macaroni Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 I'm a typical Kool-Aid drinking Pollyanna Bills fan. When we got Brown & Beasley I figured 2/3rds of our receiving corps problems had been solved. I have gone through the preseason figuring Brown our #1, Beasley our slot, and we only have to figure out who that "complementary" WR is going to be, and the room seemed full of guys none of whom would be a bad choice to fill that bill. Today, for the first time, I took a look at Browns stats and nothing really jumped out at me shouting #1 receiver. I figured I'd look at Zay Jones stats to see how much of an upgrade Brown would be. Much to my surprise (if you take away Zay's rookie year where he played with shoulder problems) they pretty much look like the same guy. I'm not as down on Zay as most of you. While I don't think he's much of a #1 receiver, I think he could play the role as that "complementary guy" just fine, problem is Brown seems to have had HIS problems with missed catches too … have I deluded myself into thinking that Brown is a clear cut #1, I'm NOT talking Jerry Rice, Megatron, OBJ #1, just a sure handed, reliable, you can count on him MOST of the time receiver? I get it that Brown is faster than Zay, but I don't want faster … I want catches the ball better. Talk me off the cliff people … convince me we don't have a Zay, and a fast Zay on our hands here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doc Brown Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 Yes. 6 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Teddy KGB Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 Fast > Bust 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubba Gump Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 We don't. That's all you need to know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
inkman Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 Brown averages 15 yards a catch, Zay 11.7. Thats where it starts and ends with me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rocket94 Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 When healthy, Brown has proven to be a legitimate deep threat. They don't call him "Smoke" for nothing. He was on pace for a 1k season with Flacco 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nervous Guy Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 22 minutes ago, macaroni said: I'm a typical Kool-Aid drinking Pollyanna Bills fan. When we got Brown & Beasley I figured 2/3rds of our receiving corps problems had been solved. I have gone through the preseason figuring Brown our #1, Beasley our slot, and we only have to figure out who that "complementary" WR is going to be, and the room seemed full of guys none of whom would be a bad choice to fill that bill. Today, for the first time, I took a look at Browns stats and nothing really jumped out at me shouting #1 receiver. I figured I'd look at Zay Jones stats to see how much of an upgrade Brown would be. Much to my surprise (if you take away Zay's rookie year where he played with shoulder problems) they pretty much look like the same guy. I'm not as down on Zay as most of you. While I don't think he's much of a #1 receiver, I think he could play the role as that "complementary guy" just fine, problem is Brown seems to have had HIS problems with missed catches too … have I deluded myself into thinking that Brown is a clear cut #1, I'm NOT talking Jerry Rice, Megatron, OBJ #1, just a sure handed, reliable, you can count on him MOST of the time receiver? I get it that Brown is faster than Zay, but I don't want faster … I want catches the ball better. Talk me off the cliff people … convince me we don't have a Zay, and a fast Zay on our hands here. This is an empirical question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick Duffy Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 Absolutely. No question. Kinda stunned that you asked this question but anyways...... 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rocket94 Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 1 minute ago, Augie said: He has to share a nickname with Dareus? That doesn’t seem very original...... Well...it is time for a new nickname. I understand the hesitation about John Brown, because everyone was expecting another Brown this year, but here we are. I believe that John Brown and Josh Allen are going to have some moments. I am looking for a big year from a healthy Brown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeGOATski Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 I think you're overthinking it. Brown was brought in for the deep zone Zay intermediate zone Beasley short zone So, Brown's not replacing Zay, but he does limit/change Zay's role in the offense. 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alphadawg7 Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 Yes. End thread. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
macaroni Posted August 28, 2019 Author Share Posted August 28, 2019 15 minutes ago, inkman said: Brown averages 15 yards a catch, Zay 11.7. Thats where it starts and ends with me. Just now, Rocket94 said: When healthy, Brown has proven to be a legitimate deep threat. They don't call him "Smoke" for nothing. He was on pace for a 1k season with Flacco I can see your points but according to https://www.pro-football-reference.com last year Brown caught 43.2% of his targets, Jones caught 54.9% of his targets, soooo if you throw each one 100 times Brown equals 100 X 15 X 43.2% which is roughly equal to 648 yards, to Jones equals 100 X 11.7 X 54.9% is roughly 642.33 yards. I'm sorry I just don't see that much of a difference. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OldTimeAFLGuy Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 (edited) 9 minutes ago, Rocket94 said: When healthy, Brown has proven to be a legitimate deep threat. They don't call him "Smoke" for nothing. He was on pace for a 1k season with Flacco ...LOL...love that nickname......but my boy "Frank the Tank" is a close 2nd......the ageless RB wonder......Zay has a place though IMO.... Edited August 28, 2019 by OldTimeAFLGuy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rocket94 Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 1 minute ago, macaroni said: I can see your points but according to https://www.pro-football-reference.com last year Brown caught 43.2% of his targets, Jones caught 54.9% of his targets, soooo if you throw each one 100 times Brown equals 100 X 15 X 43.2% which is roughly equal to 648 yards, to Jones equals 100 X 11.7 X 54.9% is roughly 642.33 yards. I'm sorry I just don't see that much of a difference. Just saying...in my opinion, John Brown is a better player when healthy and heavily involved in an offense. I would take him any day over Jones. I dont like Jones at all. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Augie Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 2 minutes ago, Rocket94 said: Well...it is time for a new nickname. I understand the hesitation about John Brown, because everyone was expecting another Brown this year, but here we are. I believe that John Brown and Josh Allen are going to have some moments. I am looking for a big year from a healthy Brown. We shall see. They knew who the top guys were in the first 3 preseason games. They were trying to figure out the bottom of the order. That is mostly what we saw. Hopefully Brown lives up to the contract. I admit I’m more much excited about Beasley, because he opens up what we need Josh to do better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nanker Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 First today, then tomorrow. First today than tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rocket94 Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 Just now, Augie said: We shall see. They knew who the top guys were in the first 3 preseason games. They were trying to figure out the bottom of the order. That is mostly what we saw. Hopefully Brown lives up to the contract. I admit I’m more much excited about Beasley, because he opens up what we need Josh to do better. I love Beasley and I have no doubt about him. All he is doing is continuing his professionalism in a different uniform...guys a pro! 3 minutes ago, Augie said: We shall see. They knew who the top guys were in the first 3 preseason games. They were trying to figure out the bottom of the order. That is mostly what we saw. Hopefully Brown lives up to the contract. I admit I’m more much excited about Beasley, because he opens up what we need Josh to do better. Brown should do his part...why wouldn't he? We are supposed to be optimistic...lets support the guy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
macaroni Posted August 28, 2019 Author Share Posted August 28, 2019 3 minutes ago, Rocket94 said: Just saying...in my opinion, John Brown is a better player when healthy and heavily involved in an offense. I would take him any day over Jones. I dont like Jones at all. and that's a fine opinion, as a matter of fact that was MY opinion before I ran the numbers … I'm just wondering if it's still a valid opinion and why Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rocket94 Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 I am not much of a numbers guy anymore. I tend to focus on performance, the system an individual is in and other factors. I just hope to sit back and watch this guy help the Bills. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aussie Joe Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 The level of hate for Jones does seem over the top from some people here, but I know who the defences will be more concerned about when Brown and Jones are on the field at the same time.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewEra Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 Stats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nervous Guy Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 5 minutes ago, macaroni said: and that's a fine opinion, as a matter of fact that was MY opinion before I ran the numbers … I'm just wondering if it's still a valid opinion and why Here's the thing...let's wait and see what this year brings, he's got a new QB new system, IMO it's too early to make any judgement. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rocket94 Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 15 minutes ago, macaroni said: I can see your points but according to https://www.pro-football-reference.com last year Brown caught 43.2% of his targets, Jones caught 54.9% of his targets, soooo if you throw each one 100 times Brown equals 100 X 15 X 43.2% which is roughly equal to 648 yards, to Jones equals 100 X 11.7 X 54.9% is roughly 642.33 yards. I'm sorry I just don't see that much of a difference. See...sorry, but so what. Two different players, teams and circumstances...thats what I look at. Try to enjoy the game! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shaw66 Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 19 minutes ago, macaroni said: I can see your points but according to https://www.pro-football-reference.com last year Brown caught 43.2% of his targets, Jones caught 54.9% of his targets, soooo if you throw each one 100 times Brown equals 100 X 15 X 43.2% which is roughly equal to 648 yards, to Jones equals 100 X 11.7 X 54.9% is roughly 642.33 yards. I'm sorry I just don't see that much of a difference. % of targets caught is different from drops. Being targeted by Bridgewater doesn't mean you can catch it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rocket94 Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 27 minutes ago, OldTimeAFLGuy said: ...LOL...love that nickname......but my boy "Frank the Tank" is a close 2nd......the ageless RB wonder......Zay has a place though IMO.... I love Gore and his dedication...he places an urgency on himself and his game. Jones just makes me nervous...I try not to, but I see red flags with him. It is not up to me, so all I can do is root for him if he is out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HOUSE Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 My dad can beat up your dad 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
