Spotrac spitballs C. Kirk & C. Williams to Bills

[Estro]

On his most recent Spotrac podcast, Mike G. broke down the FA class with some value projections as well as where some players "could" land.

 

I put could in parentheses because I've found Mike G to have what seems like some insider knowledge when it comes to the Bills. Thats why when I hear any predicitions he makes regarding the Bills, I perk my ears up.  Last year he said sownthing to the effect of "keep an eye on Tribusky to a team like the Bills for a team friendly 1 year deal." Then about 3 days later it happened. Maybe it was total coincidence, but common sense says probably not.

 

In his most recent episode he talked Christian Kirk coming alive in the Cardinals offense once Murray started pushing the ball down the field more. He linked him to a team with a QB that can get him the ball down the field, and specifically predicted with Josh Allen and the Bills. Had his value pegged @ 4 yrs - $48M.

 

A little later he said he liked Cowboys Guard, Connor Williams, to land in Buffalo where he'll be a better fit scheme wise on a 3 year - $21M deal.  I think cutting Feliciano is a given, but a move like this I would assume means the Bills would also cut/trade Daryl Williams. Connor Williams plays RG, so no way you're paying him $7M a year without moving Daryl, IMO.

 

That Christian Kirk move would be a pretty sick addition though. And would probably also forecast them moving on from Beasley. Mike G. didn't dive into the weeds on who he'd expect to be cut to make room for these moves, but I'd be interested to hear his take on that.  

[Royale with Cheese]

9 minutes ago, Estro said:

On his most recent Spotrac podcast, Mike G. broke down the FA class with some value projections as well as where some players "could" land.

 

I put could in parentheses because I've found Mike G to have what seems like some insider knowledge when it comes to the Bills. Thats why when I hear any predicitions he makes regarding the Bills, I perk my ears up.  Last year he said sownthing to the effect of "keep an eye on Tribusky to a team like the Bills for a team friendly 1 year deal." Then about 3 days later it happened. Maybe it was total coincidence, but common sense says probably not.

 

In his most recent episode he talked Christian Kirk coming alive in the Cardinals offense once Murray started pushing the ball down the field more. He linked him to a team with a QB that can get him the ball down the field, and specifically predicted with Josh Allen and the Bills. Had his value pegged @ 4 yrs - $48M.

 

A little later he said he liked Cowboys Guard, Connor Williams, to land in Buffalo where he'll be a better fit scheme wise on a 3 year - $21M deal.  I think cutting Feliciano is a given, but a move like this I would assume means the Bills would also cut/trade Daryl Williams. Connor Williams plays RG, so no way you're paying him $7M a year without moving Daryl, IMO.

 

That Christian Kirk move would be a pretty sick addition though. And would probably also forecast them moving on from Beasley. Mike G. didn't dive into the weeds on who he'd expect to be cut to make room for these moves, but I'd be interested to hear his take on that.  

I wonder if we did sign Connor Williams, we could move Daryl Williams to LG?  
I really liked what I saw from Bates but that was only a 5-6 stretch?  We were fooled with Ryan Groy….remember him?

[Buffalosouth]

I'd take C. Kirk over Beasley at this point but I think C. Kirk cost more.

[Dont Stop Billeiving]

Would love Kirk on the Bills, but surprised that Mikey G has projected him as a $12M per year contract. Seems a bit high IMO, paying for potential rather than his production to this point which can be a risky move in FA. Kirk would add youth, speed, and YAC ability to our WR room though.

 

No interest in Connor Williams for me. Dude got beaten like a drum by just about everyone he faced last year and better scheme fit or not, $7M per year for a struggling guard is a hard pass. I'm hoping we get Darryl Williams to take a pay cut and also add an IOL in the first 3 rounds of the draft.

[uninja]

8 minutes ago, Royale with Cheese said:

I wonder if we did sign Connor Williams, we could move Daryl Williams to LG?  
I really liked what I saw from Bates but that was only a 5-6 stretch?  We were fooled with Ryan Groy….remember him?

Groy looked good after Wood went down because the rest of the line was solid around him. Richie covered up a lot. Once he had to elevate the play around him, Groy looked very average. 

