Jump to content

most underrated move by Beane during his time here


dave mcbride

Recommended Posts

7 minutes ago, BADOLBILZ said:

I never said they were going to try to trade directly up to #7.    At this point it was already commonplace for teams to trade up in steps.

 

Trading #21 and #22 would have been a whole lot more value than the Bills got trading down with KC the year prior so they were going to be able to get wherever they needed to reach #7 and do it with relative ease.    The problem would have been getting all the way to #2 or #3 overall.........which they were fortunate not to have to because some teams really drafted very shortsightedly in the top 6.

 

Here's an interesting twist to this...............because Eric Wood had to retire,  Incognito quit,  and Glenn was traded.........the Bills had an absolute train wreck on the offensive line in 2018.    Allen took a beating and since that OL was such a cluster*ck it really made it difficult for them to get a good read on the career outlook of a talented young guard who they stole in round 5 that year named Wyatt Teller.     

 

Beane subsequently traded the future All Pro guard for a late round pick the next summer.    Probably his worst individual move.

 

If the OL consists of Glenn as well Dawkins then perhaps they never deal Teller.   

 

Yeah the trade down with KC the year before was very bad value.  I suspect that had a lot to do with McD's relationship with Reid.  It didn't even come close to the value of the picks obtained, much less to get a franchise QB.  But just because McD agreed to it, it doesn't mean the Bucs would have agreed to something similar.

 

As for Teller, yeah, Cleveland got the better of that deal.  However I'll bet they would negate that trade and take Allen 1st overall if they could do it all over again. ;)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

29 minutes ago, Doc said:

 

The Bills traded Cordy and #21 to the Bengals for #12 a month-and-a-half before the draft, in an attempt to go after Josh.  They were never planning on using both 1sts to get him/to #7, much less #12 (without getting a 2nd rounder in return).  So while I agree they had the draft capital to do it, I agree with david that I'm not sure Tampa moves out of #7 for #21 and #22.  And given they demanded both 2nd rounders, when one should have sufficed, means they needed to be forced to trade down even 5 spots.

 

As for Edmunds, he was a college OLB who they envisioned as their Brian Urlacher.  It hasn't panned-out that way. 

Tampa was apparently locked in on Vita Vea.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

19 minutes ago, dave mcbride said:

Man, take it easy. I literally said that I misread what you were saying. Take the W with grace instead of doing the victory lap.  The Bills didn't have a top-of-the-first-half-of-the-first-round pick in a top-heavy draft and needed one to get Allen. They possibly could have traded both their firsts to get there. Instead, they unloaded Cordy Glenn. It was a great trade. Full stop, end of story. I honestly don't even know what you're arguing about. 

 

wwe-bo-dallas.gif

  • Haha (+1) 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, DCbillsfan said:

One of my favorite moves by Beane was trading Russ Bodine to the Cheaters for a 6th rd pick.  Bodine was cut about a week later.  I don't know who we got for it but like it anyway.

 

It was almost as good as getting a 5th rounder from them for Mike Gillislee.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, Alphadawg7 said:

 

Honorable mention:  Same draft year...getting the first pick in the 3rd round for Tyrod Taylor from Cleveland.  Blew my mind someone gave us such a premium pick for a guy everyone knew we were likely going to cut.

And everyone knew that Cleveland had the 1st pick in the draft and was going to draft a QB and Tyrod was simply going to set the table. 

  • Like (+1) 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Will be hard to top getting a 3rd round pick for garbage QB.  One of the happiest days of my life as a Bills fan.  I was actually taking a crap when I found out.  I said to myself, "Look at that!  The Bills and I lost a piece of sh!t at the same exact time!"

  • Eyeroll 1
  • Awesome! (+1) 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

37 minutes ago, frostbitmic said:

Not trading for Antonio Brown has to be up there.

Thank the lord he wanted no part of Buffalo. There were other players the Bills went after and didn't get...things worked out.

 

For me, as good as that 3rd for Taylor was and moving on from Glenn with his bad foot.

 

I gotta say, a #1 pick for Stephon Diggs was simply brilliant IMO. That one move help propel Buffalo to the AFC Championship game. 13-3, #2 overall offense in 2020.

  • Like (+1) 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 hours ago, dave mcbride said:

I gotta go with flipping Cordy Glenn and the #22 pick for Cincy's #12 pick before the 2018 draft. That was highway robbery and the single most important reason they were able to get Allen.

