PrimeTime101 Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 https://www.msn.com/en-us/sports/nfl/nfl-world-reacts-to-insane-patrick-mahomes-news/ar-AA1dqfgG?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=U531&cvid=69f63cacedec44a9a8d804c227d1159e&ei=12 1 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewEra Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 Andy Reid sucks 1 12 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyBills Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 (edited) Just saw this. That's why I truly feel Josh will have more accolades when all said and done. Allen can be just as effective underneath I feel and is better deep and intermediate and running It was so frustrating seeing Mahomes dump it off to his RBs or WR screens go for 100s of yards a game. I've been saying constantly, if Allen takes the underneath stuff more often he'd be unstoppable. I'm sure it's play calling too but just look at NE playoff game in 21. Allen was going underneath, ran the ball very well w Josh and RBs. Opens up PA and deep ball and they had absolutely no idea how to play us cause as a defender you're on skates all day. Edited July 4, 2023 by JerseyBills 2 4 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrimeTime101 Posted July 4, 2023 Author Share Posted July 4, 2023 2 minutes ago, JerseyBills said: Just saw this. That's why I truly feel Josh will have more accolades when all said and done. It was so frustrating seeing Mahomes dump it off to his RBs or WR screens go for 100s of yards a game. I've been saying constantly, if Allen takes the underneath stuff more often he'd be unstoppable. I'm sure it's play calling too but just look at NE playoff game in 21. Allen was going underneath, ran the ball very well w Josh and RBs. Opens up PA and deep ball and they had absolutely no idea how to play us cause as a defender you're on skates all day. And I am sure the Bills Anylitics team has taken notice. YES Mahomes can throw it deep.. But he does not have the deep fast get open WR's. Kelce is a machine but this is proof he not a deep threat. Just an interesting article I thought you guys would appreciate. I no longer have PFF but if someone does, I would love to know JA air yards over last 4 years to compare. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckets Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 31 minutes ago, PrimeTime101 said: https://www.msn.com/en-us/sports/nfl/nfl-world-reacts-to-insane-patrick-mahomes-news/ar-AA1dqfgG?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=U531&cvid=69f63cacedec44a9a8d804c227d1159e&ei=12 Maybe they have a better OC. 9 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr.Sack Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 For the Chiefs it’s all about play design and taking what the defense gives them. Mahomes ability to evade the pass rush inside the pocket adds another element. Eventually guys tire out and he picks up major yards on scrambles, it’s very unusual to see Mahomes rip off a 20 yard run in the 1st quarter. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zerovoltz Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 I know the Bills saw some of this too...but teams just played a ton of cover 2 shell VS the Chiefs this past year...dropped 7 or 8 into coverage. ....Andy Ried really preferes that the ball go to a player who is open and alot of the play calls are designed to get a guy open. KC doens't throw "contested catch" type stuff if they can help it. Never run that corner fad in the red zone for example... part of that is because KC lacks a jump ball type WR....and part of it is KC likes to use speed and if teams give you short...KC takes short. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Magox Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 I just don't see for Mahomes and the Chiefs how that trend can continue and be as successful as they were this past year. Pretty soon teams are going to begin playing tight against the shorter stuff and risk the deeper stuff. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zerovoltz Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 1 minute ago, Magox said: I just don't see for Mahomes and the Chiefs how that trend can continue and be as successful as they were this past year. Pretty soon teams are going to begin playing tight against the shorter stuff and risk the deeper stuff. Oh please football Gods let it happen....I'd love to see another 2018 type season on offense. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Jokeman Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 (edited) 56 minutes ago, PrimeTime101 said: https://www.msn.com/en-us/sports/nfl/nfl-world-reacts-to-insane-patrick-mahomes-news/ar-AA1dqfgG?