Bills’ 2021 strength of schedule ranks in the bottom half of the NFL

[SlimShady'sSpaceForce]

Hallelujah!!!! 

How nice to have an “easier” schedule. 

https://www.yahoo.com/sports/bills-2021-strength-schedule-ranks-123057995.html

 

top 5

Here’s the full breakdown of the NFL’s strength of schedule in 2021:

1. Pittsburgh Steelers: 143-111-2 (.563)
2. Baltimore Ravens: 142-112-2 (.559)
3. Chicago Bears: 141-114-1 (.553)
4. Detroit Lions: 138-116-2 (.543)
5. Cincinnati Bengals: 138-118-0 (.539)

 

bottom 10

22. Washington Football Team: 123-131-2 (.484)
T23. Buffalo Bills: 123-133-0 (.480)
T23. Denver Broncos: 122-132-2 (.480)
25. Atlanta Falcons: 122-133-1 (.479)
26. Miami Dolphins: 122-134-0 (.477)
27. New Orleans Saints: 120-135-1 (.471)
T28. New York Giants: 118-136-2 (.465)
T28. Indianapolis Colts: 119-137-0 (.465)
30. Dallas Cowboys: 115-139-2 (.453)
31. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 115-140-1 (.451)
32. Philadelphia Eagles: 115-141-0 (.449)

** Subject to change pending 17-game season in 2021.

Edited February 9, 2021 by SlimShady'sSpaceForce

[No_Matter_What]

Like I said check out Tampa's schedule. They will be huge favorites for no. 1 seed in NFC.

 

2021 has Bills - Bucs SB written all over it.

[whatdrought]

2 minutes ago, No_Matter_What said:

Like I said check out Tampa's schedule. They will be huge favorites for no. 1 seed in NFC.

 

2021 has Bills - Bucs SB written all over it.

 

I know this is a 5 year old broken record, but at some point brady will drop off... 

[TBBills]

I wish things like this mattered but it only does for drafting reasons.

2 minutes ago, whatdrought said:

 

I know this is a 5 year old broken record, but at some point brady will drop off... 

Steroids are a wonderful thing when you get older they help you recover faster.

[GunnerBill]

Yea 2021 is on paper a much easier road than 2020. Bills should be in contention for the #1 seed.

[MPL]

I'll call it an easy schedule when we're 19-0...🤔 20-0... 🤔 19-0 and hoisting the Lombardi Trophy. 

[BuffaLoko]

9 minutes ago, whatdrought said:

 

I know this is a 5 year old broken record, but at some point brady will drop off... 

only 5? I can recall a 10-15 year period for many here predicting that fall out...😐

[Buffalo Ballin]

I think this is a bad thing because once we face adversity in the playoffs, we're not ready. We're still a young team and should be tested. We'll see. Time will tell. Each season is very different. The lack of strength in schedule may look like a cakewalk now (which I don't want), but when reality hits, each game is surprisingly close.

[SlimShady'sSpaceForce]

11 minutes ago, Buffalo Ballin said:

I think this is a bad thing because once we face adversity in the playoffs, we're not ready. We're still a young team and should be tested. We'll see. Time will tell. Each season is very different. The lack of strength in schedule may look like a cakewalk now (which I don't want), but when reality hits, each game is surprisingly close.

adversity?  
 

Did the Bills fold like Pittsburgh?

Or Green Bay to Tampa?

Or N’Awlins to Tampa?

The Bills were stomping the lesser teams by 30 ppg to close out the season.  
 

they had won against better teams by 10 ppg. 
 

3 regular season losses

2 were when Josh was injured and the Covid rescheduling and one was by a Hail Mary. 

 

Edited February 9, 2021 by SlimShady'sSpaceForce

[Hapless Bills Fan]

1 hour ago, SlimShady'sSpaceForce said:

Hallelujah!!!! 