[ytownblofan]

Kirk looks to be hanging with JA17 in Cali. Take a look at Brittany Williams Instagram story and Kirk is present in the most recent posting  🤔

[without a drought]

At the same time Spotrac also lists Conner Williams market value at $13.2mil, projecting a 4 year $53mil deal

[gobills404]

25 minutes ago, Estro said:

Connor Williams plays RG, so no way you're paying him $7M a year without moving Daryl, IMO.

He plays LG. The Cowboys RG has been some dude named Zack Martin for the last 8 years.

[TheBeaneBandit]

Kirk would be a phenomenal add, but with the explosion in salaries, I could see some team with huge cap space give 15M per. I'm all in on 4 for 48.

Edited February 21, 2022 by TheBeaneBandit
Spelling

[Big Blitz]

Was this the same podcast where he could see us sending Beasley our 3rd and 5th round picks for CMC?

[BADOLBILZ]

52 minutes ago, Royale with Cheese said:

I wonder if we did sign Connor Williams, we could move Daryl Williams to LG?  
I really liked what I saw from Bates but that was only a 5-6 stretch?  We were fooled with Ryan Groy….remember him?

 

Ryan Groy is a good example...........but Colin Brown was even more of a fools gold situation........he was the 340 pound mountain who looked really good at center in place of Eric Wood in 2012.........so they re-signed him to play LG and he almost single-handedly destroyed the 2013 Bills offense because he was so impossibly bad.    His 2013 was probably the worst season of guard play in the past 50 years of Bills football.

 

I have my fingers crossed about Bates but he's going to be cheap enough that he can just be "in the mix" and not penned in as a starter based off a few starts when Josh Allen was pulling out all the stops to move the football.

[NewEra]

2 minutes ago, BADOLBILZ said:

 

Ryan Groy is a good example...........but Colin Brown was even more of a fools gold situation........he was the 340 pound mountain who looked really good at center in place of Eric Wood in 2012.........so they re-signed him to play LG and he almost single-handedly destroyed the 2013 Bills offense because he was so impossibly bad.    His 2013 was probably the worst season of guard play in the past 50 years of Bills football.

 

I have my fingers crossed about Bates but he's going to be cheap enough that he can just be "in the mix" and not penned in as a starter based off a few starts when Josh Allen was pulling out all the stops to move the football.

Never mention Colin Brown again.  Please!

[Diggstheprocess]

Josh’s girlfriend was posting pics on Instagram last night… they were with Christian Kirk at dinner. 👀

[TheyCallMeAndy]

Ehhhhhh it’s still way too early for any ‘insider’ stuff, those folks have a terrible history with Beane anyways. 
 

JJ Watt, Zach Ertz, and Shaq Lawson have taught us a valuable lesson. 

[SWATeam]

Kirk would be an amazing fit for this team.  A deep threat from the slot...  Yes please.

[BADOLBILZ]

41 minutes ago, Diggstheprocess said:

Josh’s girlfriend was posting pics on Instagram last night… they were with Christian Kirk at dinner. 👀

 

[JoeF]

In the playoff game against the 49ers, Williams almost single-handedly stopped a drive with 3 penalties.  He had 17 flags on the year. Not sure he is a fit.  Penalties are mostly a lack of focus or bad technique.  Both things piss off Coach McD...

 

Kirk - sign me up.  Bills need to get younger at WR.  Kirk, Davis and Diggs would be a great core for a couple of years.

 

 

[Process]

12 minutes ago, SWATeam said:

Kirk would be an amazing fit for this team.  A deep threat from the slot...  Yes please.

Did he play mostly in the slot in AZ? 

[Big Turk]

We are not signing big dollar players in free agency...don't have the money for it and Beane even alluded to not expect much in that realm in his season ending press conference.

 

We will work on getting a few value FAs to come in and build via the draft.

[Johnny Hammersticks]

 

Josh Allen had dinner with Christian Kirk last night 👀 

[RichRiderBills]

I think bills should resign McKenzie over Kirk. Draft a guy to keep the heat on. Too much money to spend on WRs with 

 

Diggs, and Gabe Davis, McKenzie and maybe a low cost vet. Bringing back Sanders is perfect, since he can play slot as well. 

