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Impending Bills Roster Shenanigans: You be the GM


Beck Water

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13 hours ago, Logic said:




Unless they feel that Stevenson can materially help them in the passing game -- I, personally, happen not to feel that way -- I'd place him in IR for the rest of the season. The trusty ol' IR stash. Give him another shot in training camp next season.

- Cut Justin Murray, activate Ike Boettger to active roster.

Too early to say on Kumerow and Benford. Other injuries or roster changes may have occurred by the time those players are eligible.

Whichever of those players the Bills feel more urgency to bring back to the active roster, Cam Lewis would be next on the "cut" list. I think they could get him back through to the practice squad.

 

As far as Stevenson,  I expect him to be an x factor if healthy.  Been talking about him all off season pre injury. The fact they played him last year as a rook over Hodgins etc tells me the staff likes him and he was a speed demon in college. 

 

I know he had injury and fumble issues last year but that was as a rookie, coming off IR. If he can get the ball security down Pat, he'll be a nice addition to the WRs

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11 hours ago, Beck Water said:

 

yeah, Smoke explained.  He’s been in touch with Chad Hall and sent him videos of himself working out.  The Bills called Smoke on Wednesday and brought him in for a workout on Saturday, along with JJ Nelson and Kawaan Baker.  

 

JJ Nelson was drafted a year later than Brown and played with Brown on the Cardinals.  He is another “I feel the need, the Need for Speed” guy (4.28 40 time).  Bills signed him to their PS briefly last January.

 

Kawaan Baker was drafted by NO this year and spent time on NO and Green Bay PS.  4.43 40 with a 39.5” vertical and 10’9” broad jump - fast, athletic guy.

 

The inference would be Brown still has some speed going on.

 

He was cut because he didn't have the speed going on

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1 hour ago, Ethan in Cleveland said:

Just cut Stevenson.  He is terrible and Hines is returning kicks. Boettger was never very good but maybe is an upgrade over VanRotten. I take Crowder back and let Kumetow walk. When Bemford can play I'd bring him back and cut Lewis or Marlowe to open a roster spot

 

I think Ike is a very similar level player to Bates. If he is your best backup you are comfortable with that. If he is your starter you are nervous. 

 

I would:

 

Cut Stevenson

Leave Crowder on IR

Promote Ike to the roster at the deadline for doing so (cut: Justin Murray)

Bring Benford back if healthy (cut: Xavier Rhodes)

Bring back Kumerow if healthy (cut: Cam Lewis)

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Hard for fans to make any of these determinations without knowing the health and fitness of each individual player. Ike is good depth, so idealy you would get him back ASAP. Benford and Crowder as well, although we have no idea where Crowder is in his rehab. But I would have a lot more confidence in the offense if we got him back, especially for the playoffs.

 

I don't care about Stevenson. He hasn't done anything.

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1 hour ago, GunnerBill said:

 

I think Ike is a very similar level player to Bates. If he is your best backup you are comfortable with that. If he is your starter you are nervous. 

 

I would:

 

Cut Stevenson

Leave Crowder on IR

Promote Ike to the roster at the deadline for doing so (cut: Justin Murray)

Bring Benford back if healthy (cut: Xavier Rhodes)

Bring back Kumerow if healthy (cut: Cam Lewis)

I'd take Crowder over Kumerow.  And I'd cut Lewis instead of Rhodes. I can live with Ike on the roster.  He has starter experience and I thought he was decent in the run game that will be more important as the weather gets worse. 

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8 minutes ago, Ethan in Cleveland said:

I'd take Crowder over Kumerow.  And I'd cut Lewis instead of Rhodes. I can live with Ike on the roster.  He has starter experience and I thought he was decent in the run game that will be more important as the weather gets worse. 

 

I don't think Crowder moves the dial over Isaiah and I'm not sure he is going to come back healthy. I'd rather leave Shakir as the backup slot. I'd bring Kumerow back because I am more worried about outside depth and at the moment? He is all we have. Ideally we'd have someone better. 

 

Rhodes is washed. 

