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"Pittsburgh Confused Josh Allen" - Chris Simms


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1 hour ago, colin said:

a point i see in this: Simms points out correctly that we are running an offense based heavily on the old NE O.  does anyone remember brady getting huge credit for beating up on teams after they ran the ball effectively and then passed out of heavy formations to wide open guys?  or when they would spread, hit the quick hitter on first down a few times, and then mix in draws and just grind the d up?

 

 

dabo gets into insane ruts where he comes in with no balance at all, and it takes earth and heaven to move him off of his stubborn perch.  was it against KC or something we ran the ball like 1 time w an rb in the first half?  his choice to line up empty (4 and 5 wide, he just can't let a drive go without going empty) vs what is prolly the best 4 man rush in the nfl after it hasn't been working just shows he has an idea coming into the game, and it has nothing with taking advantage of the D on the pitch.

 

the 4th and 1 call was a great example of not doing anything to help your players out.  if we convert that we have a really good shot at winning the game, and that's with bad play all over the place otherwise.

 

i was wrong to stop bad mouthing him last year!

 

Completely agree - he seems to have a Mike Martz side to his personality where he cannot separate the tactics from the strategy - I'd bet serious money against him succeeding as a head coach.

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17 minutes ago, BADOLBILZ said:

 

 

Yeah the people who think that the failure was all about the pressure put on Allen are incorrect..........the Steelers accurately predicted how they could confuse Josh Allen.   

 

@HappyDays was arguing with me about it yesterday wrt a play where the safety totally abandoned Sanders and Allen never looked......he locked on the receivers they expected him to.   The pressure was significant but as Cynthia Frelund on the Bills preseason broadcast mentioned recently.......Josh typically destroys teams when they pressure him.........the Steelers really had Daboll and Allen pegged.

There is a difference between pressure from only the front 3 or 4 and pressure from blitzing.  Allen handles the blitz well but IMO NO QB can consistently handle frequent heavy pressure from only the 3 or 4 D linemen.  See Mahomes at last years Super Bowl.

 

Again we are overthinking this.  Better play from our Oline combined with not playing anyone else this season beyond maybe Washington (and their 2ndary & LB's aren't as good as the Steelers) with a Dline as good as Pittsburgh's should go a long way towards solving this issue.

 

 

 

 

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9 hours ago, IronMaidenBills said:

This is my biggest problem with Daboll. He isn’t flexible because he doesn’t want to be flexible. It’s his game plan and he alone knows all. Pure arrogance. 

Arrogance is ok when it’s working.  There is a lot of flexibility from week to week. It does seem like they lack the personnel versatility to flip from run heavy to pass heavy or Vice versa mid game. 

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8 minutes ago, CincyBillsFan said:

There is a difference between pressure from only the front 3 or 4 and pressure from blitzing.  Allen handles the blitz well but IMO NO QB can consistently handle frequent heavy pressure from only the 3 or 4 D linemen.  See Mahomes at last years Super Bowl.

 

Again we are overthinking this.  Better play from our Oline combined with not playing anyone else this season beyond maybe Washington (and their 2ndary & LB's aren't as good as the Steelers) with a Dline as good as Pittsburgh's should go a long way towards solving this issue.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Better play in A NUMBER of areas wins that game..............not just the OL.

 

As I said that game was one of the greatest homefield advantages I've ever seen at that stadium...........it took A LOT of failure on the Bills end to wind up losing that game.

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2 hours ago, Buffalo Timmy said:

My largest issue with the game was how often we went 4-5 wide and no short routes. I have no issue with the 5 wife's even with the great pass rush but we need a short crossing route on every play. I watched two plays where the recievers all went at least 9 yards down field before cutting. 


Freudian slip?

 

Anyways, agreed to your point. And more specifically, why could PIT run quick screens successfully at least 4-5 times I can recall, but I do not recall BUF trying that? 

 

To me that combined with failure to tweak the blocking scheme that was getting blown up regularly (why not keep another blocker home to help sometimes?) we’re Daboll’s worst failures from the day.