[Wayne Cubed]

3 minutes ago, Johnny Hammersticks said:

 

Josh Allen had dinner with Christian Kirk last night 👀 

 

Think Kyle Allen and his GF were there as well?

[BADOLBILZ]

7 minutes ago, JoeF said:

In the playoff game against the 49ers, Williams almost single-handedly stopped a drive with 3 penalties.  He had 17 flags on the year. Not sure he is a fit.  Penalties are mostly a lack of focus or bad technique.  Both things piss off Coach McD...

 

Kirk - sign me up.  Bills need to get younger at WR.  Kirk, Davis and Diggs would be a great core for a couple of years.

 

 

 

 

I'm not a fan of Williams.   He has always struggled with emotional issues/behavior so not a sound investment, IMO.

 

Kirk seems likely to be too expensive to fit as a slot WR........especially when you consider that there is so much depth at receiver in the league right now.

 

I'd expect Beane to be shopping for bargains if they replace Beasley and McKenzie in the slot.

[ganesh]

2 hours ago, Royale with Cheese said:

I wonder if we did sign Connor Williams, we could move Daryl Williams to LG?  
I really liked what I saw from Bates but that was only a 5-6 stretch?  We were fooled with Ryan Groy….remember him?

Paying two guards $8M annually each would mean they would need to cut Mitch Morse and save his $8M cap.  Otherwise I don't see this team paying 4 of the 5 OL FA contracts especially the big ones

[billsfan89]

2 hours ago, Royale with Cheese said:

I wonder if we did sign Connor Williams, we could move Daryl Williams to LG?  
I really liked what I saw from Bates but that was only a 5-6 stretch?  We were fooled with Ryan Groy….remember him?

 

I love the idea of having Bates fight for a spot on the line or moving back to the bench. The Bills need options at guard in case Bates is another Groy situation. 

[Johnny Hammersticks]

21 minutes ago, Wayne Cubed said:

 

Think Kyle Allen and his GF were there as well?

 

Hopefully.  I don’t know. 🤷🏾‍♂️

[Shaw66]

29 minutes ago, Big Turk said:

We are not signing big dollar players in free agency...don't have the money for it and Beane even alluded to not expect much in that realm in his season ending press conference.

 

We will work on getting a few value FAs to come in and build via the draft.

I don't think there's been a season when Beane hasn't surprised me with moves he's made.   I've learned to expect the unexpected from him, so I'm not prepared yet to say that the Bills will have no big-dollar signings.  

 

I think the roster will change more in the next six months than it did last season.   Clearly, there's likely to be some movement on the offensive line.   I think it'll happen on the defensive line, too.  The receiver room will change.   

 

Stuff's going to happen, and some of it will be surprising, just like Allen and Edmunds in one draft was surprising, just like trading for Diggs was surprising.  

[TheBeaneBandit]

12 minutes ago, ganesh said:

Paying two guards $8M annually each would mean they would need to cut Mitch Morse and save his $8M cap.  Otherwise I don't see this team paying 4 of the 5 OL FA contracts especially the big ones

Yeah if we sign a free agent G bye bye Williams imo, and may have to adjust Morse somehow/way.

[Warcodered]

25 minutes ago, Wayne Cubed said:

 

Think Kyle Allen and his GF were there as well?

Probably him, Josh, and Darnold have all worked with Palmer in the offseasons I think they even lived together at one point.

25 minutes ago, BADOLBILZ said:

Kirk seems likely to be too expensive to fit as a slot WR........especially when you consider that there is so much depth at receiver in the league right now.

He seems like a guy that's been pretty good that could really blow up here.

[JoeF]

31 minutes ago, Johnny Hammersticks said:

 

Josh Allen had dinner with Christian Kirk last night 👀 

Side note....My fatherly (or grandfatherly actually) advice to Josh is to sew up the deal with Brittany.  They seem like a very happy couple.  She appears to enjoy Buffalo and Bills Mafia.

[turftoe]

I watched all of Christian Kirk's catches this past year. Most of them are little dinks and dunks with no YAC. Not very impressed.  I think I like Beasley better.

