Coffeesforclosers Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ColoradoBills Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Got no problem with Von active. He's one of 5 DEs. He needs to show if he can do anything in the playoffs, so if he plays well tonight he will be active, if not he sits. Let's find out now once and for all. 8 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakeFrommStateFarm Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Bills need the 2nd seed !! I want Taylor swift to come to Buffalo!! Go Bills !! 4 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mojo44 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 11 minutes ago, BillsFan130 said: This is still a big game for seeding but... After that Jax loss, anyone else feel like they can relax a lot more and just enjoy the game? Yes. I will be much less of a basket case now. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cugalabanza Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Weird consideration: If it goes to OT, and it goes late, I think you see the Dolphins play for a tie if they can. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mango Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 1 minute ago, JakeFrommStateFarm said: Bills need the 2nd seed !! I want Taylor swift to come to Buffalo!! Go Bills !! With an obstructed view! 1 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coffeesforclosers Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 I got this photo of Josh Allen entering Hard Rock. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rew Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 (edited) 56 minutes ago, TheWei44 said: Agreed, I was treating them as independent events. But I think you'd need a strong basis to assume that they can't be approximately treated as independent. That is, how does the very recent game specifically impact the next game? With the premise of gameplan and winning individual matchups having influence on outcomes of games, I would postulate that both are different when preparing to play a team twice. For starters, you may be more likely to hold back on the first game "to not show all your cards". Secondly, the prep for the second game makes you not want to use the same plan. Additionally, the prep for the 2nd game is done with actual tape of the other team against your guys, as opposed to watching them play against other teams/systems. Essentially, decision making in prep and in game is different in both game one and game 2. The result of all of this seems like coaching would have more opportunity to overcome talent differences. The second factor is the player factor. Whether it's your overall emotions going into a game, the feelings you have for the guy across the line, or your ability to adapt to what you went against a week ago. Even the thought of "they're a good team, how can we beat them twice in a row" would have the potential to impact individual performances. All of these factors could contribute to changes in the probability of winning each game vs an isolated game in a vacuum. I have no clue how much or even which direction the impact would go. I'm with you overall on gamblers fallacy being prevalent in most people's understanding of chance. I wish I had enough data to analyze, but some of the fun of watching the games is that it's not all based on chance. If I had to guess, I would postulate that both the first and second games of a known or probable back to back situation move closer to 50/50 than the vacuum odds of the two teams. Edited January 8 by Rew 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
julian Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 (edited) 5 minutes ago, ColoradoBills said: Got no problem with Von active. He's one of 5 DEs. He needs to show if he can do anything in the playoffs, so if he plays well tonight he will be active, if not he sits. Let's find out now once and for all. Yeah I think this was mcBean plan all along … healthy scratch last week for the first time in his career to send the message.. then activate in week 18.,. It’s up to him tonight if he wants to play the rest of the way.. show up tonight or shutdown the rest of the way.. they know it’s not physical, it’s mental and Von just had to finally let it rip without worry about the integrity of the knee. Edited January 8 by julian 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mango Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 15 minutes ago, BillsFan130 said: This is still a big game for seeding but... After that Jax loss, anyone else feel like they can relax a lot more and just enjoy the game? This is a big game for reasons outside of the playoffs. The Bills are the big brother/father in the division. Everybody remembers the first time they beat their brother/dad in a race, basketball game, round of golf etc. Smack them down and keep them in their place for not just the playoffs, but the next season as well. 1 minute ago, julian said: Yeah I think this was mcBean plan all along … healthy scratch last week for the first time in his career to send the message.. then activate in week 18.,. It’s up to him tonight if he wants to play the rest of the way.. show up tonight or shutdown the rest of the way.. they know it’s not physical, it’s mental and Von just had to finally let it rip without worry about the integrity of the knee. I agree with part of this but not all of it. I am not sure Von would be active today had the Jags won today. Von gets one more bite at the apple because we some security. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurlyBurly51 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 5 minutes ago, Mango said: With an obstructed view! 1 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostbitmic Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 The #2 seed would mean sending the Dolphins to KC. A Chiefs win over the Dolphins sends Mahomes on the road in the playoffs for the first time, at Buffalo ... I so want to see that. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Straight Hucklebuck Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Why in the world is Von active when he’s limping? Over Kingsley Jonathan who plays is tail off? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Billl Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 1 minute ago, HurlyBurly51 said: Y’all wouldn’t dare. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mango Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Just now, HurlyBurly51 said: It would be hilarious if the Bills brought TKO back for the KC game to make it up to him, only to put him back in the same suite, just this time with Taylor Swift. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan in Owego Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 1 minute ago, frostbitmic said: The #2 seed would mean sending the Dolphins to KC. A Chiefs win over the Dolphins sends Mahomes on the road in the playoffs for the first time, at Buffalo ... I so want to see that. Not sure they even win to get to us. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Wiz Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Just now, Straight Hucklebuck said: Why in the world is Von active when he’s limping? Over Kingsley Jonathan who plays is tail off? Give him incentives before they cut him in the off season? I'm not trying to be an ass or anything, just might be the reason. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smuvtalker Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 2 hours ago, Roundybout said: Wow, 5 straight seasons! Gotta give McDermott credit, he really did change the culture around here and Beane for putting a winner on the field.... Let's Go Buffalo! Sean McDermott 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhitewalkerInPhilly Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 24 minutes ago, RiotAct said: Exactly. So why make Von active? To your last sentence… what leads you to believe that? Because... he's better in pass rush than run support. Like, that's his thing. Look, he has in no way played up to his contract this year but the idea that he had no effect on the field is incorrect 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikePJ76 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Today has been a day with a couple of teams breaking their losing streaks vs their divisional arch rival. I hope that does not continue tonight. The bills will go as their defensive line goes and their running game goes tonight imo. I hope Buffalo makes this a physical earn every yard game. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niagara Dude Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 2 minutes ago, Straight Hucklebuck said: Why in the world is Von active when he’s limping? Over Kingsley Jonathan who plays is tail off? No worries he makes plays tonight 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Billl Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 1 minute ago, Dan in Owego said: Not sure they even win to get to us. You’re sure Buffalo wins, though? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlfaBill Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 10 minutes ago, Coffeesforclosers said: I got this photo of Josh Allen entering Hard Rock. Is the GR rubbing one out? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
julian Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 6 minutes ago, Mango said: This is a big game for reasons outside of the playoffs. The Bills are the big brother/father in the division. Everybody remembers the first time they beat their brother/dad in a race, basketball game, round of golf etc. Smack them down and keep them in their place for not just the playoffs, but the next season as well. I agree with part of this but not all of it. I am not sure Von would be active today had the Jags won today. Von gets one more bite at the apple because we some security. That’s fair, I think this played out the way McBean had hoped.. I’m not expecting anything from Von, but it’s up to him now. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Wiz Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chandler#81 Posted January 8 Author Share Posted January 8 Josh 1 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Desert Bills Fan Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 I am disappointed that Von Miller is active. drives me nuts seeing him play so badly…and I can’t stop watching that train wreck 😩 maybe I’ll try putting a piece of tape over him on the TV , so can enjoy the rest of the D dominating LOL 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan in Owego Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 1 minute ago, Billl said: You’re sure Buffalo wins, though? They should🤔 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JohninMinn. Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 14 minutes ago, ColoradoBills said: Got no problem with Von active. He's one of 5 DEs. He needs to show if he can do anything in the playoffs, so if he plays well tonight he will be active, if not he sits. Let's find out now once and for all. Hall of Famers show up for these kind of games. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ControllerOfPlanetX Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Who makes up these ridiculous “odds to make the playoffs” percentages? 5 weeks ago the Jags “percent” was 96? Based on what? And they didn’t make it? It’s a bunch of water cooler B.S.. There are two percentages…. 100 you’re in, 0 you’re out. 1 1 1 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott7975 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 20 minutes ago, YoloinOhio said: Road games aren’t a big deal imo. Potential for better weather and our fans travel well, plus our run game and D have been solid and that travels well too. We had the home game and snow last year for cincy and it was useless. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bferra13 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 1 minute ago, ControllerOfPlanetX said: Who makes up these ridiculous “odds to make the playoffs” percentages? 5 weeks ago the Jags “percent” was 96? Based on what? And they didn’t make it? It’s a bunch of water cooler B.S.. There are two percentages…. 100 you’re in, 0 you’re out. Ny Times is the main culprit I think. Agreed, bullspit. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boyst Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 29 minutes ago, GoBills808 said: That's not a limp lol 28 minutes ago, BillnutinHouston said: I've watched 3 times looking for a limp and don't see it. It's a limp on that his rotation in the hip is not fluid. He just has a limp. I wish I knew the kinesiology to describe it but I know a limp when I see one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sierra Foothills Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 1 hour ago, Rew said: That's true for independent events. However, playing the same team twice (especially back to back) are not independent events. Play calling, gameplan, player familiarity, on field drama all play into a rematch. You can argue the extent of the real world factors, but you can't simply treat them as dice rolls. This sheds some light on the conversation: https://www.footballperspective.com/how-hard-is-it-to-beat-a-team-three-times-in-one-season/ 54 minutes ago, Dablitzkrieg said: Murray inactive Not surprisingly Leonard Fournette getting a chance to make his case for the postseason roster. 16 minutes ago, YoloinOhio said: Road games aren’t a big deal imo. Potential for better weather and our fans travel well, plus our run game and D have been solid and that travels well too. We had the home game and snow last year for cincy and it was useless. I think the biggest difference between last year and this year is that the Bills are much stouter in the trenches, on both sides of the ball. Our softness there was one of the takeaways from last season and that was not lost on McBeane. It bears mentioning that if Josh scores a rushing TD today he will set the record for most rushing TDs by a QB in a single season. At this moment he tied with Jalen Hurts for the record with 15. 4 minutes ago, The Wiz said: Josh still throwing more sidearm than good fundamentals would dictate. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Real McClappy Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Bills broke the Eagles. Every since we played them they went 1-5. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rusty shackleford Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buffaloboyinATL Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Alright boys (and girls) see you on the other side. Go Bills!!! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Billl Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 5 minutes ago, Dan in Owego said: They should🤔 Good enough for me. Just put one of my biggest wagers of the year on Buffalo ML. Let’s do this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John from Riverside Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Playing with house money let’s do this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GoBills808 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Just now, boyst said: It's a limp on that his rotation in the hip is not fluid. He just has a limp. I wish I knew the kinesiology to describe it but I know a limp when I see one. I mean it's not a limp in the way someone who is injured walks w a limp That's just an athlete walking normally Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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