How confident are you the Bills beat the Bengals?

[Johnnyp566]

Not confident at all. 

[SageAgainstTheMachine]

I’ll put it this way - I’ve gone from thinking of this as a coin flip to thinking of it as a 60/40 in the Bills favor but it’s hardly a comforting feeling.  Like betting on Ted Williams to not get a hit or a flush draw not coming in.

[wnyguy]

The Bengals aren't world beaters, not a dynasty, they are just pretty good. I have no doubt the Bills will win this game. No doubt.

[ChevyVanMiller]

On a scale of 1-10?

 

[Buffalo_Stampede]

Zero confidence. The reason is they couldn’t get a front 4 pass rush vs Miami’s backup OL. Burrow is going to feast.

[goldenboy81]

I'm losing confidence every week with the lack of pass rush and the secondary. 

If the Bills are gonna win a superbowl,  these 2 things are gonna have to ball out for 3 games.

[JohninMinn.]

I was at the  1991 AFC championship game against the Raiders. 51-3

This game feels like the same elements are in place.

[Brand J]

18 minutes ago, goldenboy81 said:

I'm losing confidence every week with the lack of pass rush and the secondary. 

If the Bills are gonna win a superbowl,  these 2 things are gonna have to ball out for 3 games.

ESPECIALLY with a potential PHI vs BUF SB matchup. The birds have 4/5 OL who received 1st or 2nd team All Pro votes. That coupled with AJ Brown and the speedy skinny dude whose name escapes me, I don’t think we’d match up all that well with them. This DL underwhelms given draft position and resources allocated to the trenches. If just that unit could step up and play out of their minds, it’d take care of the secondary and everything else.

[1onemangang7]

1 hour ago, goldenboy81 said:

I'm losing confidence every week with the lack of pass rush and the secondary. 

If the Bills are gonna win a superbowl,  these 2 things are gonna have to ball out for 3 games.

they had 4 sacks just last week, right?

[1onemangang7]

How confident would you feel if Dawkins, Brown, and Bates were going to miss the game?  I dont understand the talk about the secondary or the pass rush.  They held the Miami qb to less than a 45 quarterback rating.  Enjoy it this doesnt happen often.  Both teams are better than KC.  Next week could very well be in Orchard Park IF they win Sunday.  Odds are they advance.  Theyre simply better than Cincinnati 

[Patrick Duffy]

Being at home this time makes me feel a little better than I did leading up to the Monday night match up against them in Cincy. Either way though, definitely got that BIG GAME anxiety feeling that's a little different than the regular season big game anxiety lol

[zow2]

1 hour ago, JohninMinn. said:

I was at the  1991 AFC championship game against the Raiders. 51-3

This game feels like the same elements are in place.

 

That would be amazing but i can’t see that.

I will say that a lot of Cincinnati’s recent playoff success (5 games) is due to positive turnover ratio in every game. That needs to end here.

This game feels like a Super Bowl at Highmark Stadium. I do believe the winner of this game will also win the SB.  It’s that big.

[Billever76]

6 hours ago, Royale with Cheese said:

Okay.  So one stat is similar and that makes them all similar?  Allen 20 more TD passes, 1,000 more passing yards and in one less game.

 

Someone that had similar stats to Daniel Jones would be Andy Dalton or Jacoby Brissett.

Allen is in year 5 and I'm not saying jones is as good as allen...but the way daboll has him playing he definitely has a bit of similarities in there....what was Allen's 2019 stats?....Daboll has Daniel jones playing like a poor man's josh allen

[Royale with Cheese]

1 hour ago, Billever76 said:

Allen is in year 5 and I'm not saying jones is as good as allen...but the way daboll has him playing he definitely has a bit of similarities in there....what was Allen's 2019 stats?....Daboll has Daniel jones playing like a poor man's josh allen

 

A poor man's Josh Allen I think isn't a reach.

[colin]

if we don't turn the ball over 2 more times than cici does, and bad turnovers, not like 3rd and long punt replacement ones, then cinci has no shot at all.

 

the way i see the game going -- cinci always receives and we always defer, so they get the ball first.  they are opening drive MONSTERS, so they score a TD on the opening drive.  over the course of the first 20 minutes of the game they go up 7-10 points at some point, maybe 17 -7.  our d figures them out, we get the ball back to close the 2nd quarter, score and go into the half w a lead.  we score to open the 3rd and they never get within 7 points of us after that.  the only question is do we protect the ball and destroy them or do some sloppy stuff and keep them closer that it should be.

 

bills win.

[par73]

Games like this are the reason they signed Miller. Would feel much better with him leading the charge vs. Burrow,

[NyBob85]

70% feels about right to me, especially with the news breaking today about two of their starting O-Linemen being ruled out. Burrow's a good scrambler in his own right but he's not Allen or Mahomes or Jackson. Keep him on his heels the way the Ravens' defense did and we'll be in great shape. I'm going to go out on a limb and say this is the game the defense really makes their mark after being questioned all year long. It's a pity that they technically surrendered 24 points last week because really only one of those touchdowns was on a full, legitimate drive. They played awesome in every other defensive metric besides points against, most of which were set up by turnovers or special teams lapses. 

