Cash Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 That this is the week we actually connect on one of those deep balls where the receiver has a step or more on the trailing DB. We've had about 1 perfect opportunity for those a week for like 2 months now, and to my recollection haven't actually connected on any of them. (Note: I don't just mean deep shots in general, like Diggs' great contested catch last week. I mean more like Gabe's 99 yard TD against the Steelers last year.) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Billschinatown Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 4 hours ago, Einstein said: I’m oddly calm about this game. The acceptance stage....but also.....I feel like the Bills are the better team. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrivefourfive Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 My gut tells me that the Bills will win against the Chiefs, get into an all out war against the Ravens, and destiny strikes as we beat any NFC rep. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brianthomas Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 My gut is telling me that late night Mighty Taco i ate was a bad idea. For the big game tho? Its hard to pick against the BILLS at home in January vs our rival KC. This has been a goal of ours since those 13 seconds. We have KC at home, now its time to take advantage of it. This team has surprised me & even impressed me with how resilient they have been thruout these past couple years. Now they can put all the bs aside & just focus on 1 thing, winning the next game. I think they do, but its important we get out to a fast start. We cant revert back to a few weeks ago where our offense doesn't get started til the 2nd qtr. Thats not gonna fly vs KC. Sitting on the sidelines at Highmark in the cold, looking up at the scoreboard to see you're losing, while Josh & the BILLS offense maintains drives & keeps you off the field, it has to suck. That's what i hope to see vs KC Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Captain Caveman Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkyMannn Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 My gut tells me I know I won't be able to enjoy the next 3 games. Too much at stake Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FireChans Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 43 minutes ago, PBF81 said: I wouldn't sleep on Mahomes coming back even if we're up by 17. Per my initial post here, if we go up and start playing conservatively on offense to "kill the clock" or whatever, IMO that will be a mistake. We need to try to score on every single drive. Otherwise, to add to what you said, TOs will also be key. We are 8-2 when the opponent commits 2+ TOs. We are 3-5 when we commit 2+ TOs. So there's that. I will. Mahomes couldn’t come back in our earlier meeting. He’s only 3-4 when an opponent scores 10 points first this year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheBrownBear Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 I feel pretty relaxed going into this one. We've gone toe-to-toe with the Chiefs enough over the past few years to know what's in store. It's going to be a hell of a game and a tough victory for whomever moves on to the AFC Championship. And in some ways, given our start and the injuries to the defense, it feels like we are playing with house money at this point. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warriorspikes51 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 KC is 9-0-1 against the spread on the road since 2017 KC has been to 5 straight AFC Championship games Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FilthyBeast Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 3 minutes ago, Warriorspikes51 said: KC is 9-0-1 against the spread on the road since 2017 KC has been to 5 straight AFC Championship games ^^^^^^^ This Also throw in the 3 Superbowls, 2 championships, and Mahomes only playoff losses against Brady x 2 (one OT) and Burrow (OT). Obviously would love to be dead wrong but I'll believe it when I see it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo03 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 The emergence of Rashee Rice is a little concerning, though. It gives Mahomes somewhat of a legitimate threat outside of Kelce Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eball Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 6 minutes ago, Warriorspikes51 said: KC is 9-0-1 against the spread on the road since 2017 KC has been to 5 straight AFC Championship games KC has only played 10 road games since 2017? Somebody needs to talk to the schedule makers about this...it's an outrage! Also, they've been to those AFCCGs playing at home the whole time. When has Mahomes ever faced the sort of road environment he's walking into Sunday night? And...drum roll...he doesn't have the better team... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SWATeam Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, FilthyBeast said: Obviously would love to be dead wrong but I'll believe it when I see it. You must be one of the happiest people alive. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FilthyBeast Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, Buffalo03 said: The emergence of Rashee Rice is a little concerning, though. It gives Mahomes somewhat of a legitimate threat outside of Kelce Said all along this would happen come playoff time especially since everyone things the key to the Chiefs offensive struggles this year is just stopping/limiting Kelce. Rice torched a much better Dolphins secondary than the Bills and definitely could see another monster game against the Bills who aren't going to be near 100% healthy even if key guys play. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
