Three Most Likely Outcomes For The Next 4 Game Stretch

[corta765]

The next four games are pretty crucial for the season and I have them broke down for the most likely scenarios:

 

3-1 - The Jets game is expected and a must win, but getting two of three to get the Bills at 7-3 would really help to solidify the division chances and give some distance for the stretch after the bye. Personally beating NE means more to me then SEA despite the hawks being a better team. If the Bills can get NE and split the NFCW I think they are in really good shape.

 

2-2 - This scenario is dependent on who the two wins come against. If the Bills beat NYJ/NE  I am not devastated losing the next two because of the division implications and tie breakers they get on AFC wins. Worst case scenario would be the Bills don't win the AFC games but somehow win both NFC games. The only positive there is the Jets getting a win would potentially stop them from getting T Law which would be kind of funny granted at our expense. If the Bills beat the Jets and Cards that would be probably the worst case 2-2 stretch as the Bills would fall again to the Pats and lose again to a great team SEA reigniting more issues about the team not being good enough.

 

1-3 - Beat the Jets and lose the next three yikes. Even if they beat the Pats and lost the other three it doesn't do a enough for the division the door is still open. I don't want to even have to think about what if the Bills lose both AFC games and only get an NFC win.

 

 

For me I see them going 2-2 with wins against the Jets and Pats solidifying the division, but struggling against SEA and losing out west against ARZ.  I think the Bills need to make some addition on defense whether trade or FA to get me to 3-1. The offense has stretch coming up where they can certainly score against the defenses that they are playing, but my confidence is low the defense can do enough against SEA or ARZ to keep them at bay. The Pats will be a tough game but Buffalo has more talent to overcome BB plans and I honestly haven't been impressed with NE as the season is progressing. BB's gameplans are keeping this team closer then it should be which is really my greatest fear. Talent wise the offense doesn't have much after Edelman who has been good and the defense isn't bad but not the same as in years prior.

Edited October 22, 2020 by corta765

[RyanC883]

2 minutes ago, corta765 said:

The next four games are pretty crucial for the season and I have them broke down for the most likely scenarios:

 

3-1 - The Jets game is expected and a must win, but getting two of three to get the Bills at 7-3 would really help to solidify the division chances and give some distance for the stretch after the bye. Personally beating NE means more to me then SEA despite the hawks being a better team. If the Bills can get NE and split the NFCW I think they are in really good shape.

 

2-2 - This scenario is dependent on who the two wins come against. If the Bills beat NYJ/NE  I am not devastated losing the next two because of the division implications and tie breakers they get on AFC wins. Worst case scenario would be the Bills don't win the AFC games but somehow win both NFC games. The only positive there is the Jets getting a win would potentially stop them from getting T Law which would be kind of funny granted at our expense. If the Bills beat the Jets and Cards that would be probably the worst case 2-2 stretch as the Bills would fall again to the Pats and lose again to a great team SEA reigniting more issues about the team not being good enough.

 

1-3 - Beat the Jets and lose the next three yikes. Even if they beat the Pats and lost the other three it doesn't do a enough for the division the door is still open. I don't want to even have to think about what if the Bills lose both AFC games and only get an NFC win.

 

 

For me I see them going 2-2 with wins against the Jets and Pats solidifying the division, but struggling against SEA and losing out west against ARZ.  I think the Bills need to make some addition on defense whether trade or FA to get me to 3-1. The offense has stretch coming up where they can certainly score against the defenses that they are playing, but my confidence is low the defense can do enough against SEA or ARZ to keep them at bay. The Pats will be a tough game but Buffalo has more talent to overcome BB plans and I honestly haven't been impressed with NE as the season is progressing. BB's gameplans are keeping this team closer then it should be which is really my greatest fear. Talent wise the offense doesn't have much after Edelman who has been good and the defense isn't bad but not the same as in years prior.

 

if they keep playing like they are now, 1-3.   with slight improvement I see 2-2, with as you predict, wins over NJJ and Pats.    

[Greg S]

To me the next two games are the ones that put the Bills in the driver seat for the division. Beat the Jets and Pats and that makes them 6-2, 4-0 for an overall and division record. As for the Hawks and Cards. I hope for a split. Seattle's D isn't that good but Russell Wilson is one of the best QB's in the game who can torch our defense. The Cards are a good team but they like the Bills are subject to having a bad game. Didn't they lose to Detroit at home this year? I will say 3-1 IF THEY GET THE PATS GAME otherwise 2-2.

