Chaos Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 Bills are 2.5 points favorites on the road against the defending Super Bowl champions. Josh Allen over / under on passing plus rushing yards is 314.5 The Bills will not be sneaking up on anyone this year. How do we all feel about betting on this game? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
That's No Moon Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 Gun to my head I'm taking the Rams with the points. 1 3 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albany,n.y. Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 I'm not touching it but I'm betting the Bills B team, AKA the NY Giants to lose by more than 5.5 at Tennessee. The Giants are similar to the 2018 Bills except their QB of the future is in college, not a rookie yet. They're in cap hell, devoid of a lot of talent. The only way they keep it close is if Saquon has close to 200 yards total offense and keeps the ball away from Tennessee. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chaos Posted September 3, 2022 Author Share Posted September 3, 2022 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick Duffy Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 Yeah this one is a little tough here. Basically a pick em situation to me. I just wouldn't bet on this particular game and pass. 2 minutes ago, Albany,n.y. said: I'm not touching it but I'm betting the Bills B team, AKA the NY Giants to lose by more than 5.5 at Tennessee. The Giants are similar to the 2018 Bills except their QB of the future is in college, not a rookie yet. They're in cap hell, devoid of a lot of talent. The only way they keep it close is if Saquon has close to 200 yards total offense and keeps the ball away from Tennessee. I'm with you man. If I'm betting I stay away from this one 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikie2times Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 I'm a full timer. My take is the Rams are at somewhat peak value, just given the previous SB. A poor ATS record follows previous SB champions. Which should scream play on Buffalo, that said, we are favorites. I would venture to say, without looking, a road team playing AT the defending SB champion week 1 has been a favorite probably 1-2 times in the last 25 years. It's almost inconceivable. Bills are at peak market value without having exactly established that position. They have been slower to optimize over the past few years. I just see no value in a betting this game as a Bills fan and would much rather enjoy the game and lay my action elsewhere. 5 4 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sammy Watkins' Rib Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 Over/under 314.5 total yards seems extremely low for Allen. I’d take the over. if I do anything I would tease the rams to +8.5 but I am the type that often likes to bet against the Bills hoping to be wrong but if not at least I made a little money. I like the Bills to win but could be close. If it is a blow out the Bills will be the victors is how I see it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QCity Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beast Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 Money making season starts in October. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HardyBoy Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 23 minutes ago, KzooMike said: I'm a full timer. My take is the Rams are at somewhat peak value, just given the previous SB. A poor ATS record follows previous SB champions. Which should scream play on Buffalo, that said, we are favorites. I would venture to say, without looking, a road team playing AT the defending SB champion week 1 has been a favorite probably 1-2 times in the last 25 years. It's almost inconceivable. Bills are at peak market value without having exactly established that position. They have been slower to optimize over the past few years. I just see no value in a betting this game as a Bills fan and would much rather enjoy the game and lay my action elsewhere. I don’t know why, but I trust this guy! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sherlock Holmes Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 1 minute ago, HardyBoy said: I don’t know why, but I trust this guy! Me too I just made a $5000 wager against my house... 1 6 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StHustle Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 Putting a couple grand on Bills -2.5. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikie2times Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 6 minutes ago, HardyBoy said: I don’t know why, but I trust this guy! I have a van with no windows if you need ice cream 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BruceVilanch Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 I did alt spread bills -5.