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=U531&cvid=69f63cacedec44a9a8d804c227d1159e&ei=12 New England showed that a short passing game can be as effective if not more effective than a running game in fact the West Coast Offense started the trend. Edited July 4, 2023 by The Jokeman 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Magox Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 3 minutes ago, Zerovoltz said: Oh please football Gods let it happen....I'd love to see another 2018 type season on offense. That very well could happen, but it beats letting them dink and dunk it down the field all day long. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DapperCam Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 58 minutes ago, Zerovoltz said: Oh please football Gods let it happen....I'd love to see another 2018 type season on offense. No more Hill though 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyBills Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 (edited) 1 hour ago, PrimeTime101 said: And I am sure the Bills Anylitics team has taken notice. YES Mahomes can throw it deep.. But he does not have the deep fast get open WR's. Kelce is a machine but this is proof he not a deep threat. Just an interesting article I thought you guys would appreciate. I no longer have PFF but if someone does, I would love to know JA air yards over last 4 years to compare. I mean he had Hill in 21 . MVS in 22. Josh didn't necessarily have elite speedsters in Diggs / Davis and McKenzie was lackluster. That's why I see Harty having so much potential. Reminds me of John Brown and look what Josh did with him Edited July 4, 2023 by JerseyBills 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yawning Frog Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Don Otreply Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 He is taking the underneath pass option more and more, and still winning, cough cough Dorsey cough cough Josh, it’s a winning recipe , that cheating SOB Brady did it to perfection, did I say it’s s winning recipe…, GO BILLS!!! 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrimeTime101 Posted July 4, 2023 Author Share Posted July 4, 2023 18 minutes ago, Don Otreply said: He is taking the underneath pass option more and more, and still winning, cough cough Dorsey cough cough Josh, it’s a winning recipe , that cheating SOB Brady did it to perfection, did I say it’s s winning recipe…, GO BILLS!!! Part of the reason why I wrote this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PonyBoy Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 So Mahomes is another Captain Check Down? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
90sBills Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 10 minutes ago, PonyBoy said: So Mahomes is another Captain Check Down? Alex Smith 2.0 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boyst Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 3 hours ago, The Jokeman said: New England showed that a short passing game can be as effective if not more effective than a running game in fact the West Coast Offense started the trend. This is very important to the evolution of football. While I am and was a Singleterry fan he wasn't what this offense needed. We needed a Perrine type RB or that fatass in Baltimore to pickup short yardage, but we also needed a RB who could get to the flats, run the wheels, and could get the short yardage pickups. Our RB's didn't do that last year. Maybe the OL sucked. Maybe Josh never chose them. Maybe the OC didn't let that be an option. Either way, the utilization of an underneath pass catcher is yuuugeeee. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrimeTime101 Posted July 4, 2023 Author Share Posted July 4, 2023 50 minutes ago, PonyBoy said: So Mahomes is another Captain Check Down? ... lets not get silly no ok? lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FireChans Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 3 hours ago, Magox said: That very well could happen, but it beats letting them dink and dunk it down the field all day long. “Play the deep ball and see if Mahomes can beat you by dinking and dunking, it beats getting burned deep,” - NFL DC’s circa 2020 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LABILLBACKER Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 At this rate Mahomes will be -1.2 by 2024. Seriously, this just validates the benefits of checkdowns. Brady with smart route designs made a career of it and so has Mahomes. Take note Ken & Josh. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikie2times Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 If you look at Air Yards per attempt Josh’s 2021 year was the lowest total he ever posted. 2022 being much more like 2019. I think this is the key for him and Daboll did an excellent job coaching Josh on this. Josh is a different player when he takes the check downs. Our offense becomes consistent. He avoids turnovers. We can still air it out as we did in 2021 late in the year, but we built the foundation late in the year around shorter completions, which then more naturally opened up the longer stuff. 