Predict the Season

[corta765]

39 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:

 

Agree. The Browns in 2019 and Cardinals in 2020 are the closest to surprise losses and both were tricky road games against ascending young teams. McDermott since he has been here has been very, very good at winning the games he should win and not having those shock let down games.

 

Agreed and honestly the Browns in 19 was a 50/50 type loss I wouldn't say it was shocking. In general the 2019 season really didn't have a shocking loss and probably the only shocking win was Dallas. If anything 2020 had more unexpected wins as they just hadn't beat the likes of SEA/LA and the ARZ loss was just luck and one great play.

[GunnerBill]

2 minutes ago, JMF2006 said:

 

He turned into Trentative Edwards

 

Nah. Trent did eventually you know.... throw the ball.... Carson pumped, stopped, looked all around the field 4 times with crazy eyes, turned his back to the defense and then got sacked. I mean when I see 2020 Carson Wentz that is the play I see. 

[JMF2006]

1 minute ago, dave mcbride said:

He was really bad last season for a number of reasons, but the Eagles’ line really was THAT bad.

 

Much better line in Indy but does he(Wentz) have his head on right?

[dave mcbride]

Just now, JMF2006 said:

 

Much better line in Indy but does he(Wentz) have his head on right?

We simply don’t know. I think there’s a little too much certitude here about him being done. The future is unwritten. He may end up sucking; He may revert to the mean. So much depends on the coaching and the supporting cast. He certainly has played well before, so he has it in him.

[JMF2006]

4 minutes ago, dave mcbride said:

We simply don’t know. I think there’s a little too much certitude here about him being done. The future is unwritten. He may end up sucking; He may revert to the mean. So much depends on the coaching and the supporting cast. He certainly has played well before, so he has it in him.

 

We shall see it play out if he recovers from his foot or what ever.

 

I am not cheering for him to fail I just think he is broken.

Sorry to derail your thread Gunner.

 

Back to topic.

Edited August 20, 2021 by JMF2006

[JMF2006]

PIT: W

@MIA: W

WFT: W

HOU: W

@KC: L

@TEN: L

MIA: W

@JAC: W

@NYJ: W

IND: W

@NO: W

NE: W

@TB: W

CAR: W

@NE: W

ATL: W

NYJ: W

 

2 tough road games against 2 tough opponents gets us a 15-2 record 

[BarleyNY]

42 minutes ago, Weatherman said:

Take a look at the Browns schedule…un real.  They play 4 playoff teams (Chiefs, Steelers, Ravens, Packers).  By far the easiest schedule in the AFC.

The Browns strength of schedule is ranked 9th hardest with an opponent winning percentage of .518.  LINK  The Bills are tied for 23rd with an OWP of .478.  The Bills fairly weak schedule should be very helpful in securing a high seed.  Just looking at schedules I expect the Bills to host the Browns if they end up playing. 

[Orlando Tim]

I think we are most likely 14-3.  losses vs the Titans, after laying KC that is a tough game. We lose to colts because Reich has the good luck this game. Finally we lose to Bucs because we are too hyped and play out of control. Thou looking at the schedule if this teams wins less than 11 I will shocked.

[Sherlock Holmes]

Can you edit the Carolina game so I know if McCaffrey is traded to us or not

[Dr. K]

1 hour ago, GunnerBill said:

 

Exactly. They failed to sweep it for the second straight year.... as in if they had swept it then it would be two straight years. 

Ambiguous wording. Try "The Bills fail to sweep the division after sweeping it last year."

 

Sorry to be so picky. I loved the post and I hope they live up to your predictions. My biggest worry is major injuries--the Bills were relatively unscathed last season. 

Edited August 20, 2021 by Dr. K

[GunnerBill]

6 minutes ago, Dr. K said:

Ambiguous wording. Try "The Bills fail to sweep the division after sweeping it last year."

 

Sorry to be so picky. I loved the post and I hope they live up to your predictions. My biggest worry is major injuries--the Bills were relatively unscathed last season. 

