason it's important in my eyes is it's 1 less game. 1 less game for the ball to bounce the wrong way, 1 less game for a ref call to take you out and most importantly 1 less game of fatigue and potential injury happening to key players. 13 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cba fan Posted October 20, 2021 Share Posted October 20, 2021 33 minutes ago, Steptide said: This seems to be one of the things I hear talked about the most on local radio and here between Bill's fans. Call me ignorant, but why is it so important? Even if we played the afc championship in buffalo last year, I don't think the outcome would've been any different. Don't get me wrong, if we were to get a 1st round bye and home field advantage in the playoffs, that's not a bad thing, but at the end of the day, the 2 best teams are gonna end up in the superbowl. I'm all for getting the 1 seed , but just don't understand why it's such a huge focus . Is there statistical proof that a 1 seed has a better chance to win the superbowl? statistical proof is home teams win more often. yes getting top seed and a bye is very important for rest and health. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Jokeman Posted October 20, 2021 Share Posted October 20, 2021 32 minutes ago, Steptide said: This seems to be one of the things I hear talked about the most on local radio and here between Bill's fans. Call me ignorant, but why is it so important? Even if we played the afc championship in buffalo last year, I don't think the outcome would've been any different. Don't get me wrong, if we were to get a 1st round bye and home field advantage in the playoffs, that's not a bad thing, but at the end of the day, the 2 best teams are gonna end up in the superbowl. I'm all for getting the 1 seed , but just don't understand why it's such a huge focus . Is there statistical proof that a 1 seed has a better chance to win the superbowl? The bye week definitely helps IMHO. Toss in having to win 2 games to get to the Super Bowl vs 3 is quite different. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cba fan Posted October 20, 2021 Share Posted October 20, 2021 11 minutes ago, BobBelcher said: but how much of that is just the result of the top seed simply being a much better team than everyone else in their conference? I can say from the AFC, KC was easily the best team in the past 2-3 seasons already, and they would’ve made the super bowl even with an extra game IMO yes top seed is result of being better than the rest. Therefore they get high seed and bye week. Therefore being 1# seed is very important as it means you are the best team. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FilthyBeast Posted October 20, 2021 Share Posted October 20, 2021 30 minutes ago, Steptide said: This seems to be one of the things I hear talked about the most on local radio and here between Bill's fans. Call me ignorant, but why is it so important? Even if we played the afc championship in buffalo last year, I don't think the outcome would've been any different. Don't get me wrong, if we were to get a 1st round bye and home field advantage in the playoffs, that's not a bad thing, but at the end of the day, the 2 best teams are gonna end up in the superbowl. I'm all for getting the 1 seed , but just don't understand why it's such a huge focus . Is there statistical proof that a 1 seed has a better chance to win the superbowl? Yes for multiple reasons: 1) You only have to win two playoff games to get to the SB 2) This team is under McDermott is 0-3 on the road in the playoffs 3) The way this team is built in the trenches no PO game is going to be easy as we saw last year despite making it to the AFCCG And yes there is a better statistical chance look no further than the Chiefs, in fact assuming they don't win their division this year and get in as a WC it will be the first time Mahomes has ever played in a playoff game away from Arrowhead on the road. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JohnNord Posted October 20, 2021 Share Posted October 20, 2021 25 minutes ago, dma0034 said: Yes. Extremely important. Just in the last 5 Superbowls only one team made without having a bye in the first round. A little misleading considering that there used to be 2 byes in the playoffs. TB didn’t need a bye to win the Super Bowl. I think it helps but it’s far from a guarantee. It’s better to be healthy and peaking at the right time 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Southern_Bills Posted October 20, 2021 Share Posted October 20, 2021 Home field and an extra bye is a great get, is it absolutely necessary? No. Obviously having it is better than not having it, for Buffalo the home field is probably more important than the bye. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rigotz Posted October 20, 2021 Share Posted October 20, 2021 I think it's so important that we need a second thread about it when there's a 5 page thread about it immediately below this one. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TampaBillsJunkie Posted October 20, 2021 Share Posted October 20, 2021 yes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Firebaugh Kid Posted October 21, 2021 Share Posted October 21, 2021 Win 2 games to reach the bowl or win 3. And get rest. It's a pretty big deal Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