2022 it was just all air it out and it plays right into Josh’s weakness. I recall one poster mentioning how Miami was basically begging us to throw deep in the playoff game. Which was true. What that resulted in was a ton of offensive output, but a lot of longer developing plays and turnover risk. If you’re any DC in the NFL right now why wouldn’t you beg Buffalo to go over the top? 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solomon Grundy Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 4 hours ago, PrimeTime101 said: https://www.msn.com/en-us/sports/nfl/nfl-world-reacts-to-insane-patrick-mahomes-news/ar-AA1dqfgG?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=U531&cvid=69f63cacedec44a9a8d804c227d1159e&ei=12 i.e, more checkdowns 4 hours ago, JerseyBills said: Just saw this. That's why I truly feel Josh will have more accolades when all said and done. Allen can be just as effective underneath I feel and is better deep and intermediate and running It was so frustrating seeing Mahomes dump it off to his RBs or WR screens go for 100s of yards a game. I've been saying constantly, if Allen takes the underneath stuff more often he'd be unstoppable. I'm sure it's play calling too but just look at NE playoff game in 21. Allen was going underneath, ran the ball very well w Josh and RBs. Opens up PA and deep ball and they had absolutely no idea how to play us cause as a defender you're on skates all day. Remember the season all the pundits were saying Mahomes lost it with all the TOs he was committing. He simply learned to take the checkdowns instead of forcing the long ball. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solomon Grundy Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 (edited) 4 hours ago, Zerovoltz said: I know the Bills saw some of this too...but teams just played a ton of cover 2 shell VS the Chiefs this past year...dropped 7 or 8 into coverage. ....Andy Ried really preferes that the ball go to a player who is open and alot of the play calls are designed to get a guy open. KC doens't throw "contested catch" type stuff if they can help it. Never run that corner fad in the red zone for example... part of that is because KC lacks a jump ball type WR....and part of it is KC likes to use speed and if teams give you short...KC takes short. But takes the short stuff to players with playmaking ability, i.e., Toney/MacKinnon Edited July 4, 2023 by Solomon Grundy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HappyDays Posted July 5, 2023 Share Posted July 5, 2023 (edited) I think a lot of posts in this thread are missing what the initial stat is saying. It's just about his TD passes. 4.5 yards on average per TD pass is indeed very low. That isn't really saying anything about Mahomes though, it's more a function of how good Andy Reid is at designing pass plays inside the 5 yard line. All those 2 yard shovel passes to Kelce at the goal line really bring the average down. In terms of average air yards per attempt for all passes, 2021 and 2022 Mahomes were nearly identical at 7.3 and 7.2 respectively. Edited July 5, 2023 by HappyDays 5 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gugny Posted July 5, 2023 Share Posted July 5, 2023 Mahomes learned that taking what the defense gives you instead of swinging for the fences on every pass play actually works. Josh needs to learn this. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. WEO Posted July 5, 2023 Share Posted July 5, 2023 That team isn’t going anywhere… 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mango Posted July 5, 2023 Share Posted July 5, 2023 Touchdowns don’t count for extra points because you threw the ball farther. Keeping the sticks moving consistently means you’re generally winning pretty consistently. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott7975 Posted July 5, 2023 Share Posted July 5, 2023 5 hours ago, Don Otreply said: He is taking the underneath pass option more and more, and still winning, cough cough Dorsey cough cough Josh, it’s a winning recipe , that cheating SOB Brady did it to perfection, did I say it’s s winning recipe…, GO BILLS!!! Thats because his underneath guys actually get YAC. Ours don't. They get the ball and they are tackled or they fall down. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Old Coot Posted July 5, 2023 Share Posted July 5, 2023 The decline in Mahomes' TD pass yardage probably means that other teams adjusted to the Chiefs' deep passing game to take it away. That became easier in 2022 since Tyreek was not there. If you play a 2 high safety shell with a light box (as the Bills have done for the past several seasons) to take away the deep ball, the Chiefs have adjusted. Their running game was better in 2022 especially against a light box and they likely threw more short to medium passes. As others have said, teams adjusted to Josh by taking away the deep ball. At the beginning of last year Josh was taking the short to medium throws. At some point he started playing hero ball and taking deep shots. Any