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Winning teams vs. winning teams


Tortured Soul

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Bills are 4-3.  Only two of 14 other teams have as many as three wins, and only one other team has played as many as five such games.
 

Miami - 2-2

Pittsburgh - 3-0
Baltimore - 2-2
Cleveland - 1-3
Indianapolis - 1-2
Tennessee - 1-2
Kansas City - 2-1
Las Vegas - 3-2
Green Bay - 1-1
New Orleans - 2-2
Tampa Bay - 2-2
Seattle - 1-3
Arizona - 2-1
Los Angeles - 1-2
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I never put much stock into preseason schedule comparisons but after TEN games and we’ve played seven against teams that currently have winning records, that’s brutal for sure. This has to get easier in the final run...right?

Edited by SoCal Deek
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Just now, H2o said:

We all knew the schedule was a heck of a lot tougher this year. We have a good football team and Josh has taken a huge step forward. We will have earned every bit of our success. 

its an impressive 7-3 for sure. i honestly think the schedule has been even a bit harder than we expected and, like you said, we all expected a tough one.

 

7 out of 10 games with 6-3 record or better. thats absurd.

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Exactly. This years Bills team is on the cusp of taking it to the next level. To be 7-3 with this schedule is fantastic (and a crazy miracle play away from 8-2). Josh Allen is the real deal. Yes, defense needs to get better but I have not felt this level of excitement since 1987 when the Kelly led Bills were about to flip the script. I think we all should be very optimistic about the rest of the season and heading into the playoffs.

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Wow I knew we had it tough but I didn´t know how hard it has been. 

 

This confirm to me that we have a good team, sometimes we don´t play as good as we can (Tenn), somo others the other team its just better (KC) and sometimes a the game goes away in the most improbable way it could (AZ).

 

7-3 and I don´t think we lose more than 2 more games, but I know we can compete with anybody. 

 

Go Bills!

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28 minutes ago, SoCal Deek said:

I never put much stock into preseason schedule comparisons but after TEN games and we’ve played seven against teams that currently have winning records, that’s brutal for sure. This has to get easier in the final run...right?

Chargers, Denver, Pats, niners currently all have losing records so that’s technically easier. Sadly, no more jets games.

Edited by YoloinOhio
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1 minute ago, MJS said:

And yet we have thread after thread started claiming how "concerned" fans are and claiming that "good teams" don't do what our team does.

 

Green bay got blown out by Tampa, and Tampa got blown out by New Orleans, and New Orleans lost to Green bay and needed OT to beat the chargers and bears...

 

You don't always play your best game, the key is winning a few when you don't play well.

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31 minutes ago, MJS said:

And yet we have thread after thread started claiming how "concerned" fans are and claiming that "good teams" don't do what our team does.

 

Amazing how hyper critical some Bills fans are.  Even when they have an awesome team in front of them they still feel the need to cherry pick faults.  Has to be in their upbringing.  No normal person would think that way.....

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11 minutes ago, Kwai San said:

 

Amazing how hyper critical some Bills fans are.  Even when they have an awesome team in front of them they still feel the need to cherry pick faults.  Has to be in their upbringing.  No normal person would think that way.....

 

I think a few struggle to acknowledge that there can be things wrong and the team still be good. They are on both sides as well. There are some people who say "hey we are 7-3 so everyone criticising should shut up every team loses" and there are some who say "we might be 7-3 but look at all these things that are wrong the sky is falling."

 

The truth of course is in the middle. I used to say frequently when we were going 6-10 and 7-9 every year that some people refused to accept that there were some good things about the organisation and the team in those years.... being below .500 does not mean everything deserves criticism. In the same way now being above .500 doesn't mean nothing does.

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3 hours ago, YoloinOhio said:

Chargers, Denver, Pats, niners currently all have losing records so that’s technically easier. Sadly, no more jets games.

We gotta win those 4 games. Maybe we upset the Steelers but those 4 are critical. And the Cheats will probably be the toughest of these.

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1 hour ago, GunnerBill said:

 

I think a few struggle to acknowledge that there can be things wrong and the team still be good. They are on both sides as well. There are some people who say "hey we are 7-3 so everyone criticising should shut up every team loses" and there are some who say "we might be 7-3 but look at all these things that are wrong the sky is falling."

