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Weather for Monday Night Game


Awwufelloff

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1 hour ago, Warriorspikes51 said:


How often do forecasted Storms actually hit us?  Ah yes....only for Bills games!!! 😡

 

Hard to say because nobody knows where the T-Storms will be popping up. One area can get an inch of rain and a few miles away could get nothing.

 

Talking 60-70% chance of rain tho, which is relatively high....however, the timing will be better known once we get into late Saturday and Sunday...ideally the storms start earlier on Sunday night and move out by game time.

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5 minutes ago, Awwufelloff said:

Yep Buffalo NWS introduced 60% chance of rain. It should be scattered so I would be shocked if it rained they entire day/game. 


What are the chances that it either completely passes us the whole day or on the other hand turns into a torrential downpour all day? 

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1 minute ago, Bills!Win! said:


What are the chances that it either completely passes us the whole day or on the other hand turns into a torrential downpour all day? 

We wouldn't know that until gameday unfortunately. When we can check upstream radars 4-6 hours before we will have a much better idea on trajectory of the bands. 

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As the surface low and trough continues east and crosses into Quebec, the trailing cold front will cross the forecast area, increasing the potential for showers for the entire area on Monday into Tuesday morning. Showers will taper off from northwest to southeast through the morning on Tuesday.

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2 minutes ago, SCBills said:

I'm not sure I have it in me to deal with another "weather year" like last year.... it was honestly absurd.  

It rained like 3 times all summer. Perfect weather the five days leading up to the game. 

 

Weather gods are just trolling us at this point.

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40 minutes ago, Awwufelloff said:

As the surface low and trough continues east and crosses into Quebec, the trailing cold front will cross the forecast area, increasing the potential for showers for the entire area on Monday into Tuesday morning. Showers will taper off from northwest to southeast through the morning on Tuesday.

 

Worth noting here, before a rainy game in Cincinnati I went early in the morning to a Target. In the camping section they have ponchos that fold up smaller than a deck of cards. I bought every blue or red poncho they had, making me quite popular at the tailgate. They were only about $1.50 each and if you don’t need it, no big deal. If you do need it? Big deal! 

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2 hours ago, Big Turk said:

 

Hard to say because nobody knows where the T-Storms will be popping up. One area can get an inch of rain and a few miles away could get nothing.

 

Talking 60-70% chance of rain tho, which is relatively high....however, the timing will be better known once we get into late Saturday and Sunday...ideally the storms start earlier on Sunday night and move out by game time.

I would rather have dry tailgate and then the weather can do whatever it wants during the game

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I don't care what anyone says,....with as much weather as the Bills dealt with the last season or two, it should work to our advantage this season.  It's not the great equalizer,  especially when you have a top defense and an offense with playmakers all over the place.  The Bills players have experienced the wind, the rain, the snow, the freezing cold...they know what to expect, they know what gear and shoes to wear, they don't have to deal with raucous crowd noise on offense, etc..  I think whenever we have a bad weather game this season, it's advantage Buffalo.

The only "great equalizer" will be the same thing as any other game... Turnovers.  Hang on to the ball.

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11 minutes ago, zow2 said:

I don't care what anyone says,....with as much weather as the Bills dealt with the last season or two, it should work to our advantage this season.  It's not the great equalizer,  especially when you have a top defense and an offense with playmakers all over the place.  The Bills players have experienced the wind, the rain, the snow, the freezing cold...they know what to expect, they know what gear and shoes to wear, they don't have to deal with raucous crowd noise on offense, etc..  I think whenever we have a bad weather game this season, it's advantage Buffalo.

The only "great equalizer" will be the same thing as any other game... Turnovers.  Hang on to the ball.

None of this was true last year.  We are a pass first team and wind and rain hurt us last year.   Maybe this year will be different.  

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36 minutes ago, zow2 said:

I don't care what anyone says,....with as much weather as the Bills dealt with the last season or two, it should work to our advantage this season.  It's not the great equalizer,  especially when you have a top defense and an offense with playmakers all over the place.  The Bills players have experienced the wind, the rain, the snow, the freezing cold...they know what to expect, they know what gear and shoes to wear, they don't have to deal with raucous crowd noise on offense, etc..  I think whenever we have a bad weather game this season, it's advantage Buffalo.

The only "great equalizer" will be the same thing as any other game... Turnovers.  Hang on to the ball.

Wishful thinking.

 

Rain especially is the great equalizer, and the wind, what happened versus the Pats last year in the windstorm.