thoughts on why he changed? In any event, I hope and expect that Josh will learn patience and stick with it. If we can improve our running game that will help open things up for run-pass options and play action passes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Don Otreply Posted July 5, 2023 Share Posted July 5, 2023 20 minutes ago, Scott7975 said: Thats because his underneath guys actually get YAC. Ours don't. They get the ball and they are tackled or they fall down. And that, imo is about how our past and current OC’s operated their offensive scheme, neither have been particularly talented in creating that YAC outcome with the personnel available while with the Bills, I truly hope for a schematic change on offense so as to make this a thing of the past. 🤞 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LABILLBACKER Posted July 5, 2023 Share Posted July 5, 2023 1 hour ago, Scott7975 said: Thats because his underneath guys actually get YAC. Ours don't. They get the ball and they are tackled or they fall down. Unfortunately this is very true. We still struggle with YAC on shorter high % routes. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nucci Posted July 5, 2023 Share Posted July 5, 2023 air yards is not a real stat 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikie2times Posted July 5, 2023 Share Posted July 5, 2023 2 hours ago, nucci said: air yards is not a real stat It’s measured consistently on pro football reference. A person isn’t required to determine anything. They just use the play by play log. It’s as good a stat as anything else depending on what you want to know Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nucci Posted July 5, 2023 Share Posted July 5, 2023 14 minutes ago, Mikie2times said: It’s measured consistently on pro football reference. A person isn’t required to determine anything. They just use the play by play log. It’s as good a stat as anything else depending on what you want to know A lot of useless stats are measured .So an end of the half hail mary type pass goes 60 yds and incomplete and player get credited for 60 air yards. How is that relevant to anything? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Frankish Reich Posted July 5, 2023 Share Posted July 5, 2023 13 hours ago, FireChans said: “Play the deep ball and see if Mahomes can beat you by dinking and dunking, it beats getting burned deep,” - NFL DC’s circa 2020 And c. 2023 too. See Frazier, Leslie. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dopey Posted July 5, 2023 Share Posted July 5, 2023 😂😂 He averaged 4.5 yds on td passes, not overall, guys. There is no checking down on a 4.5 yd td. pass. Josh Isn’t going deep and avoiding check down passes when he’s that close to the end zone. Thank you Happy Days for trying to explain this to a lot of posters here. Geez. 9 hours ago, Scott7975 said: Thats because his underneath guys actually get YAC. Ours don't. They get the ball and they are tackled or they fall down. YAC on a 4.5 yd pass to the end zone!?! 😂😂 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Never NEVER Give-up Posted July 5, 2023 Share Posted July 5, 2023 19 hours ago, PrimeTime101 said: https://www.msn.com/en-us/sports/nfl/nfl-world-reacts-to-insane-patrick-mahomes-news/ar-AA1dqfgG?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=U531&cvid=69f63cacedec44a9a8d804c227d1159e&ei=12 Reminds me of Dan Marino - he padded his stats by ALWAYS passing down by the goal line. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sunshynman Posted July 5, 2023 Share Posted July 5, 2023 10 hours ago, Old Coot said: The decline in Mahomes' TD pass yardage probably means that other teams adjusted to the Chiefs' deep passing game to take it away. That became easier in 2022 since Tyreek was not there. If you play a 2 high safety shell with a light box (as the Bills have done for the past several seasons) to take away the deep ball, the Chiefs have adjusted. Their running game was better in 2022 especially against a light box and they likely threw more short to medium passes. As others have said, teams adjusted to Josh by taking away the deep ball. At the beginning of last year Josh was taking the short to medium throws. At some point he started playing hero ball and taking deep shots. Any thoughts on why he changed? In any event, I hope and expect that Josh will learn patience and stick with it. If we can improve our running game that will help open things up for run-pass options and play action passes. It was the elbow injury. It hurt more and he was less accurate on short throws with the injury. Therefore, he wanted to throw the long ball. We couldn't stick to an effective running game (I blame Dorsey for that), to help alleviate the issue. And Josh had no time to sit back and wait for an open WR. It seemed like nearly every play someone was coming full speed at Josh off the snap. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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