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Week 12: Broncos at Bills


YoloinOhio

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Its all about the D..in the three games the Bills lost they faced some pretty good defenses who closed down the Bills' offense (of course the Bills did some interesting things such as blocked punt for a TD, fumbles at critical times in the games, etc..).

 

Denver has a really good D and if the Bills O is to show they really can beat a team with a good D this is the opportunity. Their QB is better than I thought he would be but it all comes down to Denver's D and the whether the Bills' O can control the ball, move down the field and score or simply implode at every inopportune moment..

 

Close one but Bills prevail 20-17

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13 minutes ago, thebandit27 said:

 

Aren't they 20th in pass YPG allowed? I admit that I only looked quickly, and like I said I think the Miami-sucks point is valid. I also think that all too often hyperbole overtakes context.

 

EDIT: just looked. 20th in pass YPG, 26th in YPA allowed.

 

Bad, but not all-time bad 

I focus on collective passer rating given that team passer rating differential is the best statistical predictor of success/failure in the NFL. YPG doesn't matter much when you're down by 20 and the team is running it all the time to milk the clock.  Having said that, Cincy and AZ are worse (https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/opponent-average-team-passer-rating), although Miami's schedule is much easier than theirs.

 

They are 30th in pass defense DVOA through week 10, although they are likely to decline to 31 or 32 given that Atlanta (31st) shut down Carolina and Cincy only gave up 17 points. https://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/teamdef/2019

Edited by dave mcbride
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40 minutes ago, dave mcbride said:

I focus on collective passer rating given that team passer rating differential is the best statistical predictor of success/failure in the NFL. YPG doesn't matter much when you're down by 20 and the team is running it all the time to milk the clock.  Having said that, Cincy and AZ are worse (https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/opponent-average-team-passer-rating), although Miami's schedule is much easier than theirs.

 

They are 30th in pass defense DVOA through week 10, although they are likely to decline to 31 or 32 given that Atlanta (31st) shut down Carolina and Cincy only gave up 17 points. https://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/teamdef/2019

What does that say about Jimmy garropolololol

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1 hour ago, LABILLBACKER said:

Just blitz the living crap out of the kid like you did with Fitz. Eventually you'd think we'd  accidentally run into a interception? Get Ford blocking help from the RB. Tell your ST unit not to sh it the bed.

Not to mention it’s time for Lee Smith to justify his contract with a little on field play. Smith is basically another tackle, I hope he is used to block Miller and then catch them asleep and leak out for a key pickup later in the game.

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5 hours ago, MAJBobby said:

I think I am coming up for this game.  As long as work complies and doesn't send me on some international trip somewhere.  I missed the Eagles and Skins game because of work (only two missed this year).  So lets go work leave me alone, and I will be back home to Buffalo watching 

 

You can come join me in SWA.

I'm sure I could come up with a good reason for the TDY. Since I approve it anyway.

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16 minutes ago, atlbillsfan1975 said:

Not to mention it’s time for Lee Smith to justify his contract with a little on field play. Smith is basically another tackle, I hope he is used to block Miller and then catch them asleep and leak out for a key pickup later in the game.

 

Not for nothing, but he absolutely mauled a DLman on Gore's 4th down conversion yesterday 

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4 hours ago, SCBills said:

 

Certainly not an easy game but we have a better defense and a better offense.  Not by a lot, but both are measurably better. 

 

I think we saw the potential of our offense this past week.  I don't know that Denver, led by Brandon Allen, is capable of that. 

 

It's at home, and unlike Philly/Cleveland, they aren't fighting for their playoff lives..  That second half collapse against Minnesota basically ended their hopes.

We are at home and they have to travel east. Lets get loud and get the W

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The Bills did what they needed to do and they took care of a Fins team that is playing better but still someone the Bills should beat by 2-3 scores. The special teams did make the game much tighter than it should have been (coughing up the kick return and onside kick made the game within a 2 point conversion of the game being a one possession game fairly late) but the offense closed out the game and the defense held up its end of the bargain for the most part. 

 

The Fins are still bad but the Bills controlled this game on offense and defense with only the special teams costing them a coast to coast win but still turning them a comfortable win. 

 

This win doesn't make me feel more confident in the Bills as a whole but a loss or really close game would have been a really big blow to any playoff hopes on the season. The Broncos game is an absolute must win, 8-3 was a complete necessity for this team going into this brutal 4 game stretch. 

 

If the Bills lose to the Broncos then that might be the season. But they did what they had to do and they kept their season alive and well. 

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Each week brings a new challenge for every team. The Broncos game is NOT an elimination game by any means. If you look around the AFC you’ll find the Bills are competing with a bunch of teams that win one week and then lose the next. Just keep playing good defense and they’ll be fine. 

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15 minutes ago, timekills17 said:

 

You can come join me in SWA.

