Punch Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 9 minutes ago, Dr. Who said: Don't care that you can't prove a counterfactual. Two years ago was the year. Josh was locked in. The coaching staff bungled it. Still time, of course, but that lost opportunity is going to haunt for a generation if they don't come through. Teams have loaded up their rosters with QBs on a rookie contract. That's why these teams have had Super Bowl success by a QB's year 4. Obviously, that's an issue now that the Bills are forced to move money around but the window is still firmly open. In 2-3 years, it'll be much more difficult. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr. Who Posted April 5, 2023 Share Posted April 5, 2023 7 minutes ago, pocoboy said: Well I mean, I guess we should just trade Allen then and go draft a new QB. Because trends never ever get broken. Just start it all over, go get the 6th best QB and finish 4-13 or something. Makes sense. I didn't suggest that kind of fatalism in any fashion. Read more closely. "If" signals a subjunctive. 4 minutes ago, Punch said: Teams have loaded up their rosters with QBs on a rookie contract. That's why these teams have had Super Bowl success by a QB's year 4. Obviously, that's an issue now that the Bills are forced to move money around but the window is still firmly open. In 2-3 years, it'll be much more difficult. As long as Josh Allen is on the team and in his prime, or even late prime, there is a reasonable chance, but that does not make the miss in that rookie contract window any less an egregious lost opportunity. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doc Brown Posted April 6, 2023 Share Posted April 6, 2023 16 hours ago, Dr. Who said: Don't care that you can't prove a counterfactual. Two years ago was the year. Josh was locked in. The coaching staff bungled it. Still time, of course, but that lost opportunity is going to haunt for a generation if they don't come through. After watching the Bengals dominate us in the Divisional Round this year my "13 seconds" outlook changed as I think the Bengals beat us like they did the Chiefs in the AFC Championship game. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr. Who Posted April 6, 2023 Share Posted April 6, 2023 (edited) 7 hours ago, Doc Brown said: After watching the Bengals dominate us in the Divisional Round this year my "13 seconds" outlook changed as I think the Bengals beat us like they did the Chiefs in the AFC Championship game. Unavoidably speculative, so unprovable. That is certainly not a ridiculous take. Each year is different and it is often a combination of momentum and fortuitous play that determines the outcome. What we had was an offense humming with diverse ways of attacking and a young qb playing with supreme confidence. I remain convinced that the Bills were shaping into a juggernaut set up to conquer. We were defeated by inexplicable coaching decisions, not only at the end, but in the inane strategy that wasted third quarter drives taking the air out of the ball. And yes, the defense was cooked. This last year is witness to the relative weakness of any defense in today's game. What Beane and McDermott took from that fiasco was the need to bring the qb down and so they went out and splurged on Von Miller. Naturally, that was not utterly dim, yet the more astute counsel would have been and still is to admit that qualified and partial containment of the best offenses is what one should strive for as most plausibly achievable. Building a fortress around Josh and increasing the weapons around him along with a cohesive plan to relentlessly pressure the other team's defense is the far more prudent plan, one that I am skeptical the Bills have embraced. Edited April 6, 2023 by Dr. Who 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillsFan2313 Posted April 7, 2023 Share Posted April 7, 2023 16 hours ago, Dr. Who said: Unavoidably speculative, so unprovable. That is certainly not a ridiculous take. Each year is different and it is often a combination of momentum and fortuitous play that determines the outcome. What we had was an offense humming with diverse ways of attacking and a young qb playing with supreme confidence. I remain convinced that the Bills were shaping into a juggernaut set up to conquer. We were defeated by inexplicable coaching decisions, not only at the end, but in the inane strategy that wasted third quarter drives taking the air out of the ball. And yes, the defense was cooked. This last year is witness to the relative weakness of any defense in today's game. What Beane and McDermott took from that fiasco was the need to bring the qb down and so they went out and splurged on Von Miller. Naturally, that was not utterly dim, yet the more astute counsel would have been and still is to admit that qualified and partial containment of the best offenses is what one should strive for as most plausibly achievable. Building a fortress around Josh and increasing the weapons around him along with a cohesive plan to relentlessly pressure the other team's defense is the far more prudent plan, one that I am skeptical the Bills have embraced. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zerovoltz Posted April 7, 2023 Share Posted April 7, 2023 On 4/3/2023 at 11:43 PM, Doc Brown said: Well, odds are young winning Super Bowl QB's will win it in their first four years. Super Bowl champion QB's last 20 seasons: QB's to win it first four years of career: Brady (year 2), Roethlisberger (year 2), Wilson (year 3), Mahomes (year 3) QB's to win it year five or after: E. Manning (year 5), Flacco (year 5), Rodgers (year 6), Foles (year 6), Brees (year 9), P. Manning (year 9), M. Stafford (year 13) Plenty of time to get it right assuming Allen stays healthy. Allen has only been a top five quarterback for three seasons now. Also worth noting.....NEVER has a coach / QB combo that had been together more than 5 years, ever won the Super Bowl. If McDermott and Allen were to win one at this point, it would be the first time a QB/Coach pairing that had been together 6 years or more, won it all. It's kind of weird to say McDermott, head of a very good team, is on the hot seat, but in reality, the situation of being all in, and not getting over the hump so far....it might be McDermotts last shot before maybe you put a new set of eyes and ideas around Allen and see what happens. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HereComesTheReignAgain Posted April 7, 2023 Share Posted April 7, 2023 3 minutes ago, Zerovoltz said: Also worth noting.....NEVER has a coach / QB combo that had been together more than 5 years, ever won the Super Bowl. If McDermott and Allen were to win one at this point, it would be the first time a QB/Coach pairing that had been together 6 years or more, won it all. Brady / Belichick Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zerovoltz Posted April 7, 2023 Share Posted April 7, 2023 ....Maybe I should have worded this better....but Brady and Belichic were together just a year and won their first super bowl. That's what I'm talking about....No coach and QB ever paired up has gone more than 5 years without a SB win, and THEN won it in later years. If your coach and QB hasn't gotten it done after 5 years together, in history, none ever have. This will be McDermott and Allens 6th season as a QB/Coach pairing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mrags Posted April 7, 2023 Share Posted April 7, 2023 (edited) 5 minutes ago, Zerovoltz said: ....Maybe I should have worded this better....but Brady and Belichic were together just a year and won their first super bowl. That's what I'm talking about....No coach and QB ever paired up has gone more than 5 years without a SB win, and THEN won it in later years. If your coach and QB hasn't gotten it done after 5 years together, in history, none ever have. This will be McDermott and Allens 6th season as a QB/Coach pairing. I posted this last week. Was an article a few years old but still holds true. You’re a little off though. It has happened. Like 5 times. But hasn’t happened since Cowher I believe. I’ll see if I can find the article again. found it: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-coaches-and-qbs-should-divorce-after-five-years-of-not-winning/ Edited April 7, 2023 by mrags Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beck Water Posted April 7, 2023 Share Posted April 7, 2023 8 minutes ago, HereComesTheReignAgain said: Brady / Belichick I think he means “who had not won it earlier”, so Brady and Belicheck don’t count I think what usually happens is that if a good coach and good team don’t take that next step within 3 years, ownership gets impatient and chops off their head: “NEXT!” And sometimes that works - swapping Tomlin for Cowher after a disappointing 8-8 season for example Or booting Fox for Kubiak in Denver And sometimes it doesn’t - like booting Reid out the door for Kelly in Philly Or replacing Kubiak with Joseph, and Fangio, and Hackett, and …. But I don’t think there’s a lot of data on what happens if you take a good coach and a good team with a great QB and give them some space to figure things out Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
