BillyBilliams Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 All week, the Bills were at -1.5 and 60% of the bets have been going to Cincinnati. Despite all this, the line moved to -2 1 hour ago and now it’s at -2.5. Does Vegas know something we don’t know and are waiting to cash in on the people taking the Bengals? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Plano Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 2 minutes ago, BillyBilliams said: All week, the Bills were at -1.5 and 60% of the bets have been going to Cincinnati. Despite all this, the line moved to -2 1 hour ago and now it’s at -2.5. Does Vegas know something we don’t know and are waiting to cash in on the people taking the Bengals? Joe Burrow has lost his vagisil and is quite unwell. 1 1 18 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
teef Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 For someone that doesn’t gamble at all, what do you think this signifies? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
balln Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 2 minutes ago, BillyBilliams said: All week, the Bills were at -1.5 and 60% of the bets have been going to Cincinnati. Despite all this, the line moved to -2 1 hour ago and now it’s at -2.5. Does Vegas know something we don’t know and are waiting to cash in on the people taking the Bengals? Sharps taking bills ? Line moving that way would mean Vegas trying to entice more betting on cincy 2 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GoBills808 Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 It's not every day you can get the 1seed giving a point and a half 1 minute ago, teef said: For someone that doesn’t gamble at all, what do you think this signifies? Late sharp$$coming in on Bills 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Simon Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 Just now, teef said: For someone that doesn’t gamble at all, what do you think this signifies? I would suggest it means that Americans are a very generous lot and love to provide regular donations to unsubsidized gambling entities by blindly betting on events in which they have no control over the outcome. 9 24 6 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dick_Cheney Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 This means for one reason or another, a massive, massive amount of money has come in in favor of the Bills. To go from -1 to -2.5 that suddenly is rather volatile. 1 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyBilliams Posted January 2, 2023 Author Share Posted January 2, 2023 2 minutes ago, teef said: For someone that doesn’t gamble at all, what do you think this signifies? Vegas really likes the Bills and are enticing people to take points for the Bengals so they can cash in significantly 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GoBills808 Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 1 minute ago, Simon said: I would suggest it means that Americans are a very generous lot and love to provide regular donations to unsubsidized gambling entities by blindly betting on events in which they have no control over the outcome. I resemble that remark 1 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyBilliams Posted January 2, 2023 Author Share Posted January 2, 2023 Just now, Dick_Cheney said: This means for one reason or another, a massive, massive amount of money has come in in favor of the Bills. To go from -1 to -2.5 that suddenly is rather volatile. Not necessarily. They also start giving a point or so more to take a calculated risk to get significantly paid. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LEBills Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 The Sharps have been on the Bills since the line came out which is why it moved from a pickem to Bills favored. That it continues to grow in our favor shows how confident the pro bettors are in us. Especially since the Bengals have been amazing ATS this year Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillsfaninSB Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 Joe Burrow went out with a wet head and now has a cold. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
balln Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 (edited) 1 minute ago, BillyBilliams said: Not necessarily. They also start giving a point or so more to take a calculated risk to get significantly paid. Right….. so they can get ppl to bet bengals - when they think bills gonna cover by a fg Edited January 2, 2023 by balln Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flyingant Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 I waited too long to place my bet, so I took an a Alternative line at Bills -3.5 at +124. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RiotAct Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 4 minutes ago, BillsfaninSB said: Joe Burrow went out with a wet head and now has a cold. KEVIN!!!!! 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyBilliams Posted January 2, 2023 Author Share Posted January 2, 2023 6 minutes ago, LEBills said: The Sharps have been on the Bills since the line came out which is why it moved from a pickem to Bills favored. That it continues to grow in our favor shows how confident the pro bettors are in us. Especially since the Bengals have been amazing ATS this year It was never a pickem. It opened up -1.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bookie Man Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 last I saw there was 88% of cash coming in on Buffalo, which is an absurd number. Usually the public is wrong. Don't like it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyBilliams Posted January 2, 2023 Author Share Posted January 2, 2023 1 minute ago, ßookie_tech said: last I saw there was 88% of cash coming in on Buffalo, which is an absurd number. Usually the public is wrong. Don't like it. The money was going to Cincy. The Sharps just dumped a pile on Buffalo which arent usually wrong Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dick_Cheney Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 2 minutes ago, ßookie_tech said: last I saw there was 88% of cash coming in on Buffalo, which is an absurd number. Usually the public is wrong. Don't like it. No way that number was accurate, the public was alllllll over Cinci. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
