Hi @Hapless Bills Fan. I have a question if that's ok. Has there been a lower rate of cases vs deaths? I feel like I keep reading that test cases coming in positive recently have had a large percentage of asymptomatic subjects. Thanks!
EDIT: Great question, ndirish1978 and I'm not sure of the answer.
In the US and globally, we're running about 5.1% CFR (case fatality rate), with of course a bunch of patients still hospitalized and outcomes uncertain.
At one point I think we were running 8% CFR in the US, which was 10-13% in NYC and 3% everywhere else.
It really can't be otherwise - early in the epidemic, you had to have flown back from Wuhan where you swore you licked a pneumonia patient to get a test. In NYC people who had clearly covid-19 relevant symptoms but weren't critically ill were given a sheet of instructions, no test, and sent home. Only very sick people got admitted to hospital and only hospital admits got tests.
We have more hospital capacity now, so we can start hospitalizing and treating people before they're desperately ill, and we have more testing capacity so we can test people who have just been exposed.
I don't think that's all of it though - I think we have better treatment protocols, and a better handle on which existing medications are truly helpful, so people who are seriously ill have better outcomes as long as we maintain hospital capacity
Opinion: I think the infected, asymptomatic younger people were always there, we just didn't have the testing capacity to know they were there before.