Excellent thread, dave mcbride! We did a lot of roster paring in anticipation of high picks in ‘18. So much so, this huge move sort of falls through the cracks in that whirlwind start of McBeane. We had enough good players I felt to compete, but the $$ was way out of whack! 
 

list of initial McBeane paring: (iirc)

Glenn

Darius

Darby

Gilmore

Carpenter

Goodwin

 

 

  • Thank you (+1) 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

34 minutes ago, Chandler#81 said:

Excellent thread, dave mcbride! We did a lot of roster paring in anticipation of high picks in ‘18. So much so, this huge move sort of falls through the cracks in that whirlwind start of McBeane. We had enough good players I felt to compete, but the $$ was way out of whack! 
 

list of initial McBeane paring: (iirc)

Glenn

Darius

Darby

Gilmore

Carpenter

Goodwin

 

 

Add Lizard Man aka Flat Earther, #14 Sammy Watkins. 

  • Like (+1) 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

10 hours ago, Rigotz said:

I’ll go with a topical one.

 

How about NOT giving Shaq Lawson or Jordan Phillips huge deals after they had good seasons for the Bills?

 

Shaq got a huge contract, then did nothing. Same with Phillips. Beane saw that coming when a lot of posters on this site were calling for his head for not re-signing those two.

Very good points, but the disappointing flip side was replacing them with guys like Quinton Jefferson and Vernon Butler.

 

Let's hope with the emergence of Oliver and Phillips plus our young edge rushers that the Dline is solidified.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, Dan Darragh said:

I'm hazy on the details but I seem to remember trading a player who we were going to cut to New England for a draft pick, then NE cut him before the season started.  Not a huge win but turning crap into something, and on Belichik's tab.

 

Yep. Russell Bodine. 

1 hour ago, buffblue said:

Very good points, but the disappointing flip side was replacing them with guys like Quinton Jefferson and Vernon Butler.

 

Let's hope with the emergence of Oliver and Phillips plus our young edge rushers that the Dline is solidified.

 

Jefferson was really unfortunate. They signed him to be their versatile chess piece that played outside on run downs and then reduced down inside on pass downs. Then Star opted out and he kind of got shoehorned into a full time DT role. In exactly that kind of rotational, versatile, role in a very similar scheme in Vegas this year he has had a good season. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 hours ago, Gugny said:

Will be hard to top getting a 3rd round pick for garbage QB.  One of the happiest days of my life as a Bills fan.  I was actually taking a crap when I found out.  I said to myself, "Look at that!  The Bills and I lost a piece of sh!t at the same exact time!"

He could be our backup QB next season !!!!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Bringing in Poyer & Hyde was a pretty good get for the team I can't remember if that was totally a Beane move but not a bad one for sure !

 

They are probably the most under rated tandem in the NFL when Belichek praises you and the work you do you know your doing something right ...

  • Like (+1) 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

18 hours ago, BADOLBILZ said:

 

 

So you are saying trading the #21 and #22 overall picks wouldn't get you up to #12?

 

Really?

 

Well obviously you're just wrong.........that would have obviously been great value for the team with #12 overall...........so I assume you are confused.

 

Beane also lamented a little bit that Tampa got more than he should have had to pay to move up to #7.......but the way that the Bills picks aligned......Tampa was able to get extra value.    

 

And btw Darius Leonard and Fred Warner are the All Pro ILB's that were selected after Edmunds so I don't know what all the other name dropping is about.

 

 

If they had traded both 1sts to move up to 12, it wouldn't have fit their plan.  Remember, the original trade was their 2 1sts (12 & 22) and a 2nd to move up to 5 (Denver).  They were afraid that the Arizona & Tampa GMs were close friends & that Arizona would beat the Bills out for #7, so there was no way 21 & 22 for 12 was going to happen because they still wanted to trade up & they wanted to keep 22 and still get to 12 in case 22 was needed to trade up with. 

 

The Bills overpaid Tampa on the points board because they knew Arizona wanted Josh Allen & viewed them as direct competition in any trade up scenario.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 hours ago, Albany,n.y. said:

If they had traded both 1sts to move up to 12, it wouldn't have fit their plan.  Remember, the original trade was their 2 1sts (12 & 22) and a 2nd to move up to 5 (Denver).  They were afraid that the Arizona & Tampa GMs were close friends & that Arizona would beat the Bills out for #7, so there was no way 21 & 22 for 12 was going to happen because they still wanted to trade up & they wanted to keep 22 and still get to 12 in case 22 was needed to trade up with. 