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GoBills808 Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 IMO the trends are mixed. I got BUF-1 at open which seemed pretty clearly designed to get action on Rams. Combo of Stafford's elbow and public buying the Bills pushed it down to -2.5 at current but they're holding over 75% handle on the spread and taking over 65% of bets so there's sharp money as well. Moneyline showing similar and this is only one of three games as of today that the books are overexposed both on the spread and ML, the other two being Saints/Falcons and Ravens/Jets...those predicted blowouts so I'm not loving that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paul Costa Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 I think the Bills come out on fire 🔥. Rams push back but Buffalo 🦬 wins by two scores. JA17 in victory formation at the end 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cruiserplayer Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 Take pats dolphins under 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Forlorn hope Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 Buffalo 44 Rams 17 Bills have 7 sacks and put the league on notice! 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BringBackFergy Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 Just took out a Home Equity Line of Credit ($75,000). Funds available. Waiting for line to go to Bills - 8.5 and then going all in on Bills. If you guys have any gambling questions, just ask. 1 7 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strive_for_five_guy Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 8 minutes ago, Forlorn hope said: Buffalo 44 Rams 17 Bills have 7 sacks and put the league on notice! I definitely see a Bills coming out party/statement game next Thu night. Shock and awe campaign begins, the talk will be about how do you stop this team…. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Forlorn hope Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 (edited) 16 minutes ago, strive_for_five_guy said: I definitely see a Bills coming out party/statement game next Thu night. Shock and awe campaign begins, the talk will be about how do you stop this team…. Been seeing the writing on the wall for months. This is a 89 49ers, *98 broncos, 96 Packers, 94 49ers type team. An all time team for one year. Edited September 3, 2022 by Forlorn hope 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
billybrew1 Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 1 hour ago, Chaos said: Bills are 2.5 points favorites on the road against the defending Super Bowl champions. Josh Allen over / under on passing plus rushing yards is 314.5 The Bills will not be sneaking up on anyone this year. How do we all feel about betting on this game? LOL! I can’t Billieve that we’re the fav? Wtf is that? Vs. The Super Bowl champs? On the f-fen road? Across the whole freakin’ country? Seems surreal to me…. Still missing Tre and starting a rookie and Dane Jackson? A rookie in his first game on a Thursday night vs. the SB champs? What an outrageous start! Kaiir Elam is going to make a name for himself one way or another. Is Cam going to play? IDK? They all can’t be active…. We won’t see a line this crazy all year I don’t think…. I like the Bills +2.5….but minus? is Allen going to go 5 TDs - no Ints? We’ll see Thursday night…. Go Bills! 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mcg Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 2 hours ago, Chaos said: What place is this ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RiotAct Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 2 hours ago, Chaos said: Bills are 2.5 points favorites on the road against the defending Super Bowl champions. Josh Allen over / under on passing plus rushing yards is 314.5 The Bills will not be sneaking up on anyone this year. How do we all feel about betting on this game? oh God, hammer the over on that Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Process Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 22 minutes ago, Mcg said: What place is this ? Fanduel Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnny Hammersticks Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 Bills -2.5 and over 53 parlay is currently +283 on Bovada. I like this play. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Utah John Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 As good as the Bills look to be, they are facing the Rams offense with two rookie cornerbacks. The only way to protect them is with a monster pass rush, and as a matter of fact that might very well happen. If the O line can contain Donald, the Bills should score score score. I never bet but if I did I'd give the points and take the Bills. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dean Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 Like some others, I'm surprised the Bills are favored---and definately shocked that it's by more than a point. I suppose if I was a neutral sports' betting type, I'd bet the Rams. With that said, I don't bet Bills game. PERIOD. Then again, I'm not a football/sports book better for the most part. If I have a pool where you pick every game, I always pick the Bills to win. I can't imagine the self torture if I lost because I picked against the Bills. Winning a bit of cash can't save my soul! Then again, I'm not really a gambler. I love the horses, but rarely bet if I'm not at the track. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iccrewman112 Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 5 hours ago, Chaos said: this seems quite plausible. What does the number move to if you add the under for Patriots/dolphins? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shortchaz Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 3 hours ago, BringBackFergy said: Just took out a Home Equity Line of Credit ($75,000). Funds available. Waiting for line to go to Bills - 8.5 and then going all in on Bills. If you guys have any gambling questions, just ask. I’m doing something similar but with credit cards. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
