How confident are you the Bills beat the Bengals?

[vincec]

Bengals will be a tough matchup. If I had to put a number on it, I’d say 45% chance for the Bills to win it. They really need their A game in all three phases to pull it out, IMO.

[Drew21PA]

Down three linemen - if we can hold burrow to less than 20 points man idk 

 

I like our chances now even more than before.

 

I don’t see “big dog” Mixon getting much of anything….

 

so they should be even more one dimensional.  Drop 8 now rush three?

2 hours ago, jaybills said:

After what Eric Weddle stated about Bengals O-line issues, I feel a hell of a lot better that Bills will work the Bengals. Hopefully it leads to a home game against the Jags. 

Finally someone not letting fear distort the vision!!!

 

 

[DuckyBoys]

I believe the Bills will win  Josh has a been a monster in the playoffs disregarding his first start back in 2020.  If Leslie Frazier cant limit a Bengals team with their O line in shambles then its time for a change at DC.  Much as that Miami game was a mess with sloppy play the Bengals struggled to get to 250 yards of offense against the Ravens  I firmly believe if Huntley doesnt cough it up for td return the bengals lose last week

[Scott7975]

On 1/18/2023 at 3:52 PM, billybrew1 said:

I might have agreed with you if the bengals were healthy, but they are not.

The question arises; Can our coaches take major advantage of the Bengals missing a whoppping three OL?

I don’t know what our defense is doing half the time. The QB has the ball all day with zero pressure. If that is our tactic again I think the Bengals shred us on those plays. 
I think KD has lost Josh Allen as well….

I’m sorry…. I’m sorry…. But that is what I see…

Josh went from the best player in the NFL…. To someone easily not the best player in the NFL…..

Last spring I didn’t think an OC could have that kind of effect on a vet QB but there’s no denying it.

The Giants are now running our offense and we are…..

not.

Just a total freakin’ disaster.

It doesn’t explain why the defense fell too, but that’s what happened.

 

 

The Giants arent running our offense.  Just because Daboll is the HC doesnt mean they are running our offense.  They are 4th in rushing attempts and 14th in pass attempts.  Daboll isnt even calling the plays.  Mike Kafka is.  Daboll even said the Giants offense wont look like the Bills offense.  It would be more designed to the Giants skillset.

Edited January 20, 2023 by Scott7975

[BringBackFlutie]

💯%

[Brand J]

I like how last year everyone was sure that if we had beaten KC, the Bengals were just a speed bump on the way to the SB. Well, it’s the same core team (albeit with a better record) but this time around I’m seeing a ton of nervous nellies. The only worry I have really is if the team isn’t dialed in with laser focus. If they are and they don’t turn over the ball, Bills win. This isn’t a coin flip match, Bills are the more talented team (even if they don’t always play that way).

[zow2]

1 hour ago, Bob Jones said:

50/50 right now, on Thursday afternoon. Now, if the Bills offense is "firing on all cylinders", I don't think there's a team in the league that can beat them. However, when is the last time the latter happened for a whole game? 🤔

 

They pretty much need to replicate the Titans game.  that was probably the last time, and they sat guys for a Qtr. 

[LABILLBACKER]

3 hours ago, jaybills said:

After what Eric Weddle stated about Bengals O-line issues, I feel a hell of a lot better that Bills will work the Bengals. Hopefully it leads to a home game against the Jags. 

We'll need Ed, Greg, Boogie and AJ to step it up to a new level. And only blitz Milano. 

[Heavy Kevi]

I'm like 60% sure.

 

Just a little better than a toss-up.

 

But it feels like our year

[Billever76]

1 hour ago, Scott7975 said:

 

The Giants arent running our offense.  Just because Daboll is the HC doesnt mean they are running our offense.  They are 4th in rushing attempts and 14th in pass attempts.  Daboll isnt even calling the plays.  Mike Kafka is.  Daboll even said the Giants offense wont look like the Bills offense.  It would be more designed to the Giants skillset.

Danny Dimes is sure putting up similar stats to Allen now that Daboll took over.

[SirAndrew]

On 1/18/2023 at 4:28 PM, grog said:

I think Buffalo will struggle with pass coverage, I'm glad this is a home game, my confidence level is 45/55 Cincinnati 😐

Tons of talk about Dorsey and Allen, but I see pass coverage as the deciding factor. Our ability to cover Higgins and Chase will be the difference between a win or loss. I wish I were confident about the pass coverage situation. It’s also fortunate that Cincy has offensive line issues, but will our pass rush pull through? That’s another question mark. The pass rush can help coverage if able to take advantage of a depleted offensive line. However, our pass rush isn’t the most reliable, and Frazier doesn’t dial up much pressure. 