[RiotAct]

3-1 baby.  Loss to either New England or Seattle.

[DaBillsFanSince1973]

don't see them beating seattle and you would normally check the pats game as a loss but they may have a small chance in winning that game. arizona is a toss up and will depend on what defense shows up, that really speaks for all four games. the jets game and automatic win? not in this league.

 

I'm going to give them the jets, the other three, at his point, I wont mark as a W.

 

1-3

 

I know that tends to bother some of the fans wearing blinders and there are quite a few out there who have believed this team was winning 12 games and making the post season before the season started and have yet to change that outlook based off the hot start. but the last two games should of even brought some of them back down to reality.

[corta765]

16 minutes ago, RyanC883 said:

 

if they keep playing like they are now, 1-3.   with slight improvement I see 2-2, with as you predict, wins over NJJ and Pats.    

I am betting the offense picks it up a bit where they do get those wins. No doubt if they play like the last two games were 1-3

13 minutes ago, Greg S said:

To me the next two games are the ones that put the Bills in the driver seat for the division. Beat the Jets and Pats and that makes them 6-2, 4-0 for an overall and division record. As for the Hawks and Cards. I hope for a split. Seattle's D isn't that good but Russell Wilson is one of the best QB's in the game who can torch our defense. The Cards are a good team but they like the Bills are subject to having a bad game. Didn't they lose to Detroit at home this year? I will say 3-1 IF THEY GET THE PATS GAME otherwise 2-2.

They did lose that game to Det. I just look with how our D is and how good their O is it may be too much based on how our D has been. Obviously I’d they improve a bit I would pick BUF

12 minutes ago, RiotAct said:

3-1 baby.  Loss to either New England or Seattle.

It’s funny I want NE more as a win but SEA would be this orgs biggest win ever.

[Real McClappy]

I can see 3-1 out of this stretch. 

 

The Jets and Pats are my main focus right now. These games have to be W's

[aristocrat]

4-0. defense gets it together.  

[Billsfan1972]

I see 4-0, because I'm an optimist.  Jets an easy win.  NE the Bills get the monkey off their back.  Seattle's defense as bad as the Bills & if decent weather I see Seattle losing this one.  Arizona the Bills can beat, but their defense needs to be improved by then.  If Frazer/McD still haven't figured it out Fitzgerald & Hopkins will have too many easy catches & Murray can run for 80+.

 

I don't think they're that good, but the Bills Defense does scare me.

[ILBillsfan]

I see 3-1

 

win Jets this one shouldn’t even be in doubt

 

pats are beatable if the play sound contain on the edges and the pats don’t really threaten vertical 

hawks very similar defense concept similar to chiefs but should be a bit easier don’t allow anything deep vertically invite Seattle to run and the bills offense should not have issues vs the d

 

cards could be the toughest as the have a good run and will challenge vertically 

defensively they are sound

 

they could go 2-2 but I can argue 4-0 as well so I split it at 3-1 and would love jets pats wins at the min as it puts bills 4-0 in division and firmly in control of the afc east

 

[Hapless Bills Fan]

29 minutes ago, corta765 said:

The next four games are pretty crucial for the season and I have them broke down for the most likely scenarios:

 

Dude, are we talking about the next 3 games as in your Title, or the next 4 games as in your OP

[Royale with Cheese]

Every year the Bills defense looks atrocious.  2017 the Jets, Saints and Chargers stretch.  2018, the opener at Baltimore and then followed that up with the Chargers putting 28 at half.  And last year, the Eagles and Redskins stretch.  The Skins didn't put up the points but ran all over us.

Each year we've gotten the defense back on track.  That's my hope this year as well....however this stretch is longer than the previous.

[whatdrought]

4-0. 
 

Jets seem obvious, we’re a better team than NE, Seattle made Cam look like a world beater, and Arizona has no passing game and no defense. 

[CuseBill]

Drought, as long as AZ has De'Andre Hopkins, they have a passing game.  Tre will have to bring his A game, as he usually does.  What concerns me most about AZ is whether our D can stop their QB from running on us even if we have good coverage.