How nice to have an “easier” schedule. 

https://www.yahoo.com/sports/bills-2021-strength-schedule-ranks-123057995.html

 

top 5

Here’s the full breakdown of the NFL’s strength of schedule in 2021:

1. Pittsburgh Steelers: 143-111-2 (.563)
2. Baltimore Ravens: 142-112-2 (.559)
3. Chicago Bears: 141-114-1 (.553)
4. Detroit Lions: 138-116-2 (.543)
5. Cincinnati Bengals: 138-118-0 (.539)

 

bottom 10

22. Washington Football Team: 123-131-2 (.484)
T23. Buffalo Bills: 123-133-0 (.480)
T23. Denver Broncos: 122-132-2 (.480)
25. Atlanta Falcons: 122-133-1 (.479)
26. Miami Dolphins: 122-134-0 (.477)
27. New Orleans Saints: 120-135-1 (.471)
T28. New York Giants: 118-136-2 (.465)
T28. Indianapolis Colts: 119-137-0 (.465)
30. Dallas Cowboys: 115-139-2 (.453)
31. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 115-140-1 (.451)
32. Philadelphia Eagles: 115-141-0 (.449)

** Subject to change pending 17-game season in 2021.

 

OK, but keep in mind that's based on this year's performance.

QBs getting switched around

Players coming back from opt-out

New coaches

 

Every year happens that we beat a couple teams early and are all chest-thumpy because we think that's a good team, and it turns out they're not all that

And vice versa

[RiotAct]

1 hour ago, whatdrought said:

 

I know this is a 5 year old broken record, but at some point brady will drop off... 

More like 10-year... 😬

1 hour ago, MPL said:

I'll call it an easy schedule when we're 19-0...🤔 20-0... 🤔 19-0 and hoisting the Lombardi Trophy. 

You were right the second time... 17 reg. season games plus three postseason

[SlimShady'sSpaceForce]

24 minutes ago, Hapless Bills Fan said:

 

OK, but keep in mind that's based on this year's performance.

QBs getting switched around

Players coming back from opt-out

New coaches

 

Every year happens that we beat a couple teams early and are all chest-thumpy because we think that's a good team, and it turns out they're not all that

And vice versa

of course it is. 
 

still not having one of the toughest schedules is nice. 
 

the Bills had a tough schedule in 2020 and they finished with a tie for a team best 13 win record!

 

[Buffalo Ballin]

Face the difficult while it's still easy.

[MPL]

13 minutes ago, RiotAct said:

More like 10-year... 😬

You were right the second time... 17 reg. season games plus three postseason

Ah, but if we go 17-0 in the regular season, we're definitely getting a first round bye... which is why I switched it back to 19-0. 

Just now, MPL said:

Ah, but if we go 17-0 in the regular season, we're definitely getting a first round bye... which is why I switched it back to 19-0. 

Sh*t, my math is still bad. 20-0 it is. 

[78thealltimegreat]

3 hours ago, SlimShady'sSpaceForce said:

Hallelujah!!!! 

How nice to have an “easier” schedule. 

https://www.yahoo.com/sports/bills-2021-strength-schedule-ranks-123057995.html

 

top 5

Here’s the full breakdown of the NFL’s strength of schedule in 2021:

1. Pittsburgh Steelers: 143-111-2 (.563)
2. Baltimore Ravens: 142-112-2 (.559)
3. Chicago Bears: 141-114-1 (.553)
4. Detroit Lions: 138-116-2 (.543)
5. Cincinnati Bengals: 138-118-0 (.539)

 

bottom 10

22. Washington Football Team: 123-131-2 (.484)
T23. Buffalo Bills: 123-133-0 (.480)
T23. Denver Broncos: 122-132-2 (.480)
25. Atlanta Falcons: 122-133-1 (.479)
26. Miami Dolphins: 122-134-0 (.477)
27. New Orleans Saints: 120-135-1 (.471)
T28. New York Giants: 118-136-2 (.465)
T28. Indianapolis Colts: 119-137-0 (.465)
30. Dallas Cowboys: 115-139-2 (.453)
31. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 115-140-1 (.451)
32. Philadelphia Eagles: 115-141-0 (.449)

** Subject to change pending 17-game season in 2021.

Tampa Bay is 31? Like seriously? Like does Tom Brady do the scheduling too?

