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If the Bills go 3 -1


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We need to go 3-1

 

Chargers need to win their division or not be in the WC talk

 

Ravens need go 1-3 or Jacksonville or Tennessee need to go 1-3 (but, not sure on tie breakers with these teams - I assume they beat us in Conference record due to their division)

 

Anyways, we need to go 3-1 and need a lot of help.  Baltimore winning last week hurt.  Baltimore winning the last 3 hurt.

 

Go Bills!

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I think the Ravens need to lose twice and we need to go 3-1.  I believe we have the tie breaker.  Ravens should lose to Steelers, but the other 3 games are against pretty weak competition.  Ravens aren't good enough to just assume the win all 3 easy looking games, but they should beat them.  So I think our playoff shot is pretty low unless we somehow pull a miracle and win out, meaning some impossible win at NE.  But lets be real, not only are we not gonna win out, even going 3-1 isn't going to be an easy feat.


Personally I think we go 2-2 with a loss to NE and a split with Mia, especially since I think Peterman will be starting at least one of those Mia games.  

Edited by Alphadawg7
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10 minutes ago, Manther said:

We need to go 3-1

 

Chargers need to win their division or not be in the WC talk

 

Ravens need go 1-3 or Jacksonville or Tennessee need to go 1-3 (but, not sure on tie breakers with these teams - I assume they beat us in Conference record due to their division)

 

Anyways, we need to go 3-1 and need a lot of help.  Baltimore winning last week hurt.  Baltimore winning the last 3 hurt.

 

Go Bills!

The tiebreaker with the Ravens is not clear yet.  If the Bills win 3, then the Ravens must lose 2 and both are 9-7.  Both would have 7-5 conference records, the first relevant tiebreaker.  Next is record in games against common opponent-- minimum of 4 common opponents.  Here that is met, as both teams will play the Bengals dolphins Raiders and Colts.  Buffalo is 1-1 in those games now, while Ravens are 3-0.  Assuming the Bills lose to NE, they would end up 4-1 against the common opponents.  Ravens still have Colts and Bengals.  If one of the losses is to these teams-- other opponents are Pitt and Cleveland-- they end up at 4-1 as well.  Then it goes to strength of victories and then strength of schedule, and I have no idea how that works out. 

 

Now if there is a three way tie,  you do the same exercise but with the three teams.  Again, it all depends yet on tiebreakers.  But Ravens must lose two if Buffalo goes 3-1 to get to tiebreakers.

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Actually if bills go 3-1 the ravens need to go 2-2 to reach 9-7 and we would actually have the tiebreaker over them and here's how: 

1st tiebreaker AFC record-both teams 7-5

2nd tiebreaker common opponents:

assuning we beat Fins twice and colts once we would both be 4-1 in 5 common games(assuming 1 of 2 ravens losses is to either colts or bengals)

3rd tiebreaker strength of victory: right now we lead that tiebreaker by a large margin giving us the wildcard over the ravens.

 

 

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1 hour ago, Jamie Nails said:

The Chargers are now a wildcard too. We either want them to take the division or lose two. A lot has to happen and the chances are slim now. We should revisit after this weekend if we win. 

 

Chargers are second best team in AFC. I give them a better chance than Pittsburgh to beat NE

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"Don't you see? You're just avoiding the middleman. You were gonna give her her spare keys and she was gonna give 'em to me. So all that's happening is that instead of giving them to her you're giving them to me. It's just unfortunate that when she gave you yours you didn't give her hers because then she would've given them to me. So then I would never have had to ask you for hers so I could get mine."

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I've been using many algorithms, talked to people at MIT and came to the conclusion that 0-4, 1-3, 2-2 and 4-0 are also possible. When you throw in what it does to draft position under each scenario and of course comp picks I will let you know what the Commador 64  spits out. But I should warn you, it not always accurate

5 minutes ago, Pete said:

when was the last time we were discussing playoff possibilities Week 13?

Last year

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1 minute ago, Albwan said:

We have been down this rodeo before, no playoffs for the bills.

We're onto year 19.

 

 

say, it'll be 18 man, 18.

 

if they miss out next season, then 19. I know, it'll probably go 20 and then it'll be hard to recollect how many years it has gone.

 

 

4 games are going to fly by and then the dreaded off season. I'm taking it one game at a time, beginning with indy.

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Here is the best way to figure it out:

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2017/upshot/buffalo-bills-nfl-playoff-picture.html#buf-ind-14=win&buf-mia-15=win&ne-buf-16=win&mia-buf-17=loss

 

Assuming Bills go 3-1 (loss to Pats) basically the Ravens would have to lose 2 games.

 

Steelers over Ravens Week 14

Ravens over Browns Week 15

Ravens over Colts Week 16

Bengals over Ravens Week 17

 

Edited by AdamK
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16 minutes ago, DaBillsFanSince1973 said:

 

 

say, it'll be 18 man, 18.

 

if they miss out next season, then 19. I know, it'll probably go 20 and then it'll be hard to recollect how many years it has gone.

 

 

4 games are going to fly by and then the dreaded off season. I'm taking it one game at a time, beginning with indy.

Next year our sweet little drought turns 18 and is a full grown adult. So proud. 

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13 minutes ago, AdamK said:

Here is the best way to figure it out:

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2017/upshot/buffalo-bills-nfl-playoff-picture.html#buf-ind-14=win&buf-mia-15=win&ne-buf-16=win&mia-buf-17=loss

 

Assuming Bills go 3-1 (loss to Pats) basically the Ravens would have to lose 2 games.

 

Steelers over Ravens Week 14

Ravens over Browns Week 15

Ravens over Colts Week 16

Bengals over Ravens Week 17

 

bengals wont win that game they will have packed it in by then.

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Just now, LABILLBACKER said:

Next year our sweet little drought turns 18 and is a full grown adult. So proud. 

 

well, for myself there has been a lot more good in life that I'm grateful for in the last 18 and can only hope I make it 18 more, not likely though. being a bills fan is not for everybody, you either are or you're not, in the blood. to me, I think of a true bills fan as being pretty tough, resilient in their fandom. it hasn't been good when speaking of the bills in the last 18 but we just keep hanging on.

 

it very well could go 20. I'm doing my best to at least on the surface wipe the 17 off and look at these past 12 and the four left on the schedule as the first season of the rebuild. many are bitter, many have little to no faith, expect the same rinse/repeat but so far they're 6-6 with bare minimum talent and a rookie HC/GM in control. so one should not of expected the lombardi or even the postseason in 2017. 

 

but, it's still yet to be determined for at least another week. 

 

GO BILLS!!!

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There are a lot of scenarios. The easiest is to hope one of the other teams ahead of is gets stuck at 8 wins.  

 

I believe we would have the conference tie breaker with Baltimore if they end up at 9 but I'm not sure...

 

It would definitely help if the Chargers win the division due to our H2H tie breakers with all other teams in that division.

 

I envision us beating the Colts and Dolphins at home and losing the last 2 road games to finish 8-8.

 

If they do things right in the off-season and draft we could make a significant jump next year.

 

Edited by matter2003
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