 

It was ambiguous wording. I accept. I understand why people read it the way they did but it also can mean what I intended. 

[corta765]

9 minutes ago, Dr. K said:

My biggest worry is major injuries--the Bills were relatively unscathed last season. 

 

It's why I have their scoring down a bit also. The offensive line was very healthy and outside of John Browns injury they were really healthy up front.

[Big Turk]

PIT: W

@MIA: W

WFT: W

HOU: W

@KC: L

@TEN: W

MIA: W

@JAC: W

@NYJ: W

IND: W

@NO: W

NE: W

@TB: L

CAR: W

@NE: L

ATL: W

NYJ: W

 

14-3, potential #1 seed

[Stank_Nasty]

1 hour ago, Greg S said:

 

Didn't the Steelers start last year off like 10-0 or 11-1 or something like. Ben will be at strongest in the beginning of the season before the hits and wear and tear of playing factor in. Bills should win but I agree with you this will be close.

they also faced qb's like jeff driscal, carson wentz, dan jones, garret gilbert, robert griffin, rookie joe burrow, and Jake friggin lutton. As teams got dialed in and the schedule got hard that team completely imploded.

 

I'm a big believer in "any given sunday". I've been watching long enough now to understand any team can hang with any other team. But i also see 2 teams headed in completely different directions. I definitely expect to win that matchup and i honestly expect that we do it convincingly.

[corta765]

1 minute ago, Stank_Nasty said:

they also faced qb's like jeff driscal, carson wentz, dan jones, garret gilbert, robert griffin, rookie joe burrow, and Jake friggin lutton. As teams got dialed in and the schedule got hard that team completely imploded.

 

I'm a big believer in "any given sunday". I've been watching long enough now to understand any team can hang with any other team. But i also see 2 teams headed in completely different directions. I definitely expect to win that matchup and i honestly expect that we do it convincingly.

 

Steelers are kinda the inverse of the Patriots in their last season with Brady. The roster is decently solid and last year propped up an aging QB whereas Brady propped up an aging lineup. Thing is you'll take the QB propping the roster as a bet of the aging guy. I really think they fall to 7-8-9 wins top between the division they have and schedule in general. I would honestly be stunned if they make the playoffs this year, it feels like the year things finally fall.

[Stank_Nasty]

1 hour ago, ScottLaw said:

Remember the 2014 season opener spread vs the Bears? 
 

Bills were something like 14 point underdogs and won the game outright. 
 

I expect the Bills to win but wouldn’t be surprised if it’s close. 

neither will i be. i've watched long enough to understand how the league works. i've also watched long enough to understand when i see one team that looks like they should handle another. I wont be suprised if they play us close. I will be even less surprised if we beat them by more than 2 scores.

[Victory Formation]

14-3

[elijah]

4-2 through first 6, vs PIT, @ MIA, vs WFT, vs HOU, @ KC, @ TEN

 

4-2 through next 6, vs MIA, @ JAX, @ NYJ, vs IND, @ NO, vs NE

 

4-1 through last 5, @ TB, vs CAR, @ NE, vs ATL, vs NYJ

 

12-5

 

 

Earlier in offseason I had the first 6 as 5-1, but I don’t see a win in KC and there’s a loss hiding in PIT, WFT, MIA and TEN 

[machine gun kelly]

13-4 to 14-3.  Most Likely.  We won’t lose games we are supposed to win.  The issue IMO is it’s another off season where they predict Cam, now Mac will win for the Pats.  They are going bananas on how great they will be again.  OTOH, the Bills get no press and top trio lists are everyone but us, even though we were the second best offensive team in points.

 

who freakin cares.  We win, as drago said, they lose.

[Just Joshin']

3 hours ago, GunnerBill said:

 

I agree and I expect the Steelers to go under .500. I just think week 1 is the worst time to get them.

Maybe not.  Will their line be cohesive? 