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I believe what Chris Simms said is correct.

I also believe -- to echo what someone said on Twitter yesterday -- that any time an opposing defense can rush four, drop seven, and get to the quarterback as easily as the Steelers did, that quarterback is going to have a bad game 99% of the time.

 

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1 hour ago, Not at the table Karlos said:

I read something a while back that Daboll wanted tua to play all year because he had to scale back the playbook for hurts. Saban finally let the change happen in championship game and Daboll opened it up. 

I read the same thing, and also that Daboll was behind the substitution in the championship game.

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Just read an interesting stat highlighting just how startling the amount of 4 man pressure they were getting..... just the 6th game since 2009 that a team blitzed less than 3% of the snaps yet generated more than 30% pressure rate. And for as amazing as that stat is, just a blocked punt was the difference in this game.

 

Theres nothing earth shattering there. The "recipe" on how to stop elite qb's has been out for over 20 years now. Get there with 4 and drop 7. Luckily for us theres about 3 teams in the league that actually have the ingredients to pull that off. Just unfortunate we had to meet one of them week 1.

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10 hours ago, Hapless Bills Fan said:

Apologies if this already posted somewhere else

 

Chris Simms Unbuttoned on Pittsburgh

 

 

Huh...I thought they over ran our O line and blanketed our recievers.....and all this time it was on JA!

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15 minutes ago, Stank_Nasty said:

Just read an interesting stat highlighting just how startling the amount of 4 man pressure they were getting..... just the 6th game since 2009 that a team blitzed less than 3% of the snaps yet generated more than 30% pressure rate. And for as amazing as that stat is, just a blocked punt was the difference in this game.

 

Theres nothing earth shattering there. The "recipe" on how to stop elite qb's has been out for over 20 years now. Get there with 4 and drop 7. Luckily for us theres about 3 teams in the league that actually have the ingredients to pull that off. Just unfortunate we had to meet one of them week 1.

 

It's Thursday and I still can't read a post like this and not get annoyed that we re-signed Feliciano and didn't attempt to upgrade the interior offensive line.  

 

I expect the OL to improve, but that stat is absolutely ridiculous.  

 

Yes, only a handful of teams with those ingredients, but 2 of them are in the AFC and the other is on our schedule / also the favorite to appear in the Super Bowl from the NFC.

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1 hour ago, oldmanfan said:

Pittsburgh played a helluva game on defense.  Tip your hat to them.

 

 

This.

 

Blame goes to nearly everyone on the offensive side, including Allen, Daboll and the OL as the largest parts, but Simms' point here is that Pittsburgh crossing us up and really using smart anticipatory strategy was a big part of it.

 

QBs have to get confused along the way. It is part of the process. Seeing new things, getting confused and beaten, looking at it on film and figuring out what they did and how to counter ... this is what turns guys into Peyton Mannings and Tom Bradys, in terms of veteran smarts. It's part of the process, but it's a painful part of the process.

 

We'll see other teams trying to ape this strategy. Most of those teams won't have a defensive front four like the Steelers do, so they won't do it as well, but it will be tougher unless/until we figure out how to successfully counter.

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8 minutes ago, Thurman#1 said:

 

 

This.

 

Blame goes to nearly everyone on the offensive side, including Allen, Daboll and the OL as the largest parts, but Simms' point here is that Pittsburgh crossing us up and really using smart anticipatory strategy was a big part of it.

 

QBs have to get confused along the way. It is part of the process. Seeing new things, getting confused and beaten, looking at it on film and figuring out what they did and how to counter ... this is what turns guys into Peyton Mannings and Tom Bradys, in terms of veteran smarts. It's part of the process, but it's a painful part of the process.

 

We'll see other teams trying to ape this strategy. Most of those teams won't have a defensive front four like the Steelers do, so they won't do it as well, but it will be tougher unless/until we figure out how to successfully counter.

 

Most teams are not as talented or well coached up front at Pittsburgh. Definitely true. Remember when KC confused Brady in the "on to Cincinnati" game? It happens even to the best sometimes. The Bills just have to come out and play better, coach better, and Quarterback better this week. 