 

On the offensive side we just need Josh to be Josh and maybe be a little more conservative, at least in the first half. If we're trailing in the third or fourth then by all means pull out the hero ball stuff but no need to re-invent the wheel. Just keep up sustained drives - short-to-mid-range stuff coupled with some timely 4-or-5 yard running pickups from the backs and maybe an obligatory deep shot now and then to keep them honest. That should be more than enough to keep the Bengals' mediocre defense reeling and to keep Burrow and Co. off the field and give our defense time to rest. Cincy's defense cannot stop us and as good as their offense is they're going to lose a shootout with us every time unless we shoot ourselves in the foot like we did against Miami. Respect to them, they're a solid outfit, but they're not a special team. It also looks like it might be a mix of rain/snow/sleet on Sunday afternoon so take that as you may; I don't know if Burrow has a ton of experience playing in ugly weather but I sure as hell know our guy does and does it well. Any factor that might make them have to resort to using their garbage running game more is fine in my book. 

 

Bills 31 - Bengals 21. Let's f--n do it boys. 

Edited January 20, 2023 by NyBob85

[Skyline Chili]

2 hours ago, NyBob85 said:

70% feels about right to me, especially with the news breaking today about two of their starting O-Linemen being ruled out. Burrow's a good scrambler in his own right but he's not Allen or Mahomes or Jackson. Keep him on his heels the way the Ravens' defense did and we'll be in great shape. I'm going to go out on a limb and say this is the game the defense really makes their mark after being questioned all year long. It's a pity that they technically surrendered 24 points last week because really only one of those touchdowns was on a full, legitimate drive. They played awesome in every other defensive metric besides points against, most of which were set up by turnovers or special teams lapses. 

 

On the offensive side we just need Josh to be Josh and maybe be a little more conservative, at least in the first half. If we're trailing in the third or fourth then by all means pull out the hero ball stuff but no need to re-invent the wheel. Just keep up sustained drives - short-to-mid-range stuff coupled with some timely 4-or-5 yard running pickups from the backs and maybe an obligatory deep shot now and then to keep them honest. That should be more than enough to keep the Bengals' mediocre defense reeling and to keep Burrow and Co. off the field and give our defense time to rest. Cincy's defense cannot stop us and as good as their offense is they're going to lose a shootout with us every time unless we shoot ourselves in the foot like we did against Miami. Respect to them, they're a solid outfit, but they're not a special team. It also looks like it might be a mix of rain/snow/sleet on Sunday afternoon so take that as you may; I don't know if Burrow has a ton of experience playing in ugly weather but I sure as hell know our guy does and does it well. Any factor that might make them have to resort to using their garbage running game more is fine in my book. 

 

Bills 31 - Bengals 21. Let's f--n do it boys. 

Well said.  Living down here in Cincy hearing whodey all the week has my anxiety sky high, but hearing takes like this as well as others in this thread helps.  General take is the offense is due to bounce back after our showing against the Fins, but what do I know.  

 

Bottom line, this season has been a gauntlet.  We've weathered everything and deserve to continue on this storybook journey.  Go Bills!

[Drew21PA]

If buffalo CANNOT beat this bengals team with the advantages it has - well?  It was a colossal failure of a season.

 

Period.

 

The stage is set - the scales tip in our favor - its our time. 

 

Josh?  Coach McDermott?  You better win this one.

Edited January 20, 2023 by Drew21PA

[BillsBytheBay]

50/50

Im always 50/50.

Helps my sanity.

[Bills Fan in MD]

I have absolutely no idea what's going to happen.  If the Bills team that showed up in the first quarter of the wildcard round shows up against the Bengals, we will win.  If it's the team that showed up in the second quarter against the Dolphins, we will almost definitely lose.  I suspect that it will be somewhere in between.

 

I do know that I'm not emotionally ready for this season to end.

[Slippery Rubber Mats]

I'm 60/40 confident in a Bills win. I think they are the better team and at home, but it's very close and a really good QB is on the other side too.

[Cheektowaga Chad]

Are the Bengals actually any good playing on the road? 

 

All one score games minus their game against the jets week 3 and the game where Tom Brady had a meltdown in the second half 

 

Not like they played a ton of good teams either

 

Combine this with not having to play a road game in nearly a month with an inexperienced offensive line, it's bad news for Cincy 

[Patrick Duffy]

2 minutes ago, Cheektowaga Chad said:

Are the Bengals actually any good playing on the road? 