[JoshAllin]

The only time I haven't been confident in a bills game is when injuries arise to the top guys, so pretty confident. Also the Bengals are a in a little pain as from what I can see

[3rdand12]

14 hours ago, hemma said:

 

The pff stats along with their banged up OL.

works for me !

11 hours ago, Bill from NYC said:

I might actually bet this game. I have not felt this sure about a Bills cover in a long time.

 

Bills - 48

Bengals - 10

 

GO BILLS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

NOOOOO never bet on our Games. Bad juju

[3rdand12]

47 minutes ago, LABILLBACKER said:

We'll need Ed, Greg, Boogie and AJ to step it up to a new level. And only blitz Milano. 

Settle Jones Lawson might be keys to the game.
Pressure up the middle. please

  NO AJE around the tackle rushing. Just try to push/drive and protect Stay in lane and get a hand up with eyes on Burrows eyes.
 

52 minutes ago, LABILLBACKER said:

We'll need Ed, Greg, Boogie and AJ to step it up to a new level. And only blitz Milano. 

no Edmunds blitz ? hmmm

[John from Riverside]

5 minutes ago, 3rdand12 said:

Settle Jones Lawson might be keys to the game.
Pressure up the middle. please

  NO AJE around the tackle rushing. Just try to push/drive and protect Stay in lane and get a hand up with eyes on Burrows eyes.
 

no Edmunds blitz ? hmmm

It seems like every time we blitz Edmonds it works

[kkim0904]

I am at 70% that the Bills win.  I am more confident about this game than when we played the season opener against Rams.

[Low Positive]

I don’t know. But I do know that these are the consequential games in January that I always wished that the Bills were playing in. It’s been a while since we’ve had a home playoff game of this magnitude. LFG!!!!!

[3rdand12]

8 minutes ago, John from Riverside said:

It seems like every time we blitz Edmonds it works

okay let.s not do that unless its break glass in case of emergency then.
I want Milano playing downhill as often as possible
Blitz AJE on a twist stunt. Or Marlowe ??

[JakeFrommStateFarm]

50/50

[Scott7975]

1 hour ago, Billever76 said:

Danny Dimes is sure putting up similar stats to Allen now that Daboll took over.

 

He is.  Daboll and his staff have done a great job but it still isnt the same offense.

[AlfaBill]

10 hours ago, benderbender said:

I’m more Nostrodumbass than Nostradamus, but I was way more worried about the Dolphins than most were. If it counts for anything, I am way less worried about this Sunday. 

Do you find it interesting that they have the quarter back, the half back and the hunch back of Notre Dame?

[PauleeeWalnuts]

They need to play a lot better than they did last week to beat this Cincy team. The Bengals are going to come out swinging like they did Monday night, mistakes and turnovers will kill them. Burrow is not a third string rookie, the Bills will not be able to overcome three turnovers and dropped passes in this game. A lot of people taking about how they almost lost to the Ravens and a backup QB, but we almost lost to the 9-8 Dolphins with a third string QB with no OL and no starting RB. We need the playoff Bills to please stand up. 

[AlfaBill]

4 minutes ago, PaulieYayo said:

They need to play a lot better than they did last week to beat this Cincy team. The Bengals are going to come out swinging like they did Monday night, mistakes and turnovers will kill them. Burrow is not a third string rookie, the Bills will not be able to overcome three turnovers and dropped passes in this game. A lot of people taking about how they almost lost to the Ravens and a backup QB, but we almost lost to the 9-8 Dolphins with a third string QB with no OL and no starting RB. We need the playoff Bills to please stand up. 

You dont say. 

[Chicken Boo]

50.8%

 

The Bengals are legit, even with the injuries on the o-line.  

[Brand J]

Both the Bills and the Bengals almost lost to inferior teams, yes, but I’d say the difference is that the Bengals were largely outplayed by the Ravens, while the Bills kept the Dolphins in the game by way of their own self-inflicted errors. No one, not even Dolphins fans, can say that team outplayed the Bills. It was more they were fortunate to be as close as they were. I didn’t think the Bengals had a sloppy game necessarily, or were clearly the better team against the Ravens.

[RyanC883]

On 1/17/2023 at 6:55 PM, Augie said:

 

The beginning of the last “game” was very concerning. I know we typically let them score early, then settle in, but it was not looking good. 

 

We are going to need to get pressure on Burrow, and if we can’t do it against their banged up OLine, well………we need to spend our first four picks in the draft on DLine. Keep at it till you get it right! 

 

 

 

 

(I’ll run and hide now.)

 

if we cant pressure Burrow with their backup line, please fire whoever scouts our DL drafting, which has been horrendous outside Greg R. 