 

The Bills overpaid Tampa on the points board because they knew Arizona wanted Josh Allen & viewed them as direct competition in any trade up scenario.  

 

 

There was no "original trade"..........they traded with Cinci to move up weeks before the draft..........nothing was close to set in stone that early.

 

What part of "their was plenty of draft capital to move up to #7 overall without the Cordy Glenn trade"  do you NOT get?

 

Like I said..........they accumulated all of the 2018 picks in 2017 thinking that they might need all that capital to move up for their QB of choice.........and it would have cost ALL of that and perhaps multiple early picks in subsequent years......and been worth it..........had Allen not fallen out of the top 3.

 

 

 

  • Eyeroll 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, BADOLBILZ said:

There was no "original trade"..........they traded with Cinci to move up weeks before the draft..........nothing was close to set in stone that early.

 

What part of "their was plenty of draft capital to move up to #7 overall without the Cordy Glenn trade"  do you NOT get?

 

Like I said..........they accumulated all of the 2018 picks in 2017 thinking that they might need all that capital to move up for their QB of choice.........and it would have cost ALL of that and perhaps multiple early picks in subsequent years......and been worth it..........had Allen not fallen out of the top 3.

 

He was talking about the draft day deal the Bills had in place with Denver to move to 5 if Chubb was already gone.  It was 12, 22 and a 2nd (probably 53) for 5 and a 3rd (probably 71).  

 

But again, while they might had the draft capital to get to 7 without the Cordy Glenn trade, there's no guarantee the Bucs, or any other team in the top-10 for that matter, would have traded down that far.  Trading Glenn to get to 12 (making Glenn essentially worth a mid-2nd rounder), especially that far in advance to give them more options to plan for, was a coup and made trading down more palatable for any team within the top-5, and Beane knew that.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Doc said:

 

He was talking about the draft day deal the Bills had in place with Denver to move to 5 if Chubb was already gone.  It was 12, 22 and a 2nd (probably 53) for 5 and a 3rd (probably 71).  

 

But again, while they might had the draft capital to get to 7 without the Cordy Glenn trade, there's no guarantee the Bucs, or any other team in the top-10 for that matter, would have traded down that far.  Trading Glenn to get to 12 (making Glenn essentially worth a mid-2nd rounder), especially that far in advance to give them more options to plan for, was a coup and made trading down more palatable for any team within the top-5, and Beane knew that.

 

 

No doubt it was a good deal.

 

It was being oversold as the only way to skin that cat though............and neglecting that a lot of luck was involved in Allen slipping to #7.

 

To me...........I just appreciate a Bills GM/HC/Ownership combo actually agreeing that they should trade-up-from or use that original first round pick to take the QB they deemed the best for the first time in 58 years.

 

Adding hyperbole to the origin story is unnecessary.

 

Edited by BADOLBILZ
Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 1/11/2022 at 5:58 PM, dave mcbride said:

I gotta go with flipping Cordy Glenn and the #22 pick for Cincy's #12 pick before the 2018 draft. That was highway robbery and the single most important reason they were able to get Allen.

Oh anytime you eventually use that as a piece to get a true cornerstone QB that says it all…but I am going to also go with using Jedi mind tricks on John Elway so he took Nick Chubb instead of Allen  

  • Haha (+1) 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

26 minutes ago, BADOLBILZ said:

No doubt it was a good deal.

 

It was being oversold as the only way to skin that cat though............and neglecting that a lot of luck wasn't involved in Allen slipping to #7.

 

To me...........I just appreciate a Bills GM/HC/Ownership combo actually agreeing that they should trade-up-from or use that original first round pick to take the QB they deemed the best for the first time in 58 years.

 

Adding hyperbole to the origin story is unnecessary.

 

Fair enough.  But I think you're overselling how easy it would have been to trade up from 21 to 12 even, much less 7.  That draft had far fewer than 21 blue chippers.  Beane making the smart decision to get within striking distance of where he thought Josh might go weeks in advance made it less lucky.  And as they say, luck is when preparation meets opportunity.

 

 

  • Agree 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

13 hours ago, BADOLBILZ said:

 

 

There was no "original trade"..........they traded with Cinci to move up weeks before the draft..........nothing was close to set in stone that early.

 

What part of "their was plenty of draft capital to move up to #7 overall without the Cordy Glenn trade"  do you NOT get?

