BringBackFergy Posted April 20, 2020 Share Posted April 20, 2020 Every year I pour through materials, game film and stats. I do a little background investigation on these players (I have a few connections that give me info many NFL GM's are privy to) and create a "Big Board". With very few exceptions, I usually hit on 89.6% - 92.7 % of the players, conferences and which NFL clubs draft them on days one and two. Before you ask, "No, I don't do Mock Draft iterations 1, 2, 3, etc." I am confident in my abilities and will not forsake the sources I have around the NFL and the media analysts who share that info with me. Since I publish only ONE draft Big Board, it lends to the credibility of my background as a scout and analyst. Before I publish my Big Board on Saturday (that is the best day to announce mine since it allays any fears that I might be collaborating with other members here), let me give you a few hints of what is already set out on my spreadsheets: 1) Two QB's will be taken in the Top 20 2) Two WR's will be taken in the Top 40 3) A DT from the SEC will make the Top 30 4) There will be a rush on Offensive Linemen (OT's, G's and C's) in picks 30-60 5) There will be at least one (and possibly two) trades up and/or down in rounds 1-3. Other than that, I'll see you all Saturday night at 11:59pm so you can analyze my picks. Go Bills! 1 13 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJS Posted April 20, 2020 Share Posted April 20, 2020 So ... after the draft? 4 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plenzmd1 Posted April 20, 2020 Share Posted April 20, 2020 7 minutes ago, MJS said: So ... after the draft? if you looking to get in a spat with Mr. Fergy, tell him why Kyle Orton does NOT belong on the wall of fame in Orchard Park 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Don Otreply Posted April 20, 2020 Share Posted April 20, 2020 21 minutes ago, plenzmd1 said: if you looking to get in a spat with Mr. Fergy, tell him why Kyle Orton does NOT belong on the wall of fame in Orchard Park That’s easy, ? , poke poke Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BringBackFergy Posted April 20, 2020 Author Share Posted April 20, 2020 40 minutes ago, MJS said: So ... after the draft? I can assure you my Board is all set (I might tweak it a little if there's a Laremy Tunsil type event the day before), but you'll have to take my word for it and review the hints above which establish my credibility. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Not at the table Karlos Posted April 20, 2020 Share Posted April 20, 2020 I release my mock after the draft as well. It’s done now but I won’t release it until after. I have a surprisingly high success rate. 1 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sammy Watkins' Rib Posted April 20, 2020 Share Posted April 20, 2020 6 minutes ago, BringBackFergy said: I can assure you my Board is all set (I might tweak it a little if there's a Laremy Tunsil type event the day before), but you'll have to take my word for it and review the hints above which establish my credibility. I can assure you we are all assured by your assurance. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thurman#1 Posted April 20, 2020 Share Posted April 20, 2020 You're like the Carnak the Magnificent!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BringBackFergy Posted April 20, 2020 Author Share Posted April 20, 2020 16 minutes ago, Thurman#1 said: You're like the Carnak the Magnificent!! I'll release a few more hints each day leading up to the draft....just so you know I'm not pullin' anyone's leg. The last thing I want to happen is publish my Big Board and then have everyone else steal my thunder and ideas. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJS Posted April 20, 2020 Share Posted April 20, 2020 31 minutes ago, BringBackFergy said: I can assure you my Board is all set (I might tweak it a little if there's a Laremy Tunsil type event the day before), but you'll have to take my word for it and review the hints above which establish my credibility. I'm just not sure why people would care after the draft. Not trying to pick a fight or anything. 1 hour ago, plenzmd1 said: if you looking to get in a spat with Mr. Fergy, tell him why Kyle Orton does NOT belong on the wall of fame in Orchard Park Oh, so he's the one... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DFT Posted April 20, 2020 Share Posted April 20, 2020 Yea, but if kids aren’t always after your lucky charms, you’re not THAT cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STL-Bills Posted April 20, 2020 Share Posted April 20, 2020 This can't be serious... Just post your mock. If you don't post it before the draft, then you have zero credibility. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJS Posted April 20, 2020 Share Posted April 20, 2020 9 minutes ago, BringBackFergy said: I'll release a few more hints each day leading up to the draft....just so you know I'm not pullin' anyone's leg. The last thing I want to happen is publish my Big Board and then have everyone else steal my thunder and ideas. That's kind of a narcissistic way to view things. Do you really think fans are waiting in the wings to steal your ideas? In my opinion, anything posted after the draft is completely irrelevant. If you want some kind of street cred for guessing things correctly, it has to be posted before the draft. Nobody is going to give you kudos afterward. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapeBreton Posted April 20, 2020 Share Posted April 20, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bill from NYC Posted April 20, 2020 Share Posted April 20, 2020 1 hour ago, BringBackFergy said: Every year I pour through materials, game film and stats. I do a little background investigation on these players (I have a few connections that give me info many NFL GM's are privy to) and create a "Big Board". With very few exceptions, I usually hit on 89.6% - 92.7 % of the players, conferences and which NFL clubs draft them on days one and two. Before you ask, "No, I don't do Mock Draft iterations 1, 2, 3, etc." I am confident in my abilities and will not forsake the sources I have around the NFL and the media analysts who share that info with me. Since I publish only ONE draft Big Board, it lends to the credibility of my background as a scout and analyst. Before I publish my Big Board on Saturday (that is the best day to announce mine since it allays any fears that I might be collaborating with other members here), let me give you a few hints of what is already set out on my spreadsheets: 1) Two QB's will be taken in the Top 20 2) Two WR's will be taken in the Top 40 3) A DT from the SEC will make the Top 30 4) There will be a rush on Offensive Linemen (OT's, G's and C's) in picks 30-60 5) There will be at least one (and possibly two) trades up and/or down in rounds 1-3. Other than that, I'll see you all Saturday night at 11:59pm so you can analyze my picks. Go Bills! Next time, don't go so far out on a limb. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gugny Posted April 20, 2020 Share Posted April 20, 2020 54 minutes ago, STL-Bills said: This can't be serious... Just post your mock. If you don't post it before the draft, then you have zero credibility. I don't think you understand how mock drafts work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJS Posted April 20, 2020 Share Posted April 20, 2020 3 minutes ago, Gugny said: I don't think you understand how mock drafts work. Are you saying that mock drafts aren't posted before a draft, or are you saying that they have no credibility regardless? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
warrior9 Posted April 20, 2020 Share Posted April 20, 2020 (edited) 1 hour ago, BringBackFergy said: I'll release a few more hints each day leading up to the draft....just so you know I'm not pullin' anyone's leg. The last thing I want to happen is publish my Big Board and then have everyone else steal my thunder and ideas. Yeah I believe you, definitely. I'll post the numbers I select for the Lotto tomorrow morning after they announce the numbers. Edited April 20, 2020 by warrior9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hapless Bills Fan Posted April 20, 2020 Share Posted April 20, 2020 1 hour ago, Thurman#1 said: You're like the Carnak the Magnificent!! Fergy the Magnificant! I like it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ngbills Posted April 20, 2020 Share Posted April 20, 2020 (edited) Going out on a limb. Over the first 50 picks, there will be 50 players selected on either the offensive or defensive side of the ball. Next Sunday I will post my list of these 50 players and I typically have a 100% success rate. Edited April 20, 2020 by ngbills 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewEra Posted April 20, 2020 Share Posted April 20, 2020 I vote to lock this thread and preemptively delete his mock draft thread before it’s posted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eball Posted April 20, 2020 Share Posted April 20, 2020 2 hours ago, BringBackFergy said: With very few exceptions, I usually hit on 89.6% - 92.7 % of the players, conferences and which NFL clubs draft them on days one and two. Given your credentials and qualifications this number actually seems low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cripple Creek Posted April 20, 2020 Share Posted April 20, 2020 3 hours ago, BringBackFergy said: Every year I pour through materials, game film and stats. I do a little background investigation on these players (I have a few connections that give me info many NFL GM's are privy to) and create a "Big Board". With very few exceptions, I usually hit on 89.6% - 92.7 % of the players, conferences and which NFL clubs draft them on days one and two. Before you ask, "No, I don't do Mock Draft iterations 1, 2, 3, etc." I am confident in my abilities and will not forsake the sources I have around the NFL and the media analysts who share that info with me. Since I publish only ONE draft Big Board, it lends to the credibility of my background as a scout and analyst. Before I publish my Big Board on Saturday (that is the best day to announce mine since it allays any fears that I might be collaborating with other members here), let me give you a few hints of what is already set out on my spreadsheets: 1) Two QB's will be taken in the Top 20 2) Two WR's will be taken in the Top 40 3) A DT from the SEC will make the Top 30 4) There will be a rush on Offensive Linemen (OT's, G's and C's) in picks 30-60 5) There will be at least one (and possibly two) trades up and/or down in rounds 1-3. Other than that, I'll see you all Saturday night at 11:59pm so you can analyze my picks. Go Bills! Looking forward to your further analysis! Good input is always welcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JinxedBill Posted April 20, 2020 Share Posted April 20, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John from Riverside Posted April 20, 2020 Share Posted April 20, 2020 You do you sir Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJS Posted April 20, 2020 Share Posted April 20, 2020 42 minutes ago, warrior9 said: Yeah I believe you, definitely. I'll post the numbers I select for the Lotto tomorrow morning after they announce the numbers. Wouldn't want anyone stealing your ideas! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BringBackFergy Posted April 20, 2020 Author Share Posted April 20, 2020 Another quick peek into my sheets: This draft will be heavy on versatility in Round 2. Many offensive players will have a background in playing QB, RB, TE or Line and many of the defensive players will have a background in playing line, LB or safety. My discussions with GM's around the league make this a certainty as they look for plug and play people that have a background in a variety of roles. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