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1 hour ago, GunnerBill said:

 

I think Ike is a very similar level player to Bates. If he is your best backup you are comfortable with that. If he is your starter you are nervous. 

 

I would:

 

Cut Stevenson

Leave Crowder on IR

Promote Ike to the roster at the deadline for doing so (cut: Justin Murray)

Bring Benford back if healthy (cut: Xavier Rhodes)

Bring back Kumerow if healthy (cut: Cam Lewis)

 

I think Crowder is needed at WR.  We haven't been getting consistent production from the slot position and I think Crowder really helps that.  He still looks like he's got some left in the tank.

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2 minutes ago, Royale with Cheese said:

 

I think Crowder is needed at WR.  We haven't been getting consistent production from the slot position and I think Crowder really helps that.  He still looks like he's got some left in the tank.

 

Meh. If he is absolutely 100%, sure, bring him back. But I am not rushing Crowder back at 80% healthy. He isn't a move the dial player. 

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3 hours ago, Chandler#81 said:

What I’d like to know is how Von is sure OBJ isn’t leaving the facility without signing a contract. 1$ salary & $300M straight out of Terry’s wallet??

 

Has he said this again recently?

 

37 minutes ago, Royale with Cheese said:

 

I think Crowder is needed at WR.  We haven't been getting consistent production from the slot position and I think Crowder really helps that.  He still looks like he's got some left in the tank.

 

I agree with you where a healthy Crowder is concerned.

 

One of our local press guys did a piece on players coming back from broken lower leg injuries.  Of course, the description "broken leg" encompasses a lot of injuries, but the assessment (based on what was thought to be injured because of the video) seemed to be that if Crowder did come back for the very end of the season/playoffs he would very likely not be the same guy.

 

I don't see Crowder as one of those guys where him at 80% is better than the alternative.  I agree that we haven't been getting consistent production across the middle of the field, but I think a better solution would be to start using Knox or Hines more in those roles.

 

PS I mention Hines because the Bills FO fixation on acquiring a pass-catching RB seems to argue that was their plan all along, but Cook has not developed as quickly as they hoped and still has Some Development Needed

Edited by Beck Water
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1 hour ago, GunnerBill said:

 

I think Ike is a very similar level player to Bates. If he is your best backup you are comfortable with that. If he is your starter you are nervous. 

 

I would:

 

Cut Stevenson

Leave Crowder on IR

Promote Ike to the roster at the deadline for doing so (cut: Justin Murray)

Bring Benford back if healthy (cut: Xavier Rhodes)

Bring back Kumerow if healthy (cut: Cam Lewis)

 

Also good analysis.

 

I don't see a drive to cut Stevenson.  He's not taking up a roster spot, and if he's not healthy enough to bring back to the roster he would argue for an injury settlement, so there's likely no cap savings.  Put him on season ending IR.

 

My concern about bringing back Ike would be if he's "next man up" ready at the deadline, and not "Tre White" ready where you have to give him a roster spot AND keep enough guys who can play instead of him active.  I think the timing of the Tre thing may have cost us a chance to keep Hodgins, who I think could have potentially helped us the last couple games vs. Gentry.

 

If he's "next man up" ready as a backup, it's a no brainer.

 

Have you seen anything of the ST sans Kumerow?  I tried to look at our averages with and without him.  Early in the season, there didn't seem to be much difference when he was out for games 4,5, and 6.  The latter part of the Vikes game (after he went out) and the last couple games have been worse, but for the Browns and Lions that could easily be lack of practice - I'm sure when practice is minimal, offense and defense are the focus, especially with so many missing players.

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Boettger for sure.  

 

I think Beasley’s 2021 was nowhere as bad as people have stated. About 80% of hate was covid vac & comments related.

 He had bad ribs for a number of games yet played through it and ended up tying his best annual # for receptions (82 - 2nd on the team) and had his 5th best mark for yards (696) which was also second on the team.  He looked to try to go down quick to save his ribs, which did hurt his YAC.  McKenzie isn’t close to his level.

 

I’d ask him:

— u interested?

— send some tape

 

He could run his routes blindfolded & backwards and still be more productive than Stevenson.

