Casey D Posted November 28, 2020 Share Posted November 28, 2020 So at - 5 1/2 most of the public pundits are all in on the Bills. The line always seemed to be lower than expected-- at 538 Bills are deemed 9 point favorites. But now the line has been driven down to 4 1/2 to 4. Why is so much money pouring in on a 3-7 LAC team? Sharpies seem to think they know something, but what is it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beast Posted November 29, 2020 Share Posted November 29, 2020 The Bills haven't beat the Chargers by double digits since 1965, spanning 24 games. I think that may have something to do with it. After the Patriots, the Chargers have owned us over the years. (19-4-1) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDH Posted November 29, 2020 Share Posted November 29, 2020 Ekeler and Harris are playing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brianmoorman4jesus Posted November 29, 2020 Share Posted November 29, 2020 The bills don’t blow anyone out. Every game is close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
17islongenough Posted November 29, 2020 Share Posted November 29, 2020 The Chargers play everyone close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hapless Bills Fan Posted November 29, 2020 Share Posted November 29, 2020 37 minutes ago, Casey D said: So at - 5 1/2 most of the public pundits are all in on the Bills. The line always seemed to be lower than expected-- at 538 Bills are deemed 9 point favorites. But now the line has been driven down to 4 1/2 to 4. Why is so much money pouring in on a 3-7 LAC team? Sharpies seem to think they know something, but what is it? Offensively and defensively, the Bills and Chargers match up very well - points allowed vs scored, pass yards, rush yards. Where there are advantages, they belong to the Chargers - more yards gained (401 vs 377), more rush yards gained (121 per game vs 98 per game), fewer yards given up (344 vs 374), fewer rush yards given up (115 vs 135) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Casey D Posted November 29, 2020 Author Share Posted November 29, 2020 25 minutes ago, Hapless Bills Fan said: Offensively and defensively, the Bills and Chargers match up very well - points allowed vs scored, pass yards, rush yards. Where there are advantages, they belong to the Chargers - more yards gained (401 vs 377), more rush yards gained (121 per game vs 98 per game), fewer yards given up (344 vs 374), fewer rush yards given up (115 vs 135) So the records of 3-7 v. 7-3 make the Bills superficially seem to be strong favorites, but big bettors that do more granular analysis are focusing on these stats you think? Thus the shrinking line? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Turk Posted November 29, 2020 Share Posted November 29, 2020 1 hour ago, Casey D said: So at - 5 1/2 most of the public pundits are all in on the Bills. The line always seemed to be lower than expected-- at 538 Bills are deemed 9 point favorites. But now the line has been driven down to 4 1/2 to 4. Why is so much money pouring in on a 3-7 LAC team? Sharpies seem to think they know something, but what is it? Chargers lose a lot of one score games. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logic Posted November 29, 2020 Share Posted November 29, 2020 I have to think that the personnel news -- Chargers getting Ekeler and Harris back, Bills losing John Brown -- affected the line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sherlock Holmes Posted November 29, 2020 Share Posted November 29, 2020 40 minutes ago, Hapless Bills Fan said: Offensively and defensively, the Bills and Chargers match up very well - points allowed vs scored, pass yards, rush yards. Where there are advantages, they belong to the Chargers - more yards gained (401 vs 377), more rush yards gained (121 per game vs 98 per game), fewer yards given up (344 vs 374), fewer rush yards given up (115 vs 135) You forgot Joey Bosa... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Casey D Posted November 29, 2020 Author Share Posted November 29, 2020 12 minutes ago, Logic said: I have to think that the personnel news -- Chargers getting Ekeler and Harris back, Bills losing John Brown -- affected the line. Makes sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uticaclub Posted November 29, 2020 Share Posted November 29, 2020 1 hour ago, Casey D said: So at - 5 1/2 most of the public pundits are all in on the Bills. The line always seemed to be lower than expected-- at 538 Bills are deemed 9 point favorites. But now the line has been driven down to 4 1/2 to 4. Why is so much money pouring in on a 3-7 LAC team? Sharpies seem to think they know something, but what is it? The betting line opened at 6 and dropped to 4.5 with Eckler playing/Brown & Ford not. Please dont look into 538 for anything other than entertainment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bferra13 Posted November 29, 2020 Share Posted November 29, 2020 John Brown really hurts. He streches the field letting Diggs and co get open. Working with a shorter field affected Josh big time on the KC and Ten games. Not gonna be easy tomorrow. Glad it is in Buffalo though, I think that is still an advantage even without fans. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaBillsFanSince1973 Posted November 29, 2020 Share Posted November 29, 2020 1 hour ago, Brianmoorman4jesus said: The bills don’t blow anyone out. Every game is close was the seattle game close? my memory says it wasn't. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doc Brown Posted November 29, 2020 Share Posted November 29, 2020 I get the sharp money on the Chargers with the injury news and their 3-7 record being deceiving but we have a few things working to our advantage. -Coming off a bye giving McDermott time to scheme against a rookie quarterback with almost all of our defensive starters back. -Chargers are down their best CB and two of their top three pass rushers. -Good weather and the Chargers having to travel to the East coast should favor the Bills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Augie Posted November 29, 2020 Share Posted November 29, 2020 2 hours ago, Beast said: The Bills haven't beat the Chargers by double digits since 1965, spanning 24 games. I think that may have something to do with it. After the Patriots, the Chargers have owned us over the years. (19-4-1) While interesting, some of our players parents were not yet born in 1965. I prefer to look at our team today, and I take NOTHING for granted. One game at a time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaptnCoke11 Posted November 29, 2020 Share Posted November 29, 2020 19 minutes ago, Doc Brown said: I get the sharp money on the Chargers with the injury news and their 3-7 record being deceiving but we have a few things working to our advantage. -Coming off a bye giving McDermott time to scheme against a rookie quarterback with almost all of our defensive starters back. -Chargers are down their best CB and two of their top three pass rushers. -Good weather and the Chargers having to travel to the East coast should favor the Bills. They are getting their best CB back for Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SF Bills Fan Posted November 29, 2020 Share Posted November 29, 2020 3 hours ago, Beast said: The Bills haven't beat the Chargers by double digits since 1965, spanning 24 games. I think that may have something to do with it. After the Patriots, the Chargers have owned us over the years. (19-4-1) Yep and also Jack Kemp has a nagging injury. He is dead. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GoBills808 Posted November 29, 2020 Share Posted November 29, 2020 Bills money line holding steady, Bills win a close one game goes under Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillsFan4 Posted November 29, 2020 Share Posted November 29, 2020 I’m not a gambler but I’m nervous about this game. The Bills always seem to have a hard time against the chargers. I expect it to be a tough game. Definitely not expecting an easy win. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
billieve420 Posted November 29, 2020 Share Posted November 29, 2020 Bills play down to their opponents and rarely blow anyone out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe Ferguson Posted November 29, 2020 Share Posted November 29, 2020 (edited) We don't have Nate Peterman anymore to give them 5 interceptions. Edited November 29, 2020 by Joe Ferguson Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buftex Posted November 29, 2020 Share Posted November 29, 2020 This game scares me a bit. If you compared the teams stats, and didn't know which team was which, the Chargers look better on paper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brianmoorman4jesus Posted November 29, 2020 Share Posted November 29, 2020 In probably just the last few days really got over that cardinals bull####. Man we gotta find a way to win this game. Absolute must win Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TBBills Posted November 29, 2020 Share Posted November 29, 2020 (edited) 5 hours ago, Beast said: The Bills haven't beat the Chargers by double digits since 1965, spanning 24 games. I think that may have something to do with it. After the Patriots, the Chargers have owned us over the years. (19-4-1) Imagine if all those stats actually mattered. If the line is moving it means the "Sharps" did a good job with the spread. Edited November 29, 2020 by TBBills Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QB Bills Posted November 29, 2020 Share Posted November 29, 2020 5 hours ago, Beast said: The Bills haven't beat the Chargers by double digits since 1965, spanning 24 games. I think that may have something to do with it. After the Patriots, the Chargers have owned us over the years. (19-4-1) Damn. Some of these guys must be in their 80s by now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bookie Man Posted November 29, 2020 Share Posted November 29, 2020 I have Chargers +19 as a part of a teaser. Liking the over as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mango Posted November 29, 2020 Share Posted November 29, 2020 5 hours ago, Beast said: The Bills haven't beat the Chargers by double digits since 1965, spanning 24 games. I think that may have something to do with it. After the Patriots, the Chargers have owned us over the years. (19-4-1) Hell, this season alone the chargers have not lost by more than a single possession. If 538 was a betting line I would jump on the Chargers to cover all day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BringMetheHeadofLeonLett Posted November 29, 2020 Share Posted November 29, 2020 If I saw ir right, their offensive and defensive rankings are both better than us. So, throw out the records and home field and they should win. 23-16 Bills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fansince88 Posted November 29, 2020 Share Posted November 29, 2020 22 hours ago, Beast said: The Bills haven't beat the Chargers by double digits since 1965, spanning 24 games. I think that may have something to do with it. After the Patriots, the Chargers have owned us over the years. (19-4-1) won by 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beast Posted November 29, 2020 Share Posted November 29, 2020 15 minutes ago, fansince88 said: won by 10 Yes they did. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRH Posted November 30, 2020 Share Posted November 30, 2020 (edited) On 11/28/2020 at 7:10 PM, Beast said: The Bills haven't beat the Chargers by double digits since 1965, spanning 24 games. I think that may have something to do with it. After the Patriots, the Chargers have owned us over the years. (19-4-1) It’s mind-boggling that we’ve only played a team with whom we share so much history (AFL) 25 times in the last 55 years. Doesn’t it feel like we’ve played the Chiefs and Raiders much more often? Edited November 30, 2020 by BRH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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