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Josh Allen is looking a lot more like the 2019 version


Mikie2times

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Last 4 games:  98 of 169, 58%, 942 Yards, 6 TD's to 2 INT's, 80.53 Rating

 

2021: 47 of 84, 56%, 449 Yards, 3 TD's to 1 INT, 77.92 Rating

 

2020 Regular Season: 396 of 572, 69.2%, 4544 Yards, 37 TD's to 10 INT's, 107.1 Rating

 

2019 Regular Season: 271 of 461, 58.8%, 3089 Yards, 20 TD's to 9 INT's, 85.31 Rating

 

 

So what we have seen this season and over the last 4 games is at or below the level of play we have seen in 2019. Which looks right from what I observed, in fact, I would say this team looks very much like the 2019 team. Allen capable of making plays, excellent defense. Playoff team, but not consistent enough to be more.  

 

The question becomes what's going on with Josh? To me Josh looks confused and indecisive which leads to a breakdown of his mechanics and poor timing in our passing game. He doesn't know where he wants to go with the ball and that is concerning. Why isn't he reading defenses as easily as he did in 2020?

 

It seems it is not at all uncommon for QB's that have break out years to regress the next year once teams focus on taking away what they like to do with consistency. It was certainly a lot easier to communicate and audible last season. Whatever it is I don't think the answers are easy or simple. We will see soon enough.     

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Actually I liked many of his decisions today. He threw the ball away like 5-6 times instead of taking dumb sacks like he used to. They still aren’t in sync yet, but it’s not unusual for offenses to not put up big numbers early in a season. Let’s see what happens the next 2 weeks where there is a big chance to put up back to back 300 yd games. Beasley isn’t getting as wide open as he was last year either. Teams have figured out how to bracket his option routes. 

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4 minutes ago, KzooMike said:

Last 4 games:  98 of 169, 58%, 942 Yards, 6 TD's to 2 INT's, 80.53 Rating

 

2021: 47 of 84, 56%, 449 Yards, 3 TD's to 1 INT, 77.92 Rating

 

2020 Regular Season: 396 of 572, 69.2%, 4544 Yards, 37 TD's to 10 INT's, 107.1 Rating

 

2019 Regular Season: 271 of 461, 58.8%, 3089 Yards, 20 TD's to 9 INT's, 85.31 Rating

 

 

So what we have seen this season and over the last 4 games is at or below the level of play we have seen in 2019. Which looks right from what I observed, in fact, I would say this team looks very much like the 2019 team. Allen capable of making plays, excellent defense. Playoff team, but not consistent enough to be more.  

 

The question becomes what's going on with Josh? To me Josh looks confused and indecisive which leads to a breakdown of his mechanics and poor timing in our passing game. He doesn't know where he wants to go with the ball and that is concerning. Why isn't he reading defenses as easily as he did in 2020?

 

It seems it is not at all uncommon for QB's that have break out years to regress the next year once teams focus on taking away what they like to do with consistency. It was certainly a lot easier to communicate and audible last season. Whatever it is I don't think the answers are easy or simple. We will see soon enough.     

I am having similar concerns.  He seems unsure and rattled

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2 minutes ago, dorquemada said:

He was throwing off his back foot all day. He knows better.  

Funny but those back foot throws are how he has been taught to throw for longer balls so he takes mustard off it. It’s the same thing Rodgers does. 

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Just now, IronMaidenBills said:

Allen is still a baby in the NFL. Compare Brady’s first 4 years to Allen and let me know. 

That “baby” just got $150 million guaranteed US Dollars.

 

The excuses for Josh Allen are done. Forever. It’s put up or shut up.

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4 minutes ago, Xwnyer said:

I am having similar concerns.  He seems unsure and rattled

I actually watched the 92 AFC championship game with Kelly in it against Miami the other night. He wasn’t very impressive either and that was after 8 years of professional football. Give the kid a chance to adjust. He just played a great defense and we scored 35 points. We didn’t score 10. Sorry he isn’t a fantasy darling every game. 

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6 minutes ago, Locomark said:

Actually I liked many of his decisions today. He threw the ball away like 5-6 times instead of taking dumb sacks like he used to. They still aren’t in sync yet, but it’s not unusual for offenses to not put up big numbers early in a season. Let’s see what happens the next 2 weeks where there is a big chance to put up back to back 300 yd games. Beasley isn’t getting as wide open as he was last year either. Teams have figured out how to bracket his option routes. 

 I agree with you, he is not in sync right now with ANY of the recievers, much less the offense. Second half he was much better and I think by week 5 he will be at 2020 level. 