 

 

 

 

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12 minutes ago, hemma said:

Boettger for sure.  

 

I think Beasley’s 2021 was nowhere as bad as people have stated. About 80% of hate was covid vac & comments related.

 He had bad ribs for a number of games yet played through it and ended up tying his best annual # for receptions (82 - 2nd on the team) and had his 5th best mark for yards (696) which was also second on the team.  He looked to try to go down quick to save his ribs, which did hurt his YAC.  McKenzie isn’t close to his level.

 

I’d ask him:

— u interested?

— send some tape

 

He could run his routes blindfolded & backwards and still be more productive than Stevenson.

 

I think there's been some measured and fact-based commentary on Beasley falling off in 2021 that has nothing to do with "The Panini" as Reddit calls it.

 

For sure Beasley was a warrior playing through a rib injury.  On the other hand, it always has to be asked, when a player is playing through injury, "are you, at whatever % you're at, better than the Next Guy Up?"  I'm not sure the answer was always "yes" for Beas.

 

It was notable that Beasley was not running his routes as deep as he had in previous years - all season, not just after the rib-shot.  His YPC, YBC, and YAC all say this.  When he went out and McKenzie came in for some routes, the difference in speed was eye-popping, so I think part of the problem was that Beasley simply couldn't run his routes fast enough to get as deep as previous years any more.

 

The shallower routes being run also to some extent resulted from how teams were covering the Bills, but I don't think that's all of it.

 

To sum: you are correct that his #catches was the same, but his YPC and his 1st downs fell off markedly.

He was also less consistent - he had 5 games where he had 1 or 2 catches, and 6 games where he had less than 25 receiving yards.

 

Stevenson should not be in consideration as a slot WR.  He is a speed guy only.  Unless something has changed markedly, he can't block, he can't follow blocks, he can't release against press coverage, and he doesn't have a great route vocabulary.

Edited by Beck Water
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Spector and Lewis are the ones most likely to move off the roster for me.  Adding Klein pushes Spector into 7th on depth chart.  Lewis is behind rhodes elam jackson and white, and now behind marlowe at S as well.  I see both going to PS for Stevenson/Boettger.  After that:

 

Kumerow comes back - Murray comes off for oline assuming you're comfortable with boettger.  

Benford probably just stays on IR unless a DB gets hurt.  You have white, elam, rhodes, Jackson.  He won't play so I'd keep him on IR unless someone gets hurt.  

 

Wildcard is john brown.  If he can make an impact from the practice squad call-ups i could see them bringing him to active roster like rhodes.  Likely also injury insurance though for someone going out.  

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43 minutes ago, Beck Water said:

 

Also good analysis.

 

I don't see a drive to cut Stevenson.  He's not taking up a roster spot, and if he's not healthy enough to bring back to the roster he would argue for an injury settlement, so there's likely no cap savings.  Put him on season ending IR.

 

My concern about bringing back Ike would be if he's "next man up" ready at the deadline, and not "Tre White" ready where you have to give him a roster spot AND keep enough guys who can play instead of him active.  I think the timing of the Tre thing may have cost us a chance to keep Hodgins, who I think could have potentially helped us the last couple games vs. Gentry.

 

If he's "next man up" ready as a backup, it's a no brainer.

 

Have you seen anything of the ST sans Kumerow?  I tried to look at our averages with and without him.  Early in the season, there didn't seem to be much difference when he was out for games 4,5, and 6.  The latter part of the Vikes game (after he went out) and the last couple games have been worse, but for the Browns and Lions that could easily be lack of practice - I'm sure when practice is minimal, offense and defense are the focus, especially with so many missing players.

 

I haven't watched an all-22 for a month since taking this new job, I'm flat out. I think my general TBD posting numbers are down too! Haha. So not had chance to really look at the impact on ST of losing Jake. I think Ike is worth taking the risk on even if he isn't quite ready to go straight in. If Saffold or Bates or Morse went down in the playoffs give me Ike over the other options in a heartbeat. You are right on Stevenson. No sense cutting him. Season ending IR is fine. I suppose I am sceptical of his chances of ever making a proper impact here but he is a cheap camp body for the 90 I suppose. 