[Ridgewaycynic2013]

23 minutes ago, whatdrought said:

4-0. 
 

Jets seem obvious, we’re a better team than NE, Seattle made Cam look like a world beater, and Arizona has no passing game and no defense. 

AB will go to the S***hawks and chaos will reign.  It's Seattle, so it will rain, too.  I also said 4-0.

[H2o]

I got us at 3-1 for that clip and at 7-3 going into our Bye. I think our only loss will be against Seattle and I expect to be a closer, harder fought game than our previous two against contenders. I just think that no matter who the 2nd CB may be, Wallace or Norman, that it is going to be a matchup problem for us. They will also likely have Adams back by then which will provide a boost to their defense. I think the strategy against AZ will be to stop the run game and make Murray beat us with his arm. Not that he can't do it, but I just don't see it happening. I fully expect there to be a spy on him throughout the game, whether it be Milano or Edmunds, to take away his scrambling ability as well. Look for a similar gameplan to what we ran against Baltimore last year that was for the most part effective. 

[Over 29 years of fanhood]

Against New England you stack the box and force the QB to beat you, but for the love of god set the edges keep him in the pocket and make him throw. 

[Stank_Nasty]

49 minutes ago, A Firm Tree Does Not Fear said:

don't see them beating seattle and you would normally check the pats game as a loss but they may have a small chance in winning that game. arizona is a toss up and will depend on what defense shows up, that really speaks for all four games. the jets game and automatic win? not in this league.

 

I'm going to give them the jets, the other three, at his point, I wont mark as a W.

 

1-3

 

I know that tends to bother some of the fans wearing blinders and there are quite a few out there who have believed this team was winning 12 games and making the post season before the season started and have yet to change that outlook based off the hot start. but the last two games should of even brought some of them back down to reality.

so if a person thinks we'll go better than 1-3 during that stretch they are inherently wearing blinders?.... thought process like that is whats bothering people. Not that you are pointing out flaws on the team. Dont get it twisted.

Edited October 22, 2020 by Stank_Nasty

[marky]

All comes down to Allen. When Aikman, and god do I hate Aikman, said he was 6'1" his freshman year, that explains a lot. He plays like that, and he needs to mature fast. His rookie year there was a list of players who shouldn't be in the NFL that other players made. Allen was on it. I was surprised but now I know why. He's a great thrower of the ball, but not a pro QB. He needs to respect the game much more. You're in a practical operating room doing surgery. That's not the time to freestyle.

Edited October 22, 2020 by beavis

[Nextmanup]

1 hour ago, A Firm Tree Does Not Fear said:

don't see them beating seattle and you would normally check the pats game as a loss but they may have a small chance in winning that game. arizona is a toss up and will depend on what defense shows up, that really speaks for all four games. the jets game and automatic win? not in this league.

 

I'm going to give them the jets, the other three, at his point, I wont mark as a W.

 

1-3

 

I know that tends to bother some of the fans wearing blinders and there are quite a few out there who have believed this team was winning 12 games and making the post season before the season started and have yet to change that outlook based off the hot start. but the last two games should of even brought some of them back down to reality.

This is more or less where I am.

I'm not into gambling or predicting the future.

 

If I had to, though, I think we go 1-3 over this next 4 game stretch.

The easy schedule we enjoyed for the 4-0 run is gone now.

 

 

[Bleedbuffaloblue]

Definitely no worse than 3-1, but I could see us going 4-0 if the September version of JA returns. IMO Seattle is the scariest game especially out there, but we should be able to light up their defense and make it a shootout. The team with the ball last wins.

[Dave in Avon Lake now]

I say we go 3-1 with a loss to either Seattle or Arizona.  I think our offense gets back on track the next two weeks and momentum should keep us competitive in the other two games.  I gotta believe Frazier and McD will get the defense on track or it could be painful slide through this stretch with Pittsburgh and San Francisco coming up shortly.

 

[Billsfan1972]

5 minutes ago, Bleedbuffaloblue said:

Definitely no worse than 3-1, but I could see us going 4-0 if the September version of JA returns. IMO Seattle is the scariest game especially out there, but we should be able to light up their defense and make it a shootout. The team with the ball last wins.