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1 minute ago, McBean said:

That “baby” just got $150 million guaranteed US Dollars.

 

The excuses for Josh Allen are done. Forever. It’s put up or shut up.

It doesn’t matter how much he got paid. He’s here, he will be on this team for many years to come. He will figure it out eventually. 

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6 minutes ago, Bruffalo said:

I think it's a little early to make any conclusions yet.  Just enjoy the win.

No conclusions on the rest of his career, no……but he definitely looks more like 2019 Josh than 2020 after 2 games.  I don’t see the same QB that we saw last year. He’s been off.  It’a not too early to say that

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I rarely post because I most enjoy reading and learning but this topic has me frustrated. I get it, it’s two games and we can’t draw season-long conclusions with such little data. However, call it a feeling, Josh just doesn’t look the same. He’s missing what he made last year. He threw two lobs today that very easily could have been picked. 
 

I know we won and overall it was a nice road win. Defense was outstanding today. I’m thinking ahead, thinking division and playoffs because we are good enough to do that this early in the year but the Josh we have seen these last couple games isn’t going to cut it against good teams. 
 

I love Josh and I’m not saying anything silly like “it’s over” or “Josh isn’t the guy.” Nowhere near that sentiment. Just a little concerned. 

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8 of his incompletions today were to Sanders and Diggs who were covered by Howard and Jones.  Why does he ignore Beasley in such large stretches??  

 

 

Again, perspective.  2 elite corners that had elite days.  

 

I thought Josh had 3-4 bad throws I'm not sure I'd say the INT was one of them.

 

He's going to be fine.  His start is the least of my concerns.    

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I think all the mechanical issues, especially his back foot throws are because he isn't decisive in where he is throwing. He eventually see's it, but not soon enough to step up in the throw. So i don't think it's as simple as fixing mechanics. I think it's in his reads on the field. I did enjoy the win, but I was looking at Allen hard this year just based on what level of play he needs to be at to beat Brady or Mahomes. This is going to be a playoff team even if Allen keeps playing the way he has. I just was looking for "next step" evidence.   

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4 minutes ago, NewEra said:

No conclusions on the rest of his career, no……but he definitely looks more like 2019 Josh than 2020 after 2 games.  I don’t see the same QB that we saw last year. He’s been off.  It’a not too early to say that

I’m really trying to talk myself out of it. But dang man, some seriously easy tosses missed and how many dropped picks today? 2 or 3? Sheesh. 
 

 

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7 minutes ago, Process said:

What a load of BS. 

 

He just got the most guaranteed money in NFL history.

 

No more excuses.

 

While I agree with the overall question in the post in that Allen is struggling I'd say your answer is also total BS!

 

Every contract signed by a top player is going to be larger than prior contracts so that means little.

 

At this point in time who has pocketed more money life time Brady or Allen?  If the answer is Brady, then the posters comment about Brady's early years is valid

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What’s amazing to me is how we win 35-0 and played two top defenses and all we can do is focus on is Josh last years Josh or 2019 Josh.

 

Josh Allen is Josh Allen. He’s going to put up some big numbers in games this year too. It’s not a this or that thing to focus on.

 

God you guys are spoiled now.

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He’s been mediocre at best and if we’re being honest he’s been bad more than he’s been good. 
 

This team is going nowhere if this is what our offense is going to look like. 
 

He needs to be a lot better. He knows that as well. It’s going to be a very long season if he isn’t.
 

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11 minutes ago, Big Blitz said:

8 of his incompletions today were to Sanders and Diggs who were covered by Howard and Jones.  Why does he ignore Beasley in such large stretches??  

 

 

Again, perspective.  2 elite corners that had elite days.  

 

I thought Josh had 3-4 bad throws I'm not sure I'd say the INT was one of them.

 

He's going to be fine.  His start is the least of my concerns.    


The int was objectively a bad throw. 

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2 minutes ago, IronMaidenBills said:

With similar stats as Allen within those 4 years. Just proves SB are a team effort. 


Tom Brady grew up in a different league than the one he plays in now. Comparatively to each others peers, Brady was better in the early 2000’s NFL than Allen was in the 2020 era. 
 

He won two Super Bowls and was top 10 in nearly every metric since he took the helm. He lead the league in TD passes his first full year as a starter. 
 

We are fine sticking with Allen through bumps. He’ll be fine, we will be fine. We have to be. But pulling up an excel sheet and blindly comparing Allen to Brady at any point in their careers is an incredibly bad and inaccurate take. 

 

 

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