PlayoffsPlease

Math

Its possible. But there would be about 12 games non-Bills that would have to go a specific way for this to happen. Including Jets beating Cleveland in Cleveland. Roughly 1 in 2^12 = 1/4096 . If you add in the the 3 Bills games as having to go our way, that makes in 1 in 2^15 = 1/32768. Even if you assume the likely outcome of all 15 games is 80% likely they way we need them to go ,which is not remotely close to the truth, but for fun we will pretend it is, then the Bills chances of getting this alignment on 15 games is .8^15 = 3.5% chance. Putting it in rolling the dice terms, it is likely that on any one role, I will not roll a 5 or 6. But the odds of me rolling a die 15 times in a row with never hitting a 5 or 6 is 0.2% Hopefully, the Bills win out, and we don't need lottery odds. I suspect if we lose to both of the Chiefs and Cowboys, that during those two weeks, some other results would already have not gone our way, and we would be mathematically eliminated.

Another way of interpretating Graham's comments is that this is now an embarrassement for the entire organization, who apparently was ok with all of that.

Pickens. Watt

Maybe Dunne simply asked people "tell me your craziest Sean McDermott story" and someone told him this one.

I am talking about the facts of how the current salary cap works, based on negotations with the players union and the owners, and codified in their agreement. You certainly can have an opinion of how it should be changed. But I think the facts of how it applies in Von Millers contract situation currently are what they are.

I am pretty sure the individual contracts follow a form. The salary cap works the same for all of them. If the contract needs to be paid, the salary cap needs to be respected. You rolls the dice on a guaranteed contract, and you you pays the bank if you crap out. Do you think he is being fairly considered to fill punter roles at this point? Or do you think there is some collusion against him? If not why has he not gotten a second chance?

Chubb

the bills are betting underdogs, the moneyline on the Bills is +130. What makes you think bettors are leaning towards the Bills?

Patriots have an oline made out paper mache and gum.

you dont honestly think Chubb and old man peterson are similar talents in 2019 do you?

whats the plan to stop Chubb?

its not a very good match up for the Bills. Browns have a good pass rush, which is something the Bills struggle with. The Bills do not have a good pass rush which is something the Browns struggle with. Chubb up the middle is a bit scary. If the Bills win this game, they are a legit contender to advance in the playoffs. If they lose the game, they are likely a one and done playoff team. If they lose badly per Riddick, the wheels could come flying off the Bills.

Truly bad browns games so far: This is why the Browns are favored. I do not like Mayfield. The Bills very much need to win this game. Or I will be sad.

well there is only one game tonight, so that has the OP's focus.

From the end of last season to the beginning of this season he definitely improved. Have not really seen any meaningful additional improvement during the season.

The classic backwards understanding of cause and effect. Cleveland makes bad coaching hires not bad coaching fires. Do you think holding on to Freddie Kitchens is a winning formula for the Browns. NFL coaches who don't win much don't typically last past three years. This more or less because they have demonstrated they are not that good at that point.

1) its not clear you have to ask 2) I purposely avoided being specific and offered a concept of adhering to your beliefs, that is independent from the specific belief set. My only point is that you being a solid participant in your faith means sticking to it. If you are seventh day adventist one day, a jehovah witness the next day, a mormom the following day, and Orthodox Christian, Catholic or Protestent Christian the following days, I don't think you are a very strong member of that system.

Recent history of the teams that actually win Super Bowls, (Patriots, Seahawks Eagles, Ravens) is a who is who of coaches who adapt their system to their talent. The current glairng exmaple is John Harbaugh tossed aside a former super bowl winning QB who was a protype pocket passer and replaced the entire offensive scheme to fit a QB that is entirely different in style. Seems to be working.

One personality trait that is desirable in a Christian (IMHO) is rigidly adhering to the tenets of the faith, even if cultural trends, change some of those tenets from popular to unpopular. I think the most successful coaches have been pretty flexible and changing things as their talent changes. One concern I have with McDermott is that he has a "system" and wants talent to fit the system, and is not really able to optimize his approach to the game to fit the talent available.

I would be willing to clap vigorously while you did that.

I consider myself a faithful Christian. But it is very clear there is no demonstrable correlation between the depth of coaches religious faith and winning football teams. It neither diminishes or increases a coaches success level.

If winning is the end goal, would you say that Bill Belichick has the strongest faith for building a football culture?

McDermott has had better results that Dick Jauron, Chan Gailey or Rex Ryan. Kudos to him for that. He has not had better results than Bill Belichek, Mike Tomlin, Andy Reid, or John Harbaugh. The AFC has couple of true clown coaches right now with Kitchens and Gase. The other head coaches in the AFC: Flores - not big enough body of work to really judge. he shows promise Vrabel - Results similar to McDermott Gruden - notwithstanding the mocking, he actually has a solid track record Reich - hard to argue he is not doing at least as well as McDermott Zac Taylor - not big enough body of work to really judge , seems horrible though Bill O'Brien - another guy heavily mocked. His team has 6 wins and seems ok though this year. Doug Marrone - has been the Jags head coach about as long as McDermott. Made a championship game in that time. Would not want him here again. Vic Fangio - Broncos not big enough body of work to really judge. its not clear that McDermott is anything more (or anything less) than middle of the pack in the AFC among head coaches. If the Bills had the absolute best talent in the AFC, I would say McDermott is good enough to give the Bills a 50/50 shot to win the AFC championship. If the Bills have middle of the pack talent, then I expect McDermott to have middle of the pack results.

Kelly's passer rating in 1993 was 13th in the league. Middle of the pack. That season is not why Jim in the hall of fame. This season Josh Allen is 27th. This season is also not the reason Josh Allen will be in the hall of fame today.