Yes but McD will probably take the opposite tact because his belief in defense first.  You're going against the worst pass defense in the league, exploit it.

Edited October 22, 2020 by Billsfan1972

[oldmanfan]

2-2 minimum.  They win the next two.  I think they beat Arizona.  Seattle has defensive issues as well but propbably beat us..

 

Comes down to the D line sacking up.  Reminds me of past season or two here there was a couple games where the rush D fell apart; McD got it put back together.  Just need to do that again.  

[corta765]

1 hour ago, Hapless Bills Fan said:

 

Dude, are we talking about the next 3 games as in your Title, or the next 4 games as in your OP

 

fixed thank you

[mjt328]

As I've stated in other threads, the last two games have been a reality check as to where this team stands among other Super Bowl contenders.  They are not on the same level as the Chiefs, Ravens, Titans or Steelers right now.  However, I still see the Bills as a good team that absolutely should win 10 games, finish atop the AFC East and make the playoffs.

 

I believe that many of our recent struggles are due to injuries.  Losing Jon Feliciano has really hurt our O-Line's run blocking.  Having John Brown hobbled has slowed down the passing attack.  Missing Matt Milano has been devastating to our overall defensive performance.  We were missing Tre White for the Titans game, which was a major factor in us getting blown out.  I also think it's possible Josh Allen's injury in the Raiders game is affecting his accuracy.  Hopefully as the weeks go by, we start getting healthier.

 

Yes, we have stunk really bad over the last two weeks.  But the Patriots have been arguably worse.  They lost to the Chiefs by 16 (we lost by 9).  They just lost to a Broncos team unable to score a touchdown the entire day.  The Pats got off to a quick start this season thanks to Cam Newton's running.  But defenses have adjusted and are now forcing them to win through the air, and that offense simply can't do it.  They have no weapons in the passing game.  We are the better team and absolutely should win this game.

 

I agree that our trek west is not going to be easy.  But let's not pretend those teams are flawless.  Most of the wins by Seattle and Arizona have been racked up against non-playoff teams (which is the same thing people are critical of Buffalo for doing).  The Seahawks defense has been pretty bad.  And prior to Monday night, the Cardinals were on a two-game losing streak against the Lions/Panthers.  I fully expect us to win at least one of these contests.

 

 

[corta765]

1 hour ago, Royale with Cheese said:

Every year the Bills defense looks atrocious.  2017 the Jets, Saints and Chargers stretch.  2018, the opener at Baltimore and then followed that up with the Chargers putting 28 at half.  And last year, the Eagles and Redskins stretch.  The Skins didn't put up the points but ran all over us.

Each year we've gotten the defense back on track.  That's my hope this year as well....however this stretch is longer than the previous.

 

I hear what your saying but I am at the point it is not just a small stretch. Through the first four games I would've understood it and the defense not gelling, but against the Rams, Dolphins, & Raiders even when we were leading the defense still allowed points to make it too close. Ironically the two best games of the defense may have been the last two given the Titans with injuries they got screwed with bad field position and the Chiefs game the game plan was to drag it down as much as possible.

 

The losses that they have on D have shown big time and Hyde who has regressed now for two years where he has become a liability.

 

I think with Milano back and White if they can play a few games together mixed with Zimmer and Cox coming up they can become a middling defense that can make a few more stops. But I have given up hope that we will see the defense of the last few years and success will be more scheme and individual talent sticking out then the defense as a whole.

[Dave in Avon Lake now]

Based on responses, people seem to think Seattle is a road game.  They are coming to Buffalo this year.

 

[YattaOkasan]

1 hour ago, Billsfan1972 said:

Yes but McD will probably take the opposite tact because his belief in defense first.  You're going against the worst pass defense in the league, exploit it.

I don't understand where this take comes from.  Were passing the rock a lot.  They will pass a lot against seattle.  I don't see McD as defense first this year.

[corta765]

15 minutes ago, Dave in Bluffton said:

Based on responses, people seem to think Seattle is a road game.  They are coming to Buffalo this year.

 

 

Their coming to Buffalo with no fans here to help at homefield, they do not have issues typically on the road, and they have an MVP QB who is playing at his best.