 

Like I said..........they accumulated all of the 2018 picks in 2017 thinking that they might need all that capital to move up for their QB of choice.........and it would have cost ALL of that and perhaps multiple early picks in subsequent years......and been worth it..........had Allen not fallen out of the top 3.

 

 

 

The original trade was with Denver to move up to 5.  12, 22, & their 1st 2nd rounder. It was worked out before the day of the draft.  It was contingent on Chubb not being there at 5 for Denver.  The good news was that when that fell through and Denver picked Chubb the Bills then still had draft capital at a lower cost to move to 7.  They didn't want to have to use their 2019 1st because they figured they'd be taking a step back & didn't want to give up a 2019 top 10 pick.  

 

One of the key reasons they were able to set their sights on #5 or lower was they figured one of their top 3 QBs would be there at 5.  The board released to WGR before the draft had the trade to Denver & its terms on there with Josh #1, Darnold 2nd & Mayfield 3rd. The Bills were willing to trade to 5  for any of the 3 and because it was almost certain that one of those 3 would be there since the Giants were in win now mode with Manning (pretty bizare thinking with the #2 pick & an aging QB, but that's why Gettleman had to "retire" on Monday) and Cleveland wasn't drating 2 QBs, so they would be able to get a QB at 5,  While they definitely liked Josh the best, they were willing to settle for Mayfield or Darnold.  Fortunately the didn't have to.  Really once Mayfield was picked at one, the Bills had a clear path to Josh since it was pretty well known that if Mayfield went #1, Darnold was going to the Jets.  The Giants could have squeezed the Jets to trade up a spot but didn't.   

Edited by Albany,n.y.
  • Awesome! (+1) 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

10 hours ago, Doc said:

 

Fair enough.  But I think you're overselling how easy it would have been to trade up from 21 to 12 even, much less 7.  That draft had far fewer than 21 blue chippers.  Beane making the smart decision to get within striking distance of where he thought Josh might go weeks in advance made it less lucky.  And as they say, luck is when preparation meets opportunity.

 

 

 

 

We will have to agree to disagree.........they had the 22nd pick in their pocket..........the 21, 22 and the picks dealt to Tampa gets them to #7 overall most years and they still had more value to deal from.

 

My point about the rest of the draft has as much or more validity as the concept that they didn't have enough ammo to move up......even if just in the context of using 2018 picks only.

 

They used their savings on a lesser MLB(so far) than Darius Leonard or Fred Warner.......what are the odds of 2 All Pro MLB's being picked after the second one came off the board in a draft(it's likely never happened before and Roquan Smith is better than Edmunds too)..........and the chaos caused by the atrocious state of the Glenn-less 2018 OL likely impacted the evaluation of Teller........their 5th round pick in that 2018 draft.

 

So while the Allen pick was a HR or HR's.......aided by several extremely dumb, shortsighted decisions in the 6 picks in front of them.........how they utilized the savings and the subsequent OL performance in 2018 were factors in lowering the potential value of that draft.

 

Imagine netting an MVP candidate and 2 other All Pro players(say, Warner, who the Bills were high on, and Teller) out of one draft..........they were thisclose to that.

 

I am a big fan of Beane's 1st round work in general...........since 1990 there has never been a situation where I was pleased with any 2 consecutive 1st round picks by any Bills GM at the time...........and I've really liked all of his........excellent work, IMO.  

 

His second round work has been consistent with every other Bills GM..........the only time they seem to nail round 2 is when they don't have a pick in round 1.........which I think is because they get carried away drafting for need when it's much too early to start doing that.

  • Like (+1) 1
  • Agree 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Albany,n.y. said:

The original trade was with Denver to move up to 5.  12, 22, & their 1st 2nd rounder. It was worked out before the day of the draft.  It was contingent on Chubb not being there at 5 for Denver.  The good news was that when that fell through and Denver picked Chubb the Bills then still had draft capital at a lower cost to move to 7.  They didn't want to have to use their 2019 1st because they figured they'd be taking a step back & didn't want to give up a 2019 top 10 pick.  

 

One of the key reasons they were able to set their sights on #5 or lower was they figured one of their top 3 QBs would be there at 5.  The board released to WGR before the draft had the trade to Denver & its terms on there with Josh #1, Darnold 2nd & Mayfield 3rd. The Bills were willing to trade to 5  for any of the 3 and because it was almost certain that one of those 3 would be there since the Giants were in win now mode with Manning (pretty bizare thinking with the #2 pick & an aging QB, but that's why Gettleman had to "retire" on Monday) and Cleveland wasn't drating 2 QBs, so they would be able to get a QB at 5,  While they definitely liked Josh the best, they were willing to settle for Mayfield or Darnold.  Fortunately the didn't have to.  Really once Mayfield was picked at one, the Bills had a clear path to Josh since it was pretty well known that if Mayfield went #1, Darnold was going to the Jets.  The Giants could have squeezed the Jets to trade up a spot but didn't.   