2 hours ago, Buffalo Ballin said:

I think this is a bad thing because once we face adversity in the playoffs, we're not ready. We're still a young team and should be tested. We'll see. Time will tell. Each season is very different. The lack of strength in schedule may look like a cakewalk now (which I don't want), but when reality hits, each game is surprisingly close.

They had one of the hardest schedules in the league this year and made the AFC title game and they goto Tampa, KC, Tennessee, and New Orleans that’s enough tests 

[Ed_Formerly_of_Roch]

Interesting that 3 of the 4 lowest rated are all from the NFC. They play the NFC South and AFC West, no cake walk there in either case.  But they are rewarded for playing eachother so gives them all easy SOS.

[1st Ammendment NoMas]

3 hours ago, whatdrought said:

 

I know this is a 5 year old broken record, but at some point brady will drop off... 

He already did. TB can't make elite throws anymore, nor is he that mobile. Tampa's Defense and skill players bailed him out along with a solid OL and the fact that you can't breathe on Tommy without drawing a flag. If you can get pressure on him, he makes mistakes as evident by the 3 INT games. The thing that makes Brady a Top10 QB is his ability to get the ball out quick and read defenses. His mind is #1. His body is bottom #15 and dropping. My guess is that next year teams throw the bus at him and TB goes 8-8.

[SlimShady'sSpaceForce]

9 hours ago, Ed_Formerly_of_Roch said:

Interesting that 3 of the 4 lowest rated are all from the NFC. They play the NFC South and AFC West, no cake walk there in either case.  But they are rewarded for playing eachother so gives them all easy SOS.

 

Odd, I'd think it was the NFC East and NFC North.   

[JMF2006]

 

I was looking at the opponents on BB.com the other day and it looks like only there are only  4 teams with a realistic chance of beating the Bills barring upsets.

 

Indy,Tampa,Titans and KC

 

So I am calling it 13-4 in our new 17 game schedule  

9 hours ago, BillsRdue said:

He already did. TB can't make elite throws anymore, nor is he that mobile. Tampa's Defense and skill players bailed him out along with a solid OL and the fact that you can't breathe on Tommy without drawing a flag. If you can get pressure on him, he makes mistakes as evident by the 3 INT games. The thing that makes Brady a Top10 QB is his ability to get the ball out quick and read defenses. His mind is #1. His body is bottom #15 and dropping. My guess is that next year teams throw the bus at him and TB goes 8-8.

 

Now that he is not in NE I don't care anymore.....until the Bills play him one last time at RJS in 2021

[machine gun kelly]

12 hours ago, Hapless Bills Fan said:

 

OK, but keep in mind that's based on this year's performance.

QBs getting switched around

Players coming back from opt-out

New coaches

 

Every year happens that we beat a couple teams early and are all chest-thumpy because we think that's a good team, and it turns out they're not all that

And vice versa

Hap, Yep.

 

I wrote this a month ago that be careful on SOS.  We were supposed to have the 5th hardest SOS prior to the season, then several outlets evaluated at the end of the season as we knew the outcomes and turned out to be 15-16th based on outlet as you can’t predict the injuries of the 49ers, the Pats would be that bad and opt outs, the Dolphins would improve far more than expected, and so on.

 

So will Brees be back, will the Panthers be able to make a deal for Watson, and so on, and so on.  Will Brady even finally fall off.

 

Too many variables, but pretty sure the Bucs, Chiefs, Dolphins maybe, Saints if Brees comes back, Titans, and Colts are possible battles, or not.

 

Seeing a SOS after FA and the draft is more interesting to read, but still doesn’t tell all.