[BringBackFlutie]

I voted 3-1, but I think if the defense gets it together- 4-0. 

 

We should beat NE and NJ. Then, honestly, we should beat AZ (it'll probably be close).  So that gets me to 3-1.

 

4-0 isn't really an opinion, so much as an expectation. If this defense gets better, and we're in Year 4 of the rebuild, and our franchise QB has arrived, we need to beat one of the top teams in the league- even if we steal it.  That's SEA, to me.

[Aussie Joe]

Can’t really answer this until I see if the D improves or not..

[Greg S]

23 minutes ago, Dave in Bluffton said:

Based on responses, people seem to think Seattle is a road game.  They are coming to Buffalo this year.

 

 

Their really are no home/road games this year. Its basically 16 games on a neutral field for everybody. Even teams that have some fans at games doesn't make that much of a difference with crowd noise.

[Billsfan1972]

7 minutes ago, YattaOkasan said:

I don't understand where this take comes from.  Were passing the rock a lot.  They will pass a lot against seattle.  I don't see McD as defense first this year.

He too tried to shorten the game with KC.  First drive was marred by a bad first throw to Beasley and then Brown dropping the third down pass.

 

Second drive first play was as everyone knew it would be a run.  Look at the play by play and they ran the ball a lot.  There were 2-3 other plays that were key points in the game.  Second & 1 or two around midfield and Singletary loses 6 yards & the play at the end of the third on 3rd & 1 and they don't convert.  

[YattaOkasan]

2 minutes ago, Billsfan1972 said:

He too tried to shorten the game with KC.  First drive was marred by a bad first throw to Beasley and then Brown dropping the third down pass.

 

Second drive first play was as everyone knew it would be a run.  Look at the play by play and they ran the ball a lot.  There were 2-3 other plays that were key points in the game.  Second & 1 or two around midfield and Singletary loses 6 yards & the play at the end of the third on 3rd & 1 and they don't convert.  

So youre evidence is that he started off passing in one game?  They had 23 runs to 27 passes; of those 23 runs, 8 were by Josh that may have been dropbacks.  

 

On the season they are passing 60% of the time.  Thats a passing first team that is having success (could be a bad team thats always behind, but were 4-2).

[RoyBatty is alive]

2--2

Of the 4, NYJ 95% win probability, Pats 50%, Seahawks 10% Cardinals 50%

 

We are going to find out versus the Pats how good McDermott really is.  We have the better teams, they mst likely have the better coaching/system.  A very interesting match-up.  Pats win suddenly they are back in the AFCE.

13 minutes ago, Billsfan1972 said:

He too tried to shorten the game with KC.  First drive was marred by a bad first throw to Beasley and then Brown dropping the third down pass.

 

Second drive first play was as everyone knew it would be a run.  Look at the play by play and they ran the ball a lot.  There were 2-3 other plays that were key points in the game.  Second & 1 or two around midfield and Singletary loses 6 yards & the play at the end of the third on 3rd & 1 and they don't convert.  

 

That play was really really bad.  Someone had to have missed a block

[GoBills808]

4-0

 

feel free to quote this in a month

[MiltonWaddams]

I believe that Bills win the next two, but lose to Seattle and win against Arizona. Seattle’s offence is as close to prolific as it gets currently. If they get Antonio Brown for the Bills game, that three headed monster at wide receiver is going to run rough shot over the defense.

[LABILLBACKER]

3 hours ago, Greg S said:

To me the next two games are the ones that put the Bills in the driver seat for the division. Beat the Jets and Pats and that makes them 6-2, 4-0 for an overall and division record. As for the Hawks and Cards. I hope for a split. Seattle's D isn't that good but Russell Wilson is one of the best QB's in the game who can torch our defense. The Cards are a good team but they like the Bills are subject to having a bad game. Didn't they lose to Detroit at home this year? I will say 3-1 IF THEY GET THE PATS GAME otherwise 2-2.

I agree we absolutely have to win the next 2 games. These have to be statement games where some semblance of confidence is restored. We're not beating Seattle with mvp Russ. Arizona game will probably be exactly like the Rams game. Could go either way?

[BillsFanSD]

@NYJ: W

NEP: W

SEA: L

@ARI: W

 

7-3 heading into the bye, with the AFC East firmly in hand.