 

All one score games minus their game against the jets week 3 and the game where Tom Brady had a meltdown in the second half 

 

Not like they played a ton of good teams either

 

Combine this with not having to play a road game in nearly a month with an inexperienced offensive line, it's bad news for Cincy 

 

Yes

[Toyo321]

Buffalo has to get to Burrow in this game,  their OL is probably in its worse-shape than it has been all year long.  If we get to him then our chances are really good.  If we don't it could be a 50-50 pick-em game.  Out D has to out play them or we really will have bad time shutting them down.  Oliver needs to go Beast Mode.  The Ravens were all over Burrow in last weeks game and they all most pulled it out.  If we can come close to replicating what their D did we are in the drivers seat,  our O is way better than the Ravens anyway.

 

GO Bills!!

 

[Billzgobowlin]

This is a statement game.  Bills have something to prove and they will show up

[C.Biscuit97]

I’ve been more confident as the week goes on and that terrifies me!

[26TrapDraw]

I weighed everything pretty carefully. In my mind the offensive line issues Cincy has as well as home field gives us the edge.

our chance of winning 99.9%

[DuckyBoys]

Coming off a sloppy mistake filled win.    Buffalo's at home.   Cincy's line is in shambles.    Media put Josh back into the doo doo bucket.  Joe Burrow's been smoking too many cigars getting his weenie polished  .   Looks like the Bills are about to put Cincy in the buck to me

[GunnerBill]

I think the Bills just see it through. I think this game might come down to Tyler Bass. 

 

I am taking the dogs to cover in all 4.

[97bills]

I think KC Buffalo and CIN are all equally matched, we got home field tomorrow and that’s what you want. It’s going to be us and KC and CIN every year… you got to beat those teams to get to a Super Bowl, so if not this year when? 

[97bills]

I do believe buffalo wins … and they will take something from that first matchup, how CIN was trying to out physical them and they will be ready.  But if Buffalo does some how lose I want be able to watch NFL network until the draft. Because it will be all talk about CIN or KC depending on who ever wins the AFCC. It could be mahomes 3 Super Bowl or burrows 2. GO BILLS 

[Trock]

100%. Bills destroy Bengals. 41-10

[Draconator]

I feel zero panic and worry about this game. 

[Yawning Frog]

I think it's going to be another wait till next year season again as usual.  😠😠😠

[TheBrownBear]

9 minutes ago, Yawning Frog said:

I think it's going to be another wait till next year season again as usual.  😠😠😠

I'm trying not to think this way, but my gut is telling me this is the case, and then I'm getting really bummed thinking about where we go from there, stuck behind the Chiefs AND Bengals.

 

We need to come out fast and focused tomorrow.  No more sloppiness.  We should win if we play a clean game.  It's all right there in front of us.  Now, what are we made of?  Tomorrow feels like a potentially era defining game.

[BullBuchanan]

I think it's a coin flip.

Heads - Our defense exploits the Bengals Oline woes the way the Ravens did which offsets their superior skill position talent. Josh plays like Good Josh and hits the open man taking plenty of underneath stuff to open up the big play and drives it home when it's there.

Tails - Bengals dynamic offense looks unstoppable like they did a couple weeks ago against a passive defense that can't get to the QB and can't keep up with the Bengals all-world  WRs. Josh Allen forces too much on low percentage plays and we can't keep up.

I won't be shocked to see either version.

[97bills]

10 minutes ago, BullBuchanan said:

I think it's a coin flip.

Heads - Our defense exploits the Bengals Oline woes the way the Ravens did which offsets their superior skill position talent. Josh plays like Good Josh and hits the open man taking plenty of underneath stuff to open up the big play and drives it home when it's there.

Tails - Bengals dynamic offense looks unstoppable like they did a couple weeks ago against a passive defense that can't get to the QB and can't keep up with the Bengals all-world  WRs. Josh Allen forces too much on low percentage plays and we can't keep up.

I won't be shocked to see either version.

I agree… just because this is what we’ve seen all year long. I hope we turn it up on defense, and no more fumbles…. And Allen takes what’s there,  and get the running backs involved. We have running backs just like everyone else..let’s throw them the ball!!!! 

[AlfaBill]

42 minutes ago, BullBuchanan said:

I think it's a coin flip.

Heads - Our defense exploits the Bengals Oline woes the way the Ravens did which offsets their superior skill position talent. Josh plays like Good Josh and hits the open man taking plenty of underneath stuff to open up the big play and drives it home when it's there.

Tails - Bengals dynamic offense looks unstoppable like they did a couple weeks ago against a passive defense that can't get to the QB and can't keep up with the Bengals all-world  WRs. Josh Allen forces too much on low percentage plays and we can't keep up.

I won't be shocked to see either version.

Isn’t this the case any time 2 good teams play each other?

[par73]

Too many turnovers since Game 6 vs KC. The schedule for the back half of the season has been soft-- and they have struggled. Obviously they can win-- need to see the Allen that showed up in last year's playoffs. And the D needs to exploit the Bengals OL. Otherwise, it will be falling short again-- and where do they go from there?