 

 

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2 minutes ago, Beck Water said:

To sum: you are correct that his #catches was the same, but his YPC and his 1st downs fell off markedly.

He was also less consistent - he had 5 games where he had 1 or 2 catches, and 6 games where he had less than 25 receiving yards

 

Not counting the playoff game vs KC, he also had 5 games of over 60 yards.  Maybe McKenzie suddenly goes wild, but he’s currently at 2.  Yes, his first downs dropped off to 34, but that was also 2nd on the team.  Also, McKenzie has already filled up his allocation of six sub-25 games and he has time to hit double digits games on that ugly stat.

 

For all I know, Beane already gave it a shot and was rejected or vice versa by Pegulas/Beane/McD and wishful thinking on my part.

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3 hours ago, Mr. WEO said:

 

He was cut because he didn't have the speed going on

 

 

Didn't look that way to me. He [Smoke] couldn't stay healthy. And he was paid a lot for a guy who was unavailable as much as he was.

 

He was actually pretty productive that year when on the field. 458 yards on 453 snaps.

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14 hours ago, EmotionallyUnstable said:

I like it. 

OL: Activate Ike when ready, release Murray. Try and sign him to the PS if available. 

 

S: If Micah comes back, Marlowe is released.

 

CB: I’m likely letting Benford ride out IR for the duration of the year. With a healthy Elam, White, Jackson and Rhodes, I don’t need a need to move him onto the active roster and risk having to release a guy down the line. Keeping him on IR allows flexibility for him to return IF we experience injury at the position.

 

WR: If Crowder is available, I activate him immediately. He is my priority #1 at WR. I release Tommy Sweeney in a corresponding move.

 

Kumerow can wait in the fold until he is needed (if at all) since the next logical release is Baylor Spector and I don’t like the idea of opening him to waivers right now. With Smoke on the PS, he has three opportunities left to be promoted so no need to sign him to the active roster until all of his 3 games are used. I likely utilize a Smoke promotion all 3 times before activating Kumerow

 

Stevenson can carry out the year on IR. I don’t know that at this point his addition to the roster would move the needle in any measurable way due Hines taking over return duties.

I would not release Spector.  The guy looked like he could play in the preseason.  Reminded me some of a modern day Zach Thomas.  If Benford gets healthy.  And Tre is a full go.  I would bring back Benford and cut Jackson.  His game is trash.  Definite liability come crunch time.  Mahomes Tua Burrow, etc will light him up.  Rotate Elam White Rhodes and Benford.  That is 4 solid boundary corners.  And if Rhodes shows he has something left in the tank, extend him for next season also.  Nothing wrong having a lot of vets on your team that contribute.  Look at the Eagles.  

 

I like bringing back Crowder.  He still is a good player in the slot.  Sweeney is not necessary w Knox Morris and Gilliam.  And I agree about bringing back John Brown over Kumerow.  Didn't we keep Kumerow over Hudgins on the active roster?  And Hudgins was poached by the Giants.  Bad move there!!

 

And if Ike is healthy get him on the roster.  He may be the best Guard we have.  

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19 minutes ago, Thurman#1 said:

 

 

Didn't look that way to me. He [Smoke] couldn't stay healthy. And he was paid a lot for a guy who was unavailable as much as he was.

 

He was actually pretty productive that year when on the field. 458 yards on 453 snaps.

 

He's played 14 games for 5 different teams in the past 3 years.  It's not that he can't stay healthy--he can't stay on a roster.  On his last 3 teams--3 targets for an entire season.  None of those 3 teams had any use for him.  Even in 2019, his YBC and average depth of target plummeted.  He wasn't beating anyone. 

 

He's been on the field for 19 snaps since 2020--not because of injury. 

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5 hours ago, Chandler#81 said:

What I’d like to know is how Von is sure OBJ isn’t leaving the facility without signing a contract. 1$ salary & $300M straight out of Terry’s wallet??

 

Maybe Von offered a pay cut of his own salary since his goal is to be first player with rings from 3 different teams.