papazoid Posted April 20, 2020 Share Posted April 20, 2020 3 hours ago, BringBackFergy said: With very few exceptions, I usually hit on 89.6% - 92.7 % of the players, conferences and which NFL clubs draft them on days one and two. good thinking...cause 100% would raise suspicions....lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stinky finger Posted April 20, 2020 Share Posted April 20, 2020 I'm at a loss over here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chandler#81 Posted April 20, 2020 Share Posted April 20, 2020 2 hours ago, Thurman#1 said: You're like the Carnak the Magnificent!! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Over 29 years of fanhood Posted April 20, 2020 Share Posted April 20, 2020 I have a 97% accuracy predicting weather. it’s not gonna rain yesterday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TPS Posted April 20, 2020 Share Posted April 20, 2020 How much do you charge for access to your board....? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJS Posted April 20, 2020 Share Posted April 20, 2020 1 hour ago, BringBackFergy said: Another quick peek into my sheets: This draft will be heavy on versatility in Round 2. Many offensive players will have a background in playing QB, RB, TE or Line and many of the defensive players will have a background in playing line, LB or safety. My discussions with GM's around the league make this a certainty as they look for plug and play people that have a background in a variety of roles. When I talk to GM's around the league they tell me that they are prioritizing fast players. So expect a lot of speed to be taken off the board early. This year, and this year only, they don't want super slow guys. Also, they want strong guys and not feeble guys. GM's have been quite explicit about this. But it's a secret, so don't tell anyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WotAGuy Posted April 20, 2020 Share Posted April 20, 2020 1 hour ago, BringBackFergy said: Another quick peek into my sheets: This draft will be heavy on versatility in Round 2. Many offensive players will have a background in playing QB, RB, TE or Line and many of the defensive players will have a background in playing line, LB or safety. My discussions with GM's around the league make this a certainty as they look for plug and play people that have a background in a variety of roles. I feel like you are just teasing us and not giving us the juice. We want the juice!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigBuff423 Posted April 20, 2020 Share Posted April 20, 2020 Look, it doesn't matter to me one way or the other, I really don't care. But, if Fergy is really interested in securing future credibility, why not save and lock the spreadsheet and email it to a Mod or SDS that will have a date / time stamp of when it was saved and / or emailed? If mean, then, the Mod or SDS can lock this thread and then log back in and unlock it Saturday night or Sunday morning. Just a thought if it matters enough to him or others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Giuseppe Tognarelli Posted April 20, 2020 Share Posted April 20, 2020 This is clearly a joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJS Posted April 20, 2020 Share Posted April 20, 2020 3 minutes ago, BigBuff423 said: Look, it doesn't matter to me one way or the other, I really don't care. But, if Fergy is really interested in securing future credibility, why not save and lock the spreadsheet and email it to a Mod or SDS that will have a date / time stamp of when it was saved and / or emailed? If mean, then, the Mod or SDS can lock this thread and then log back in and unlock it Saturday night or Sunday morning. Just a thought if it matters enough to him or others. I don't doubt that Fergy is telling the truth about not altering it, I just don't see why anyone would be interested post draft. Really, why would we be? We'll be talking about the new players, not evaluating how correct or incorrect some random poster on TBD was about the draft. 1 minute ago, Giuseppe Tognarelli said: This is clearly a joke. Maybe it is. It would be pretty hilarious. If that's the case I got duped hardcore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
freddyjj Posted April 20, 2020 Share Posted April 20, 2020 6 hours ago, BringBackFergy said: With very few exceptions, I usually hit on 89.6% - 92.7 % of the players, conferences and which NFL clubs draft them on days one and two. Suspect Causation at work: Seclusion leading to Delusion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ridgewaycynic2013 Posted April 20, 2020 Share Posted April 20, 2020 6 hours ago, BringBackFergy said: (I have a few connections that give me info many NFL GM's are privy to) Too guddam many dots for me to connect! ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stinky finger Posted April 20, 2020 Share Posted April 20, 2020 36 minutes ago, BigBuff423 said: Look, it doesn't matter to me one way or the other, I really don't care. But, if Fergy is really interested in securing future credibility, why not save and lock the spreadsheet and email it to a Mod or SDS that will have a date / time stamp of when it was saved and / or emailed? If mean, then, the Mod or SDS can lock this thread and then log back in and unlock it Saturday night or Sunday morning. Just a thought if it matters enough to him or others. Well, if it's a matter of credibility...... 1 hour ago, WotAGuy said: I feel like you are just teasing us and not giving us the juice. We want the juice!! Juice? Pulp fiction 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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