 

The truth of course is in the middle. I used to say frequently when we were going 6-10 and 7-9 every year that some people refused to accept that there were some good things about the organisation and the team in those years.... being below .500 does not mean everything deserves criticism. In the same way now being above .500 doesn't mean nothing does.

 

Definitely agree.  For all the talk about how great the defense was - we ignore the fact that they played last years dolphins and jets twice, the redskins with haskins, the broncos with brandon allen, the bengals, and the steelers with duck hodges.  And this year they've played - KC, Tenn, Sea, LAR, LV, zona - all within the top like 10 of offensive DVOA.  

 

What I mean to be saying is - they aren't the worst defense in the world.  They were also probably never as good as last years numbers suggest.

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5 hours ago, Tortured Soul said:
Bills are 4-3.  Only two of 14 other teams have as many as three wins, and only one other team has played as many as five such games.
 

Miami - 2-2

Pittsburgh - 3-0
Baltimore - 2-2
Cleveland - 1-3
Indianapolis - 1-2
Tennessee - 1-2
Kansas City - 2-1
Las Vegas - 3-2
Green Bay - 1-1
New Orleans - 2-2
Tampa Bay - 2-2
Seattle - 1-3
Arizona - 2-1
Los Angeles - 1-2

Thanks for sharing this.

 

This is what I was sharing in another thread. We have the most wins against above .500 teams of any team.

 

What I didn’t know though is that we’ve played two more games against above .500 teams than any other team on this list. And for most the teams on this list, we’ve played three more games against above .500 teams.
 

Yeah, we’re good!

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Yeah but how come we have only beaten the bad 6-3 teams on our schedule, we haven’t beaten any of the good 6–3 teams. Plus 2 of the Bills wins came against the Jets which I believe negates any wins against teams with a winning record. Throw in the fact that they beat the Patriots without Tom Brady so that doesn’t really count, and essentially you have an 0-10 team here

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wait, does this mean that the signature wins that were missing in mcclappy's career have been pouring in all year?

 

assuming we can beat up on the weak sisters of the poor and new england, SF, PITTS, and MIAMI are gonna be just huge games.

 

also, if we get hot or the fish get cold, that week 17 game may not matter anyhow, so really SF and PITTS coming up quickly are gonna answer all the questions we have coming off this bitter loss into the BYE.  gonna be some pretty exciting football into Dec for bills fans, you love to see it.

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52 minutes ago, Ya Digg? said:

Yeah but how come we have only beaten the bad 6-3 teams on our schedule, we haven’t beaten any of the good 6–3 teams. Plus 2 of the Bills wins came against the Jets which I believe negates any wins against teams with a winning record. Throw in the fact that they beat the Patriots without Tom Brady so that doesn’t really count, and essentially you have an 0-10 team here

 

And two wins came against the NFC. And as we all know they are basically losses.

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Just now, Stank_Nasty said:

well ya. does that really need to be addressed? the stats shown are as of week 10. 

 

Useless stat in that case.

 

Teams catch fire, get figured out by opposing coaches, get injuries, throughout the season.

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1 minute ago, Jobot said:

 

Useless stat in that case.

 

Teams catch fire, get figured out by opposing coaches, get injuries, throughout the season.

stop it... its week 10. by then you have a pretty good pulse on who the solid teams are. its not a useless stat in the least. sure things can happen the remainder of the season but the teams the bills have played up to this point have been good squads. the bills have played 7 freaking teams that are 6-3 or better.

 

saying its useless at this point IMO is honestly just dumb.

Edited by Stank_Nasty
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5 minutes ago, Stank_Nasty said:

stop it... its week 10. by then you have a pretty good pulse on who the solid teams are. its not a useless stat in the least. sure things can happen the remainder of the season but the teams the bills have played up to this point have been good squads. the bills have played 7 freaking teams that are 6-3 or better.

 

saying its useless at this point IMO is honestly just dumb.

 

I think it was perfectly possible to have a pulse on who the good teams are before week 1. There is always a surprise or two - San Fran's injury crisis for example - but it was possible to know the Bills schedule was tough IMO. And they have won 7 of their first 10 on that tough schedule. If anyone honestly thinks that the Rams, the Dolphins, the Raiders or the Seahawks are finishing below .500 when all is said and done they can come into this thread and stick their neck out and say it. Those 4 teams are at absolute worst 8 win teams. I suspect all four will finish at least one game above .500.

