Jump to content

The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19


Hedge

Recommended Posts

https://www.politico.com/states/california/story/2020/03/15/california-calls-for-all-seniors-to-stay-home-closure-of-bars-and-wineries-9421938

 

Governor Newsome has called for closure of establishments serving alcohol, and curtailment of restaurants, as well as home quarantine of the elderly.  Currently still on voluntary basis but situation is evolving rapidly.

Edited by Jon in Pasadena
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, meazza said:


It spreads exponentially. Not surprising especially in a city as dense as New York City.

 

It seems to me that if we went about our business like we normally do it wouldn't have spread this fast.

 

The panic is the disease and not the disease itself.

  • Like (+1) 1
  • Awesome! (+1) 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, njbuff said:

 

It seems to me that if we went about our business like we normally do it wouldn't have spread this fast.

 

The panic is the disease and not the disease itself.


nobody knows 

 

chill for awhile, do what they suggest and 

  • Like (+1) 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, njbuff said:

 

It seems to me that if we went about our business like we normally do it wouldn't have spread this fast.

 

The panic is the disease and not the disease itself.


That’s what happened in Italy and the hospitals are overflowing with patients.

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, njbuff said:

 

It seems to me that if we went about our business like we normally do it wouldn't have spread this fast.

 

The panic is the disease and not the disease itself.

There is no question that the disease is serious and needs to be treated that way. It may not strike you as something to personally worry about but a person can have the disease without any symptoms and then spread it to others who may have underlying problems. You could be the cause of other people dying even without your own knowledge. At least with the flu one knows they have something wrong if they have contracted it. 

6 minutes ago, njbuff said:

 

China wanted worldwide discourse and they certainly got it.

China, by keeping it quiet is and will be responsible for 1000's of deaths around the world. They have a no fvcks given attitude as it pertains to other countries. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

58 minutes ago, njbuff said:

 

That's more than triple in four days.

 

WTF is going on?

Testing has been very limited, so now that it's ramping up, we'll see the number of cases accelerate.  There may be some 30,000 cases (+\- 10,000) out there right now that haven't been identified because of the slow ramp up in testing.. there is good reason to take extreme measures now.

Edited by TPS
  • Like (+1) 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 hours ago, B-Man said:

The British approach to coronavirus

by  Tyler Cowen March 14, 2020 at 12:15 am

Not sure how aware you are of what’s happening here but the British government is taking a decidedly different approach to most other nations. They are not shutting schools or cancelling large gatherings or recommending self-isolation. They’re taking a longer view and saying if that happens it will be a way off yet. The policy is led by the scientists.

 

It’s a very bold approach, the govt is coming under a lot of pressure to do what other nations are doing, there’s a lot of shouting to DO MORE, but so far they’re ignoring it. It’s kind of fascinating to see it play out. If you have time, today’s press conference is really worth a watch, the chief scientific and health advisers give a pretty detailed explanation of what they’re doing (Johnson introduces and then the scientists start talking at 31.50). They don’t say this explicitly but their bet is that what China and South Korea are doing is not economically or psychologically sustainable and will just lead to another peak. (My friend has drawn a cute visual explanation of the thinking here).

 

In this press conference they also make a pretty persuasive case that cancelling large gatherings is pointless and may be counter-productive.

 

…One more thing – good summary of the arguments the govt scientists made in that press conference, in this Guardian report. eg “closures would have to be at least 13 weeks long to reduce the peak of Covid-19 by 10-15%. Measures such as self-isolation for seven days for those with symptoms … have been modelled and are shown to be much more effective”

 

That is from an Ian Leslie email.  I am skeptical about this approach (is it politically sustainable?), but we will know more soon.  Here is another good explanation, by another guy named Ian:

 

3. A UK starting assumption is that a high number of the population will inevitably get infected whatever is done – up to 80%. As you can’t stop it, so it is best to manage it. There are limited health resources so the aim is to manage the flow of the seriously ill to these.

4. The Italian model the aims to stop infection. The UKs wants infection BUT of particular categories of people. The aim of the UK is to have as many lower risk people infected as possible. Immune people cannot infect others; the more there are the lower the risk of infection

 

 

And here is a polemic critique of the British strategy.  Continuing…

 

 

.

 

Frankly, I'm glad someone is trying a different approach.   We have devolved into a world not just comprised of lemmings, but lemmings who will angrily attack anyone who doesn't following the 'approved' course of action.

 

This isn't the last one of these we're going to see, so might be good if we were able to evaluate relative good/bad ideas/outcomes after this episode is over.

  • Like (+1) 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 hours ago, Deranged Rhino said:

It's odd that the homeless population in LA country has so far not been effected. 

 

High risk population, no cases (that I've seen)... Haven't hear much about the homeless in other areas either (WA, OR, Bay Area)... 

