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How confident are you the Bills beat the Bengals?


Steptide

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I'll add to my previous comment:  it will probably be a close game, but if it's a blowout, chances are about 95% that the Bills would be the victor in that kind of game.

 

I don't think the Bengals can beat this team going away.  Because no one has.

 

Edited by Success
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Last 10 games

Bengals 9-1 (9 Game win streak, 4-0 vs playoff teams)

Bills 8-2 (8 Game win streak, 2-1 vs playoff teams)

 

L3 Away / Home PPG

Bengals    25.3 / 19.0 =   +6.3

Bills         33.7 / 27.7  =  +6.0

 

Burrow/Allen Last 10 Games

Burrow 251/368 68.2%, 2,587 Yards, 21 TD / 7 INT, 21 Sacks

Allen 209/342 61.1%, 2,437 Yards, 19 TD / 10 INT, 29 Sacks

 

Forget about the wild card, these aren't divisional teams. The wild card says nothing about this game. 

 

Broadly speaking, as of now, I feel the data as well as what we are seeing on the field indicates the team played better in the first half of the season. Is it mostly injuries? 

 

So have we played our best ball yet? 

 

Imagine how you would feel if you were the defending AFC champions, you return everybody, and then you spend 8 months hearing about Buffalo and KC, Mahomes and Allen. Everybody is ready this time of year, but this is a respect game for the Bengals and Burrow.

 

Within all this the Bengals are banged up badly on the offensive line and defensive backfield. I'm certainly not apologizing for the help. This has been the worst year for injuries in Buffalo in some time. 

 

Flush it all out and I think this is a dead even game that will approach 70 points. Easily good enough to be the AFC Championship.   

Edited by KzooMike
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13 minutes ago, 3rdand12 said:

3 man rush and bringing a 4th from anywhere. Burrow has the quick releas and great at hot reads. Just stay steady with front (8)

 As  a Bills Fan this day and age, I Always Expect to Win !
Biggest game ever.

Cinci is no joke.

 GoBills

Interesting idea- I don’t think Leslie ever does this… but I’m all for rush three and drop into passing lanes. It’s good to get out of the division and play someone different 

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I’m 50/50.

 

I trust playoff Josh. I don’t trust this current iteration of the defense.

 

Giving up 24 points to an offense that is starting their 3rd string QB, and 2nd string RB, and 2nd string RT and 2nd string LG doesn’t inspire much confidence. The Dolphins were fielding a mash unit on offense and put up 24.

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last week I thought the Bills W would be due to thePats*  injury list. The OL for the Bengals is indeed banged up. For me the crux of this game is how much can the Bills DL  pressure Burrow against the seemingly depleted OL. Force him into errant throws or sacks even better.

 

I Love having our home field advantage. AS well as a team that is now all of a sudden an underdog at home? Piffle on that!

 

I think the Bills win in a hard fought game in front of Our fans.

 

GO BILLS!~!~!

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1 hour ago, Augie said:

 

The beginning of the last “game” was very concerning. I know we typically let them score early, then settle in, but it was not looking good. 

 

We are going to need to get pressure on Burrow, and if we can’t do it against their banged up OLine, well………we need to spend our first four picks in the draft on DLine. Keep at it till you get it right! 

 

 

 

 

(I’ll run and hide now.)


I will fight you.  We should be banned from drafting defensive linemen in the first two rounds for the next 5 years 

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1 hour ago, Steptide said:

I'm at about 65%. I think the bills are the better team overall, but we've watched them shoot themselves in the foot so many times this season. While I think the bills are fully capable of playing a mistake free game, it's hard to comprehend they will. Being at home is a big advantage (I think). 

51% in favor of the Bills

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13 minutes ago, Einstein said:

I’m 50/50.

 

I trust playoff Josh. I don’t trust this current iteration of the defense.

 

Giving up 24 points to an offense that is starting their 3rd string QB, and 2nd string RB, and 2nd string RT and 2nd string LG doesn’t inspire much confidence. The Dolphins were fielding a mash unit on offense and put up 24.


It’s crazy they put up 24 points but only 236 yards and 3.3 YPP.

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19 minutes ago, Over 29 years of fanhood said:

Interesting idea- I don’t think Leslie ever does this… but I’m all for rush three and drop into passing lanes. It’s good to get out of the division and play someone different 

I dont think he would allow it either. lol

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22 minutes ago, Over 29 years of fanhood said:

Interesting idea- I don’t think Leslie ever does this… but I’m all for rush three and drop into passing lanes. It’s good to get out of the division and play someone different 

 

Interesting! Do we pull a Patriot twist? Rush three, drop a dozen? 