 

 

[oldmanfan]

This stuff does not matter.  Last offseason people were talking doom and gloom over how supposedly hard our schedule would be, and we finished 13-3.  as has occurred every year of NFL football, some teams you think will be good will not be (injuries, roster changes in free agency, etc.) and some you think will be bad will be better than you think (like the Fish this past year).  I just hope we're not one of those teams projected to be good but then slide back.

[papazoid]

this is interesting....for some reason, i was thinking 2021 was going to be more difficult than last year, playing a first place schedule, especially if they add the 17th game vs another nfc 1st place team

 

anyways, this data suggests otherwise....

 

looking at our opponents and anticipating several teams improving their records (jets, NE, TB, indy, car)

 

i'm going to say that 2021 will be very slightly easier by 2-3 total wins vs all opponents

 

BILLS 13-3 again

 

 

 

 

[Beerball]

14 hours ago, SlimShady'sSpaceForce said:

Hallelujah!!!! 

How nice to have an “easier” schedule. 

https://www.yahoo.com/sports/bills-2021-strength-schedule-ranks-123057995.html

 

top 5

Here’s the full breakdown of the NFL’s strength of schedule in 2021:

1. Pittsburgh Steelers: 143-111-2 (.563)
2. Baltimore Ravens: 142-112-2 (.559)
3. Chicago Bears: 141-114-1 (.553)
4. Detroit Lions: 138-116-2 (.543)
5. Cincinnati Bengals: 138-118-0 (.539)

 

bottom 10

22. Washington Football Team: 123-131-2 (.484)
T23. Buffalo Bills: 123-133-0 (.480)
T23. Denver Broncos: 122-132-2 (.480)
25. Atlanta Falcons: 122-133-1 (.479)
26. Miami Dolphins: 122-134-0 (.477)
27. New Orleans Saints: 120-135-1 (.471)
T28. New York Giants: 118-136-2 (.465)
T28. Indianapolis Colts: 119-137-0 (.465)
30. Dallas Cowboys: 115-139-2 (.453)
31. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 115-140-1 (.451)
32. Philadelphia Eagles: 115-141-0 (.449)

** Subject to change pending 17-game season in 2021.

What uniform will the Bills be wearing?

[machine gun kelly]

36 minutes ago, Beerball said:

What uniform will the Bills be wearing?

Thats Shady’s job, and he told me get off my lawn! 🤪

[Punching Bag]

2 hours ago, JMF2006 said:

 

I was looking at the opponents on BB.com the other day and it looks like only there are only  4 teams with a realistic chance of beating the Bills barring upsets.

 

Indy,Tampa,Titans and KC

 

So I am calling it 13-4 in our new 17 game schedule  

 

 

Since we have no idea who or where we play in game 17 (as opposed to 17th game) I think maybe you should call it 12-4-1.

[djp14150]

AE=32

AN=38.5 

AS =27

AW = 34

 

NE= 23.5

NN= 33

NS=  32

NW=  36

 

so buffalo played the toughest 2 division A+N combination

 

AN played the weakest total.

 

this year they play one of the weakest combinations.

 

any ranking has bias against the first place teams because of the weaker division records they play two times

 

 

 

 

[eball]

15 hours ago, ScottLaw said:

28 of those losses are the NY Jets which makes the schedule look much easier.... still, I can’t imagine it will be anymore difficult than what we saw this year. 
 

Although I think the division will be improved all around.

 

The Jets probably won't be 2-14 again but I'd expect something similar to Miami two years ago...around 5 wins and a bit of a tougher out, but they still have talent issues all around.

 

I've fallen off the Miami bandwagon a bit given Flores' questionable coaching last season (and the fact Josh Allen owns them).  It will be hard for them to improve upon their 10-win season, in my opinion.

 

The Pats*** are a curious organization.  If they don't get a QB they'll be no better than a .500 team.

 

In sum, Miami will (I'm sure) get a lot of pre-season talk as a contender but if you're handicapping the division the Bills should be favored in all six division games in 2021.