billsfanmiamioh Posted April 7, 2023 Share Posted April 7, 2023 7 minutes ago, Zerovoltz said: ....Maybe I should have worded this better....but Brady and Belichic were together just a year and won their first super bowl. That's what I'm talking about....No coach and QB ever paired up has gone more than 5 years without a SB win, and THEN won it in later years. If your coach and QB hasn't gotten it done after 5 years together, in history, none ever have. This will be McDermott and Allens 6th season as a QB/Coach pairing. And? These types of stats are meaningless. If the Bills ever win the super bowl it will be a lot of “firsts” Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zerovoltz Posted April 7, 2023 Share Posted April 7, 2023 1 minute ago, billsfanmiamioh said: And? These types of stats are meaningless. If the Bills ever win the super bowl it will be a lot of “firsts” There is a first time for everything, and just becasue something hasn't happened before doesn't mean it won't happen. I get it. But, I wouldn't dismiss this stat as meaningless. It stongly indicates that 5 years is enough time to know if you have QB problem, a coach problem or both. The Bills have the 3rd best SB odds this year...it's ENTIRELY possible McDermott and Allen become the first QB/Coach duo to make it happen after 6 years together. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doc Brown Posted April 7, 2023 Share Posted April 7, 2023 28 minutes ago, Zerovoltz said: Also worth noting.....NEVER has a coach / QB combo that had been together more than 5 years, ever won the Super Bowl. If McDermott and Allen were to win one at this point, it would be the first time a QB/Coach pairing that had been together 6 years or more, won it all. It's kind of weird to say McDermott, head of a very good team, is on the hot seat, but in reality, the situation of being all in, and not getting over the hump so far....it might be McDermotts last shot before maybe you put a new set of eyes and ideas around Allen and see what happens. Vince Lombardi and Bart Starr would like a word. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zerovoltz Posted April 7, 2023 Share Posted April 7, 2023 6 minutes ago, Doc Brown said: Vince Lombardi and Bart Starr would like a word. ........winning NFL titles together during thier first years together is the point here...... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doc Brown Posted April 7, 2023 Share Posted April 7, 2023 1 minute ago, Zerovoltz said: ........winning NFL titles together during thier first years together is the point here...... You said Super Bowls. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zerovoltz Posted April 7, 2023 Share Posted April 7, 2023 58 minutes ago, mrags said: I posted this last week. Was an article a few years old but still holds true. You’re a little off though. It has happened. Like 5 times. But hasn’t happened since Cowher I believe. I’ll see if I can find the article again. found it: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-coaches-and-qbs-should-divorce-after-five-years-of-not-winning/ Direct quote from the article: Call it The Five-Year Rule: No team has ever started the same quarterback under the same head coach for more than five years and seen that duo win its first championship. As you can see in the table, some really great duos just got their title together in the fifth year, but all 35 duos required no more than five years together. This is what I meant to say...if that wasn't understood. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mrags Posted April 7, 2023 Share Posted April 7, 2023 7 minutes ago, Zerovoltz said: Direct quote from the article: Call it The Five-Year Rule: No team has ever started the same quarterback under the same head coach for more than five years and seen that duo win its first championship. As you can see in the table, some really great duos just got their title together in the fifth year, but all 35 duos required no more than five years together. This is what I meant to say...if that wasn't understood. Yes. And like I said. It’s happened. Just not often. The last time was Cowher. also a direct quote from the article: “This is strikingly common in NFL history. Of the 31 head coaches to win at least one Super Bowl, 27 of them won their first championship within the first five seasons with that team. Only Chuck Noll (six years in Pittsburgh), John Madden (eight years in Oakland), Tom Landry (12 years in Dallas) and Bill Cowher (14 years in Pittsburgh) needed more than five years to capture that elusive first ring.” Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zerovoltz Posted April 7, 2023 Share Posted April 7, 2023 16 minutes ago, mrags said: Yes. And like I said. It’s happened. Just not often. The last time was Cowher. also a direct quote from the article: “This is strikingly common in NFL history. Of the 31 head coaches to win at least one Super Bowl, 27 of them won their first championship within the first five seasons with that team. Only Chuck Noll (six years in Pittsburgh), John Madden (eight years in Oakland), Tom Landry (12 years in Dallas) and Bill Cowher (14 years in Pittsburgh) needed more than five years to capture that elusive first ring.” yes, but of the coaches that took a long time to get the first ring...the QB they paired up with....they were never a duo more than 5 years. That's my point here with McD and Allen...this is year 6 together. Andy Ried didn't win his first SB until he'd been a head coach for like 20 years...but it was his 3rd season paired up with Mahomes. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mrags Posted April 7, 2023 Share Posted April 7, 2023 5 minutes ago, Zerovoltz said: yes, but of the coaches that took a long time to get the first ring...the QB they paired up with....they were never a duo more than 5 years. That's my point here with McD and Allen...this is year 6 together. Andy Ried didn't win his first SB until he'd been a head coach for like 20 years...but it was his 3rd season paired up with Mahomes. I’m very simply stating that it’s been done. I agree with you about McD and Allen. I’m just telling you, why you’re saying is incorrect. There have been coaches with QBs that went 5 years before they finally won a ring. It’s happened. I found the one article. It’s too late and I’m too tired to argue about this. Your point is correct in that the 5 year rule is coming for Allen and McD. It was incorrect that it’s never happened. enjoy your night 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zerovoltz Posted April 7, 2023 Share Posted April 7, 2023 8 minutes ago, mrags said: I’m very simply stating that it’s been done. I agree with you about McD and Allen. I’m just telling you, why you’re saying is incorrect. There have been coaches with QBs that went 5 years before they finally won a ring. It’s happened. I found the one article. It’s too late and I’m too tired to argue about this. Your point is correct in that the 5 year rule is coming for Allen and McD. It was incorrect that it’s never happened. enjoy your night It's literally never happend....per the article. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BarleyNY Posted April 7, 2023 Share Posted April 7, 2023 49 minutes ago, Zerovoltz said: It's literally never happend....per the article. I feel for you. I’m usually in your position. It’s actually kinda comical watching it from the outside. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LABILLBACKER Posted April 7, 2023 Share Posted April 7, 2023 On 1/23/2023 at 3:07 PM, TheyCallMeAndy said: I also highly, highly doubt this was the first time. Allen’s words say he trusts Dorsey, but his body language and the way he says it. Dorsey is getting only one more year to turn this offense around. If he fails and we get bounced again in the playoffs, I could see Terry switching to an offensive HC. We've already pissed away 3 great opportunities to win a Chip with Allen. Diggs is right.... too bad the rest of this team doesn't have the passion he has. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RunTheBall Posted April 7, 2023 Share Posted April 7, 2023 6 hours ago, LABILLBACKER said: Dorsey is getting only one more year to turn this offense around. If he fails and we get bounced again in the playoffs, I could see Terry switching to an offensive HC. We've already pissed away 3 great opportunities to win a Chip with Allen. Diggs is right.... too bad the rest of this team doesn't have the passion he has. The McBeane “Hotseat” is as cold as ice. I don’t think Terry would even entertain the notion of firing McD or Beane. If the O craps the bed then I could see them bringing in a new OC but I don’t think there’s a chance McD is gone. Not saying I agree with that, just that I think the fans are looking at this from a different perspective than the owner. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ga boy Posted April 7, 2023 Share Posted April 7, 2023 8 hours ago, Zerovoltz said: yes, but of the coaches that took a long time to get the first ring...the QB they paired up with....they were never a duo more than 5 years. That's my point here with McD and Allen...this is year 6 together. Andy Ried didn't win his first SB until he'd been a head coach for like 20 years...but it was his 3rd season paired up with Mahomes. The KC QB and Coach are a problem for JA17 and McD. Since this is Masters week, it’s like Tiger was a problem/roadblock for other great golfers during his prime. Phil, Duval, Westwood, Els, Garcia, etc., would’ve won more majors with no Tiger. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ridgewaycynic2013 Posted April 7, 2023 Share Posted April 7, 2023 24 minutes ago, RunTheBall said: ...I think the fans are looking at this from a different perspective than the owner. Cue the 'Fire the Owner!' thread. 😁 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Real Buffalo Joe Posted April 7, 2023 Share Posted April 7, 2023 7 minutes ago, Ridgewaycynic2013 said: Cue the 'Fire the Owner!' thread. 😁 Terry is cheap. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Just Jack Posted April 7, 2023 Share Posted April 7, 2023 (edited) 2 hours ago, The Real Buffalo Joe said: Terry is cheap spending too much money on other things than the Bills. Edited April 7, 2023 by Just Jack Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