teef Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Just now, FilthyBeast said: Said all along this would happen come playoff time especially since everyone things the key to the Chiefs offensive struggles this year is just stopping/limiting Kelce. Rice torched a much better Dolphins secondary than the Bills and definitely could see another monster game against the Bills who aren't going to be near 100% healthy even if key guys play. bye bye! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Old Coot Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 My gut doesn't know what to think. One the one hand the Chiefs' O hasn't been clicking. On the other hand, our injuries on D. Kelsey hasn't been great since he started dating TS. My guess is that he's being drained of his precious bodily fluids. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Jokeman Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 5 minutes ago, Buffalo03 said: The emergence of Rashee Rice is a little concerning, though. It gives Mahomes somewhat of a legitimate threat outside of Kelce Rice, Kelce and Pacheco if you can stop 2 of the 3 I think you can stop the Chiefs offense. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
major Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 I said this in another thread, but I feel our bills win 35-10. That’s what my gut tells me Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doc Brown Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 18 minutes ago, Warriorspikes51 said: KC is 9-0-1 against the spread on the road since 2017 KC has been to 5 straight AFC Championship games They've only played 10 times on the road since 2017? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warriorspikes51 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 9 minutes ago, FilthyBeast said: Said all along this would happen come playoff time especially since everyone things the key to the Chiefs offensive struggles this year is just stopping/limiting Kelce. Rice torched a much better Dolphins secondary than the Bills and definitely could see another monster game against the Bills who aren't going to be near 100% healthy even if key guys play. They might have the names, but as a unit they are not that great 2 minutes ago, Doc Brown said: They've only played 10 times on the road since 2017? Against the spread.... 6 minutes ago, major said: I said this in another thread, but I feel our bills win 35-10. That’s what my gut tells me This would be absolutely amazing. It's certainly possible. I really expect Mahomes to be fired up to prove the narrative wrong about the road (granted he is 10 TD & 8 INT away this year) I also think their whole team will still be pissed from the Toney incident, and use it as their motivation Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoonerBillsFan Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 5 hours ago, teef said: no idea why, but i feel perfectly fine for this game. for whatever i was more on edge against pitt. not that kc can't easily win, but the anxiety just isn't there. I'm with you teef. I'm just oddly calm about it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Greg Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 We're going to win. It's our time, our year. I'm usually careful to say that, but I have a good feeling Josh and company get the job done. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doc Brown Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 27 minutes ago, Warriorspikes51 said: KC is 9-0-1 against the spread on the road since 2017 KC has been to 5 straight AFC Championship games 8 minutes ago, Doc Brown said: They've only played 10 times on the road since 2017? 6 minutes ago, Warriorspikes51 said: Against the spread.... They've played at least eight road games a season since 2017. That's 56 games. Do you mean as road dogs? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Draconator Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Calm now. Will be in some angst Sunday at 6:25 pm Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cvanvol7 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, Doc Brown said: They've played at least eight road games a season since 2017. That's 56 games. Do you mean as road dogs? Now I wanna know what he thinks the spread is....... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DrBob806 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 hour ago, Patrick Fitzryan said: The Bills did not lobby for that rule change. The Chiefs did, however, after losing to NE in overtime in 2018. change Splitting hairs really. It was indeed implemented after the 13 seconds game fiasco. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DasNootz Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 I think the crowd will be absolutely insane to start, like stadium of rabid dogs. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cvanvol7 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Interestingly enough, this is only the 11th time Mahomes has ever been an underdog and the 2nd postseason game he has been an underdog. This is also the Largest spread he has seen as last years Super Bowl finished at Chiefs +1 or +1.