machine gun kelly Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 I’d never bet in week 1 period. Watch a few games as someone else stated and then can make an educated decision. Think about the Steelers game last year. We killed them the season before when they were 11/1 in the second half. Then they lit us up in the home opener. I wouldn’t take either team as excited as I am for the Rams. Too many variables. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chaos Posted September 3, 2022 Author Share Posted September 3, 2022 8 hours ago, Mcg said: What place is this ? fanduel Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sherlock Holmes Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 10 hours ago, KzooMike said: I have a van with no windows if you need ice cream I do, make sure to bring the gag 9 hours ago, BringBackFergy said: Just took out a Home Equity Line of Credit ($75,000). Funds available. Waiting for line to go to Bills - 8.5 and then going all in on Bills. If you guys have any gambling questions, just ask. Where do I get a 2nd mortgage? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach Tuesday Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 Again - the Rams have to be seething about being home dogs after winning the SB, and they happen to have the most fiery player in the whole league leading the charge and firing up the locker room. Bills on the road with a new coach calling the offense - I think the Bills will have a magical season but I would not touch this one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kirby Jackson Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 I’m seeing a lot of people betting Allen over rushing props. He’s run a lot, and effectively, in big games. This is a big game. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sammy Watkins' Rib Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 3 hours ago, machine gun kelly said: I’d never bet in week 1 period. Watch a few games as someone else stated and then can make an educated decision. Think about the Steelers game last year. We killed them the season before when they were 11/1 in the second half. Then they lit us up in the home opener. I wouldn’t take either team as excited as I am for the Rams. Too many variables. I was all over the Steelers getting 6 points in that one actually. To me that was close to a toss up game. That was one of my better calls last year so I disagree that you should avoid betting week 1 games. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. WEO Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 1 hour ago, Coach Tuesday said: Again - the Rams have to be seething about being home dogs after winning the SB, and they happen to have the most fiery player in the whole league leading the charge and firing up the locker room. Bills on the road with a new coach calling the offense - I think the Bills will have a magical season but I would not touch this one. Meh.....And then they have to go out and play the Bills. Rams were losing the SB in the 4th Q to the 3rd best AFC team in the playoffs (scored only 92 points in 4 games vs Bills 83 in 2). They squeaked by, didn't cover. Even a healthy Stafford will be good for a few picks. Miller will pulverize him. Bills, easy money. The Josh bets are all looking tempting as well (score 2+ TD...+1200!). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sammy Watkins' Rib Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 1 hour ago, Kirby Jackson said: I’m seeing a lot of people betting Allen over rushing props. He’s run a lot, and effectively, in big games. This is a big game. That's a great point. Hammer Allen and the over on all rushing props in the postseason especially. One thing that we don't know yet for this regular season is how much Allen will be coached not to run. It seems like there have been quotes from Beane suggesting that they aren't going to run Allen until later in the season. Does that mean we don't see any called QB runs Thursday night? How much does Allen try to protect himself when he does scramble? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewEra Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 You should always bet the NFL home team if the line is +2.5. According to my best friend and meticulous sports bettor, it’s the magic number. That said, I bet Bills money line. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sammy Watkins' Rib Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, Mr. WEO said: Bills, easy money. The Josh bets are all looking tempting as well (score 2+ TD...+1200!). I wouldn't touch that one. Bills are going to try and not put Josh in harms way as much. They'll try and run it more with the backs closer to the goal line. I expect and hope his rushing numbers are down a lot this year. He should not be rushing for 700 yards on a season like last year. Moe like 400 -450. Take away most of the called runs. 3 minutes ago, NewEra said: You should always bet the NFL home team if the line is +2.5. According to my best friend and meticulous sports bettor, it’s the magic number. That said, I bet Bills money line. Not sure about straight up bet but +2.5 is the perfect number to tease. Tease up +1.5 to +2.5 and tease down -7.5 to -8.5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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