balln Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 11 minutes ago, Dick_Cheney said: No way that number was accurate, the public was alllllll over Cinci. Right it opened up as a pick ‘em. Then bills -.5 to - 1 to 1.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SCBills Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 Someone got a tip about the status of Poyer and/or Hubbard? Not sure a Safety and Defensive End move the line to that dramatic of an effect though? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Motorin' Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 22 minutes ago, RiotAct said: KEVIN!!!!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheBrownBear Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 (edited) See below/attached for Bills' results when Poyer sees the field... Edited January 2, 2023 by TheBrownBear 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boatdrinks Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 The only thing Vegas “ knows” is money coming in and on who. Especially sharps money. That’s it -this time and every time. They don’t know which team is going to win more than anyone else. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alanvh2o Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 1 minute ago, Boatdrinks said: The only thing Vegas “ knows” is money coming in and on who. Especially sharps money. That’s it -this time and every time. They don’t know which team is going to win more than anyone else. True. And the sharps must have a reason for liking the Bills. La'el being hurt? Bills getting healthy? I think the Bills win this game 8 out of 10 times on a neutral site. But I am a fan. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
balln Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 2 minutes ago, Boatdrinks said: The only thing Vegas “ knows” is money coming in and on who. Especially sharps money. That’s it -this time and every time. They don’t know which team is going to win more than anyone else. Of course they don’t know who’s going to win. But the point is based on where a given line is and where it moves to gives an idea as to what the professional gamblers are picking/ thinking. Based on the data. They think bill will win at least a fg Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Playoffs? Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 49 minutes ago, BillyBilliams said: All week, the Bills were at -1.5 and 60% of the bets have been going to Cincinnati. Despite all this, the line moved to -2 1 hour ago and now it’s at -2.5. Does Vegas know something we don’t know and are waiting to cash in on the people taking the Bengals? This tells me that the bets are coming in on Buffalo, this moving the line in Cincy’s favor to encourage more betting in that direction. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheektowaga Chad Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 Looking at the breakdown of handle vs number of bets nothing too crazy is happening The line has fluctuated from pickem to -1.5 all week This late movement is probably a combo of a respected bettor making a bet on the bills plus poyer playing and maybe bad injury news for Cincy (Hubbard?) If the line breaks 3 points then it becomes eye opening Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LABILLBACKER Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 ....he had to sleep on a hide a bed with Fuller.... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boatdrinks Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 2 minutes ago, alanvh2o said: True. And the sharps must have a reason for liking the Bills. La'el being hurt? Bills getting healthy? I think the Bills win this game 8 out of 10 times on a neutral site. But I am a fan. Again, the question was do they “ know something” and they don’t . Just where certain money is going and they do not look at all money equally. They’re playing the odds too, but sharps are sharps and the general public bets differently. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ToGoGo Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 The Bengals/Burrow are Johnny-come-latelys the last few weeks, and if you listen to their interviews, are buying into their hype. Smart money avoids the noise and takes the Bills. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnny Hammersticks Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 Vegas basically begging people to bet on Cincinnati. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. WEO Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 39 minutes ago, BillyBilliams said: The money was going to Cincy. The Sharps just dumped a pile on Buffalo which arent usually wrong where can I see what the sharps are up to on this leading up to the game? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ridgewaycynic2013 Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 "Pssst...hey pal...putting down a bet?" 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RochesterLifer Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 4 minutes ago, Mr. WEO said: where can I see what the sharps are up to on this leading up to the game? Dial 1-800-Joey Bag-a-Donuts. The password is "Bengals overrated". 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Simon Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 8 minutes ago, Mr. WEO said: where can I see what the sharps are up to on this leading up to the game? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Utah John Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 I would speculate that the changing odds corresponded to the Bills injury report. Specifically whether Jordan Poyer would be able to play. The Bills are undefeated this year when he plays. Early in the week it looked possible he wouldn't play. He's still listed as questionable but I would be shocked if he didn't play, and play well. We need Poyer AND Tre White to be close to their best considering how good a QB Burrow is. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prissythecat Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 58 minutes ago, BillyBilliams said: Not necessarily. They also start giving a point or so more to take a calculated risk to get significantly paid. a brief lesson on how Sportsbook a work https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vigorish sport books or bookies only care about having roughly equal bets on either side . When this happens they make money from the vig . They don’t take “calculated risks” Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyBills Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 50 minutes ago, BillyBilliams said: The money was going to Cincy. The Sharps just dumped a pile on Buffalo which arent usually wrong That's what I'm seeing. I usually don't bet Buf but this is too good to pass up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo716 Posted January 2, 2023 Share Posted January 2, 2023 (edited) 1 hour ago, teef said: For someone that doesn’t gamble at all, what do you think this signifies? That the sharps are keying in on the bills … and The bookies want more bets on the bengals Edited January 2, 2023 by Buffalo716 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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