Thanks for the excellent summary - the clearest I've seen. So as always there was a combination of a sound strategy/scouting and just a little bit of luck (or, if you prefer, some really poor decision making by some teams drafting ahead of us).

  • Thank you (+1) 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

34 minutes ago, BADOLBILZ said:

We will have to agree to disagree.........they had the 22nd pick in their pocket..........the 21, 22 and the picks dealt to Tampa gets them to #7 overall most years and they still had more value to deal from.

 

My point about the rest of the draft has as much or more validity as the concept that they didn't have enough ammo to move up......even if just in the context of using 2018 picks only.

 

They used their savings on a lesser MLB(so far) than Darius Leonard or Fred Warner.......what are the odds of 2 All Pro MLB's being picked after the second one came off the board in a draft(it's likely never happened before and Roquan Smith is better than Edmunds too)..........and the chaos caused by the atrocious state of the Glenn-less 2018 OL likely impacted the evaluation of Teller........their 5th round pick in that 2018 draft.

 

So while the Allen pick was a HR or HR's.......aided by several extremely dumb, shortsighted decisions in the 6 picks in front of them.........how they utilized the savings and the subsequent OL performance in 2018 were factors in lowering the potential value of that draft.

 

Imagine netting an MVP candidate and 2 other All Pro players(say, Warner, who the Bills were high on, and Teller) out of one draft..........they were thisclose to that.

 

I am a big fan of Beane's 1st round work in general...........since 1990 there has never been a situation where I was pleased with any 2 consecutive 1st round picks by any Bills GM at the time...........and I've really liked all of his........excellent work, IMO.  

 

His second round work has been consistent with every other Bills GM..........the only time they seem to nail round 2 is when they don't have a pick in round 1.........which I think is because they get carried away drafting for need when it's much too early to start doing that.

 

Yes, we'll have to agree to disagree about easily being able to trade up from 21 to 7.  And frankly, it's belaboring a moot point.  Even though you could, why would you trade 2-1sts when you could trade 1-1st, a washed-up asset in Glenn and 2-2nds to get there?  Just because they might have mishandled later picks?

 

How they handled trading up to 7 is so beyond reproach it's not even worth debating.  Any GM staring at that trade would do that in a heartbeat and twice on Sundays and not wait and see if 21 and 22 were enough to get to 7 at the 11th hour on draft day.

 

But it seems you're of the mind that Glenn was anything but done by the time he was traded, probably because you're trying to tie him in with your point about Teller.  The fact is that he lost his starting LT job with the Bills mid-2017 and was terrible for the Bengals in 2018 and out of the league the year after.  At best he would have started at LG for the Bills if they hadn't been able to trick Cincy into trading for him, and put Teller on the bench.  Meanwhile Teller was no great shakes his first year in Cleveland either.  You win some, you lose some.  For all his talent, he will be sitting on his couch this weekend.

 

As for Edmunds, again he was a college OLB who they envisioned being a Brian Urlacher (i.e. size) type MLB.  If they wanted an undersized but traditional MLB, they would/could have gone with Warner (I'm not sure why you keep mentioning Leonard, since he is an OLB, while Smith was taken 8th overall and was never in play).  But they seem to like Edmunds at MLB, picked-up his 5th year option even, and the defense is #1 overall.  Meanwhile the Colts and Bears are sitting home for the playoffs, as are the Browns, because they lack the most important position, which made the 2018 draft a HR for the Bills for just picking Josh alone.

 

And finally, as for luck, the draft fell the way most envisioned, and logically.  The Browns and Jets needed QBs, the Giants felt they could get another year out of Eli so they took who many felt was the safest and arguably best player in the draft in Barkley, the Browns had a 2nd pick and took a CB, and the Colts took a generational OG to protect Luck.  About the only questionable/lucky for the Bills pick was the Broncos taking Chubb over Josh, but Josh had a lot of question marks.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

This topic is OLD. A NEW topic should be started unless there is a very specific reason to revive this one.

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Restore formatting

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
×
×
  • Create New...