An uncomfortable play-off situation with the Texans

[Hapless Bills Fan]

8 hours ago, Stallions said:

Losing to the Steelers this Sunday puts our play-off hopes in jeopardy.  They have the Jets & Ravens remaining on their schedule.  A win over the Jets gives them 10 wins.  And, the Ravens may rest their starters for the final game of the season.

So, that basically puts our fate in the hands of the Texans & Titans.  Tennessee is hot and the Texans just lost to the lowly Bronco’s at home.  It would be great if Houston wins the division and the Titans finish 10-6 with the playoff tie-breaker in favor of the Bills. 

BUT, these teams play each other twice in the last 3 weeks of the season.  A scenario could develop with the Titans winning the division and the Texans finishing 10-6.

 

 

Would we have the tie breaker over Houston with mutual 10-6 records???

 

I don't think John Harbaugh is a starter-resting kind of guy

 

 

 

[nickrage]

8 hours ago, Ethan in Portland said:

Bills will win out and be a 12-4 wildcard team 

I think this as well

[Alaska Darin]

If we can't beat the a team starting their 3rd string QB, we don't deserve to be in the playoffs.

[GunnerBill]

We need one win. All three remaining game on our schedule are easier than the game we played yesterday. I am very confident the Bills win at LEAST 1 of the next 3. It isn't inconceivable that we could win out.

[unclepete]

9 hours ago, brianb386 said:

I have heard that we win one and we are in regardless of other outcomes. I don't know for sure, but it seemed legit.

Not sure about that. If we beat the jets and finish 10-6 both the titans and Steelers could finish 11-5 If they win out 

[MAJBobby]

43 minutes ago, unclepete said:

Not sure about that. If we beat the jets and finish 10-6 both the titans and Steelers could finish 11-5 If they win out 

If Titans win out Texans take to many losses. BILLS still in. 
 

that is why ONE MORE WIN they are in 

[Golden*Wheels]

10 hours ago, CLTbills said:

one win. Doesn't matter which game it is. 

 

Just make it easy on my blood pressure and make it Sunday against PIT that way I can enjoy two stress-free weeks before the playoffs start.

PRETTY PLEASE!!!!!

[CLTbills]

Just now, Golden*Wheels said:

PRETTY PLEASE!!!!!

My blood pressure will thank you, Bills!

[Matt_In_NH]

10 hours ago, whatdrought said:

 

This. I have read this multiple times today. If we win any one of our next three, we're in. 

And if they don’t  then they are not playoff caliber 

Edited December 9, 2019 by mattynh

[Ned Flanders]

12 hours ago, Westside Madness said:

Which is it? There appears to be a path where HOU, TEN, PIT and BUF end up at 10-6. My understanding is that with a 3/4 way tie, head to head is not relevant.

Somebody, via tie breakers will win the AFC South, so there is a possibility that there will be three teams for two wildcard spots at 10-6, Buffalo among them.

 

Some are crying, "We beat the Titans, that will knock them out of any tie-breaker with the Bills."  Not so fast, my friend.  Remember just two years ago when the Bills got in over a Charger team that annihilated Buffalo just a month earlier.  That one came down to the fifth tiebreaker I believe. 

 

Too much fan bulletin board fodder to decipher, let's see what the NFL puts out officially later this week and just go with that.

[djp14150]

13 hours ago, Stallions said:

Losing to the Steelers this Sunday puts our play-off hopes in jeopardy.  They have the Jets & Ravens remaining on their schedule.  A win over the Jets gives them 10 wins.  And, the Ravens may rest their starters for the final game of the season.

So, that basically puts our fate in the hands of the Texans & Titans.  Tennessee is hot and the Texans just lost to the lowly Bronco’s at home.  It would be great if Houston wins the division and the Titans finish 10-6 with the playoff tie-breaker in favor of the Bills. 

BUT, these teams play each other twice in the last 3 weeks of the season.  A scenario could develop with the Titans winning the division and the Texans finishing 10-6.

