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Now they like Josh Allen in Trade Up?


PIZ

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Relax guys, Mel Kiper has Allen going #1 overall to the Browns. Todd McShay has the top 4 QBs going in the top six in this draft and states he think the top four will all be good NFL starters. Darnold, Rosen, Mayfield, Allen.

 

So, unless the Bills can move up into the top four, #3 Colts, #4 Browns they will miss out on one of those top four guys because if they don't trade up the QB needy Broncos are sitting at #5 and the NY Jets at #6. 

 

EDIT, Oh BTW Arizona is also looking to draft a QB at the #15 spot so perhaps the Bills FO thinks one of those top four will fall past The Browns, The Giants, The Broncos, The Jets, and Buffalo moves up to beat out The Cardinals.

 

Get ready for Mason Rudolph or Lamar Jackson and if those are the choices at 21,22 I'd say wait until round two and draft luke Faulk or later for Mike White.

 

 

Edited by Nihilarian
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2 hours ago, BuffAlone said:

Wow, im surprised they didn't even scout White. Not sure why they wouldn't have....

 

I think they're methodical.  The first question for them to answer is: do you like any of the "Big Dogs" enough to really strategize how you might to move up for them?

This is the question to address first, because it's going to take some groundwork.  In addition, while Beane is presumably going to want to see the potential 1st and 2nd round picks for himself, at some point in the later rounds he has to trust the evaluations of his scouting staff.

 

 

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47 minutes ago, CaptnCoke11 said:

People still believe everything they read before the draft?  ??‍♂️ 

 

Isn't the truth?  It cracks me up when Kiper, McShay, etc. post another mock draft when there's no reason why it should've changed from the last one.

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10 minutes ago, LittleJoeCartwright said:

 

Isn't the truth?  It cracks me up when Kiper, McShay, etc. post another mock draft when there's no reason why it should've changed from the last one.

And people get violently abusive on here over mock drafts.  It’s truly pathetic. 

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28 minutes ago, baskingridgebillsfan said:

awful ?  he is a huge arm.  He may have accuracy issues but he is not awful 

 

Who cares that he has a big arm? JaMarcus Russell and EJ Manuel had big arms too. O, and they both put up great numbers in the SEC and ACC.

 

Allen couldn’t even cut it at Wyoming playing against weak competition.

 

Just say no to Josh Allen. He will be out of the league in 3 years.

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It's "throw crap at the wall and see what sticks" time of year. This Allbright dude gets quoted a lot but I've yet to see any of his "scoops" turn out to be true or even in the same ballpark as true. 

 

And I'm pretty sure the Bills have scouted just about every draft eligible QB for this year, Allen included. They were in on him earlier than most teams just like they were the first pro team to send scouts to go see Wentz while he was still at ND State. 

 

All sorts of things are gonna be thrown around between now and the draft. I still maintain that in order for them to make a massive leap up the board it's gonna have to be a ridiculously good deal. They aren't gonna sell out all of their draft capital and pull a Ditka. And they aren't gonna go ham in free agency and sign a ton of top tier free agents, they don't have the cap space. I just feel like it's going to be pretty tough for them to pull off a major trade to get their guy. It could happen, I mean, they have been stockpiling picks but if the cost of moving up equals both first round picks, one the twos, something from next year, when you factor in the players they traded to acquire said picks, the deal could potentially look like four or five picks, some which were gained via trading Watkins, Darby and Dareus, and while they got Gaines and Matthews in return, let's say those dudes don't re-sign here, so if you string it out like that it could look like, "Bills give up two first round picks, two second round picks and a sixth (players lost to gain picks equal Watkins, Darby, Dareus, Gaines and Matthews) for unknown QB commodity who might be good...someday." Kind of an oddball way to look at it but if they do make a trade, someone will figure it all out and find out just exactly what was lost versus what's being gained. 

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2 hours ago, Nihilarian said:

Relax guys, Mel Kiper has Allen going #1 overall to the Browns. Todd McShay has the top 4 QBs going in the top six in this draft and states he think the top four will all be good NFL starters. Darnold, Rosen, Mayfield, Allen.

 

So, unless the Bills can move up into the top four, #3 Colts, #4 Browns they will miss out on one of those top four guys because if they don't trade up the QB needy Broncos are sitting at #5 and the NY Jets at #6. 

 

EDIT, Oh BTW Arizona is also looking to draft a QB at the #15 spot so perhaps the Bills FO thinks one of those top four will fall past The Browns, The Giants, The Broncos, The Jets, and Buffalo moves up to beat out The Cardinals.

 

Get ready for Mason Rudolph or Lamar Jackson and if those are the choices at 21,22 I'd say wait until round two and draft luke Faulk or later for Mike White.

 

 

I wouldn't trust anything Todd Mcshay says about QBs. Does the name Jevan Snead ring a bell?