[GunnerBill]

5 minutes ago, Just Joshin' said:

Maybe not.  Will their line be cohesive? 

 

Fair question. I just think the best time to play Ben is late. He looked like old Ben through the first 4 or 5 weeks and he noticeably slowed as the season went on. If you'd said to me before the schedule release okay there is one game that I'll let you control the timing of I'd have said I want to play the Steelers after Thanksgiving because I think they will look like an old, broken down, battered team by then and may well be about to contemplate a hard re-set. I still think the Bills will beat them week 1, but I think it is likely tougher than playing them late. 

 

*my view on that changes if the TJ Watt hold out lingers on into the season but with the Tuitt restructure I suspect they get it done now in the next week or so. 

[Mat68]

15-2.  Home field.  Superbowl champs.  Allen MVP.  Rousseau defensive rookie of the year.  He ends the season with 13 sacks.

[billybrew1]

14-3 with losses to KC, the Titans and Bucs. We sweep the East again. We beat the fish and NE the same. One game we kill them, one we win but by a closer score. We kill the J-E-T-S twice.

We lose the #1 seed to the chefs on a tiebreaker.

We lose the AFC championship game once again (before winning the 2022-23 Super Bowl after having a fantastic offseason.)

 

You're writing was very entertaining. Thanks for giving a fellow Bills fanatic something good to read this day, thanks again....

 

Go Bills!

[billybrew1]

6 hours ago, Stank_Nasty said:

Our -7 spread for week 1 is tied for the largest spread of the weekend. I really think the week one matchup is one with 2 teams heading in totally opposite directions. Living on the outskirts of “Stiller” country, I can’t think of a better way to start the season than to completely boat race them right out of the gates. 

 

I agree with you in that my gut also says 12-13 wins. But I would argue, if blessed with health, anything up to 15 wins wouldn’t totally surprise me. 

Blessed with health. I think we're far deeper this year except at outside corner and OT (no, I don't trust Brown as a rookie) We should be able to sustain non season ending injuries elsewhere. That's pretty damn good I think.

[billybrew1]

5 hours ago, GunnerBill said:

 

I agree and I expect the Steelers to go under .500. I just think week 1 is the worst time to get them.

I agree with you 100%. We are going to get the stealers best game. I am glad it is at home. Of course, it is the defense that worries me.

Having said that, I can also envision the Bills going four wide and exposing the Stealers lack of cornerbacks and just tearing up that 3-4 the way Kelly used to.

I see both ways as possibilities. Either we win a very close game or we blow them out.

The Stealers cannot stop Josh in the fourth either way.

 

Go Bills!

[Blainorama5]

I'll go with 13-4.  Just don't have a good feeling about the Titans game - call me scarred for obvious reasons.

#2 Seed (on a tie-breaker) - and the no. 1 isn't KC.  There usually ends up being a team that kind of has that darling season (maybe Tenn or Cleveland?).  I think the first half of KC's schedule could potentially put them in a hole.

Bills win the Super Bowl over Tom Brady's Bucs and once and for all exercise every demon imaginable!

 

That's my story at least - and I'm NOT necessarily sticking to it.

[FilthyBeast]

Homer Prediction:

 

Bills 15 -2, make SB and possibly win

 

Realistic Prediction:

 

Bills 11-6, lose in divisional round

 

Given the parity in this league and fact it's so hard to sustain year over year success in this league my gut feeling tells me the Bills will be a good team again this year, but won't have similar success as last year if anything because of bad luck with injuries and some of the same issues from last year lingering (i.e. inability to run the football, not able to hang with Chiefs, defensive inconsistency, etc).

 

In fact here's a Vegas insider pounding the UNDER on Bills season win total of 11 for similar reasons:

 

https://twitter.com/RossTuckerPod/status/1428735238012870663

[billybrew1]

3 minutes ago, Blainorama5 said:

I'll go with 13-4.  Just don't have a good feeling about the Titans game - call me scarred for obvious reasons.