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FilthyBeast Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 2 minutes ago, Cvanvol7 said: Interestingly enough, this is only the 11th time Mahomes has ever been an underdog and the 2nd postseason game he has been an underdog. This is also the Largest spread he has seen as last years Super Bowl finished at Chiefs +1 or +1.5 As if the Chiefs didn't need anymore motivation....especially after the Toney Offside call and everyone throwing out the 'Mahomes has never played a road playoff game' stuff despite the fact the Superbowl is a road game and he's 2-1 there. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cvanvol7 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 2 minutes ago, FilthyBeast said: As if the Chiefs didn't need anymore motivation....especially after the Toney Offside call and everyone throwing out the 'Mahomes has never played a road playoff game' stuff despite the fact the Superbowl is a road game and he's 2-1 there. The Bills are also the last team to beat them as Underdogs and the only team to ever be favored in Arrowhead since Mahomes first three games of his career... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FilthyBeast Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Just now, Cvanvol7 said: The Bills are also the last team to beat them as Underdogs and the only team to ever be favored in Arrowhead since Mahomes first three games of his career... I'm well aware of that but I can tell you the Chiefs care about that as much as Allen winning 3 straight regular season games there....it's as meaningless as it gets. This is also why I wish in some ways the Bills would have lost that game earlier this year, obviously wouldn't have won the division but they'd have a much better shot than trying to beat the Chiefs twice in the same season (regular + playoffs) which is something only Joe Burrow can hold claim too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warriorspikes51 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, FilthyBeast said: I'm well aware of that but I can tell you the Chiefs care about that as much as Allen winning 3 straight regular season games there....it's as meaningless as it gets. This is also why I wish in some ways the Bills would have lost that game earlier this year, obviously wouldn't have won the division but they'd have a much better shot than trying to beat the Chiefs twice in the same season (regular + playoffs) which is something only Joe Burrow can hold claim too. so we'd have been playing the Wild Card on the road.... no thanks Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doc Brown Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 (edited) 16 minutes ago, Cvanvol7 said: Now I wanna know what he thinks the spread is....... Mahomes is 8-1-1 ATS as an underdog which is the stat that scares me the most. I'm not sure if that includes 2017 because he only started one game that year. Edited January 18 by Doc Brown Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miyagi-Do Karate Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 For everyone who said they are calm, I look forward to your manic posts like 5 minutes into the game in the gameday thread. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cvanvol7 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Just now, Doc Brown said: Mahomes is 8-1-1 ATS as a road underdog which is the stat that scares me the most. I'm not sure if that includes 2017 because he only started one game that year. That's actually total underdog in his career. 7-3 Straight up. Only losses to Brady, Goff (lol) and Allen. It does include 2017. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanC883 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 I think our LBs will be fine. We stop the KC running game. We stop the passing game with our secondary (CBs also fine). We come at KCs improved D with multiple looks like we did to PGH by running, using Kincaid, etc, and throw in some deep to Diggs, and we win by 7-10. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullBuchanan Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 I think whoever has the ball last wins. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wppete Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Josh Allen is going to put on the performance of his career. Defense gets 3 turnovers. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FireChans Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 26 minutes ago, FilthyBeast said: As if the Chiefs didn't need anymore motivation....especially after the Toney Offside call and everyone throwing out the 'Mahomes has never played a road playoff game' stuff despite the fact the Superbowl is a road game and he's 2-1 there. Superbowl is usually neutral site, not a road game. Tampa was the exception but that was Covid year where the stadium was nearly empty. 17 minutes ago, Miyagi-Do Karate said: For everyone who said they are calm, I look forward to your manic posts like 5 minutes into the game in the gameday thread. That’s what the GDT is for! It should never be taken too seriously, 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lfod Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 (edited) My gut feeling was the team almost didnt make the playoffs and managed to win the division. I feel better about the situation than I did before that is for sure. I feel the Chiefs are not as strong as usual but if the Bills are not productive enough at stealing time and scoring points the Chiefs will take advantage of being allowed to hang around. If the Bills don't dominate and the score is close then I fear prevent defense and playing not to lose and will probably lose. The only team that can beat the Bills are themselves. Edited January 18 by Lfod Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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