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1 hour ago, hemma said:

Not counting the playoff game vs KC, he also had 5 games of over 60 yards.  Maybe McKenzie suddenly goes wild, but he’s currently at 2.  Yes, his first downs dropped off to 34, but that was also 2nd on the team.  Also, McKenzie has already filled up his allocation of six sub-25 games and he has time to hit double digits games on that ugly stat.

 

For all I know, Beane already gave it a shot and was rejected or vice versa by Pegulas/Beane/McD and wishful thinking on my part.

 

I was addressing your point that Beasley's production hadn't really fallen off last year (relative to Beasley of previous years) and any fan perceptions were all "Panini inflluenced" so to speak.  My point was that Beasley of 2021 had fallen off relative to Beasley of 2020 or 2019, by several important objective metrics.  Maybe they were coverage-influenced but I thought they were related to a speed and agility fall-off based on age.   There's also the argument that we're looking for consistency, and the fact is Beasley was inconsistent from game to game last season, possibly based upon injuries, but prior to the rib shot he was known to take.

 

Beasley unquestionably still has it from the neck up in his ability to dissect zone coverage, in a way no one currently active on the team seems to possess.

 

I'm not sure it's relevant to compare any numbers from this year to last year.  Cover1 made the point that the terminology may be the same, but actually only about 20-30% of the offensive play design seems to have carried over from last year, and that on many plays, there seem to be deep options, check down options, and nothing in between.  It's a fact that McKenzie hasn't been as productive from the slot as all of us would like to see, but it's unclear to me whether that's on McKenzie, on Josh (where McKenzie is the check-down and Josh hates the checkdown and won't take it), or on the play design.  My hunch is "some of all three".

 

Again, Nate Geary stated that he had heard from a contact he trusts in the Bills FO that any contact with Beasley would have to be initiated from Cole's side.  The implication was that, despite public civility from Beane and McDermott, there was some significant bridge-burning that took place behind the scenes on Beasley's side.

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24 minutes ago, Paup 1995MVP said:

I would not release Spector.  The guy looked like he could play in the preseason.  Reminded me some of a modern day Zach Thomas.

 

My initial feeling was that Spector would be a guy it would be relatively low-risk to slide thru waivers and onto the practice squad.  But you could have a valid point here.  Obviously the Bills aren't going to give up on Terrel Bernard as a 3rd round pick, but Dodson did NOT look like an adequate backup when he played for Edmunds vs Cleveland, plus, he's an RFA next season.  It may be time to restock at backup LB.

 

I look at Spector's draft profile and say "nah" but then I go back and look at Matt Milano's draft profile and say "hmmmmm....."

 

24 minutes ago, Paup 1995MVP said:

If Benford gets healthy.  And Tre is a full go.  I would bring back Benford and cut Jackson.  His game is trash. 

 

Your take on Jackson, on the other hand, is a Bad Take.  Jackson has struggled because his strength is off-ball and the Bills have been playing Man.  He's an excellent off-ball corner whose play helped us win 5 straight games at the end of last season/playoffs and helped us win in the 8 we have this season.  Has he been toasted a couple times, sure, and by some excellent, almost uncoverable WR too, playing man behind an injury-depleted DL that was failing to sufficiently "affect the QB".

 

He's not trash, and you're going to discover if you don't already know that Rhodes and Benford have similar (or more severe) limitations as man corners.

 

24 minutes ago, Paup 1995MVP said:

Didn't we keep Kumerow over Hudgins on the active roster?  And Hudgins was poached by the Giants.  Bad move there!!

 

It was an ST based move to keep Kumerow over Hodgins.  Whether it's cost us or not, I haven't seen the ST play without Kumerow in enough depth to know.

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1 hour ago, Thurman#1 said:

 

 

Didn't look that way to me. He [Smoke] couldn't stay healthy. And he was paid a lot for a guy who was unavailable as much as he was.

 

He was actually pretty productive that year when on the field. 458 yards on 453 snaps.


I mean, it’s kind of both.  He had a high ankle sprain and at least one other injury, and when he returned his afterburners were notably missing.

