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The line moved significantly in the last hour or two.


BillyBilliams

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1 hour ago, teef said:

For someone that doesn’t gamble at all, what do you think this signifies?

 

It means more money was going on the Bills. The line shifts to get new bets on the Bengals to balance things out.

Edited by PromoTheRobot
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1 hour ago, BillsfaninSB said:

Joe Burrow went out with a wet head and now has a cold. 


I’m sure you’re kidding, but hopefully you’re not thinking being wet or cold has one iota to do with a cold because it doesn’t.  As an aside I work with Critical Care Pulmonologists and Infectious Disease Specialists.

 

 

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I don't like it, have had a bad feeling and lots of anxiety about this game the last few days.

 

Really hope the Bills understand what's truly at stake tonight and play their best (and first complete game) of the year because they won't stand much of a chance if they don't.

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2 minutes ago, FilthyBeast said:

I don't like it, have had a bad feeling and lots of anxiety about this game the last few days.

 

Really hope the Bills understand what's truly at stake tonight and play their best (and first complete game) of the year because they won't stand much of a chance if they don't.

you also thought the fins were an elite team, so...ya know.

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6 minutes ago, machine gun kelly said:


I’m sure you’re kidding, but hopefully you’re not thinking being wet or cold has one iota to do with a cold because it doesn’t.  As an aside I work with Critical Care Pulmonologists and Infectious Disease Specialists.

 

 

 

I preached this for all of my life.

 

Then this study came out about a month ago

 

 

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4 minutes ago, FilthyBeast said:

I don't like it, have had a bad feeling and lots of anxiety about this game the last few days.

 

Really hope the Bills understand what's truly at stake tonight and play their best (and first complete game) of the year because they won't stand much of a chance if they don't.

This is just a shtick right ?

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Just now, julian said:

This is just a shtick right ?

 

Games like this rarely live up to the hype, and I think there's a better chance that the Bills lose in a blowout or vice versa than actually playing an epic game down to the wire. Still very worried regardless because of how shaky this team has been in recent weeks against lessor teams and letting them hang around by turning the ball over, defensive lapses, etc.

 

All this late vegas line movement is definitely a concern though...

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27 minutes ago, machine gun kelly said:


I’m sure you’re kidding, but hopefully you’re not thinking being wet or cold has one iota to do with a cold because it doesn’t.  As an aside I work with Critical Care Pulmonologists and Infectious Disease Specialists.

 

 

"Ah...your sister smokes cornsilk!"

*
"She does not!  She works in a smokehouse and smokes hams!"

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51 minutes ago, FilthyBeast said:

I don't like it, have had a bad feeling and lots of anxiety about this game the last few days.

 

Really hope the Bills understand what's truly at stake tonight and play their best (and first complete game) of the year because they won't stand much of a chance if they don't.

You broke the golden rule. You were looking a few weeks down the road into the playoffs and THAT is why we’ll lose. 1 week at a time.

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1 hour ago, Simon said:

 

I preached this for all of my life.

 

Then this study came out about a month ago

 

 


Simon:

 

Im not starting a dialog on this as silly, but that’s an article and there are hundreds refuting these exact points.

 

I work in anti infectives and specialists.

 I enjoy speaking with these specialists that it’s about close proximity,

close quarters like the winter up north, not washing hands, people transferring viruses and bacteria through touching things.  The easiest way for me is at my gym I’m touching things others have touched in a recent period of time and need to constantly wipe crap stuff done.

 

Being in cold or wet weather won’t get you sick.  Being in a plane is about touching bacterial/viral stuff and air borne pathogens.

 

if you disagree, I respect but disagree with you.

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3 hours ago, BillyBilliams said:

All week, the Bills were at -1.5 and 60% of the bets have been going to Cincinnati.  Despite all this, the line moved to -2 1 hour ago and now it’s at -2.5.  Does Vegas know something we don’t know and are waiting to cash in on the people taking the Bengals?

The “house” can not be trusted…,

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4 minutes ago, machine gun kelly said:


Simon:

 

Im not starting a dialog on this as silly, but that’s an article and there are hundreds refuting these exact points.

 

I work in anti infectives and specialists.