[SWATeam]

4 minutes ago, turftoe said:

I watched all of Christian Kirk's catches this past year. Most of them are little dinks and dunks with no YAC. Not very impressed.  I think I like Beasley better.

Bease is breaking down physically.  Kirk is thick, important when working the middle, and can challenge the seam deep.  I love the fit.

[Process]

32 minutes ago, turftoe said:

I watched all of Christian Kirk's catches this past year. Most of them are little dinks and dunks with no YAC. Not very impressed.  I think I like Beasley better.

Surprised to see his 40 time at 4.46/4.48. That's not slow obviously but I thought he was a burner. 

[BADOLBILZ]

1 hour ago, Warcodered said:

He seems like a guy that's been pretty good that could really blow up here.

 

Definitely could..........he's excellent.

 

I just suspect that any big chips will be used on the OL or a pass rusher or *maybe* at CB2.

 

I could see them shopping in the McKenzie aisle for a slot WR and then maybe flipping Arizona a bag of balls for Andy Isabella.

 

James Washington has been mentioned by a couple people here as another reclamation WR project...........and he could probably back up or compete for some playing time with Davis..........maybe they even try to do some Deebo-back stuff with a guy built like that.

 

Maybe I am underestimating the chips Beane is going to spend on WR.............McD has called the position their "fastball"...........but I just suspect it's where they will try their luck with lottery tickets.

[Hapless Bills Fan]

4 hours ago, uninja said:

Groy looked good after Wood went down because the rest of the line was solid around him. Richie covered up a lot. Once he had to elevate the play around him, Groy looked very average. 

 

You really want to call John Miller at RG and Jordan Mills at RT "solid around him"? 

 

Now I'm not going to argue that Richie Incognito >> Vlad Ducasse

 

But I think we have to factor the difference between Aaron Kromer and the blocking scheme we were running with Roman as OC vs. Juan Castillo and the blocking scheme we were running during Daboll's first year - which frankly, I couldn't figure out except that whatever it was, the guys we had couldn't do it

 

And Groy was actually better than Russ Bodine, just as putting Teller in over Ducasse and Miller in over Sirles improved things somewhat on the OL

 

Still I take your point let's not bet the OL on Bates right now.

[Alphadawg7]

4 hours ago, Estro said:

On his most recent Spotrac podcast, Mike G. broke down the FA class with some value projections as well as where some players "could" land.

 

I put could in parentheses because I've found Mike G to have what seems like some insider knowledge when it comes to the Bills. Thats why when I hear any predicitions he makes regarding the Bills, I perk my ears up.  Last year he said sownthing to the effect of "keep an eye on Tribusky to a team like the Bills for a team friendly 1 year deal." Then about 3 days later it happened. Maybe it was total coincidence, but common sense says probably not.

 

In his most recent episode he talked Christian Kirk coming alive in the Cardinals offense once Murray started pushing the ball down the field more. He linked him to a team with a QB that can get him the ball down the field, and specifically predicted with Josh Allen and the Bills. Had his value pegged @ 4 yrs - $48M.

 

A little later he said he liked Cowboys Guard, Connor Williams, to land in Buffalo where he'll be a better fit scheme wise on a 3 year - $21M deal.  I think cutting Feliciano is a given, but a move like this I would assume means the Bills would also cut/trade Daryl Williams. Connor Williams plays RG, so no way you're paying him $7M a year without moving Daryl, IMO.

 

That Christian Kirk move would be a pretty sick addition though. And would probably also forecast them moving on from Beasley. Mike G. didn't dive into the weeds on who he'd expect to be cut to make room for these moves, but I'd be interested to hear his take on that.  

 

I find it hard to believe Kirk will want to come to Buffalo.  One, it would have to likely be for less money than he would get elsewhere.  Two, he is going to want a bigger role where he can start as at least a #2 WR.  Coming here, he would be 3 on the WR depth chart and would be a role player rather than a major contributor.  Who ever fills that WR 3 spot, assuming everyone stays healthy, they are likely going to be a 400-700 yard receiver at most.  Too many mouths to feed here between Diggs, Davis, Knox, RB's and Allens legs.  