 

I think the injuries lingered and that’s why he couldn’t stick with other teams last season.  
 

Seems like guys who have had high ankles have said it takes time for them to “get right” completely

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19 hours ago, DCbillsfan said:

If no one else gets hurt.  Activate Boettger and cut Murray.  Activate Benford and cut Cam Lewis.  

I would not cut Cam Lewis.  I would cut Tommy Sweeney.  I think he could go to the PS and if he doesn't no big deal.  Cam Lewis will need to play reps at some point this season and playoffs.

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1 hour ago, Manther said:

I would not cut Cam Lewis.  I would cut Tommy Sweeney.  I think he could go to the PS and if he doesn't no big deal.  Cam Lewis will need to play reps at some point this season and playoffs.

So, are you shutting down Benford for the season?  If not, who are you cutting to make room for Benford?

Nvm you're cutting Sweeney but the Bills won't do that imo.

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Activate Stevenson next week and put whoever gets hurt bad this week on IR

The week after put Stevenson back on IR after he gets another foot injury and activate TD Jesus

When Boettger is available, activate him and cut Justin Murray

Day after Christmas activate Benford and place another injured player on IR

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On 11/29/2022 at 3:06 PM, LABILLBACKER said:

I don't really care what happens to Crowder, Kumerow or Stevenson. Let Brown be your 5th WR.  I think we'll need Boettger as OL insurance. And DB's always get hurt this time of year so keep Benford available when healthy. 

 

Stevenson is a JAG, Kumerow is a good ST ace, him coming back for the playoffs would be a positive but only for the ST corps. Benford would be nice to have as depth in the secondary while Boettger is a nice player to add as depth and kick the tires on so to speak at a thin position corps. 

 

The two players that could return from IR that would make a big difference in my opinion would be Hyde (for very obvious reasons) and Crowder. Crowder would have a lesser impact of course but I think Crowder is a true slot WR that this team is missing. Crowder is a more shifty slot WR that I think this team is missing. I don't think Crowder would be the missing link on the offense so to speak but I think he could be a solid positive contributor. 

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On 11/30/2022 at 12:56 PM, Beck Water said:

 

My initial feeling was that Spector would be a guy it would be relatively low-risk to slide thru waivers and onto the practice squad.  But you could have a valid point here.  Obviously the Bills aren't going to give up on Terrel Bernard as a 3rd round pick, but Dodson did NOT look like an adequate backup when he played for Edmunds vs Cleveland, plus, he's an RFA next season.  It may be time to restock at backup LB.

 

I look at Spector's draft profile and say "nah" but then I go back and look at Matt Milano's draft profile and say "hmmmmm....."

 

 

Your take on Jackson, on the other hand, is a Bad Take.  Jackson has struggled because his strength is off-ball and the Bills have been playing Man.  He's an excellent off-ball corner whose play helped us win 5 straight games at the end of last season/playoffs and helped us win in the 8 we have this season.  Has he been toasted a couple times, sure, and by some excellent, almost uncoverable WR too, playing man behind an injury-depleted DL that was failing to sufficiently "affect the QB".

 

He's not trash, and you're going to discover if you don't already know that Rhodes and Benford have similar (or more severe) limitations as man corners.

 

 

It was an ST based move to keep Kumerow over Hodgins.  Whether it's cost us or not, I haven't seen the ST play without Kumerow in enough depth to know.

I wasn't overly impressed by Rhodes play.  He is a veteran who looks slow at this point in his career.  Hopefully he can hold up when called upon.  I like Benford's game better then Jacksons.  He is bigger and just looks to have better technique.  I would think any starting CB in the NFL has some ability to play man to man.  Not dominate, but at least give WR's something to think about.  Jackson has literally looked "Lost in Space".

 

Speaking of corners.  It was interesting watching Stephon Gilmore last nite for Indy.  He looks like he still has some game left.  Too bad Matt Ryan is their starting QB.  Hopefully for Colts fans, that is the last anyone sees of Ryan.  He was bad with the Falcons last year.  And is worse with the Colts this year.  

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