I'm sure I could come up with a good reason for the TDY. Since I approve it anyway.

I retired last year. Now work for LM they love sending me International because of my Foreign Military Sales experience I have before I retired from the Military. 

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52 minutes ago, MAJBobby said:

I retired last year. Now work for LM they love sending me International because of my Foreign Military Sales experience I have before I retired from the Military. 

Thx for ur service Majbob.

New appreciation. 

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Just now, atlbillsfan1975 said:

That’s good to hear, I didn’t actually get to see that one, I was picking up the pizza at Bocce. I had to get one for the game since I was back in Buffalo. 

 

This is gonna sound like blasphemy, but I had some Santora's pizza while I was up there last, and I liked it better than Bocce.

 

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Just now, njbuff said:

I wonder if Denver’s heart was finally ripped out with the devastating loss to Minnesota and they are mentally beaten, which means they could easily be a no show coming into WNY this week.

 

We shall see.

 

There's the whole west to east thing, too. They'll have pulled a lot of travel with the trip to Minnesota the week before.

 

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Just now, Joe in Winslow said:

 

There's the whole west to east thing, too. They'll have pulled a lot of travel with the trip to Minnesota the week before.

 


I don’t really know about the traveling part, but losing the way they have and being virtually eliminated from playoff contention...........

 

might not have Denver motivated to play this game at all. 

 

I could be wrong, OF COURSE.

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....Daboll take notice....he smoked the Broncos to add to his season tally......

 

Cousins excelling at play-action has opened offense

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  • By Kevin Patra
  • Around the NFL Writer
  • Published: Oct. 24, 2019 at 08:30 a.m.
  • Updated: Oct. 24, 2019 at 10:25 a.m. 

 

Kirk Cousins heads to prime time, a place where he's struggled to shine or help his team victories.

 

The Vikings QB is coming off the best three-game stretch of his career, becoming the first player in NFL history to record 300-plus pass yards and a 135-plus passer rating in three straight games, per NFL Research.

 

Part of Cousins' improving play in recent weeks has been a better use of play-action to open up easy completions and take deep shots. With defenses fearing Dalvin Cook and the run game, play-action passes make life easier on Cousins, give him a beat more time, and keep him in rhythm.

The results speak for themselves.

 

The Vikings QB has used play-action on 35.7 percent of dropbacks, second-highest in NFL, per Pro Football Focus. On those passes, Cousins has eight touchdowns, one interceptions, and a 140.2 passer rating on play-action in 2019. His TD throws and passer rating rank first among 34 qualifying QBs on play-action passes.

 

http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000001068942/article/cousins-excelling-at-playaction-has-opened-offense

 

 

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5 minutes ago, njbuff said:


I don’t really know about the traveling part, but losing the way they have and being virtually eliminated from playoff contention...........

 

might not have Denver motivated to play this game at all. 

 

I could be wrong, OF COURSE.

After a tough loss the Bills would benefit from taking it to them early on. They have doubts make those doubts come true. Get after the young QB, create a rabid crowd, score points. 

 

Lets go!!!!!!

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One of our local radio guys is (randomly) a huge Vikings fan. He said that the Vikes on a short week after a huge win over the cowboys on SNF, and headed into a Bye week and then another huge game vs Seattle, were not fully focused on the 3-win broncos similar to what happened when the Bills came in last year. They woke up in the 2nd half and disposed of them. 

Edited by YoloinOhio
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28 minutes ago, njbuff said:

I wonder if Denver’s heart was finally ripped out with the devastating loss to Minnesota and they are mentally beaten, which means they could easily be a no show coming into WNY this week.

 

We shall see.

 

Talk out here in Colorado about the Broncos/Bills goes like this.

 

Talk has started about 2020 draft position.

Everyone is awaiting Drew Lock coming back (probably the last 4 games).  Slim chance he dresses against the Bills.

Denver D has a hard time with up tempo play.

Bills at home is always a tough game for Denver.

FWIW

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5 hours ago, Tesla03 said:

 

look at Kyler Murray this season. if his team was slightly better they would have beat the 49ers yesterday.  he is probably going to be the next Russell Wilson. 

 

 

 

 

Yea let's look at Kyler Murray:  The 2018 Heisman Trophy winner and #1 pick in the 2019 NFL draft blessed with a head coach who is utilizing almost the exact same offense Murray ran in college has started strong.  I wish you could see my shocked face. 

 

As for yesterday's game the Arizona offense is surprising NFL defenses much like the Baltimore offense is.  It's not shocking that yesterday the Cards "air-raid" O got off to a fast start and jumped in front of the 49's 16 - 0.  After that it was all SF as they blew out Arizona 36 - 16!

 

The proof of the pudding with both Arizona AND Baltimore's offenses is how they hold up over the long term when NFL defensive coordinators have caught up and teams in their own divisions have altered their D personnel to better match up. 

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