 

So, not a knock on Buffalo as a destination, its about opportunity and he won't get a lot of those here compared to going to a team where he can step in as one of the main targets right away and likely for more money too.  

 

So I just don't see Kirk as a realistic option for us because we as a team do not make a lot of sense for him.  He is young enough that he doesn't have to ring chase, and he is going to want an opportunity to prove himself and earn an even bigger payday on his next contract.  He will have plenty of suitors too.  

[hondo in seattle]

5 minutes ago, Alphadawg7 said:

 

I find it hard to believe Kirk will want to come to Buffalo.  One, it would have to likely be for less money than he would get elsewhere.  Two, he is going to want a bigger role where he can start as at least a #2 WR.  Coming here, he would be 3 on the WR depth chart and would be a role player rather than a major contributor.  Who ever fills that WR 3 spot, assuming everyone stays healthy, they are likely going to be a 400-700 yard receiver at most.  Too many mouths to feed here between Diggs, Davis, Knox, RB's and Allens legs.  

 

So, not a knock on Buffalo as a destination, its about opportunity and he won't get a lot of those here compared to going to a team where he can step in as one of the main targets right away and likely for more money too.  

 

So I just don't see Kirk as a realistic option for us because we as a team do not make a lot of sense for him.  He is young enough that he doesn't have to ring chase, and he is going to want an opportunity to prove himself and earn an even bigger payday on his next contract.  He will have plenty of suitors too.  

 

If I were FA WR, I'd look for a few things when choosing a team.

 

*  Does the team win?  Is it playoff caliber?

 

*  Do they throw a lot?

 

*  Is the QB any good?

 

*  What role do they want me to play?  Will I be featured or forgotten?  

 

*  How much are they willing to pay?

 

We check most of the boxes though not all.  

 

I think it's possible that the pros outweigh the cons.  

 

 

[Hapless Bills Fan]

5 minutes ago, BADOLBILZ said:

James Washington has been mentioned by a couple people here as another reclamation WR project...........and he could probably back up or compete for some playing time with Davis..........maybe they even try to do some Deebo-back stuff with a guy built like that.

 

I think Washington is one of those guys who looked good in college (looked great in college, I really wanted him - LOL there's a reason I don't pipe up in the "draft this guy" threads) but he just can't adjust and gain separation in the pros

 

5 minutes ago, BADOLBILZ said:

Maybe I am underestimating the chips Beane is going to spend on WR.............McD has called the position their "fastball"...........but I just suspect it's where they will try their luck with lottery tickets.

 

I think a lot of it depends upon how the Bills see Beasley

1) someone they really want to keep on the team - #2 in NFL for receptions out of the slot, equaled his career high with 82 receptions and a >70% catch rate

2) someone the Bills are a bit "over" -  whinging about fans on SM, getting fined $100K by the league, being injured and less effective for a handful of games mid-season (but unwilling to sit and heal up) - plus Father Time comes for us all

3) an unfortunate cap casualty

 

If Beasley is 2), then I can see Beane wanting to make a moderate "splash" in FA at WR, in a similar vein to what he did last season signing Manny Sands for almost the same amount we saved by cutting John Brown, as well as drafting a guy

 

 

[Hapless Bills Fan]

2 hours ago, Johnny Hammersticks said:

 

Josh Allen had dinner with Christian Kirk last night 👀 

 

I think they were all at the WM Phoenix Open.  Josh played in the Pro-Am side last year, doesn't seem to be playing this year but may want to watch.

Also pretty sure Christian Kirk trains as a WR with someone who works with Jordan Palmer.

 

So I wouldn't chalk it up as a "recruiting visit" at this point

[947]

31 minutes ago, BADOLBILZ said:

I could see them shopping in the McKenzie aisle for a slot WR and then maybe flipping Arizona a bag of balls for Andy Isabella.

I really wanted Isabella in the draft. He's surprisingly barely been used by Arizona, 31 catches in 36 career games (49 targets) over 3 seasons in a heavy passing offense. I'd love to get him, but if AZ loses Kirk, they probably have a use for Isabella & will keep him.