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Warren Sharp analysis on Bills draft needs

YoloinOhio

By YoloinOhio
in The Stadium Wall Archives

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TroutDog Veteran

TroutDog

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3 minutes ago, Reed83HOF said:

Can never have enough DBs or WRs in this league


Agreed. I’m interested to see what the late round kid from last year can do (WR). If he can be a red zone threat it would be fantastic. 
 

That allows for DE or CB towards the top of the draft. Personally, I’m less worried about RB. 

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Thurman#1 Hall of Famer

Thurman#1

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1 hour ago, BuffaloRebound said:

We were below average running the ball and were really bad defending the run.  

 

 

Very true.

 

Equally true that we got quite a bit better running the ball as the season went along.

 

First six games we ran for 92 YPG. And 3.81 YPC.

 

Last ten games 117 YPG. And 4.40 YPA

 

That is major improvement.

 

 

 

Defending the run:

 

First six games we allowed 131 YPG. And 4.58 YPC.

 

Last ten games we allowed 112.6 YPG. And 4.65 YPC.

 

That's improvement on a per game basis. The YPC got worse, though the difference is probably statistically insignificant. Being in nickel a lot undoubtedly affects that. Getting Lotulelei back should also really help with run defense, but certainly they can't look at that and say, "Well, Star's coming back, so we don't need to do anything else." That needs attention, and they're giving it attention.

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Don Otreply All Pro

Don Otreply

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2 hours ago, BuffaloRebound said:

We were below average running the ball and were really bad defending the run.  

True, but the more this is considered, the more it is run play scheming that is the actual culprit on offense, imo SM/LF get a bit stuck in their ways and lack creativity concerning the D side of this conundrum. 

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BuffaloRebound Veteran

BuffaloRebound

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3 minutes ago, Don Otreply said:

True, but the more this is considered, the more it is run play scheming that is the actual culprit on offense, imo SM/LF get a bit stuck in their ways and lack creativity concerning the D side of this conundrum. 

I think on defense it’s mostly a case of size especially in the back 7.  We have 5 DB’s on the field 91% of the time and those 5 DB’s are all 200 lbs or less.  Milano is a good LB but he’s on the smaller side as well.  Edmunds has the size but his calling card is coverage.  
It would be great if we could get a bigger guy on the field in place of one of the 5 smaller DB’s and not sacrifice coverage.  

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BarleyNY All Pro

BarleyNY

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49 minutes ago, Thurman#1 said:

 

 

Very true.

 

Equally true that we got quite a bit better running the ball as the season went along.

 

First six games we ran for 92 YPG. And 3.81 YPC.

 

Last ten games 117 YPG. And 4.40 YPA

 

That is major improvement.

 

 

 

Defending the run:

 

First six games we allowed 131 YPG. And 4.58 YPC.

 

Last ten games we allowed 112.6 YPG. And 4.65 YPC.

 

That's improvement on a per game basis. The YPC got worse, though the difference is probably statistically insignificant. Being in nickel a lot undoubtedly affects that. Getting Lotulelei back should also really help with run defense, but certainly they can't look at that and say, "Well, Star's coming back, so we don't need to do anything else." That needs attention, and they're giving it attention.


Those defensive stats show YPC going up slightly (probably unchanged from a statistically meaningful standpoint).  YPG went down but that’s solely because teams weren’t running the ball as much - 4 or 5 fewer times per game.  Looking at the scores of our games it’s pretty obvious why.  4-2 record over the first six games with only one one two score win.  9-1 over the last 10 games with a bunch of blowout wins.  Teams had to pass more in those games.  That’s all it was. 

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Don Otreply All Pro

Don Otreply

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13 minutes ago, BuffaloRebound said:

I think on defense it’s mostly a case of size especially in the back 7.  We have 5 DB’s on the field 91% of the time and those 5 DB’s are all 200 lbs or less.  Milano is a good LB but he’s on the smaller side as well.  Edmunds has the size but his calling card is coverage.  
It would be great if we could get a bigger guy on the field in place of one of the 5 smaller DB’s and not sacrifice coverage.  

Speed and size is a difficult get at LB for us it appears, that would certainly help, better scheming/personnel usage would also help. 

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BuffaloRebound Veteran

BuffaloRebound

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8 minutes ago, Don Otreply said:

Speed and size is a difficult get at LB for us it appears, that would certainly help, better scheming/personnel usage would also help. 

Doesn’t have to be an LB.  Replacing 5’11”/190 lb’s with 6’1”/210lb’s can make a difference too.  JOK would be ideal, but there’s plenty of DB’s in this draft who’d probably get significant playing time immediately.  

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colin Veteran

colin

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we need an improvement in our run game, duh, and a BIG improvement stopping big runs.  given we were the best in the nfl at stopping big passes, a pass rush would help obv, but we need some players in the gut more than anything.  1t and maybe a a DE who can bang (that guy we got w the african name could be that, i hope so anyhow).  beyond that some combo of rb/te/og might get our run game going a little bit.