McBoob

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Is there some sort of reward system or something I'm missing for starting threads? I never used to care but as of late I feel like I read this exact same link in one of the other 10 threads it's being discussed yesterday. Today, it has it's own thread with the same arguments that in the end no one will know anyway. I mean I guess whatever floats your boat.. but holy cow!!

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4 hours ago, PIZ said:

 

Sure Why Not. Draft Em All.

 

 

4 hours ago, YoloinOhio said:

?

 

they scouted 0.0 of his games this season

http://billsmafia.com/2018/01/27/bills-scouting-scouts-winter-edition/

 

So we are going after Allen , White and Lauletta :D

 

 

4 hours ago, Buftex said:

If they cant get Rosen, Mayfield or Darnold, I really hope they stay put in the first round.

 

 

Or trade back.

 

 

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6 hours ago, YoloinOhio said:

?

 

they scouted 0.0 of his games this season

http://billsmafia.com/2018/01/27/bills-scouting-scouts-winter-edition/

 

I don't understand this spreadsheet since there are no column headings.  What does 48 over 4 mean? What are the last 2 columns?  Why is Tyrod's height and weight shown? What is the color coding?

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4 hours ago, #34fan said:

Eeeeeee.... Josh Allen reminds me SO MUCH of Ryan Leaf... 

 

Except Allen doesn't seem to be a headcase like Leaf.

Allen has a heck of a ceiling, and looks like the most physically gifted guy in the draft.

He also needs a ton of work.

Will the fan-base be okay with drafting a guy who needs 1-2 years on the bench?

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1 minute ago, SouthNYfan said:

 

Except Allen doesn't seem to be a headcase like Leaf.

Allen has a heck of a ceiling, and looks like the most physically gifted guy in the draft.

He also needs a ton of work.

Will the fan-base be okay with drafting a guy who needs 1-2 years on the bench?

1 year maybe, 2 years absolutely not. With rare exceptions in this day and age, those  type of projects are best served no earlier than day 3 of the draft.

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Oh man..I like Allen the LEAST of all of these QBs...accuracy issues are the hardest things to fix in QBs, and he has major accuracy issues...

 

hopefully not another case of scouts and GMs falling in love with their arms and abilitiy to make "all the throws" while completely downplaying their deficiencies which are much harder to fix...

 

16 minutes ago, SouthNYfan said:

 

Except Allen doesn't seem to be a headcase like Leaf.

Allen has a heck of a ceiling, and looks like the most physically gifted guy in the draft.

He also needs a ton of work.

Will the fan-base be okay with drafting a guy who needs 1-2 years on the bench?

 

He reminds me of Paxton Lynch.  'Nuff said.

 

I see some people comparing him physically and athletically to Carson Wentz---except his completion percentage was over 8% lower, but I mean that's not important is it??

 

I don't want a great physical speciman who has "all the physical tools" but can't play QB very well...didn't we already draft 2 of those guys in the first round Losman and Manuel over the past 15 years?

 

Where do Gms and scouts come up with this fantasy that these guys will suddenly just"get it" and magically transform into Aaron Rodgers all of a sudden??  I mean who are they looking at that has done this coming out of college at 56% completion rate that has done this? Nobody would be my guess

Edited by matter2003
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Just now, BillsFan2313 said:

 

If it happens and Allen is good. Stay away. I love when people who think they know football make these comments. 

 

You mean like the people who knew football that drafted Losman and Manuel that were here?

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36 minutes ago, BillsFan2313 said:

 

If it happens and Allen is good. Stay away. I love when people who think they know football make these comments. 

 

What are you, Allen’s Daddy? I hurt your feelings? If I stay away, it’ll be because of oh-so-serious posters like yourself. 

 

Lighten up, Francis. It’s called hyperbole. 

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38 minutes ago, matter2003 said:

Oh man..I like Allen the LEAST of all of these QBs...accuracy issues are the hardest things to fix in QBs, and he has major accuracy issues...

 

hopefully not another case of scouts and GMs falling in love with their arms and ability to make "all the throws" while completely downplaying their deficiencies which are much harder to fix...

 

 

He reminds me of Paxton Lynch.  'Nuff said.

 

I see some people comparing him physically and athletically to Carson Wentz---except his completion percentage was over 8% lower, but I mean that's not important is it??

 

I don't want a great physical specimen who has "all the physical tools" but can't play QB very well...didn't we already draft 2 of those guys in the first round Losman and Manuel over the past 15 years?

 

Where do Gms and scouts come up with this fantasy that these guys will suddenly just"get it" and magically transform into Aaron Rodgers all of a sudden??  I mean who are they looking at that has done this coming out of college at 56% completion rate that has done this? Nobody would be my guess

1

I have no idea where you guys get these bizarre QB comparisons from? As we get close to the combine and pro days we will see more factual scouting on all these QB's and we will all get a better understanding of their rankings.