 

You NEVER want bad weather when you are a heavy favorite which is exactly what the Bills are.

 

What the Bills experienced last year is borderline irrelevant, history.  It is like when peolpe learn I am from Buffalo and assume i love cold weather, absurd assumption prima facie.

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42 minutes ago, zow2 said:

I don't care what anyone says,....with as much weather as the Bills dealt with the last season or two, it should work to our advantage this season.  It's not the great equalizer,  especially when you have a top defense and an offense with playmakers all over the place.  The Bills players have experienced the wind, the rain, the snow, the freezing cold...they know what to expect, they know what gear and shoes to wear, they don't have to deal with raucous crowd noise on offense, etc..  I think whenever we have a bad weather game this season, it's advantage Buffalo.

The only "great equalizer" will be the same thing as any other game... Turnovers.  Hang on to the ball.

This could not be further from the truth 

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13 minutes ago, RoyBatty is alive said:

Wishful thinking.

 

Rain especially is the great equalizer, and the wind, what happened versus the Pats last year in the windstorm.

 

You NEVER want bad weather when you are a heavy favorite which is exactly what the Bills are.

 

What the Bills experienced last year is borderline irrelevant, history.  It is like when peolpe learn I am from Buffalo and assume i love cold weather, absurd assumption prima facie.

 

Yep.  I would be nervous playing the Jets in bad conditions.  Rain makes everything suck.

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Just now, BigAl2526 said:

At this point, I'm seeing thunderstorms during the day, and scattered thunderstorms in the evening.  I would guess, the storms will be winding down by the time the game happens, so hopefully there won't be any lightening delays.  I could imagine the turf being wet though.

 

I believe the turf dries pretty well and quickly.  I think they'll have the fans out to dry it as well.  I went to the Falcons game last year and they had tons of fans blowing on the field.

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14 minutes ago, LabattBlue said:

 

27 minutes ago, Buffalo_Stampede said:

Predicting the exact time and place rain will hit 3-4 days early is impossible.

Exactly!

 

Actually, it’s not.  Convincing people who have never studied meteorology and/or have professional forecast experience that they aren’t meteorologist’s is impossible.  The weather for Orchard Park this time of year is not that dynamic and the models generally do well even 3-4 days out.  You’re mostly timing frontal or trough passage which isn’t that hard to do compared to forecasting the band placement of lake effect snow.  

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2 minutes ago, TheWeatherMan said:

 

Actually, it’s not.  Convincing people who have never studied meteorology and/or have professional forecast experience that they aren’t meteorologist’s is impossible.  The weather for Orchard Park this time of year is not that dynamic and the models generally do well even 3-4 days out.  You’re mostly timing frontal or trough passage which isn’t that hard to do compared to forecasting the band placement of lake effect snow.  

Meteorology is 90% learning where to stand in front of a green screen and 10% looking hot.  Anyone can draw accidental ***** on a telecast and call it a cold front.  We ain't buying what you're selling!

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34 minutes ago, Jauronimo said:

Meteorology is 90% learning where to stand in front of a green screen and 10% looking hot.  Anyone can draw accidental ***** on a telecast and call it a cold front.  We ain't buying what you're selling!

Fun fact, most on-air meteorologist’s aren’t meteorologist’s they are actors regurgitating forecasts and model data.  

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1 hour ago, TheWeatherMan said:

 

Actually, it’s not.  Convincing people who have never studied meteorology and/or have professional forecast experience that they aren’t meteorologist’s is impossible.  The weather for Orchard Park this time of year is not that dynamic and the models generally do well even 3-4 days out.  You’re mostly timing frontal or trough passage which isn’t that hard to do compared to forecasting the band placement of lake effect snow.  

 

Absolutely, and well stated.

The randomness of convective activity is largely over in Western New York in late Sep.

Forecasts are largely front related, which is a much easier prediction.

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1 hour ago, TheWeatherMan said:

 

Actually, it’s not.  Convincing people who have never studied meteorology and/or have professional forecast experience that they aren’t meteorologist’s is impossible.  The weather for Orchard Park this time of year is not that dynamic and the models generally do well even 3-4 days out.  You’re mostly timing frontal or trough passage which isn’t that hard to do compared to forecasting the band placement of lake effect snow.  

Yes but they can’t predict exactly where and when scattered showers will form. They can get the when pretty close but it can still be off hours this far out. Rain is likely in WNY Monday but the storms are scattered. 

Edited by Buffalo_Stampede
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