#2 Seed (on a tie-breaker) - and the no. 1 isn't KC.  There usually ends up being a team that kind of has that darling season (maybe Tenn or Cleveland?).  I think the first half of KC's schedule could potentially put them in a hole.

Bills win the Super Bowl over Tom Brady's Bucs and once and for all exercise every demon imaginable!

 

That's my story at least - and I'm NOT necessarily sticking to it.

I have us losing to the titans again too. For obvious reasons yes, but the big reason is that we are hungover from the chefs loss once again. The Bills absolutely know that chefs game is huge but we just don't match up with them well enough yet, we need anotheryear, imho.... Daryl Johnson, Groot, boogie, Ed, AJ will be better in 2022-23.....plus Beane gets them help next offseason. Imho.

[RiotAct]

1 minute ago, billybrew1 said:

I have us losing to the titans again too. For obvious reasons yes, but the big reason is that we are hungover from the chefs loss once again. The Bills absolutely know that chefs game is huge but we just don't match up with them well enough yet, we need anotheryear, imho.... Daryl Johnson, Groot, boogie, Ed, AJ will be better in 2022-23.....plus Beane gets them help next offseason. Imho.

we’ll win one of those games.  I think we beat KC and lose to the Tittians.

[SF Bills Fan]

13 wins, but maybe 14. Win the division with only 1 loss in the East coming from the Dolphins. Will go to the Super Bowl and win. 

[Fan in Chicago]

7 hours ago, GunnerBill said:

 

So there you have it.... I have kind of surprised myself but my official prediction for the Bills final record is 14-3 and the #1 seed.  That feels a game or two ahead of where my gut says... and I have kind of been thinking 12 or 13 wins all offseason but finding the losses is tricky. Obviously the Titans is the most likely other loss and I called that as a loss last year but I just think Tennessee and Buffalo are two pretty evenly matched teams and games between the two will go back and forth. 

 

Enjoy the season folks. 

Stellar work as usual, GB. 

I will be quite concerned going into the playoffs if our losses are to the Chiefs, Bucs and Pats**. Twisted as it may sound, I rather lose to the Jets or Dolphins (and blame it on the team taking the games off) than lose to these 3 teams. At a minimum, we have to prove that we can beat the Chiefs else reaching the SB will be difficult. 

Edited August 20, 2021 by Fan in Chicago

[Stank_Nasty]

18 minutes ago, FilthyBeast said:

Homer Prediction:

 

Bills 15 -2, make SB and possibly win

 

Realistic Prediction:

 

Bills 11-6, lose in divisional round

 

Given the parity in this league and fact it's so hard to sustain year over year success in this league my gut feeling tells me the Bills will be a good team again this year, but won't have similar success as last year if anything because of bad luck with injuries and some of the same issues from last year lingering (i.e. inability to run the football, not able to hang with Chiefs, defensive inconsistency, etc).

 

In fact here's a Vegas insider pounding the UNDER on Bills season win total of 11 for similar reasons:

 

https://twitter.com/RossTuckerPod/status/1428735238012870663

Eh. He really doesn’t say anything of substance to back up his claim. He just thinks they got lucky I guess? How so? It’s just as easy to find reasons why they’ll be just as good or even better than it is to find reasons why they would regress.  The Bills are a good team. Barring a cascade of major injuries I’d be extremely surprised if they won less then 11 games. 

Edited August 20, 2021 by Stank_Nasty

[GunnerBill]

20 minutes ago, Fan in Chicago said:

Stellar work as usual, GB. 

I will be quite concerned going into the playoffs if our losses are to the Chiefs, Bucs and Pats**. Twisted as it may sound, I rather lose to the Jets or Dolphins (and blame it on the team taking the games off) than lose to these 3 teams. At a minimum, we have to prove that we can beat the Chiefs else reaching the SB will be difficult. 