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8 hours ago, Tortured Soul said:
Bills are 4-3.  Only two of 14 other teams have as many as three wins, and only one other team has played as many as five such games.
 

Miami - 2-2

Pittsburgh - 3-0
Baltimore - 2-2
Cleveland - 1-3
Indianapolis - 1-2
Tennessee - 1-2
Kansas City - 2-1
Las Vegas - 3-2
Green Bay - 1-1
New Orleans - 2-2
Tampa Bay - 2-2
Seattle - 1-3
Arizona - 2-1
Los Angeles - 1-2


Dont share with Matt Fairburn...he’ll try digging out more facts to prove that McDermott is a bad coach

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Imagine if the Bills can actually play a consistent 60 minute game to boot.

 

The Bills seem to do enough to keep themselves and their opponents in the game until the end and the Bills find a way to pull it out 70% of the time no matter how well or how poorly they have played up until the end of games.

 

A 7-3 record sounds about right.

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20 hours ago, Stank_Nasty said:

stop it... its week 10. by then you have a pretty good pulse on who the solid teams are. its not a useless stat in the least. sure things can happen the remainder of the season but the teams the bills have played up to this point have been good squads. the bills have played 7 freaking teams that are 6-3 or better.

 

saying its useless at this point IMO is honestly just dumb.

 

Haha no... It's useless statistic because there are an infinite number of variables happening to every team throughout the season. If you don't understand how that could impact the basis of the statistic, then you won't get it, which is fine.

 

But if it makes you sleep better at night, by all means, this TOTALLY means Bills will be in the super bowl.

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15 minutes ago, Jobot said:

 

Haha no... It's useless statistic because there are an infinite number of variables happening to every team throughout the season. If you don't understand how that could impact the basis of the statistic, then you won't get it, which is fine.

 

But if it makes you sleep better at night, by all means, this TOTALLY means Bills will be in the super bowl.

right. and if you dont get that it aint that deep then you just wont get it either. we are 10 games into the season. looking at a teams record at this point gives us a solid idea of how they have played, as a general rule, up to this point. its it a pinpoint analysis? no. but its a solid indicator of our quality of competition.... i'm not the one having trouble grasping things here.

 

and who said super bowl? but yes, it does help me sleep better at night knowing this years 7-3 start has way more substance than last years....again, if you cant see that, then its a reflection on you and not anyone else.

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23 hours ago, LABILLBACKER said:

We gotta win those 4 games. Maybe we upset the Steelers but those 4 are critical. And the Cheats will probably be the toughest of these.

absolutely have to win the next 2 games to keep pace with the rest of the top afc teams.  9-3 sounds good

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36 minutes ago, Stank_Nasty said:

right. and if you dont get that it aint that deep then you just wont get it either. we are 10 games into the season. looking at a teams record at this point gives us a solid idea of how they have played, as a general rule, up to this point. its it a pinpoint analysis? no. but its a solid indicator of our quality of competition.... i'm not the one having trouble grasping things here.

 

and who said super bowl? but yes, it does help me sleep better at night knowing this years 7-3 start has way more substance than last years....again, if you cant see that, then its a reflection on you and not anyone else.

 

Great.

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3 minutes ago, 2003Contenders said:

Battle-tested for sure.

 

I would, however, caution everyone not to overlook some of the remaining teams on the schedule with losing records. For example, the Chargers are much better than their record would suggest. They have been in most every game and have had a very difficult schedule.

 

The Chargers have talented players. I am less convinced they are a "good team".

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On 11/17/2020 at 8:28 AM, SoCal Deek said:

I never put much stock into preseason schedule comparisons but after TEN games and we’ve played seven against teams that currently have winning records, that’s brutal for sure. This has to get easier in the final run...right?

 

Its a week to week league.  Even the Jets have started looking more competent.  

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Interesting. Thanks for the research TS.

 

All points to good things ahead: Chargers, 49ers, Broncos, Pats, Fish, all winnable games if we don't drop a turd. And a win versus the Steelers would put us into the "best AFC team" discussion.

 

Of course, the most important are the last two games: Pats and Fish = Win them, win the division (with another win or two to go with them)!

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