 

[ProcessTruster]

A lot can and will happen between now and September to invalidate chunks of that historical data.   Free agency will be wild this offseason and IR type injuries will wipe teams chances out before October even starts, so there's that.   Every season stands on its own,

 

But hey, thanks for the numbers.... 

[WideNine]

15 hours ago, ScottLaw said:

28 of those losses are the NY Jets which makes the schedule look much easier.... still, I can’t imagine it will be anymore difficult than what we saw this year. 
 

Although I think the division will be improved all around.

 

Yep. I don't put a lot of stock in strength of schedule because that was last year.

 

With the cap, free agency, and coaches moving around many of the teams have dramatic swings in competitiveness.

 

Far fewer have stable organizations with more predictable outcomes. I am also referring to predictably terrible too. Fans and owners are more quick to pull the plug on successive years of fail.

 

 

 

 

 

[JMF2006]

1 hour ago, Limeaid said:

 

Since we have no idea who or where we play in game 17 (as opposed to 17th game) I think maybe you should call it 12-4-1.

 

NFCE winner(WFT) if they go by previous methods and history

 

I figured that as a win

[SlimShady'sSpaceForce]

On 2/10/2021 at 8:08 AM, Beerball said:

What uniform will the Bills be wearing?

Red 

White 

Blue  

[TPS]

On 2/9/2021 at 8:58 PM, 78thealltimegreat said:

Tampa Bay is 31? Like seriously? Like does Tom Brady do the scheduling too?

They had one of the hardest schedules in the league this year and made the AFC title game and they goto Tampa, KC, Tennessee, and New Orleans that’s enough tests 

Colts will get one of the QBs on the trade block, so they will be very tough. 

[SlimShady'sSpaceForce]

7 minutes ago, TPS said:

Colts will get one of the QBs on the trade block, so they will be very tough. 

but the problem is 

 

they are on the block.  
 

Bridge QB’s may keep you competitive but 

 

 

[Sammy Watkins' Rib]

On 2/9/2021 at 3:14 PM, Buffalo Ballin said:

I think this is a bad thing because once we face adversity in the playoffs, we're not ready. We're still a young team and should be tested. We'll see. Time will tell. Each season is very different. The lack of strength in schedule may look like a cakewalk now (which I don't want), but when reality hits, each game is surprisingly close.

We get Tennessee and KC again. Win both this time and we will be ready to roll in the playoffs.

 

I don't think we are a 'young team' anymore. Even if we have some young players, for most all of them it will be their third consecutive year in the playoffs. And that includes a deep postseason run. Even the young guys are playing like veterans at that point.

[billsherd]

Miami has even easier schedule.

[Philly McButterpants]

On 2/10/2021 at 9:57 AM, eball said:

 

 

In sum, Miami will (I'm sure) get a lot of pre-season talk as a contender but if you're handicapping the division the Bills should be favored in all six division games in 2021.

 

 

This happens every year.  Heck, Peter King predicted they would win the division last year.  I guarantee someone at SI or ESPN will call them to be SB Champs.

[Mr. K]

On 2/9/2021 at 6:03 PM, whatdrought said:

 

I know this is a 5 year old broken record, but at some point brady will drop off... 

5 years only ? 🤣 

[SlimShady'sSpaceForce]

On 2/13/2021 at 1:44 AM, billsherd said:

Miami has even easier schedule.

Tua. 🎤 

On 2/13/2021 at 7:53 AM, Philly McButterpants said:

 

This happens every year.  Heck, Peter King predicted they would win the division last year.  I guarantee someone at SI or ESPN will call them to be SB Champs.

2 guys at ESPN called a SB win for Buffalo 

FWIW

[Dr.Sack]

Gotta nail the draft. 

[Nextmanup]

So this ranking is saying that all of our opponents in 2021 add up to a collective .480 win percentage in 2020?

 

Quantifying a 2021 strength of schedule based on 2020 data is not really relevant.

 

Teams go up and down quite a bit year to year. 

 

We won't know the real strength of our schedule until the season unfolds.