 

I didn't predict the playoffs here but in my head the Browns end up the #2 seed and the Chiefs the #3 with the winner coming to Buffalo in the AFCCG. In that scenario I fancy our chances against KC much more. RWS would be absolutely rocking, our D would be playing like their asses were on fire and I think in that scenario we would play KC a lot tougher than in January this year. Could see the Bills winning a close one. 

[JohnBonhamRocks]

PIT: W

@MIA: W

WFT: L

HOU: W

@KC: L

@TEN: W

MIA: W 

@JAC: W

@NYJ: W

IND: W

@NO: L

NE: W

@TB: L

CAR: W

@NE: L

ATL: W

NYJ: W

12-5

 

May not be popular, but I would not be shocked to see a regression to the mean with play and injuries. Originally had 11-6, but I think this team is better than that.
 

My biggest toss-ups were WFT, @TEN, @NO, & @NE. All 3 I think will be tough. 

 

[LeGOATski]

PIT: L

@MIA: W

WFT: L

HOU: W

@KC: W

@TEN: W

MIA: W

@JAC: W

@NYJ: W

IND: W

@NO: W

NE: W

@TB: W

CAR: W

@NE: L

ATL: W

NYJ: L

 

13-4. The Bills start out with a couple of disappointing losses and all the haters come out of the woodwork with their "last year was a fluke" hot takes. Then the streak happens. They lose a close one @NE who are fighting for a WC spot in week 16. They lose to NYJ while sitting all the starters in week 18.

[HappyDays]

1 hour ago, FilthyBeast said:

Homer Prediction:

 

Bills 15 -2, make SB and possibly win

 

Realistic Prediction:

 

Bills 11-6, lose in divisional round

 

Given the parity in this league and fact it's so hard to sustain year over year success in this league my gut feeling tells me the Bills will be a good team again this year, but won't have similar success as last year if anything because of bad luck with injuries and some of the same issues from last year lingering (i.e. inability to run the football, not able to hang with Chiefs, defensive inconsistency, etc).

 

In fact here's a Vegas insider pounding the UNDER on Bills season win total of 11 for similar reasons:

 

https://twitter.com/RossTuckerPod/status/1428735238012870663

 

Hi Taskers Ghost/High Football IQ. Good to have you back on the board pretending to be a Bills fans. Are you optimistic about Tua? If I were a Dolphins fan like you I would be worried about him developing. Let me know your thoughts.

[MJS]

I won't predict scores, just wins and losses. Here we go:

 

Regular Season

 

Week 1 - Steelers @ Bills - Win

Week 2 - Bills @ Dolphins - Win

Week 3 - WFT @ Bills - Win

Week 4 - Texans @ Bills - Win

Week 5 - Bills @ Chiefs (Sunday Night) - Loss (This one goes down to the wire, perhaps even overtime, with the Bills showing they have significantly closed the gap, but ultimately still taking the L)

Week 6 - Bills @ Titans (Monday Night) - Win (Bills get some revenge and blow out the Titans)

Week 7 - BYE

Week 8 - Dolphins @ Bills - Win (Another sweep of the Dolphins, and perhaps the Bills will never lose to the Dolphins ever again for the rest of time?)

Week 9 - Bills @ Jaguars - Win

Week 10 - Bills @ Jets - Win (The Jets play their super bowl and make it close, forcing many mistakes from the Bills, but the Bills rally in the 4th quarter and pull out the win. Jets fans count it as a win)

Week 11 - Colts @ Bills - Loss (The Colts get their revenge from the previous playoffs and pull out a nail-biter against the Bills)

Week 12 - Bills @ Saints (Thanksgiving) - Win

Week 13 - Patriots @ Bills (Monday NIght) - Win

Week 14 - Bills @ Buccaneers - Win (The Bills beat the defending champs by two scores, picking off Tom Brady three times. Bills fans are oddly on edge until the clock reads zero)

Week 15 - Panthers @ Bills - Win

Week 16 - Bills @ Patriots - Loss (The Patriots find the perfect game plan to frustrate the Bills and pull out an upset win in a close contest. Bills fans have fever dreams the next night, startling awake to images of Tom Brady and Bill Belichick laughing at them, with Julian Edelman dancing naked in the background)