[HappyDays]

5 minutes ago, JayBaller10 said:

Both the Bills and the Bengals almost lost to inferior teams, yes, but I’d say the difference is that the Bengals were largely outplayed by the Ravens, while the Bills kept the Dolphins in the game by way of their own self-inflicted errors. No one, not even Dolphins fans, can say that team outplayed the Bills. It was more they were fortunate to be as close as they were. I didn’t think the Bengals had a sloppy game necessarily, or were clearly the better team against the Ravens.

 

DVOA's post-game win expectancy agrees:

The Bengals should feel lucky they escaped with a win whereas the Dolphins should feel lucky they ever had a chance.

[Royale with Cheese]

1 hour ago, Billever76 said:

Danny Dimes is sure putting up similar stats to Allen now that Daboll took over.

I don’t know about that.  
Jones: 15/5 TD to INT; 3,205 yards

Allen: 35/14 TD to INT, 4,283 yards.

[Buffalo716]

1 minute ago, Royale with Cheese said:

I don’t know about that.  
Jones: 15/5 TD to INT; 3,205 yards

Allen: 35/14 TD to INT, 4,283 yards.

Similar if Danny dimes had TT lite stats lol

[SoMAn]

Considering the number of injuries this season, the Bills are relatively healthy. Cincy is banged up. Home crowd should make it tough on Burro. 
Giving the edge to our boys, but they need to tighten up and eliminate stupid penalties and missed tackles. Ball control. The best defense against Burro is to keep it out of his hands.  D-Line must bring their A-game. 
Bills 33 Been Gals 3

[Low Positive]

14 minutes ago, Royale with Cheese said:

I don’t know about that.  
Jones: 15/5 TD to INT; 3,205 yards

Allen: 35/14 TD to INT, 4,283 yards.

and in one fewer game.

[Nitro]

Moderate confidence.   65% because the Bills are at home.  If this was a road game I would be pessimistic.  Bengals are a scary good offense.   Bills defense is better than the Bengals.  This can be a shoot out where the team with the ball last, wins.  

[Dan in Owego]

Bengals gonna have to score over 40 to win, really feel they are about to get the Patriot treatment from last year.

[Billsatlastin2018]

I trust Josh to come through, as he has the past 8 in a row!

 

And I really trust the 12th Man- Bills Mafia to help him as the snowflakes fall!

[The Red King]

If both teams play their best game, Buffalo wins.  I firmly believe that.  This game is going to come down to mistakes.  Allen really needs to take what the defense gives him.  While a home-run bomb is nice, a slow, methodical drive down the field kills a lot of time and keeps Burrow off the field.  This will be the crux of the game.

 

That said, I am confident.  IMHO, this game is not Buffalo's game to win, so much as their game to lose.

[major]

I was nervous until I heard Eric Weddell share his thoughts. He is a former player and just came off a Super Bowl win. Once I heard him describe all the reasons we would win,  I felt confident. I have a strange feeling it’s the 49ers vs the giants in the nfc championship game and Buffalo vs Jacksonville in the afc championship 

[Airseven]

7 hours ago, jaybills said:

After what Eric Weddle stated about Bengals O-line issues, I feel a hell of a lot better that Bills will work the Bengals. Hopefully it leads to a home game against the Jags. 

Bills don’t have the DL talent to take advantage of the Bengals’ injuries. They’ve played banged up OLs before and nothing changes. Miller is such a huge loss.

[Billever76]

2 hours ago, Royale with Cheese said:

I don’t know about that.  
Jones: 15/5 TD to INT; 3,205 yards

Allen: 35/14 TD to INT, 4,283 yards.

We are talking about Daniel jones having Isiah hodgins as his #1 wr and his rb as his #2 wr lol......and don't leave out the yards jones puts up on the ground as he does have 708 yards rushing and 7 tds also

Edited January 20, 2023 by Billever76

[Royale with Cheese]

6 hours ago, Billever76 said:

We are talking about Daniel jones having Isiah hodgins as his #1 wr and his rb as his #2 wr lol......and don't leave out the yards jones puts up on the ground as he does have 708 yards rushing and 7 tds also

Okay.  So one stat is similar and that makes them all similar?  Allen 20 more TD passes, 1,000 more passing yards and in one less game.

 

Someone that had similar stats to Daniel Jones would be Andy Dalton or Jacoby Brissett.

[Livinginthepast]

I'm more confident facing the Bengals this week than I was back on January 2nd. I had a bad feeling we would be mauled in that game and that was before DH's injury. Now I think we are better position to defeat them. Home field will be the difference here and if we can finally put together a complete game for a 4 quarters with a good pass rush, Burrow will be exposed as the statue in the pocket he is.