35 minutes ago, Stank_Nasty said:

Just read an interesting stat highlighting just how startling the amount of 4 man pressure they were getting..... just the 6th game since 2009 that a team blitzed less than 3% of the snaps yet generated more than 30% pressure rate. And for as amazing as that stat is, just a blocked punt was the difference in this game.

 

Theres nothing earth shattering there. The "recipe" on how to stop elite qb's has been out for over 20 years now. Get there with 4 and drop 7. Luckily for us theres about 3 teams in the league that actually have the ingredients to pull that off. Just unfortunate we had to meet one of them week 1.

 

Backs up what I have said all week. This wasn't just a below par day for an offensive line. This was a downright disaster from start to finish. When you block that badly being productive on offense is hard whatever you call and whoever you have under center. 

 

Edited by GunnerBill
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7 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:

 

Most teams are not as talented or well coached up front at Pittsburgh. Definitely true. Remember when KC confused Brady in the "on to Cincinnati" game? It happens even to the best sometimes. The Bills just have to come out and play better, coach better, and Quarterback better this week. 

 

 

Yup. 

 

Folks may have seen this, but it's a thoughtful breakdown of the Steelers DL vs. the Bills OL, with video breakdowns. He even had video of Bobby Johnson at a coaching clinic he attended.

 

 

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It was 10-0 at half. Should have been fourteen. Coming away with three on first drive sucked, but somewhat forgivable as it was the first drive of year. Penalties and execution did them in. Easy to blame play calling but that didn't lose the game. 

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As usual Simms breakdown is very instructive. I get that Steeler's disguised their coverage to confuse Allen but don't defences disguise their coverages routinely in an effort to confuse or deceive the QB and hasn't Allen shown that he is capable of making post snap reads? Sounds like Simms is saying that Pittsburg's understanding of the NE O is so deep that finding the open receiver was especially difficult involving additional levels of complexity, presenting Allen with something of a shell game. While all QBs miss open receivers at times, and I haven't gone back to check the tape, but I don't myself recall Allen passing up lots of open receivers underneath. I though Steelers coverage was pretty much good at all levels. Kudos to them.

Maybe Brady could counter with a good ground game. Not sure we are able to do that effectively. 

Josh Allen is still of course a young, inexperienced QB but he's smart. He will be a better QB by the end of the year than he is now. 

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11 hours ago, Thurman#1 said:

 

 

They're perfectly capable of pounding the rock with Singletary. Moss is better, but Singletary runs through the middle productively all the time. Hell, he did it in this game. The problem wasn't who they sat, it was the plays they called, and that the Steelers had a terrific game plan to handle our passing game. And that our OL couldn't handle the Steelers 4-man rush.

 

Of course they didn't start the game with 15 runs. We've been successful passing. We were successful passing against the Steelers. 

 

The game AFTER someone does what PIttsburgh did is the game you consider running more and crossing things up.

Here is an idea.  If we want to cross some teams up, start using a 2 TE set more, and pass from it w Knox and Sweeney.  In the NFL you have to mix things up.  Our offense has not dominated against good teams going back to last season.  Start sending 2 TE's down the seams w Beasley going underneath and Diggs doing a deep cross, and our RB drifting out into the flat.  Dolphins won't know what hit them.  

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10 hours ago, JerseyBills said:

Josh refused to take the underneath routes every time! They were there. He didn't take what the defense gave him....

Forced it down field instead 

 

Which is why this is a major red flag in year number 4 after signing a record contract.

 

People keep blaming the oline, playcalling, etc which was no doubt part of the problem...but Allen made many bad mistakes and missed a lot of passes that franchise QB's simply make including the wide open downfield throw to Sanders.

 

Just really hope his head is clear and he comes out looking like 2020 Allen in Miami or I fear what things will look like especially from the fanbase on forums like this.

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11 hours ago, Jauronimo said:

They could have executed on the plays that were there and been solid on special teams and easily won that game.

