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DCOrange

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  1. I can't really speak to the hospitalizations part though I imagine most of the Covid hospitalizations are actually Covid hospitalizations. But regarding the spike solely being a result of increased testing, that just isn't true at all. Rolling 7-day %'s through June 1st compared to Rolling 7-day %'s through June 30th US as a whole: 5.4% vs. 7.0% (and most of that spike was just over the past 10 days) Florida: 3.8% vs. 16.1% Texas: 4.7% vs. 14.6% California: 5.0% vs. 5.9% Arizona: 8.8% vs. 22.9% Georgia: Can't really tell because they erased a boatload of tests towards the beginning of the month which makes it look like they had a negative %, but just over the past couple weeks their positive test % has more than doubled. I think you get the idea. The % testing positive has increased pretty much across the board and has increased pretty dramatically in the states that are considered to be spiking right now. I don't have the death numbers in front of me but it does seem like it's declining (in the very least declining percentage wise). Hopefully that continues to be the case. It still remains a relatively dangerous disease though AFAIK.
  2. I think they were near the top in terms of the # of times they converted, but that was a result of how bad they were on 1st and 2nd down. I don't think I can find the exact same metric as Barnwell is using for Tyrod, but for example in the article in the OP it mentions that "When you don't consider his runs, Allen converted just 32.8% of his third/fourth-down dropbacks into first downs as a passer, which was the second-worst rate in the league." Not specifically 3rd and 8+ though. Edit: If I'm inputting it correctly into Pro-Football Reference, it looks like Tyrod converted roughly 28-29% of 3rd and 8+ depending on if Barnwell was specifically limiting it to pass attempts or not. Allen was also at 28-29% this past season.
  3. Seems relevant to a lot of the discussion here:
  4. No surprise that Barnwell's comparison to Tyrod is what's garnered the most attention from the article. I've mentioned the same thing in the past as well. Rookie Allen took chances with the ball in a way Tyrod never did, and because of Rookie Allen's deficiencies as a passer, those chances more often than not did not work out in our favor. Sophomore Allen was very similar to Tyrod; dialed back on forcing passes in a very major way, both in terms of throwing into tight windows and also in terms of throwing it deep. It shouldn't be an offensive comparison. Tyrod was roughly an average to above-average starter during his time here. The comparison is that as a sophomore, Allen played in a similar way to Tyrod, albeit he wasn't as efficient as Tyrod's best season. Obviously Allen is only headed into his 3rd season in the NFL; he should hypothetically improve moving forwards (though that isn't a given and some would even say unlikely) and become a much better QB than Tyrod ever was here. That's certainly my hope. Overall, the article is a really good read IMO even if the conclusions drawn aren't necessarily what we'd like to hear. I still like Allen a lot as a prospect but obviously this next season will be a huge one in determining what we have moving forwards.
  5. They've never raked him to my knowledge. They received a ton of flak because he didn't have an elite grade this past season despite most people thinking he was top 5 at his position. As a result, PFF has had to come out and explain the reasoning behind his grade not being super high. Despite that, they have him ranked as the 4th best corner in the league heading into this upcoming season. It's a bit shocking that the underlying data wasn't as good as we perceived him to be last season, but at the end of the day, PFF agrees with everyone else that White is a tremendous player. I think there are bigger snubs than White as far as the Bills go personally.
  6. For sure, which is what me and Gunner have been saying. It's just a tool and it's not at all an infallible tool. Like any other means of measuring a player's performance, it has its flaws.
  7. That was an article in which one guy had to try to make the case for one team and the other had to try to make the case for the other. At the time, Hodges had a higher grade (though similar to my point regarding nickel corners vs. a corner like Tre, Hodges and Allen play totally different roles for their teams). I doubt the guy that was arguing for the Steelers legitimately believed Hodges was the better QB; he was just trying to make a case for the Steelers and had the grade (which was based on a very limited sample size at the time) to try to back his point up.
  8. My opinion on this is: I'm more or less indifferent about statues. They don't really provide any value at all to me, so I personally won't fight very hard for them to stay or go, BUT For me, there's a difference between symbols that are held up pretty much purely for racist reasons (i.e. Confederate flag, Robert E. Lee, or anything related to Jim Crow) vs. something that isn't really synonymous with slavery even if they did support it in some way (i.e. "Slaveowner" is not the first thing that comes to mind when you think of George Washington). I think a statue like the Teddy Roosevelt one that is coming down (or might already have been taken down) in NYC is kind of an exception because while the same point for Washington applies for Roosevelt, the statue itself is portraying minorities as inferior. Ultimately, it doesn't matter much to me, so if other people view it as extremely offensive, I would tend to be fine with removing it. I tend to be someone that very selectively picks my battles and statues is not one that I care to fight over.
  9. They are mostly driven by data (though depending on what you think of watching the games and assigning scores on a play-by-play basis, that aspect might not technically be data-driven). The data that they collect suggests that Allen is a bad quarterback. They then use that fact and Bills fans' loyalty to Allen to drive clicks to their site. There's no coordinated attack to try to make Allen look bad; their data does that work for them.
  10. That's where my family usually stays when we go down there as well. One of my favorite vacation spots in the US. I haven't dabbled with fishing there, but the most recent time we went to the beach, I got to see a guy that was fishing on the beach drag a shark up onto the sand. That was absolutely wild lol
  11. One of my family friends had no underlying reasons to think he should be at-risk. Ended up getting Covid and was put up in ICU for two months without being able to see any family or friends or anything. They thought for sure that he was going to die, but he thankfully has recovered and is now learning how to walk again. Obviously some people have been fortunate enough to not show many/any symptoms. Some have had what's pretty much a hellacious flu. But some like our family friend have been devastated or worse by it. It's scary stuff.
  12. It was 16th if I remember right, but yeah, he was definitely lower than you'd expect. You have to consider though that the responsibilities of all corners are not the same but they're all pooled together as cornerbacks. So for example, someone that purely plays as a nickel corner could technically have performed better than Tre but nobody would say the nickel guy is actually better; he just had an easier job. That will always be a limitation to systems like PFF's.
  13. Technically they have 4 guys that are above average. They just made "average" a relatively wide range of ratings for some reason. But if a 69.9 is below-average, that implies that a 70.0 is average and anything above that would in actuality be above-average, even if only slightly so. Also, Diggs was in their top 5-10 of WRs last year if I recall correctly and that somehow falls into their average ranking. I don't have access to PFF anymore, but I think if we took the average rating of a starter at their given position, the Bills would have at least 8 players that are technically above-average.
  14. One of my favorite songs ever fits this criteria (and pretty much every Sam Cooke song for that matter): A lot of older songs that I love were under 3 minutes actually. Ain't No Mountain High Enough...I Want You Back, etc.
  15. It's very possible but he's hoping they've just realized safeties of his kind aren't all that valuable, similar to expensive RBs (cough cough).
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