 

 

Would we have the tie breaker over Houston with mutual 10-6 records???

Texans can’t finidh 10-6 in 2nd pkace.  Thry grt 10 wins means one against Tennessee thus thry clinvh division because of better division record

 

buffalo needs to win one game and in.

 

in WC buffalo likrly plays at this division winner.

 

 

[row_33]

never bothered to worry and dither over who my team might meet in the playoffs

 

you either win it all or join the loser pile

 

 

[iinii]

13 hours ago, MAJBobby said:

Just have to win 1 more game and we are in. 

Why do some people over think this?

[Virgil]

Why is this thread still alive? We win one more and we are in.  What’s there to debate 

[row_33]

Just now, iinii said:

Why do some people over think this?

 

always FEAR the words  "all the Bills gotta do is...."

 

 

every year we had people with a playoff machine scenario for the Bills getting in after they were 100% mathematically and metaphysically out of the playoff running

 

[iinii]

2 hours ago, row_33 said:

 

always FEAR the words  "all the Bills gotta do is...."

 

 

every year we had people with a playoff machine scenario for the Bills getting in after they were 100% mathematically and metaphysically out of the playoff running

 

Can’t fault them for trying....I guess.

[row_33]

22 minutes ago, iinii said:

Can’t fault them for trying....I guess.

 

it was amusing, until they got real angry at people telling them IT'S OVER Johnny...

 

 

[iinii]

11 minutes ago, row_33 said:

 

it was amusing, until they got real angry at people telling them IT'S OVER Johnny...

 

 

Sometimes it is best just to let the dog have the bone?

[Golden*Wheels]

14 hours ago, Bills!Win! said:

I used to be a pessimist until Andy Dalton made that throw. Now I don’t stop watching games until the very last snap. Bills could still win the division. Likely? No. Possible? Yes. It’s A long shot. 

 

The emotional wimp in me has wanted to give up a few times but they won't let me this year.

 

Shoot I was sure we were coming back to win the Browns game.

[LSHMEAB]

All I can say is that Titans game was far more important than anyone realized at the time. 

 

I could absolutely see a scenario in which we lose the next two and need to win the finale against the Jets.

[ColoradoBills]

6 hours ago, unclepete said:

Not sure about that. If we beat the jets and finish 10-6 both the titans and Steelers could finish 11-5 If they win out 

 

Please listen to us.  IF the Titans win out they HAVE TO BEAT THE TEXANS TWICE.

That means the Texans at best go 9-7.

It is basic math.

[MAJBobby]

4 hours ago, iinii said:

Why do some people over think this?

they are used to needing help at this point. So it is foreign to them 

[blacklabel]

Whatever happens with the Texans, one thing is for sure, that team baffles me. They're bipolar. Look at their results this year:

 

Week 1: 30-28 loss to the Saints, close one against a good team, fair enough.

Week 2: A one point win over the Jags... (score was 13-12)

Week 3: Beat the overrated Chargers.

Week 4: Clunker against Carolina, lose 16-10.

Week 5: Beatdown on the Falcons, fine.

Week 6: Solid win over the Chiefs.

Week 7: Loss against the Colts who have since fallen off.

Week 8: Win a close one against the Raiders, who, at that point were the "don't sleep on 'em" team  but have since returned to the dumpster.

Week 9: Smacked around the Jags.

Week 10: Bye

Week 11: Destroyed by Baltimore 41-7.

Week 12: Eek out a close one against Indy.

Week 13: Beat the Patriots, and then...

Week 14: Get blown out by the "we're on our 97th QB since Peyton left us!" Broncos.

 

So, I'd have no idea what to expect if Buffalo ends up meeting them in the playoffs. 

[Pine Barrens Mafia]

1 minute ago, blacklabel said:

Whatever happens with the Texans, one thing is for sure, that team baffles me. They're bipolar. Look at their results this year:

 

Week 1: 30-28 loss to the Saints, close one against a good team, fair enough.