 

I dunno about "easily", but yes, they could have won or tied the game with the plays they called.

 

They could also plausibly have made some adjustments that would likely have helped. 

 

But a core problem IMHO is if your OL allows a DL to get pressure and affect the QB with 3 or 4 guys, it's gonna be a Long Day and it's gonna be hard to run a consistent offense.  McDermott basically indicated he viewed that as a core problem in his postgame and Monday pressers, and so did Daboll on Monday.

 

 

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11 minutes ago, FilthyBeast said:

 

Which is why this is a major red flag in year number 4 after signing a record contract.

 

People keep blaming the oline, playcalling, etc which was no doubt part of the problem...but Allen made many bad mistakes and missed a lot of passes that franchise QB's simply make including the wide open downfield throw to Sanders.

 

Just really hope his head is clear and he comes out looking like 2020 Allen in Miami or I fear what things will look like especially from the fanbase on forums like this.

 

My belief is that he will (RE: bolded above).  He did mention that in his post-game presser (or possibly another presser earlier this week) that he was being too aggressive.  The good thing, for my mind anyway, is that we do have the 2020 season as a sample that shows Allen can play at an elite level.  All the tools are there and sometimes he mentally reverts.  I think we will see a more focused effort this week across the board from the team after last week's play.

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29 minutes ago, starrymessenger said:

As usual Simms breakdown is very instructive. I get that Steeler's disguised their coverage to confuse Allen but don't defences disguise their coverages routinely in an effort to confuse or deceive the QB and hasn't Allen shown that he is capable of making post snap reads? Sounds like Simms is saying that Pittsburg's understanding of the NE O is so deep that finding the open receiver was especially difficult involving additional levels of complexity, presenting Allen with something of a shell game.

 

Yeah, Simms argument is that Pitts. was exceptionally effective at covering our 5 WR (or 4 receivers + Motor) because they had a deep understanding of how to defend our route options.  (KC I believe did something similar.)

 

This also depends upon them being able to bring pressure with 3 or 4 guys so that they can cover our 5 receivers with 7 or 8 guys.  Most teams can't do that, or weren't able to last year.  If you understand the route options but you need to bring 5 to pressure, then you're 5 on 5 with a safety and chances are good one of our receivers gets open.

 

If our starting OL doesn't get its collective head together and pick it up and other defenses are, in fact, able to do this, it's gonna be a long season.

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16 minutes ago, Hapless Bills Fan said:

 

Yeah, Simms argument is that Pitts. was exceptionally effective at covering our 5 WR (or 4 receivers + Motor) because they had a deep understanding of how to defend our route options.  (KC I believe did something similar.)

 

This also depends upon them being able to bring pressure with 3 or 4 guys so that they can cover our 5 receivers with 7 or 8 guys.  Most teams can't do that, or weren't able to last year.  If you understand the route options but you need to bring 5 to pressure, then you're 5 on 5 with a safety and chances are good one of our receivers gets open.

 

If our starting OL doesn't get its collective head together and pick it up and other defenses are, in fact, able to do this, it's gonna be a long season.

For years, KC and Pitt have been playoff teams who always had to assume they'd face NE in the postseason (and probably lose). It focuses the mind.

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https://buffalonews.com/sports/bills/jim-kubiak-josh-allen-reverts-to-old-ways-but-steelers-defense-deserves-credit/article_67b9ad0c-14ff-11ec-a026-dfbc223dbc13.html

 

Jim Kubiak wrote an amazing breakdown for the BN on the Steelers' gameplan complete with video. They didn't just confuse Allen but the entire OL as well, with rotating fronts, shifting Ingram to standup LB, bringing Tre Norwood to the line, etc, etc. he does a great job of explaining how they created the confusion.

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He was indeed confused but that's because the Steelers could really pressure using only their DL. Barely any blitzes. So Pittsburgh could have 7-8 guys in coverage.  Not many DL in the league will be that efficient and allow for that to happen! Especially if the game plan includes sweeps, roll outs, more runs, TE or RB to at least chip block, etc. I feel  the OL wasn't helped even if of course these guys did get outplayed. The thing is, if they need help... help them! Simple enough.