 

We were discussing this last week and concluded that the dudes living on the streets in the Tenderloin must have incredible immune systems by now so were probably in the low risk group.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Jon in Pasadena said:

https://www.politico.com/states/california/story/2020/03/15/california-calls-for-all-seniors-to-stay-home-closure-of-bars-and-wineries-9421938

 

Governor Newsome has called for closure of establishments serving alcohol, and curtailment of restaurants, as well as home quarantine of the elderly.  Currently still on voluntary basis but situation is evolving rapidly.

 

...my son's friend manages a large restaurant locally....they cannot keep the restrooms stocked with toilet paper because people are stealing it......seriously?..........

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 hours ago, Buffalo Bills Fan said:

 

Lets be clear. NY here is NYC for the most part. The people live on top of each other. Of course it would spread like that.

 https://syracusecom.maps.arcgis.com/apps/Embed/index.html?webmap=c927d20b0e024193af82cd8795429c1c&extent=-79.4269,41.5579,-73.5767,44.198&zoom=true&scale=false&legend=true&disable_scroll=true&theme=light

Edited by fansince88
Link to comment
Share on other sites

I will tell you in 24 hours what happened today and put it on a grid and it will let me know if more or less people came down with it

 

but anyone can do that 

 

it will have no help at all in determining the course of the next 24 hours, not a shred of help at all

 

eventually it will peak and wane and nobody has a clue as to that time

 

rinse and repeat 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, KD in CA said:

 

Frankly, I'm glad someone is trying a different approach.   We have devolved into a world not just comprised of lemmings, but lemmings who will angrily attack anyone who doesn't following the 'approved' course of action.

 

This isn't the last one of these we're going to see, so might be good if we were able to evaluate relative good/bad ideas/outcomes after this episode is over.

 

LOTS of that here on TSW. See: Coach Tuesday and his "budweiser swilling gun-toting America" diatribe.

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just got an email on two positive tests on people that work in my building. Not surprising...About 5k people on our campus, international F100 company where people travel a lot and large international workforce. We’ve been on work from home since Thursday...till mid-April.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

In the "one less thing to worry about department", due to the CoronaVirus, ISIS has banned its followers from carrying out jihad in plague stricken countries. 

 

https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/isis-issues-travel-warning-over-coronavirus-pandemic/

 

ISIS also suggests that the Faithful should wash their hands frequently and place their hands over their mouths when sneezing. 

Edited by Artful Dodger
Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 hours ago, njbuff said:

 

That's more than triple in four days.

 

WTF is going on?

Gee, I don't know. Maybe they finally started testing people? What sucks about testing people is that the damn numbers go up. ***** science.

 

3 hours ago, Buffalo_Gal said:

:blink:

 

 

 

Awesome. We live 20 miles south of there part of the year. Looking forward to being there in a week or so.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, JetsFan20 said:

I’m not a doctor, but I personally think this is getting blown out of proportion.

 

Flu season is pretty much over.  


gotta put up with this to the end of March and see what’s what

Link to comment
Share on other sites

 

 

---------------------------------------

Keep this in mind, should you be on the receiving end of one of these:

 

For example:

 

 

---------------------------------------------

 

---------------------------------------

 

 

 

Edited by Hedge
  • Like (+1) 1
  • Thank you (+1) 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, Hedge said:

Breaking: All bars in NYC will now be serving food.

 

 


Same measures have been took in Ohio, Illinois, and parts of PA. What’s the plan from keeping these business from avoiding financial ruin? Commercial real estate in NYC is 10-25K a month. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, OldTimeAFLGuy said:

..just a hunch that a vaccine will be developed elsewhere in the world, put into service to stop the spread while the FDA and CDC wrangle over turf war at home........

Not shy about hiding your ignorance huh?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Has everyone noticed how at every turn the president has to make an official ‘declaration‘ just to clear away the piles of regulations that keep the government from getting anything done? The country is just not set up for swift action on anything. Checks and balances, while good intentioned, make it really hard to get anything urgent done.

  • Like (+1) 5
Link to comment
Share on other sites

I wouldn't be too concerned if I didn't have a 93 ½  year old mother. She recovered from a bout of pneumonia a year ago. I am taking every precaution  when I go shopping. 

 

  • Like (+1) 6
  • Thank you (+1) 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 minutes ago, Wacka said:

I wouldn't be too concerned if I didn't have a 93 ½  year old mother. She recovered from a bout of pneumonia a year ago. I am taking every precaution  when I go shopping. 

 

I think everyone, young and old should be concerned. Not just for themselves  but for family, friends and even strangers.

PS: not directed at you Wacka?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

is it possible to not have been exposed to this taking the subway every workday to work in the financial district of a metropolitan city, every weekday for the last 3 months?

 

 

 

 

  • Thank you (+1) 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, row_33 said:

is it possible to not have been exposed to this taking the subway every workday to work in the financial district of a metropolitan city, every weekday for the last 3 months?

 

 

I doubt it is possible. I suspect there are many more cases out there where the symptoms are just not severe enough to warrant concern that they have the COVID-19 virus.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

×
×
  • Create New...