Week 2: A one point win over the Jags... (score was 13-12)

Week 3: Beat the overrated Chargers.

Week 4: Clunker against Carolina, lose 16-10.

Week 5: Beatdown on the Falcons, fine.

Week 6: Solid win over the Chiefs.

Week 7: Loss against the Colts who have since fallen off.

Week 8: Win a close one against the Raiders, who, at that point were the "don't sleep on 'em" team  but have since returned to the dumpster.

Week 9: Smacked around the Jags.

Week 10: Bye

Week 11: Destroyed by Baltimore 41-7.

Week 12: Eek out a close one against Indy.

Week 13: Beat the Patriots, and then...

Week 14: Get blown out by the "we're on our 97th QB since Peyton left us!" Broncos.

 

So, I'd have no idea what to expect if Buffalo ends up meeting them in the playoffs. 

 

They're drastically overrated and only in the position they're in due to the weakness of their division.

 

[Golden*Wheels]

They have great talent

 

 

Their coach is a doofus

[Boatdrinks]

3 minutes ago, blacklabel said:

Whatever happens with the Texans, one thing is for sure, that team baffles me. They're bipolar. Look at their results this year:

 

Week 1: 30-28 loss to the Saints, close one against a good team, fair enough.

Week 2: A one point win over the Jags... (score was 13-12)

Week 3: Beat the overrated Chargers.

Week 4: Clunker against Carolina, lose 16-10.

Week 5: Beatdown on the Falcons, fine.

Week 6: Solid win over the Chiefs.

Week 7: Loss against the Colts who have since fallen off.

Week 8: Win a close one against the Raiders, who, at that point were the "don't sleep on 'em" team  but have since returned to the dumpster.

Week 9: Smacked around the Jags.

Week 10: Bye

Week 11: Destroyed by Baltimore 41-7.

Week 12: Eek out a close one against Indy.

Week 13: Beat the Patriots, and then...

Week 14: Get blown out by the "we're on our 97th QB since Peyton left us!" Broncos.

 

So, I'd have no idea what to expect if Buffalo ends up meeting them in the playoffs. 

I’d expect a close game, with the Bills having a pretty good chance to get out with a win. Not a bad matchup for what the Bills do. 

[Pirate Angel]

If we play like we have the last 2 weeks we will beat Pittsburg and new england

[MAJBobby]

I think we match up well against Both Houston and KC. 
 

Defense Travels well. And think we compete and win against both teams. 

[leonbus23]

I just did the playoff simulator. If the Bills, Steelers, Texans, and Titans all finish 10-6, the Bills are in.

[unclepete]

7 hours ago, ColoradoBills said:

 

Please listen to us.  IF the Titans win out they HAVE TO BEAT THE TEXANS TWICE.

That means the Texans at best go 9-7.

It is basic math.

Completely overlooked that. Thanks for bringing that to my attention. 

[LB48]

11 hours ago, Virgil said:

Why is this thread still alive? We win one more and we are in.  What’s there to debate 

"One more win" may not happen.  A snowing, cold game in windy Orchard Park may determine our fate.

[Johnnycage46]

On 12/8/2019 at 9:04 PM, Penfield45 said:

Titans need to lose 1 out of the 3, and we need to win 1 out of the next 3 OR win next week vs Pittsburg and in

 

there is a very good chance the titans go 11-5 and win out

 

 

 

 

The Titans have a very good chance of beating the Texans twice, AND the Saints?  Wow.  They might be a Super Bowl team.

[CardinalScotts]

On 12/8/2019 at 8:04 PM, Penfield45 said:

Titans need to lose 1 out of the 3, and we need to win 1 out of the next 3 OR win next week vs Pittsburg and in

 

there is a very good chance the titans go 11-5 and win out

 

 

 

 

 

very good? 

beat texans twice in 3 weeks and saints ?