 

Basically, all things that can and will likely get fixed. Plus have that TD pass to Sanders completed, the INT by White not negated, and it's a W. Even with the punt block, which should also be a rarity!

 

P.S. the Steelers are one of the top teams as well, not pushovers...

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30 minutes ago, dave mcbride said:

For years, KC and Pitt have been playoff teams who always had to assume they'd face NE in the postseason (and probably lose). It focuses the mind.

In KC case they have Steve Spagnuolo who when he was the DC for the Giants always did a good job shutting down Brady  in those Superbowls

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12 hours ago, Thurman#1 said:

 

I hear you, but watching the eyes is what defenses do. Nearly always. And Allen does a good job these days in looking them off.

 

But yeah, pressure always makes things tough. For any QB.

 

 

Correct I know.......what was clearly on display was the reality of how much more confident and better the secondary plays when they know they're getting home as quick as they were only sending 4.  

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12 hours ago, JerseyBills said:

Josh refused to take the underneath routes every time! They were there. He didn't take what the defense gave him....

Forced it down field instead 

This is spot on. Even when he had time he forced throws downfield. Dink and dunk wins the game.  Our WRs are good with run after catch often turning 4 and 5 yard receptions into 6 and 8 yard gains. 

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13 hours ago, JerseyBills said:

Josh refused to take the underneath routes every time! They were there. He didn't take what the defense gave him....

Forced it down field instead 

Tough Pittsburgh D and newly signed Josh. I believe he was pressing, trying to earn that cash. Steelers D plan created a perfect storm in that situation. And yet, he was still 8-9 on the TD drive. I am so pleased this didn't happen after 4-0.

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So in summary of Steeler's Defense vs. Buffalo's Offense:

 

Pittsburgh better prepared - Ready and waiting - knowing what the Bills offense was going to try to do based on history

Daboll and Allen - both unprepared for Pittsburgh understanding the Bills offense as well as they did

Daboll's offense - too predictable if Pittsburgh was able to anticipate such detail

Allen - somewhat confused by defender movements being different than the pre-snap formations suggested

Buffalo O-line didn't provide Allen enough time to process the differences because pass rush was fierce even with only 4 rushers

 

All makes sense.

 

Coaching & Execution were subpar

 

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5 hours ago, Coach Tuesday said:

 

Completely agree - he seems to have a Mike Martz side to his personality where he cannot separate the tactics from the strategy - I'd bet serious money against him succeeding as a head coach.

Clearly you have your Dabol skeptics (like me) and supporters. I'm not a fan of 5 wide. I'm not a fan of seeing Josh run 7 designed qb draws. Trick plays on 4th down are extremely risky. I'd like to see us run just a little more. Singletary looked amazing on that late drive. There are days when almost everything Dabol calls works great and then there's games like last week or the Baltimore playoff game. He's frustrating and it reflects in the way Josh plays. This team needs to improve in-game adjustments. 

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3 hours ago, QCity said:

https://buffalonews.com/sports/bills/jim-kubiak-josh-allen-reverts-to-old-ways-but-steelers-defense-deserves-credit/article_67b9ad0c-14ff-11ec-a026-dfbc223dbc13.html

 

Jim Kubiak wrote an amazing breakdown for the BN on the Steelers' gameplan complete with video. They didn't just confuse Allen but the entire OL as well, with rotating fronts, shifting Ingram to standup LB, bringing Tre Norwood to the line, etc, etc. he does a great job of explaining how they created the confusion.

 

 

OOOOh OOooh Thank you!  Kubiak's stuff is one of the primary reasons why I subscribe to TBN.  I've been waiting for it - off to read it!