loedward22 Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 41 minutes ago, Rocket94 said: When healthy, Brown has proven to be a legitimate deep threat. They don't call him "Smoke" for nothing. He was on pace for a 1k season with Flacco Brown said the nickname was given to him when he was a baby and had nothing to do with him being fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rocket94 Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 Just now, loedward22 said: Brown said the nickname was given to him when he was a baby and had nothing to do with him being fast. I knew that already. But the name fits. You did your homework! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Over 29 years of fanhood Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 1 hour ago, macaroni said: I'm a typical Kool-Aid drinking Pollyanna Bills fan. When we got Brown & Beasley I figured 2/3rds of our receiving corps problems had been solved. I have gone through the preseason figuring Brown our #1, Beasley our slot, and we only have to figure out who that "complementary" WR is going to be, and the room seemed full of guys none of whom would be a bad choice to fill that bill. Today, for the first time, I took a look at Browns stats and nothing really jumped out at me shouting #1 receiver. I figured I'd look at Zay Jones stats to see how much of an upgrade Brown would be. Much to my surprise (if you take away Zay's rookie year where he played with shoulder problems) they pretty much look like the same guy. I'm not as down on Zay as most of you. While I don't think he's much of a #1 receiver, I think he could play the role as that "complementary guy" just fine, problem is Brown seems to have had HIS problems with missed catches too … have I deluded myself into thinking that Brown is a clear cut #1, I'm NOT talking Jerry Rice, Megatron, OBJ #1, just a sure handed, reliable, you can count on him MOST of the time receiver? I get it that Brown is faster than Zay, but I don't want faster … I want catches the ball better. Talk me off the cliff people … convince me we don't have a Zay, and a fast Zay on our hands here. You are going to get crucified for this. And there isn’t a ‘good’ reason 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Formerly Allan in MD Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 Apples and oranges. Both are healthy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ethan in Cleveland Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 Different receivers. Brown is a homerun hitter that stretches the defense. He only competes with Foster for targets. Zay is the guy that should catch 80 balls a year with 60+ for first downs with a mix of short, intermediate, and deep routes. He is limited in all three of those phases lacking elite speed, route running, size, and catch percentage. Therefore you need to find his niche. Beasely should be the guy now that get 100 targets this year on short and intermediate routes. That leaves Zay battling it out for a spot in three WR sets. He is s willing blocker but not great run after catch guy. Therefore he can lineup in bunch formations with someone like McKenzie but probably will not be the target. Can he get 75 targets in a three WR set as the flanker or Z receiver??? Maybe. I could see him as a WR in run heavy formations that they then pass out of. Deep hitch and/or combo routes with a TE after play action. That said, Duke Williams can probably do all that out of the Z spot and is bigger, stronger, faster, and catches the ball. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hemma Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 Duke is not faster than Zay. He has more beef, but not more speed. Duke does have good hands though and I hope he makes it through the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reader Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 I'm not an expert, but I'll try to give you a helpful response. My guess is that even if their production looks similar, Brown tends to be able to produce against better corners than Zay. My guess is that Zay is more likely to disappear against a teams #1 corner than Brown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Don Otreply Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 Notice this, Brown does not do special teams, Zay does, Question answered right there. Go Bills!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John from Riverside Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 Ask me again in about a week....the answer might be quite obvious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matt_In_NH Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 They are very different types of players. They are both WR's but after that they bring different skill sets to the table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PromoTheRobot Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 Is this thread a result of Jones playing more in preseason than Brown? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
billsfan_34 Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 Yep, it isn’t even close. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo86 Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 15 minutes ago, hemma said: Duke is not faster than Zay. He has more beef, but not more speed. Duke does have good hands though and I hope he makes it through the weekend. Duke would smoke Zay in the 40, since he'd be allowed a 10 yard running start. Brown is better than Zay, but more of a threat to Foster's playing time. I've been an "if John Brown could only stay healthy" guy since he entered the league. Glad we got him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. WEO Posted August 28, 2019 Share Posted August 28, 2019 Is Brown going to strip down and fight for Jesus? Yeah, I didn't think so.... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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