Inigo Montoya Posted April 2, 2022 Share Posted April 2, 2022 (edited) https://www.nbcsportsedge.com/article/executive-decision/early-action-nfl-win-totals-analyzed https://www.buffalobills.com/schedule/future-opponents Vegas has the early over under number of wins for the Bills this season at 11 1/2. So far the betting action is moving to the "over" side of that equation. Home opponents; AFCE Packers Vikings Steelers Browns Titans Away opponents; AFCE Ravens Bengals Bears Lions Chiefs Rams If we go 5-1 in the division we should win these five games and get us to 10 wins; Steelers Browns (Brissett or Watkins is the question) Bears Vikings Lions That means we would need to win two of the following games to hit the over at 12 wins; Packers Titans Bengals Chiefs Rams Ravens If we can sweep the AFCE that gives us one more game we can lose and still hit the over of 12 wins. I would bet the over. Edited April 3, 2022 by Inigo Montoya 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warcodered Posted April 2, 2022 Share Posted April 2, 2022 A little annoying that our Home and Away opponents seem so clearly unbalanced. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JaCrispy Posted April 2, 2022 Share Posted April 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, Warcodered said: A little annoying that our Home and Away opponents seem so clearly unbalanced. Normally I would mind, but Josh has proven to be a road warrior, and I fear no team... 3 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jeffbigalls Posted April 2, 2022 Share Posted April 2, 2022 The beauty of the extra game, we be nice if every team played one game at a neutral site 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
loyal2dagame Posted April 2, 2022 Share Posted April 2, 2022 We're gonna win 14 next year. 6 W's for sweeping the division W's vs Vikings, Steelers, Browns, Lions, Bears, Rams, Chiefs, and Bengals. Possibility for 15 W's if the Packers offense has a problem without Adams. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sammy Watkins' Rib Posted April 2, 2022 Share Posted April 2, 2022 0-5 in the regular season last year in one score games and managed 11 wins still. So going 1-4 or better is how they get to 12 wins. Pretty high bar… 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inigo Montoya Posted April 2, 2022 Author Share Posted April 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, loyal2dagame said: We're gonna win 14 next year. 6 W's for sweeping the division W's vs Vikings, Steelers, Browns, Lions, Bears, Rams, Chiefs, and Bengals. Possibility for 15 W's if the Packers offense has a problem without Adams. I'd obviously love it if we swept the Chiefs, Rams, and Bengals... but I think winning two of those three games would be great. I'm curious to see what the schedule looks like. Let's hope the Bills aren't playing those guys on a short week or playing one of those teams with them coming off their bye week. The date of the NFL schedule release hasn't been announced yet, but it's usually a few weeks after the Draft. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
costrovs Posted April 2, 2022 Share Posted April 2, 2022 Packers won't have Adams, and Chiefs won't have Hill. I don't see why we couldn't win one of those. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Generic_Bills_Fan Posted April 2, 2022 Share Posted April 2, 2022 Our over/under seems like it’s conservative because of the apparent difficulty of the schedule on paper. I could def see 12-5 though once the games are played. We won 11 last year despite being like 0-7 in one score games 2 minutes ago, costrovs said: Packers won't have Adams, and Chiefs won't have Hill. I don't see why we couldn't win one of those. Bills on paper are better than the packers imo…I could see us being small favorites in both those games. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ndirish1978 Posted April 2, 2022 Share Posted April 2, 2022 We pick up a legit CB2 and the question is how do those teams beat us. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshAllin Posted April 2, 2022 Share Posted April 2, 2022 If there's vegas odds for an undefeated season I'd gamble it Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inigo Montoya Posted April 2, 2022 Author Share Posted April 2, 2022 This may not be a popular opinion but I'm hoping we don't have too many primetime games this season. It would be nice for the Bills to get a 1 pm EST rhythm going. Primetime games usually result in a short week and I'd rather the other marquise teams get the lion's share of those games. I'm not very hopeful though, Josh Allen is just too damn entertaining for his own good. I think this is the year the unrecruited / JUCO QB and pistachio farmer in Buffalo becomes one of the faces of the NFL. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aussie Joe Posted April 2, 2022 Share Posted April 2, 2022 (edited) 1 hour ago, Inigo Montoya said: This may not be a popular opinion but I'm hoping we don't have too many primetime games this season. It would be nice for the Bills to get a 1 pm EST rhythm going. Primetime games usually result in a short week and I'd rather the other marquise teams get the lion's share of those games. You are going to be disappointed sir… Lots of prime time games starting with the Rams Week 1 Edited April 2, 2022 by Aussie Joe 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78thealltimegreat Posted April 2, 2022 Share Posted April 2, 2022 2 hours ago, Inigo Montoya said: https://www.nbcsportsedge.com/article/executive-decision/early-action-nfl-win-totals-analyzed https://www.buffalobills.com/schedule/future-opponents Vegas has the early over under number of wins for the Bills this season at 11 1/2. So far the betting action is moving to the "over" side of that equation. Home opponents; AFCE Packers Vikings Steelers Browns Titans Away opponents; AFCE Ravens Bengals Bears Lions Chiefs Rams If we go 5-1 in the division we should win these five games and get us to 10 wins; Steelers Browns (Brissett or Watkins is the question) Bears Vikings Lions That means we would need to win two of the following games to hit the over at 12 wins; Packers Titans Bengals Chiefs Rams If we can sweep the AFCE that gives us one more game we can lose and still hit the over of 12 wins. I would bet the over. I think the Bills beat the Packers and Titans…Bengals, Rams, and Chiefs are basically pickem depending on when we play them and injuries Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logic Posted April 2, 2022 Share Posted April 2, 2022 How do the Bills get to 12 wins? They wake up each Sunday and choose violence. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GoBills808 Posted April 2, 2022 Share Posted April 2, 2022 Take the over They aren’t going 0-5 in one score games again 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
njbuff Posted April 2, 2022 Share Posted April 2, 2022 It would be a great disappointment if the Bills went 12-5. But if they went 12-5 and won the SB, who cares. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeGOATski Posted April 2, 2022 Share Posted April 2, 2022 1 hour ago, Inigo Montoya said: This may not be a popular opinion but I'm hoping we don't have too many primetime games this season. It would be nice for the Bills to get a 1 pm EST rhythm going. Primetime games usually result in a short week and I'd rather the other marquise teams get the lion's share of those games. I'm not very hopeful though, Josh Allen is just too damn entertaining for his own good. I think this is the year the unrecruited / JUCO QB and pistachio farmer in Buffalo becomes one of the faces of the NFL. It has no effect. The best teams get prime time games and they're still the best teams. 16 minutes ago, Logic said: How do the Bills get to 12 wins? They wake up each Sunday and choose violence. Funny and also true. It's a consistent mentality they need to have, but without going overboard. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapeBreton Posted April 2, 2022 Share Posted April 2, 2022 Shouldn’t the Bills win all of these games? Rams game looks the toughest. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filthymcnasty08 Posted April 2, 2022 Share Posted April 2, 2022 The memory of letting winnable games slip away from last year, that cost us HFA, will fuel this team to take 0 for granted. EASY over bet. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robert Paulson Posted April 2, 2022 Share Posted April 2, 2022 Easy over Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fan in Chicago Posted April 2, 2022 Share Posted April 2, 2022 3 hours ago, Inigo Montoya said: If we can sweep the AFCE that gives us one more game we can lose and still hit the over of 12 wins. I would bet the over. I am having a tough time picking 5 losses 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robert Paulson Posted April 2, 2022 Share Posted April 2, 2022 53 minutes ago, 78thealltimegreat said: I think the Bills beat the Packers and Titans…Bengals, Rams, and Chiefs are basically pickem depending on when we play them and injuries Cincinnati doesn't scare me yet. Burrows looks like the type to go into this season #### and get exposed a bit since they are now favorites Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Process Posted April 2, 2022 Share Posted April 2, 2022 6 minutes ago, Robert Paulson said: Cincinnati doesn't scare me yet. Burrows looks like the type to go into this season #### and get exposed a bit since they are now favorites The Bengals are 7th in betting odds to win the AFC. Unless you're a casual football fan or host on NFL Newtork, you know that a QB who throws 5 TDs in 4 playoff games isn't a favorite to do ****. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JGMcD2 Posted April 2, 2022 Share Posted April 2, 2022 3 hours ago, Sammy Watkins' Rib said: 0-5 in the regular season last year in one score games and managed 11 wins still. So going 1-4 or better is how they get to 12 wins. Pretty high bar… Data shows that teams who over or under perform in 1 score games end up trending back towards the middle. We should be roughly .500 in our 1 score games this year. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Magox Posted April 2, 2022 Share Posted April 2, 2022 When I look at the schedule it doesn’t scare me one bit. I think the Bills are the best team in the NFL and barring any catastrophic injuries, the Bills go 14-3, win the Division and a conference, get home field advantage, go to SuperBowl and win it all this year. This is the year! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78thealltimegreat Posted April 2, 2022 Share Posted April 2, 2022 2 hours ago, Robert Paulson said: Cincinnati doesn't scare me yet. Burrows looks like the type to go into this season #### and get exposed a bit since they are now favorites I can see your point and I’d take the Bills at home but having to goto Cincy makes it a little tougher Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Red King Posted April 2, 2022 Share Posted April 2, 2022 This is a team that could go undefeated. Having saying that, there is always the occasional fluke. Maybe 5-1 in the AFC East, because there's normally "that game". Last yeah was the wind game. Even in NE's run of dominance there was that one game most years (usually vs. Miami). Throw in a potential WTF game (JAX last year). Then 1-2 possible losses against the big boys. That still gets you to 14-3 or 13-4. I'd bet over. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Augie Posted April 2, 2022 Share Posted April 2, 2022 5 hours ago, Inigo Montoya said: This may not be a popular opinion but I'm hoping we don't have too many primetime games this season. It would be nice for the Bills to get a 1 pm EST rhythm going. Primetime games usually result in a short week and I'd rather the other marquise teams get the lion's share of those games. I'm not very hopeful though, Josh Allen is just too damn entertaining for his own good. I think this is the year the unrecruited / JUCO QB and pistachio farmer in Buffalo becomes one of the faces of the NFL. It’s not unpopular with me! I have an internal body clock that expects a Bills game at 1:00pm every Sunday. Anything else messes me up a bit. As for how we win more, just avoid the stinkers like the Jags game and fix the OL so Josh doesn’t have to be our main running threat. I’m happy to have Kromer coming in. As for how we get Vegas to change the line, just pour your money into the other side! They are an equal opportunity enterprise! The only favorite they play is CA$H! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
machine gun kelly Posted April 3, 2022 Share Posted April 3, 2022 7 hours ago, Inigo Montoya said: https://www.nbcsportsedge.com/article/executive-decision/early-action-nfl-win-totals-analyzed https://www.buffalobills.com/schedule/future-opponents Vegas has the early over under number of wins for the Bills this season at 11 1/2. So far the betting action is moving to the "over" side of that equation. Home opponents; AFCE Packers Vikings Steelers Browns Titans Away opponents; AFCE Ravens Bengals Bears Lions Chiefs Rams If we go 5-1 in the division we should win these five games and get us to 10 wins; Steelers Browns (Brissett or Watkins is the question) Bears Vikings Lions That means we would need to win two of the following games to hit the over at 12 wins; Packers Titans Bengals Chiefs Rams If we can sweep the AFCE that gives us one more game we can lose and still hit the over of 12 wins. I would bet the over. Inigo, I luv ya my six fingered friend. I’ll take that bet we hit a minimum of 12. We improved and some others slid or stayed even. The draft will be telling, and so will injuries of course, but we’re a better team than we were in the 21 season. Betting on 12 is safe for me, very conservative is 11, and aggressive is 13. No on wins them all, but we expect each week to win. As a couple people wrote, Hill is no longer in KC, and that hurts them more then helps Miami given the QB’s. No Davonte Adams for GB will at least modestly affect Rodgers. We can split the tough teams you identified, and away is not a big deal for this team. Heck Allen see,s to play better away for two years. Thanks for the links. Good stuff. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strive_for_five_guy Posted April 3, 2022 Share Posted April 3, 2022 7 hours ago, Inigo Montoya said: https://www.nbcsportsedge.com/article/executive-decision/early-action-nfl-win-totals-analyzed https://www.buffalobills.com/schedule/future-opponents Vegas has the early over under number of wins for the Bills this season at 11 1/2. So far the betting action is moving to the "over" side of that equation. Home opponents; AFCE Packers Vikings Steelers Browns Titans Away opponents; AFCE Ravens Bengals Bears Lions Chiefs Rams If we go 5-1 in the division we should win these five games and get us to 10 wins; Steelers Browns (Brissett or Watkins is the question) Bears Vikings Lions That means we would need to win two of the following games to hit the over at 12 wins; Packers Titans Bengals Chiefs Rams If we can sweep the AFCE that gives us one more game we can lose and still hit the over of 12 wins. I would bet the over. Don’t forget Ravens in your second set of lists. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inigo Montoya Posted April 3, 2022 Author Share Posted April 3, 2022 25 minutes ago, strive_for_five_guy said: Don’t forget Ravens in your second set of lists. Thanks, I'll go back and change it. Appreciate the heads up. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Punching Bag Posted April 3, 2022 Share Posted April 3, 2022 45 minutes ago, machine gun kelly said: Inigo, I luv ya my six fingered friend. Don Shiula is his six fingered friend. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DapperCam Posted April 3, 2022 Share Posted April 3, 2022 Our team is very similar to last year, so I could see losses: - Steelers (lost to them last year, TJ Watt and Cam Heyward are still a thing) - Titans (lost to them the past 2 years) - KC (1-3 the past 2 years) - Pats (2-1 vs them last year) - Green Bay (Rodgers reigning MVP) - Rams (reigning SB champs) - Bengals (reigning AFC champs) That would bring us to 10-7 at the most pessimistic. I only expect potential losses from GB, KC, and the Rams. Or at least for those games to be toss-ups. All other games I expect to win. So 14-3 at the most optimistic. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted April 3, 2022 Share Posted April 3, 2022 (edited) 19 hours ago, Inigo Montoya said: Home opponents; Away opponents; Home opponents; AFCE = 3 Packers Vikings Steelers Browns Titans Away opponents; AFCE = 3 Ravens Bengals Bears Lions Chiefs hmm 🤔 🤨 Easy Peasy Edited April 3, 2022 by SlimShady'sSpaceForce Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted April 3, 2022 Share Posted April 3, 2022 (edited) Peasy 19 hours ago, Warcodered said: A little annoying that our Home and Away opponents seem so clearly unbalanced. how so? The legend of AARon? Vikings and Cousins Titans maybe BUT the game is home and not in Tenny like the last couple of games Shirley not the NYETS, or the fading Belicheat. It took gale force winds and 3 passes and a porous run defense Will Mia will toggle Tua again? the recipe for disaster the Browns are as much a dumpster 🔥 as the JETS Edited April 3, 2022 by SlimShady'sSpaceForce Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warcodered Posted April 3, 2022 Share Posted April 3, 2022 3 hours ago, SlimShady'sSpaceForce said: Peasy how so? The legend of AARon? Vikings and Cousins Titans maybe BUT the game is home and not in Tenny like the last couple of games Shirley not the NYETS, or the fading Belicheat. It took gale force winds and 3 passes and a porous run defense Will Mia will toggle Tua again? the recipe for disaster the Browns are as much a dumpster 🔥 as the JETS Opposite direction we play the Ravens, Bengals, Chiefs and Rams as away teams and maybe the Browns and Titans are the tougher home teams. I'm not worried really, it just seems unbalanced as far the strength of the teams on home and away. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted April 3, 2022 Share Posted April 3, 2022 27 minutes ago, Warcodered said: Opposite direction we play the Ravens, Bengals, Chiefs and Rams as away teams and maybe the Browns and Titans are the tougher home teams. I'm not worried really, it just seems unbalanced as far the strength of the teams on home and away. Oh 💩 the Rams were not even listed 😆 OP musta been half asleep 💤 the Cravens don’t worry me. RE the Titans — McD went for the win over the tie and Lost 😡 They won’t beat the Bills 3 seasons in a row. Psssst. I’m in homer mode 😝 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Simon Says Posted April 3, 2022 Share Posted April 3, 2022 I hope this team,assuming they draft well and don't have horrible injuries...can win 12,13. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chaos Posted April 3, 2022 Share Posted April 3, 2022 On 4/2/2022 at 1:21 PM, Warcodered said: A little annoying that our Home and Away opponents seem so clearly unbalanced. How many times in a row have will we have played the chiefs in arrowhead? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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