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41 minutes ago, PolishDave said:

So in summary of Steeler's Defense vs. Buffalo's Offense:

 

Pittsburgh better prepared - Ready and waiting - knowing what the Bills offense was going to try to do based on history

Daboll and Allen - both unprepared for Pittsburgh understanding the Bills offense as well as they did

Daboll's offense - too predictable if Pittsburgh was able to anticipate such detail

Allen - somewhat confused by defender movements being different than the pre-snap formations suggested

Buffalo O-line didn't provide Allen enough time to process the differences because pass rush was fierce even with only 4 rushers

 

All makes sense.

 

Coaching & Execution were subpar

 

 

I think this sums it up pretty well.

 

I would say that Daboll and Allen were unprepared for Pitt's DL to still be able to rush with 4 or even 3, given Tuitt on IR and thus unprepared for Pitt to be able to cover the WR as they did

 

Our OL was just soft as the flabby underbelly of a pregnant warthog

 

My guess is that every DC in the league pretty much knows our route concepts by now, but they can't defend them well with 5 or even 6 guys

 

But everyone's got a plan until you get punched in the mouth.  The question is do you adjust, and they didn't

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6 hours ago, Logic said:

I believe what Chris Simms said is correct.

I also believe -- to echo what someone said on Twitter yesterday -- that any time an opposing defense can rush four, drop seven, and get to the quarterback as easily as the Steelers did, that quarterback is going to have a bad game 99% of the time.

 

To prove that you're 100% correct here all you have to do is go back and re-watch last seasons Super Bowl and see how Mahomes struggled greatly.

 

 

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5 hours ago, QCity said:

https://buffalonews.com/sports/bills/jim-kubiak-josh-allen-reverts-to-old-ways-but-steelers-defense-deserves-credit/article_67b9ad0c-14ff-11ec-a026-dfbc223dbc13.html

 

Jim Kubiak wrote an amazing breakdown for the BN on the Steelers' gameplan complete with video. They didn't just confuse Allen but the entire OL as well, with rotating fronts, shifting Ingram to standup LB, bringing Tre Norwood to the line, etc, etc. he does a great job of explaining how they created the confusion.

 

I want to loop back and give this props.  Kubiak does a fantastic job both with film showing some plays where, for example "Allen uncharacteristically misses Beasley" then goes on to explain why. It's not because Allen suddenly can't throw, he was expecting Beasley to run a different route:

Quote

The Steelers only rushed four players, and they were all on Allen’s right side. Pittsburgh did not rush anyone to Allen’s left, which was unusual and brilliant. The complexity of this defensive look made Allen uneasy and he misread what Beasley was going to do.  Beasley tried to sit in the hole of the zone on his option route while Allen was expecting him to break to the outside.

 

He goes on to show, with diagrams, some of the ways Pitts. succeeded in getting home with a 4-man rush - for example, by overloading one or the other side of the line, very well disguised with pre-snap motion

Conclusion:

Quote

The blocked punt that was returned for a touchdown by the Steelers in the fourth quarter not only sealed the game, but visibly took the life out of the Bills.   

Finally, and perhaps most importantly for the Bills, Allen's performance was a reversion to a big-play mentality. He was constantly pressing the football down the field and into the teeth of the zone coverage, instead of patiently and methodically carving the defense piece by piece. This is concerning for the Bills because their success hinges upon disciplined quarterback decisions. 

I believe it is fair to say the Buffalo Bills lost this football game more than the Steelers won it. It was a perfect concoction of poor decisions and shaky execution. In short, there were too many missed opportunities for any amount of talent or energy to overcome.

 

Unsolicited unpaid shill:

I dunno what TBN is charging now, they had a $1/month deal for a while.  IMHO Kubiak's breakdown every week is totally worth that and more.
 

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why was there so little pre-snap motion?

 

JA lost Barkley as a sideline coach, Trubs and JA is different than Barkley and JA on the sideline.

Then they did him no favors by not adding pre-snap motion.

 

It is my understanding that if you motion a WR or other player, and another player moves to follow him, it is man.

If an offensive player moves pre-snap and no one, or a whole unit shifts (say LBs) then it is zone.

 

JA still needs some pre-snap reads, help the man out!

Edited by ThurmanThomasEnglishMuffin
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