 

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2 hours ago, Orlando Tim said:

I think playoff Josh returns this week. I am 75% sure of playoff Josh so 70% sure of win because we could still screw it up.

We could also win without playoff Josh like we've been doing the past two months, did you factor that into your calculations?.... We know we're not going up against Playoff Joe because Playoff Joe is not even a thing, the guy averages 1 passing TD per playoff game. 

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Just now, Augie said:

 

Interesting! Do we pull a Patriot twist? Rush three, drop a dozen? 

 

Burrow does well against the four man or more. Smart cookie back there

1 minute ago, McBean said:

Very very confident 

Very well you should be Mr McBean. This is Your team , after all :)

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1 hour ago, 3rdand12 said:

Burrow does well against the four man or more. Smart cookie back there

 

I hope you are a ref for this game!!! 

 

Let the math slide!  

 

Nothing like power plays.    😋

 

Actually curious to see more Burrow. I hope to see a highlight-less day.  

 

 

.

Edited by Augie
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36 minutes ago, Einstein said:

 

That some interesting logic.

Not logic just blind fan homerism. Nothing wrong with that!

1 hour ago, Generic_Bills_Fan said:

We’re going to blitz a lot with their oline situation I’d bet. 

Honestly with a patchwork OLIne they shouldn’t have to blitz. Hopefully the DL can pressure, not down and sack Joe. 

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1 hour ago, CoudyBills said:

Sure did, but they settle for a field goal.  Will never know, but would bet anything that game would have been 14-3 in 5 more plays.  Didn't feel good.

Do you watch the games? The Bills 1st Q D is terrible. They seem to observe the opposing O before really deciding on how to defend them. They’ve been doing that all year. Even if the Bengals took a 14-3 lead I would bet the Bills put 7 on their next possession Seeing how easy they moved it on the first one. Then it’s 14-10. The cats have been known to fall asleep on O at times. Who’s to say we wouldn’t have been on top 21-17 at the half? We will never know it’s silly to assume the Bills lose. 

Edited by AlfaBill
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Like other commentors have said, if the Bills can keep the turnovers down to one (1) or less and not allow for multiple very short fields for Cincinnati, Bills ought to win.

 

Bengals are a good team, and I believe they match up better against the Bills than the Chiefs do this year. 

 

If both teams play their best football, Bills are a better team overall. As in all games, but especially this one, OL/DL play will determine a handful of plays that determine the outcome with injuries as well as a general weakness on both offensive lines.

 

If there is a confidence meter, I will go 70%.

 

Should be a good game within a score. Buffalo 24 and Cincinnati 20

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2 hours ago, Drew21PA said:

Fumble and no call block in the back away from losing to Tyler Huntley 

 

why aren’t they bashing them for this?  

Exactly. On Scott Van Pelt Sunday night on ESPN they did the Bengals highlights and afterwards said “there is no such thing as an ugly playoff win”. They immediately go to the Bills/Miami highlights and afterwards spent two solid minutes criticizing the Bills win, how it was ugly and they were fortunate and how they can’t win like that going forward. It’s been a narrative for days now that Buffalo struggled to win and Bengals handled business. Ridiculous. Neither team looked great on Sunday but both won. 

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37 minutes ago, muppy said:

 

 

I Love having our home field advantage. AS well as a team that is now all of a sudden an underdog at home? Piffle on that!

we’re 5-point favorites

37 minutes ago, muppy said:

 

 

I Love having our home field advantage. AS well as a team that is now all of a sudden an underdog at home? Piffle on that!

we’re 5-point favorites

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Just got back from the CessPool message board. Probably will have to bleach my eyeballs. Anyway, about 90% of them will be pulling for the Bengals to win; not because they think the Bills are a threat, but because they believe the neutral site is BS and it rightfully belongs to them since the Bills “quit” on MNF.

 

They bemoan the suicide of their own Jovan Belcher and the fact the league made no concessions for them, but it’s not striking they can’t tell the difference from a player voluntarily taking his life at a field house, versus one who’s heart stopped on the field in front of millions, playing the game he loves. Oh and the fact the Bengals didn’t want to return to action either is also lost on them. They believe the Bengals are the better team, Burrow is a bigger threat than Allen, and they have no fear of Buffalo without Von Miller. They want to avenge the 0-3 against Burrow at Arrowhead and then punch their ticket to the SB.
 

My dislike of KC is up there, it’s not quite at the level of NE during the Brady years, but I reallllllly want that team to fail. And I want us to be the ones to beat them. The arrogance among that fanbase is ridiculous.

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