Week 17 - Falcons @ Bills - Win

Week 18 - Jets @ Bills - Win (Blowout alert! The Bills absolutely stomp the Jets on their way to the playoffs, showing the close contest a few weeks earlier was just a fluke. Jets fans still find a way to count it as a win, somehow, and are confused why their 17-0 season didn't get them into the playoffs)

 

Overall record: 14-3

 

AFC East Rank: 1st

- New England (9-8)

- Miami (9-8)

- New Jersey (5-12)

 

AFC Rank: 2nd

- Kansas City (15-2)(1st)

- Indianapolis (13-4)(3rd)

- Baltimore (11-6)(4th)

- Cleveland (11-6)(5th)

- LA Chargers (10-7)(6th)

- Tennessee (10-7)(7th)

 

Playoffs

 

Wild Card Round - Titans @ Bills - Win (This one is a nail-biter, but the Bills pull out the win with a brilliant final 2 minute drive by Allen and the offense)

Divisional Round - Cleveland @ Bills - Win (This one goes back and forth for the first half, with Garret getting tons of pressure on Allen, but the Bills pull away in the 2nd half to glide to a multi-score win)

Conference Championship Round - Chargers @ Bills - Win (Herbert isn't ready for the high-stakes match and gives the ball away multiple times to the Bills defense)

Super Bowl - Rams vs Bills - Win (Bills win their first Super Bowl, crushing the Rams 42 to 28. The city of Buffalo's fertility rate skyrockets, and 12 years from now everyone is wondering why there are only two boys names in the city: Allen and Josh)

 

Notes: The Chargers upset the Chiefs in the playoffs, forcing Mahomes to see it AND believe it. Rams upset the Bucs in the championship round giving us new photos of Tom Brady pouting while sitting on the turf. Baltimore fails to win a playoff game for the 3rd time in 4 years, further increasing doubts about Lamar Jackson as a passer and his ability to produce in the playoffs. Patrick Mahomes wins MVP despite having fewer yards and TD's than Josh Allen, causing Bills fans to angrily donate $57 million to a Kansas City charity.

Edited August 21, 2021 by MJS

[HappyDays]

For my record predictions I prefer to put our opponents in tiers and give my overall record prediction for that tier.

 

Tier 1:

Chiefs

Buccaneers

Titans

2-1

 

Tier 2:

WFT

Steelers

Dolphins x2

Patriots x2

4-2

 

Tier 3:

Colts

Saints

2-0

 

Tier 4:

Jaguars

Falcons

Panthers

2-1

 

Tier 5:

Jets x2 

Texans

3-0

 

Final record - 13-4

[Cusefan66214]

Regular season Record 17-0

Lose the super bowl to Seattle

[FilthyBeast]

1 hour ago, LeGOATski said:

PIT: L

@MIA: W

WFT: L

HOU: W

@KC: W

@TEN: W

MIA: W

@JAC: W

@NYJ: W

IND: W

@NO: W

NE: W

@TB: W

CAR: W

@NE: L

ATL: W

NYJ: L

 

13-4. The Bills start out with a couple of disappointing losses and all the haters come out of the woodwork with their "last year was a fluke" hot takes. Then the streak happens. They lose a close one @NE who are fighting for a WC spot in week 16. They lose to NYJ while sitting all the starters in week 18.

 

Outside of 2018 when we were truly 'rebuilding', one overlooked aspect of mcdermott's teams is getting of to a good start (5-2 in 2017, 2019, 2020).

 

So if we do get out of the gates at 1-2 they'll definitely be some major concerns across the board especially since those 2 losses will be at home.

 

Speaking of overlooked, the Steelers game is really starting to concern me because even most of the pundits and experts are writing them off this year. Big mistake IMO and I think this is going to be a very tough game even if we do win because of how motivated the Steelers are going to be + we have beat them 2 straight years.