 

theres a chance but it's not good

[CorkScrewHill]

On 12/8/2019 at 9:09 PM, MasterStrategist said:

Texans get to 10 wins by either:

1. beating titans 2x, lose other.  outcome is they win division, as titans would have 7 losses

2. splitting with titans, winning other.  they win division in this scenario too, as they would have better division record than titans.  titans would assuming have 10 wins, and we beat them on head to head, if we win 1 more

Correct on tennessee and texans both at 10 - 6 goes to the Texans for the Division ... and then even in a 3 way split .. the only other team that could tie Buffalo and Tennessee would be Pittsburg. Since both Pittsburgh and Buffalo  beat Tennesseee .. Tenesee would be on the outside.

[JerseyBills]

A W vs Pitt basically guarentees us the 5 seed so it's a huge game. The 5 seed will likely be going to Ten or Hou and the 6 seed to KC. Huge huge game

[Boatdrinks]

1 hour ago, JerseyBills said:

A W vs Pitt basically guarentees us the 5 seed so it's a huge game. The 5 seed will likely be going to Ten or Hou and the 6 seed to KC. Huge huge game

I actually would prefer to play HOU or KC right now over TEN. They’re red hot and are more physical than finesse. KC came close to blowing the game up in Foxboro to a pretty lifeless Pats Offense. KC doesn’t have a great tradition of playoff success at Arrowhead either. They don’t look as good as they did last year. 

[SlimShady'sSpaceForce]

1 hour ago, JerseyBills said:

A W vs Pitt basically guarentees us the 5 seed so it's a huge game. The 5 seed will likely be going to Ten or Hou and the 6 seed to KC. Huge huge game

No, it guarantees a WC spot. 
 

To guarantee the 5th seed the Bills still need to win 1 or both the Cheats and Jets.  
 

And the long shot if the Cheats fall more the possibility may be there for the AFCE. 

[Tuco]

19 minutes ago, SlimShady'sGhost said:

No, it guarantees a WC spot. 
 

To guarantee the 5th seed the Bills still need to win 1 or both the Cheats and Jets.  
 

And the long shot if the Cheats fall more the possibility may be there for the AFCE. 

Nah I think it guarantees the 5th seed. If we beat Pitt, the best they can do is 10-6 and we'll already be at 10-6 with the tiebreaker over them.

 

The only other teams that can get to 10-6 are Tennessee and Houston. If Houston gets to 10-6 that means they had to beat Tennessee at least once and they would win the division. It also means that Tennessee can't be better than 10-6 and we would hold the tiebreaker over them too. 

 

The only way Tennessee can win the division is to beat Houston twice. That would make Tennessee the division winner but then Houston could only get to 9 wins max - leaving Buffalo and Pitt tied at 10-6, where we win the 5 seed again..

 

Beating Pitt guarantees us the 5 seed minimum unless I missed something.

[Tcali]

bottom line JA has to play well and play smart. the innaccurate long throws dont bother me as much as the sacks he takes..esp when he has time to throw. No excuse there.

and if our line is getting swamped again daboll needs to call quicker plays.

smart Josh(he doesnt need to be brilliant) and smart daboll =a win.  

 

Edited December 11, 2019 by Tcali

[JerseyBills]

56 minutes ago, Boatdrinks said:

I actually would prefer to play HOU or KC right now over TEN. They’re red hot and are more physical than finesse. KC came close to blowing the game up in Foxboro to a pretty lifeless Pats Offense. KC doesn’t have a great tradition of playoff success at Arrowhead either. They don’t look as good as they did last year. 

Well if we win , we'll have a 2 game lead with 2 to play because Ten/Hou play. Winner takes control of the South. So we'd be 10-4 and 2 of Ten/Hou/Pitt would be 8-6 . Technically doesn't clinch the 5th but it clinches the 5th seed lol. Big Game. No way I'd rather go to KC over Hou or Tenn . McDermott owns Tannehil!!