 

after having rewatched the kc game (groan) one more weapon who was actually healthy on O (TE or RB woulda been ideal) and if we stop 2 of those break away runs, we absolutely have a shot in the game.  when i saw it live it felt like we were dead after 4 drives, but in reality, a couple small differences woulda put us over the top.

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Solomon Grundy Hall of Famer

Solomon Grundy

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3 hours ago, The Governor said:

I would still go ahead and draft WR if it’s BPA. 
 

I doubt that happens. We’re moving up for someone. Could it be Barmore?

Emmanuel Sanders is on a 1 yr deal. Gonna need his replacement. Diggs helped recruit him knowing he needed someone to help on the other side. Not really feeling Barmore 

3 minutes ago, Victory Formation said:

I think the quickest way to fix this team is by revamping the DL. Would like to see 3-4 linemen drafted. Could always use another corner as well.

I agree with this. I’d draft 2 late, but I think adding Geno Atkins would help tremendously. Bills really lacked penetration in the interior of the line 

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Rubes All Pro

Rubes

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2 hours ago, ßookie_tech said:

I thought it said Warren Sapp. I was like, this man has come a long way! 😆

 

Wow, I totally thought the same thing and kept thinking it until you posted this.

 

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LEBills Veteran

LEBills

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1 minute ago, YoloinOhio said:

I’m assuming he is only looking at this from a fantasy point of view. He’s obsessed. 

I like Warren Sharps posts, kinda reinforces what we saw watching games last year. Schopp is just so predictable lol

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YoloinOhio Hall of Famer

YoloinOhio

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37 minutes ago, Logic said:

I thought this was maybe the most interesting Tweet by Sharp (the second one, about the last 5 Super Bowl champions). Didn't see it posted here yet:
 

 

I agree on that for sure. I do think an improved running game will balance out and help the passing game, though. I would look at any added talent to the RB group as a potential offensive weapon, not a guy we will hand the ball of to a ton. Someone good at route running, receiving, pass blocking, and has the threat of speed on the perimeter. That may end up just being Breida. 

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Malazan All Pro

Malazan

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4 hours ago, DJB said:

Where's all them fools that keep telling me we aren't in nickle that often and its not a need? 

 

They exist? Nickel is by far the most used formation in the league. It's over 60% while 3-4/4-3 "Base" formations are under 30%

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Victory Formation Veteran

Victory Formation

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22 minutes ago, jeremy2020 said:

 

They exist? Nickel is by far the most used formation in the league. It's over 60% while 3-4/4-3 "Base" formations are under 30%

So basically this means that DL and DB is a more important position for us than LB. Milano, Edmunds and Klein are solid starting LBs in this league, so if we draft defense, LB should be on the back burner. 

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DJB Veteran

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19 minutes ago, Victory Formation said:

So basically this means that DL and DB is a more important position for us than LB. Milano, Edmunds and Klein are solid starting LBs in this league, so if we draft defense, LB should be on the back burner. 

 

Like I've been saying all offseason and argued with many on here...the big nickle is a huge priority and I think an early round target in the draft. 

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Chandler#81 Hall of Famer

Chandler#81

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6 hours ago, Paul Costa said:

Agree 💯. Didn’t know that nickel stat interesting and explains a little bit of why our run D was very pedestrian. 

Yeah, but this isn’t ‘17/‘18. Turrod is long gone. Our Offense puts up 30 pts/game now. If opponents want to run the ball, let ‘em! It’s a near guaranteed W. Not sure if OP includes pressure from DBs/blitz, but sure, another pass rusher is ideal. Otherwise, assuming Star can still out play Horrible Harry, let ‘em run all day. Even with this game plan vs KC at home, we were in it til late because it kept the clock moving. 

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ColoradoBills Hall of Famer

ColoradoBills

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6 hours ago, BuffaloRebound said:

We were below average running the ball and were really bad defending the run.  

 

Yes.

 

I'll post my "broken record" comment here that I have been saying all year.

The Bills worked on Josh Allen and the passing game almost exclusively last camp.  It was also an "abridged" camp.

It stands to reason that the running game suffered both offensively and defensively because of it.

 

I am certain that it will be addressed both resource wise and training wise this summer.

How much success will come of it can only be realized after the season starts.

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Paul Costa Veteran

Paul Costa

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4 hours ago, Chandler#81 said:

Yeah, but this isn’t ‘17/‘18. Turrod is long gone. Our Offense puts up 30 pts/game now. If opponents want to run the ball, let ‘em! It’s a near guaranteed W. Not sure if OP includes pressure from DBs/blitz, but sure, another pass rusher is ideal. Otherwise, assuming Star can still out play Horrible Harry, let ‘em run all day. Even with this game plan vs KC at home, we were in it til late because it kept the clock moving. 

Solid point. If we continue to dominate on offense. 

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