 I enjoy speaking with these specialists that it’s about close proximity,

close quarters like the winter up north, not washing hands, people transferring viruses and bacteria through touching things.  The easiest way for me is at my gym I’m touching things others have touched in a recent period of time and need to constantly wipe crap stuff done.

 

Being in cold or wet weather won’t get you sick.  Being in a plane is about touching bacterial/viral stuff and air borne pathogens.

 

if you disagree, I respect but disagree with you.

Doesn't seem that the article is saying cold weather gets you sick by itself. It is proposing a mechanism explaining why you might be less able to fight off an early infection in cold weather. You would still have to have gotten infected by something else, e.g., the proximity explanations you note above. If the authors are right, then cold weather would both increase your exposure to others (your explanation) AND lower your initial immune response, both of which would contribute to higher sickness rates in Winter.

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1 hour ago, machine gun kelly said:


I’m sure you’re kidding, but hopefully you’re not thinking being wet or cold has one iota to do with a cold because it doesn’t.  As an aside I work with Critical Care Pulmonologists and Infectious Disease Specialists.

 

 


I was completely kidding.   Just making a joke based on an old saying.  It’s my goto Dad joke.  “Did you leave a tip?  Sure, I told the waiter not to go out with a wet head.”

 

I read an article about the early explorers in the Antarctic.  They never got sick. 

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1 hour ago, FilthyBeast said:

 

Games like this rarely live up to the hype, and I think there's a better chance that the Bills lose in a blowout or vice versa than actually playing an epic game down to the wire. Still very worried regardless because of how shaky this team has been in recent weeks against lessor teams and letting them hang around by turning the ball over, defensive lapses, etc.

 

All this late vegas line movement is definitely a concern though...

Vegas is in the business of taking peoples money, that’s what they have been doing since their inception, its a con and it works really well, just like the insurance industry…,  can’t trust those bastages, 😁👍

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3 hours ago, Mr. WEO said:

 

where can I see what the sharps are up to on this leading up to the game?

Theres no sure fire way to do it, but this is where I check. Handle %, is dollars being bet one way (100 > $1), where % of bets $1k ticket and $1 ticket carry same weight.

 

The best signal I know to look for sharps $$... if 25% of bet tickets are one way, and they have 50% of the handle, that means the high dollar betters (theoretically "sharps") are betting that side.

 

https://www.vsin.com/betting-resources/daily-betting-insights-for-mlb-nba-nhl/

Edited by BillsShredder83
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18 minutes ago, machine gun kelly said:


Simon:

 

Im not starting a dialog on this as silly, but that’s an article and there are hundreds refuting these exact points.

 

 

It's not an article, it's an accredited study by respected medical professionals and there is no other study that has been performed in the last month refuting it.

It doesn't say anything about cold causing illnesses, but there seems to be very clear evidence that cold temperatures inhibit our bodies ability to fight them.

I do agree that this is not the place for it though, so I will quietly show myself out. :D

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21 minutes ago, BillsShredder83 said:

54% buff $$, 46% cinci $$...... pretty even

 

3 hours ago, Dick_Cheney said:

No way that number was accurate, the public was alllllll over Cinci.

 

3 hours ago, BillyBilliams said:

The money was going to Cincy.  The Sharps just dumped a pile on Buffalo which arent usually wrong

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/public-betting

 

 

 

Edited by ßookie_tech
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3 hours ago, BillyBilliams said:

The money was going to Cincy.  The Sharps just dumped a pile on Buffalo which arent usually wrong


Spread on Giants v. Indy went from -3.5 to -5.5 (not in same day but still…).  Sometimes the money moving works out (like with the Giants yesterday) and other times it doesn’t (“Las Vegas wasn’t built on winners.”).  

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4 hours ago, BillyBilliams said:

All week, the Bills were at -1.5 and 60% of the bets have been going to Cincinnati.  Despite all this, the line moved to -2 1 hour ago and now it’s at -2.5.  Does Vegas know something we don’t know and are waiting to cash in on the people taking the Bengals?

It moved??

 

george-costanza-panic.gif

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34 minutes ago, BillsShredder83 said:

my link was though draftkings, always wondered what books Action is pulling their numbers from.... DK is 54/46

 

Books like DK and Fanduel are considered "square" books -- sharps are not welcome and quickly limited and driven off. Pinnacle is considered by many to be one of the "sharpest" books in the world.

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