 

Right now I see Allen as a top-four pick and perhaps even going #1 overall to Cleveland just from his play in the senior bowl as that play disproved a lot of the negative reports on him. Watch it!

 

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2 hours ago, LittleJoeCartwright said:

 

I don't understand this spreadsheet since there are no column headings.  What does 48 over 4 mean? What are the last 2 columns?  Why is Tyrod's height and weight shown? What is the color coding?

48 starts over 4 years

TT measurables shown as comparison to prospects’

If Astro sees this (he is a poster here) he can explain the color coding

Edited by YoloinOhio
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1 hour ago, Domdab99 said:

 

What are you, Allen’s Daddy? I hurt your feelings? If I stay away, it’ll be because of oh-so-serious posters like yourself. 

 

Lighten up, Francis. It’s called hyperbole. 

 

Not at all, you need to relax. Overreaction much? Hold on, hold on. I'm out. 

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3 hours ago, Nihilarian said:

I have no idea where you guys get these bizarre QB comparisons from? As we get close to the combine and pro days we will see more factual scouting on all these QB's and we will all get a better understanding of their rankings.

 

Right now I see Allen as a top-four pick and perhaps even going #1 overall to Cleveland just from his play in the senior bowl as that play disproved a lot of the negative reports on him. Watch it!

 

 

If you are basing your evaluation on the senior bowl instead of his actual play you are basically asking for a bust.

Who was the last great QB with a completion percentage under 57% in college?  Has there ever even been one?  You cannot simply look at what he "can do" and ignore fundamental flaws such as accuracy and completion percentage that will be even more exposed in the NFL than they were in college.

 

Edited by matter2003
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They should like Josh Allen, big arm, decent feet, NFL frame, better mechanics and will probably need time behind a veteran for at least a season but you'll hear the Bills linked to every top QB. It is interesting though on that chart that the Bills scouted everyone but Josh Allen, maybe they've been doing a bunch of homework on him to not tip their hand? We shall see in April.

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2 hours ago, matter2003 said:

 

If you are basing your evaluation on the senior bowl instead of his actual play you are basically asking for a bust.

Who was the last great QB with a completion percentage under 57% in college?  Has there ever even been one?  You cannot simply look at what he "can do" and ignore fundamental flaws such as accuracy and completion percentage that will be even more exposed in the NFL than they were in college.

 

What that senior bowl showed was his performance with quality players around him that actually blocked on the line and caught balls. 

 

What a lot of the scouting reports don't say is how bad his offensive line was last year and they struggled to make a block. What they also don't say is when the QB would hit the receivers in the hands and they would drop the balls again and again. You know, like Zay Jones did this year.

 

When you have a QB who plays on a really bad team it's very difficult to properly evaluate his overall talent. The QB learns to not trust your receivers or the blocking. The simple fact was he was running for his life most of last year.

 

Think back to 2010 Ryan Fitzpatrick's was literally running for his life the first five games and they lost the first eight games while finishing the season 4-12 Partway through that season Bills GM Buddy Nix pulled Erik Pears, Kraig Urbik off the waiver wire and they came in and improved that O line a great deal. That was the year that Nix signed Cornell green to a three year, 9 mill dollar contract in the offseason to play RT and he lasted a who six games in 2010 before cutting him outright. At least Nix was able to fix the line during the season. 

 

Then Fitz had WR Stevie Johnson who caught about 58.2% of the balls thrown to him that year. That's 141 targets, 82 receptions! 

 

Just saying, we Bills fans have a first-hand knowledge of what it's like to see a QB play on a really bad team.

 

Before Bills fans declare him a bust because of a low completion percentage let's see how he does at the combine and his pro day.  I didn't like him at first either, then I started watching his games and realized just how bad that team was he played on in 2017. 

Edited by Nihilarian
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15 hours ago, Buddo said:

Okay. So we have now had 2 of the 4 or 5 top QB prospects linked to us. At the rate of about one every week, we should have 4 covered by FA. ;)

 

 

IMHO, they "like" him isn't linking us.

 

 

12 hours ago, #34fan said:

Eeeeeee.... Josh Allen reminds me SO MUCH of Ryan Leaf... 

 

 

The main problem with Leaf was an unwillingness to work. Leaf missed his interview with the Colts. He was wildly arrogant and had substance abuse problems, serious ones.

 

These two are not twins from different mothers. Not even close.

 

I'm not a big Allen fan at all, but Ryan Leaf? Nah.

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14 hours ago, CaptnCoke11 said:

People still believe everything they read before the draft?  ??‍♂️ 

 

 

 

Nope. People don't believe everything they read.

 

They believe the stuff that they already thought when it's confirmed. The people who don't like the idea shout "smokescreen," which translated means, "I don't like him."

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