julian Posted April 7, 2023 Share Posted April 7, 2023 I barely have enough time to spend on the Bills board exchanging thoughts and ideas, I can’t imagine doing the same on another teams boards. I’m thinking it tells you everything you need to know about the level of engagement these of teams fans(KC) have or more likely don’t have with one another. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RiotAct Posted April 9, 2023 Share Posted April 9, 2023 On 4/7/2023 at 1:32 AM, Zerovoltz said: It's literally never happend....per the article. first time for everything. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chongli Posted April 20, 2023 Share Posted April 20, 2023 Well, not that most care, but Stefon has lost his blue verified Twitter check mark, as have many others. Good for him for not paying. Here's a cached screenshot of Diggs's check mark: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaBillsFanSince1973 Posted April 20, 2023 Share Posted April 20, 2023 1 minute ago, chongli said: Well, not that most care, but Stefon has lost his blue verified Twitter check mark, as have many others. Good for him for not paying. Here's a cached screenshot of Diggs's check mark: you know, I don't like that musk character. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaptnCoke11 Posted April 20, 2023 Share Posted April 20, 2023 Just now, DaBillsFanSince1973 said: you know, I don't like that musk character. He’s fantastic 2 3 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Goin Breakdown Posted April 20, 2023 Share Posted April 20, 2023 Ohh no. No blue check. Who cares. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chongli Posted April 20, 2023 Share Posted April 20, 2023 (edited) 8 minutes ago, Goin Breakdown said: Ohh no. No blue check. Who cares. Well, other than it will now be harder to verify a true account. Edited April 20, 2023 by chongli 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JaCrispy Posted April 20, 2023 Share Posted April 20, 2023 (edited) 25 minutes ago, chongli said: Well, not that most care, but Stefon has lost his blue verified Twitter check mark, as have many others. Good for him for not paying. Here's a cached screenshot of Diggs's check mark: Why is it good for him? He makes millions…Who cares? Edited April 20, 2023 by JaCrispy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr. Who Posted April 20, 2023 Share Posted April 20, 2023 (edited) 4 minutes ago, JaCrispy said: Why is it good for him? He makes millions… I'm guessing it's an implicit political message as I suppose you know. Doesn't have anything to do with football which coincidentally, neither do Diggs tweets. Edited April 20, 2023 by Dr. Who 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillsFan4 Posted April 20, 2023 Share Posted April 20, 2023 33 minutes ago, chongli said: Well, not that most care, but Stefon has lost his blue verified Twitter check mark, as have many others. Good for him for not paying. Here's a cached screenshot of Diggs's check mark: Monetizing the blue checkmarks makes no sense to me. It completely defeats their purpose. They are just supposed to be for showing that a specific Twitter account for a well known person is the legit one. Now all the legit accounts are losing them and so many random people have blue checks next to their name. Makes things so much more confusing. I could see paying for features like being able to send longer tweets and being able to edit. But not the blue check. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chongli Posted April 20, 2023 Share Posted April 20, 2023 10 minutes ago, Dr. Who said: I'm guessing it's an implicit political message as I suppose you know. Doesn't have anything to do with football which coincidentally, neither do Diggs tweets. Never understood why some have to see politics in everything. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoPoy88 Posted April 20, 2023 Share Posted April 20, 2023 2 minutes ago, chongli said: Never understood why some have to see politics in everything. brain rotted from cable news. 3 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoSaint Posted April 20, 2023 Share Posted April 20, 2023 48 minutes ago, Goin Breakdown said: Ohh no. No blue check. Who cares. people that use Twitter and want an easy way to verify accounts? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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