billybrew1 Posted October 21, 2021 Share Posted October 21, 2021 Yes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JohnNord Posted October 21, 2021 Share Posted October 21, 2021 1 hour ago, FilthyBeast said: Yes for multiple reasons: 1) You only have to win two playoff games to get to the SB 2) This team is under McDermott is 0-3 on the road in the playoffs 3) The way this team is built in the trenches no PO game is going to be easy as we saw last year despite making it to the AFCCG And yes there is a better statistical chance look no further than the Chiefs, in fact assuming they don't win their division this year and get in as a WC it will be the first time Mahomes has ever played in a playoff game away from Arrowhead on the road. I think the 3 road loses had more to do with the opponents than the playoffs. 2017: The Bills were outmatched by a better Jacksonville team 2019: The Bills couldn’t stop DeShaun Watson 2020: The Bills were outmatched by a better KC Team Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Success Posted October 21, 2021 Share Posted October 21, 2021 I mean, NFL history kind of says, "sometimes." No, not really. There are certain places I wouldn't want to go to for the AFCCG. KC being #1. I'd actually LOVE to go back to TN. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Einstein Posted October 21, 2021 Share Posted October 21, 2021 Yes. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
die hard bills fan Posted October 21, 2021 Share Posted October 21, 2021 Yes. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78thealltimegreat Posted October 21, 2021 Share Posted October 21, 2021 This team can beat anyone anywhere but to have the AFC title game in Buffalo is literally like an extra touchdown on the scoreboard 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dma0034 Posted October 21, 2021 Share Posted October 21, 2021 4 hours ago, JohnNord said: A little misleading considering that there used to be 2 byes in the playoffs. TB didn’t need a bye to win the Super Bowl. I think it helps but it’s far from a guarantee. It’s better to be healthy and peaking at the right time Not really misleading. 1 out of 2 made it last year and the Packers made some questionable decisions in the NFC Championshop. It is tough to win on the road. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nedboy7 Posted October 21, 2021 Share Posted October 21, 2021 Wish one of the last two night games was at home. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Billznut Posted October 21, 2021 Share Posted October 21, 2021 Here is how important it is to the Buffalo Bills. Playoff record Since 1970: Buffalo Home Playoff Record: 11-1 Buffalo Away Playoff Record: 3-11 Buffalo Neutral Playoff Record: 0-4 The Bills are 11-1 playing in that stadium in the playoffs. They are 3-15 when not playing in that stadium in the playoffs. Next time someone tries to tell you it doesn’t matter where they play. Please feel free to point out these stats. 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg S Posted October 21, 2021 Share Posted October 21, 2021 It's important. The players could use that extra week off to get healthy. Even if they aren't on the injury report you just know that everyone is banged up somewhat. One less extra game to play. You play two games at home in front of 72,000 crazy fans. It will be a lot easier to reach the Super Bowl if they get the #1 seed. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dave mcbride Posted October 21, 2021 Share Posted October 21, 2021 13 hours ago, Steptide said: This seems to be one of the things I hear talked about the most on local radio and here between Bill's fans. Call me ignorant, but why is it so important? Even if we played the afc championship in buffalo last year, I don't think the outcome would've been any different. Don't get me wrong, if we were to get a 1st round bye and home field advantage in the playoffs, that's not a bad thing, but at the end of the day, the 2 best teams are gonna end up in the superbowl. I'm all for getting the 1 seed , but just don't understand why it's such a huge focus . Is there statistical proof that a 1 seed has a better chance to win the superbowl? Ask yourself this: would you rather face the Ravens in KC, the Titans in Nashville, the Chiefs in Arrowhead, or any of those three in a freezing, snowy game with a 20-30 mph wind in Orchard Park for which you can prepare for outside during the week? The answer to me is crushingly obvious. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thurman#1 Posted October 21, 2021 Share Posted October 21, 2021 There's statistical proof that the home team gets an advantage. And that advantage is bigger in loud stadiums like KC and Buffalo. And there are plenty of times when the best two teams didn't make it to the Super Bowl. More like the best, luckiest team in the playoffs, with matchups often making a huge difference. The Bills were probably the best team in two of our Super Bowls. Probably not the best team in the AFC one or two of those years as well, especially the year they made it from the wild card. Being the one seed doesn't mean everything. But it's a significant advantage, particularly these days when only the one seed gets a week off. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thurman#1 Posted October 21, 2021 Share Posted October 21, 2021 13 hours ago, BobBelcher said: but how much of that is just the result of the top seed simply being a much better team than everyone else in their conference? I can say from the AFC, KC was easily the best team in the past 2-3 seasons already, and they would’ve made the super bowl even with an extra game IMO A pretty damn fair amount. The difference between the #1 seed and the #2 seed isn't generally all that large. Look at their records, it's usually a tie or a game or at most two of difference. Particularly after a 17 week season, but even back when it was 16, teams are beat up and exhausted by the end of the season. Having a week to get healthy is huge. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SinceThe70s Posted October 21, 2021 Share Posted October 21, 2021 14 hours ago, Steptide said: This seems to be one of the things I hear talked about the most on local radio and here between Bill's fans. Call me ignorant, but why is it so important? Even if we played the afc championship in buffalo last year, I don't think the outcome would've been any different. Don't get me wrong, if we were to get a 1st round bye and home field advantage in the playoffs, that's not a bad thing, but at the end of the day, the 2 best teams are gonna end up in the superbowl. I'm all for getting the 1 seed , but just don't understand why it's such a huge focus . Is there statistical proof that a 1 seed has a better chance to win the superbowl? Completely disagree with the bolded. Getting the 1 seed and bye helps to mitigate against upsets. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoSaint Posted October 21, 2021 Share Posted October 21, 2021 16 hours ago, Steptide said: This seems to be one of the things I hear talked about the most on local radio and here between Bill's fans. Call me ignorant, but why is it so important? Even if we played the afc championship in buffalo last year, I don't think the outcome would've been any different. Don't get me wrong, if we were to get a 1st round bye and home field advantage in the playoffs, that's not a bad thing, but at the end of the day, the 2 best teams are gonna end up in the superbowl. I'm all for getting the 1 seed , but just don't understand why it's such a huge focus . Is there statistical proof that a 1 seed has a better chance to win the superbowl? youre essentially arguing you don’t believe in home field advantage. While every team and every game is different I have yet to see an argument that the home team doesn’t generally win at a better clip. noise at big moments, kickers knowing the stadium, etc… it obviously doesn’t decide the game before it even starts but if it makes a coin flip into a 55-45 affair then yes, I’ll take it every time. And that’s before getting into bye week implications of potentially slipping down the board Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LabattBlue Posted October 21, 2021 Share Posted October 21, 2021 (edited) IMO...being the #1 seed is that important. I don't care if the Bills beat the KC in Arrowhead two weeks ago. I don't want to meet them in the playoffs there come January. Edited October 21, 2021 by BTB Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metal Man Posted October 21, 2021 Share Posted October 21, 2021 The bye and home field is definitely an advantage and I think teams will gladly take any advantage they can get in the playoffs regardless of how large or small it is. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FilthyBeast Posted October 21, 2021 Share Posted October 21, 2021 15 hours ago, JohnNord said: I think the 3 road loses had more to do with the opponents than the playoffs. 2017: The Bills were outmatched by a better Jacksonville team 2019: The Bills couldn’t stop DeShaun Watson 2020: The Bills were outmatched by a better KC Team I agree with this to a certain degree, but again was it being outmatched as much as the historical statistics say otherwise? I will say that I firmly believe we would have beat the Texans though had we played in at home in the playoffs a few years ago considering we should have won that game in Houston. KC won in Buffalo last year so that outcome probably would have been the same albeit closer just like the game in Buffalo was earlier in the season, and the 2017 team was pretty much a fluke and only 4-4 at home that season anyway so also don't believe it would have mattered against the Jaguars who went on to the almost beat the Patriots in the AFCCG. But again, the bigger reason the #1 seed matters now is that you only need to win 2 playoff games (which the Bills did last year) to punch your ticket to the SB. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dollars 2 donuts Posted October 21, 2021 Share Posted October 21, 2021 When you can't beat the Pittsburgh's and the Tennessee's of the League, it is probably pretty darn important. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SCBills Posted October 21, 2021 Share Posted October 21, 2021 This question has to be a coping mechanism for the loss to Tennessee. The #1 seed is INCREDIBLY important. Guaranteed to move past WC Weekend, and then play two games - both at home - to get to the Super Bowl. We still have a great shot at the #1, no need to try to pretend this isn't a massive deal. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LewPort71 Posted October 21, 2021 Share Posted October 21, 2021 Steve Tasker says it all...Welcome to Buffalo .Might be chilly 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2o Posted October 21, 2021 Share Posted October 21, 2021 Having the extra week off and being guaranteed Home Field is THAT important, yes. I hate the new format where only one team gets a week off. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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